three2won
Sat, 12/08/07 - 7:00 PMThree2Won | CBB Sides
triple-dime bet771 Mississippi -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 772 Central Florida
Analysis:
Mississippi -3 (-110) 3 UNITS
This line is off by more than a few points. Ill be as brief as possible, but you have a clean line of talent from the REBOUND to the ASSIST to the FIELD GOAL for MISSISSIPPI.
Missy is the 10th best rebounding team in the country, and they will move the ball down the court with the 12th best assist-to-turnover ratio in America, and end the process with the 7th best field goal shooting team in the land!
On the offensive side of the ball, Mississippi has all the tools to roll up at least 80 points on Central Florida.
Central Florida is 165th in the country in Rebounding!
Central Florida is 69th in field goal defense.
Central Florida is 114th in 3 pointer defense
Missy is 10th in rebounding facing a team that is 165th.
Missy is 7th in field goal shooting facing #69.
Missy is 64th in 3 point shooting and CF is 114th in 3 pt defense.
Do we have to get into a big analytical argument here?
I love backing a team that is 12th in the nation in assist-to-turnover ratio! CF is turning it over 15 times per game.
Were looking at an 11 deep squad that fits right into my 3 points per minute system. There is no doubt in my mind that we can push the tempo on this game and get the easy cover.
The most impressive thing about this Mississippi team is that they are not coming close to fouling out, and the deep line-up is keeping guys fresh, and foul-free.
You have a Missy team scoring almost 95 points per game facing a squad that barely gets above 71.
Sure it will be much closer than 95-71, but the 3 spot is far too generous.
This is a common theme for me, and I would like you to try to apply it to your own research:
Rebounding+Great Assist/Turnover rates+FG%=Winners!
Take the points and run.
Pittsburgh -3 (-110) 3 UNITS
I have the #4 rebounding team in the nation going up against Washington (#9)
All similarities stop there.
Pittsburgh is sitting in a nice position as the 50th best Field Goal shooting team in the country, and they are facing one of the worst Field goal defenses in the world.
Washington is 284th in Field Goal defense.
Pittsburgh is the 9th best defender of field goals in the country right now.
Did you know that the Panthers have the #1 ranked assist-to-turnover ratio in America!
They commit only an average of 11 turnovers (#14).
BeatingTheLines.
25-19 YTD
Saturdays picks:
Iowa +1
Wake Forest +4.5
Marquette +2.5
Louisville -12
Jacksonville St. +9
Tennessee Tech +3
Nevada -15
Jim Kruger
12:00p
Arizona
Illinois
u137.0 / 3 units
2:00p
Kent State
-3.5 / 3 units
7:00p
Southern Illinois
-3.0 / 3 units
glen mcgrew free plays
butler, ariz, kentucky
bob donahue free pick mavs
dave cokin free pick mavs
ATS LOCK CLUB
12 units Minnesota (Downgraded from 20)
6 units Wyoming
6 units Ohio
5 units Kansas
ATS FINANCIAL
4 units Cal St. Northridge
3 units Rhode Island
3 units Duquesne
Cal Sports
CBB: Game of the Year: 5* Rhode Island (+6) 7:00
w michigan (-10.5) 2:00 4*
indiana (-8.5) 4:00 4*
texas (-22.5) 8:00 3*
kansas (-20) 2:00 3*
st mary’s (-2.5) 3:00 3*
s illinois (-4) 7:00 3*
utah (+12.5) 6:00
MasterP Sports
NBA:
5* Minnesota (+10.5) 8:05
3* chicago (+6.5) 8:35
3* atlanta (over 200) 7:05
CBB:
4* kentucky (+8) 4:00
3* texas (-23) 8:00
3* byu (-3) 4:00
Sebastian
College
*150* Minnesota -16
50* BYU -2, W.Virginia -11
20* Kansas -20, Duke -22, Wisconsin – 2 ½, Illinois -2, Ohio U -14,
Rhode Island +6
Pro
Boston/Chicago Under 182
Robert Ferringo's picks for Saturday:
6-Unit Play. Take #749 Marquette (+3) over Wisconsin (6 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 8)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
Wisconsin has had the upper hand in this series, but I think that's about to change. I don't believe that this is the same caliber of Badgers team that we've seen lately. They are solid, but I think that Marquette is exceptional. They get incredible pressure with their guards and I don't think that Wisconsin will be able to handle it. I think the Big East is superior to the Big Ten, and if you use a common opponent (Duke) as a baseline the Eagles lost by four and the Badgers lost by 24. I know that's always dangerous to do - common opponent - but the thing is that Marquette belonged on the same court with the Blue Devils while Wisconsin looked totally overmatched. These two teams played last year and the Badgers managed a four-point win. But they lost their top two scorers from that game, and they combined for 41 of the 70 points that Wiscy scored. I think Marquette is a better team this year and that Wisconsin is not, and I think we're getting great value with the better team and the points. We have a reverse line movement in this game, we have the best player on the floor (Dominic James) and hopefully another winner.
4-Unit Play. Take #733 St. Mary's (-2) over San Diego State (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 8)
3-Unit Play. Take #760 Wright State (+8) over Butler (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 8)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #727 George Mason (+4) over Kent State (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 8)
2-Unit Play. Take #743 Valparaiso (-1.5) over Detroit (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 8)
2-Unit Play. Take #729 Dayton (+12.5) over Louisville (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 8)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #787 Seton Hall (+1) over Penn State (9 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 8)
2-Unit Play. Take Wisconsin-Green Bay (+3.5) over Illinois-Chicago (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 8)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #799 Santa Clara (-4.5) over San Jose State (11 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 8)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #755 UAB (+3) over South Florida (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 8)
Insider Sports Report
4* Utah/Dallas (NBA) OVER 209.5
Range 208 to 211.5
4* Boston -4.5 over Chicago (NBA)
Range -3 to -6.5
3* Pittsburgh -3 over Washington (NCAAB)
Range -1.5 to -5
Discount Sports Picks
10* Memphis +4.5 over Atlanta (NBA)
5* Iowa St. -1 over Iowa (NCAAB)
ARTHUR RALPH SPORTS REGULAR Plays:
84-45 run FOOTBALL !!
Trifecta Saturday !!
Iowa, Michigan State, So.Illinois
Michael Cannon
30 Dime -
OHIO
15 Dime -
BYU
10 Dime -
RHODE ISLAND
5 Dime -
DUQUESNE