O C Dooley comp
1 UNIT" COLLEGE PRIMETIME TOTAL (Washington State at Arizona State UNDER 118 in a 7:00 eastern tipoff): Both of these teams were riding at the top of the Pac-10 standings, before suffering recent losses that now have them in danger of falling to the #3 spot, in what is a very competitive conference. Arizona State very quietly has been one of the feel good stories of this campaign, as they have completely turned around a program that had been in peril. This is the second season for veteran head coach Herb Sendeck at the helm, and his philosiphy has always been DEFENSE first. Arizona State (14-4) plays primarily a zone defense, while running a "princeton style" of offense which is basically a HALF COURT style. Washington State leads the entire nation in DEFENSE as they are permitting just 53 points per contest, which helped them hover in the national Top-5. The problem with the Cougars is offensive production, especially on Thursday when #1 scoring option Derrick Low did NOT score a single bucket until there was 2:38 left in the game. As for Arizona State's offense, they have averaged only 56 points per game in the last pair of losses, and was held to a season-low 32-PERCENT shooting from the field in a setback earlier this week. The last time these two teams met at Arizona State, the final score (48-47) was extremely low and I am expecting more of the same this evening. The key to this total is that BOTH teams prefer to limit possessions and maximise efficiency.
JEFFERSONSPORTS FULL CARD
utep-5
bradley+2
tennnessee-13.5
st. mary's-9
boston college-6
David Page
Iowa -6
George Mason -7
San Diego -5
Boston College -6
Memphis -12
Florida State -8
Jacksonville State +3
Wichita State -2
Mike Neri Sports - Late Service
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
THREE STAR: 544 Boston College -5.5
THREE STAR: 562 Mississippi St -5.5
THREE STAR: 570 Iowa -6
Charlie Scott
Georgetown vs. West Virginia
Play: Point Spread: 2.5/-107
Pick : Georgetown
This is a big step up in class for West Virginia. Georgetown is a talented, well coached,disciplined team that doesn't give away points or games and they are getting points! I understand that WV has a big Home Court advantage, but this isn't Marshall or St. Johns. PLAY ON GTOWN !
Bobby Maxwell
Saturday's 4 college winners...
600-Unit Pac-10 Max Bet - STANFORD
These rivals get to know each other again in this one as Stanford starts off on a three-game road trip. The Cardinal looked very good last time we saw them, beating a ranked Arizona State squad 67-52 as eight-point favorites.
The intimidating Lopez brothers are the reason Stanford is so tough on the defensive end of the court, ranking second in the Pac-10, allowing 56.4 points per game and allowing 38.7 percent shooting.
Stanford dominated Cal in Berkeley last year, winning 90-71 as one-point favorites. The Cardinal has won seven of the last nine overall against Cal (7-2 ATS) and they've won three of the last four times they've been in Berkeley.
Cal has struggled since the Pac-10 season opened, going just 2-4 SU and ATS in the league season, and they just got swept by the Arizona schools last weekend in Berkeley. At home in the Pac-10 season, the Bears are just 1-3 SU and ATS.
Stanford swept the Arizona schools last weekend and didn't allow either one to get more than 52 points. The Cardinal is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite and the Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record.
This looks like Stanford all the way tonight as the Lopez brothers shut down Cal's Ryan Anderson. Play the Cardinal tonight.
200-Unit Big East Big Shot - GEORGETOWN
The Hoyas go on the road to battle the Mountaineers tonight in a Big East showdown that shows all the signs of a classic contest. But we've got to put our money on the defensive-minded Georgetown team that has the ability to put the clamps on West Virginia's offense.
Georgetown has lost twice this season on the road - at the top-ranked Memphis team and at Pitt two weeks ago. Nothing to be ashamed of losing at those two venues.
The Hoyas have the ability to lock down a team, allowing just 57.5 points per game and holding the opposition to 35.7 percent shooting - the lowest mark in the country. Meanwhile on the offensive end, the Hoyas come out and shoot 50.8 percent from the floor - good for third best in the nation.
These teams only met once last season with the Hoyas scoring a 71-53 win as nine-point home favorites. Georgetown has won seven of its last eight (3-4 ATS), but defensively, nobody has scored more than 69 points against them since Dec. 22.
West Virginia has won four straight, and is undefeated at home this season, but the Mountaineers squeaked out a 66-64 win over Marshall on Wednesday, falling well short as 15 1/2-point favorites, no doubt looking forward to the matchup with Georgetown.
The Hoyas are 15-6-2 ATS in their last 23 against the Big East and 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 as a road underdog of up to 6 1/2 points. And against teams with a winning home mark, the Hoyas are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 on the highway.
Look for the Hoyas Roy Hibbert, Jessie Sapp and Jonathan Wallace to completely control this game. They are going to control the boards and keep this game at their pace. No running crazy for the Mountaineers in this one.
Grab the points and play the Hoyas and don't be surprised when they win this one outright.
100-Unit West Coast Bonus - OREGON
The Ducks suffered their first home loss of the season Thursday when UCLA fought back in the final three minutes to score a five-point win. Don't expect Oregon to lose again tonight.
The Ducks are 3-4 SU (4-3 ATS) in Pac-10 play with home wins over Stanford and Cal.
Tonight the Trojans invade Eugene and the Ducks have some payback in store for Southern Cal. The Trojans have scored wins there the last two visits, one of the few teams with succes on the Oregon court. Southern Cal beat the Ducks 84-82 there last season as nine-point 'dogs but the Ducks got their payback in the Pac-10 tourney, winning 81-57 in a blowout as one-point underdogs.
Southern Cal is on the road for the third straight game, already having won at UCLA and at Oregon State. A third straight road win in the conference would be impressive but isn't going to happen.
Oregon is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 home games, 8-1 ATS in its last nine Saturday games and 10-3 ATS in its last 13 against Pac-10 foes.
We're going to play the home team that just doesn't lose many on this court and puts up 87.3 points a game and shoots 51.4 percent from the floor. Lay the chalk and play the Ducks tonight.
100-Unit West Coast Bonus - SAN DIEGO STATE
This series has been dominated by the home team lately so let's lay the small chalk and play the Aztecs tonight to win this one by 8 to 10 points.
San Diego State beat the Rebels 67-52 last year and that's when UNLV had a team that reached the Sweet 16 in the NCAA tourney. The Aztecs are 6-2-1 ATS in the last eight overall against UNLV and have gone 3-1 at home against them since 2004.
The Rebels are winning games but not cashing tickets lately. They are 3-1 SU in their last four but 1-3 ATS. They hosted Wyoming on Wednesday and won 78-71 but came up well short as 16-point home favorites. Last time UNLV was on the road they got hammered at Air Force 65-53 as five-point favorites.
San Diego crushed Wyoming 70-43 last time they were at home, easily covering as 12-point chalk.
This game will likely come down to the final five minutes but expect San Diego State to execute better down the stretch. They should win it with and hit their free throws in the end to get us the winning ticket.
SportsAction365
CBB
100* Georgetown +3
75* Stanford -1.5
75* UCLA -16
NBA
50* Indiana -1
50* Washington +8
50* NC Charlotte -8
Gold Medal Club
500* Morehead OVER 128
50* Evansville ML
EddieMush.com client's service plays for today are listed below. These are paid for and confirmed. Remember, it's a different type of handicapping website, so I listed the client's plays first. (You should bet on Duq,Okl, Gtown,Az, Gonz, Miss b/c Eddie likes GW, Baylor, etc...)
15* on Duquense -11 over George Washington
15* on Oklahoma +5 over Baylor
12* on Georgetown +3 over West Virginia
6* on Arizona -8.5 over Washington
6* on Gonzaga +12 over Memphis
4* on Mississippi +5 over Mississippi
Rocketman
3* Long Beach St
3* GW
3* Montana
3* Northern Iowa
Dr. Bob
Opinions/Possible Best Bets
Georgia (+13 ½) over TENNESSEE
Tennessee’s upset loss at Kentucky actually sets the Vols up in a 7- 39-1 ATS subset of a negative 66-148-6 ATS situation while Georgia applies to a 78-36-4 ATS big road underdog momentum situation. Tennessee is 22-9-1 ATS at home under coach Bruce Pearl, but they are 0-3 ATS at home after an upset loss. My ratings favor Tennessee by 14 ½ points and I’m not willing to give up a point of line value to make the Bulldogs a Best Bet. I’ll lean with Georgia at +13 ½ points and I’d take Georgia in a 2-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more and for 3-Stars at +15 or more.
Missouri State (-5 ½) over EVANSVILLE
Missouri State is 0-8 straight up away from home this season and 0-6 ATS on the road, but the Tigers haven’t faced a bad team away from home until tonight. Missouri State has historically been at their best when visiting bad teams, as the Bears are 21-6-1 ATS as a conference road favorite or pick under coach Barry Hinson (21-4-1 ATS their last 26). Missouri State also applies to a 34-6 ATS subset of a 372-221-8 ATS contrary angle that plays on teams with bad pointspread records, so the Tigers should play better than they have been playing. My ratings favor Missouri State by 6 points but being winless away from home is enough of a concern for me to pass on this game unless I get some line value. I’ll consider Missouri State an opinion at -5 ½ or -6 and I’d take Missouri State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less.
Dr. Bob
2 Star Selection
GEORGIA SOUTHERN (-15 ½) over Furman
26-Jan-08 04:30 PM Pacific Time
Georgia Southern is 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season and 5-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite the last 3 seasons. I certainly don’t expect Georgia Southern to show mercy on a pathetic Furman squad given that the Eagles just lost at home to Wofford on Thursday night. Big home favorites coming off a home loss are generally good bets, especially if they just lost 2 nights ago, and Georgia Southern applies to a solid 103-44-4 ATS big home favorite situation that is based on that premise. My ratings favor Georgia Southern by 17 points in this game, but I’d favor the Eagles by 19 ½ points if the normal letdown associated with big home favorites is not present – which is most likely won’t be given the situation. I’ll take Georgia Southern in a 2-Star Best Bet at -16 points or less.
2-Stars at -16 or less.
Opinion
Missouri State (-5 ½) over EVANSVILLE
26-Jan-08 05:00 PM Pacific Time
Missouri State is 0-8 straight up away from home this season and 0-6 ATS on the road, but the Tigers haven’t faced a bad team away from home until tonight. Missouri State has historically been at their best when visiting bad teams, as the Bears are 21-6-1 ATS as a conference road favorite or pick under coach Barry Hinson (21-4-1 ATS their last 26). Missouri State also applies to a 34-6 ATS subset of a 372-221-8 ATS contrary angle that plays on teams with bad pointspread records, so the Tigers should play better than they have been playing. My ratings favor Missouri State by 6 points but being winless away from home is enough of a concern for me to pass on this game unless I get some line value. I’ll consider Missouri State an opinion at -5 ½ or -6 and I’d take Missouri State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less.
OPINION - 2-Star Best Bet at -5 or less only.
3 Star Selection
Nevada (-11) over LOUISIANA TECH
26-Jan-08 05:00 PM Pacific Time
Louisiana Tech is a horrible team that applies to a 2-31-3 ATS subset of an 18-73-5 ATS situation that plays against teams with a win percentage of .250 or worse. Nevada, meanwhile, applies to a 136- 56-4 ATS big road favorite situation and the Wolf Pack are 27-17-1 ATS on the road under coach Mark Fox, including 15-5 ATS if they’re coming off a conference win. Normally, superior teams tend to letdown as road favorites and my ratings would favor Nevada by 10 ½ points if that were the case. However, that normal letdown does not apply when the home team is below a certain level and I favor Nevada by 13 ½ points in this game. I’ll take Nevada in a 3-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less and for 2-Stars at -12 ½ or -13 points.
3-Stars at -12 or less, 2-Stars at -12 1/2 or -13.
2 Star Selection
OHIO STATE (-7) over Minnesota
26-Jan-08 05:00 PM Pacific Time
Ohio State applies to a solid 196-92-8 ATS situation tonight and Minnesota is starting to show some signs of mediocrity after beating up on bad teams in the pre-conference schedule, as the Golphers’ only conference wins have come against lowly Northwestern and Penn State. Minnesota did cover at Michigan State in a 6 point loss, but they also lost by 14 points at Florida State and by 17 points at UNLV – the other two good teams that they visited. My ratings favor Ohio State by 6.7 points and I’ll take Ohio State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less and for 3-Stars at -6 or less.
2-Stars at -7 or less, 3-Stars at -6 or less.
3 Star Selection
UC Riverside (+13 ½) over UC IRVINE
26-Jan-08 07:00 PM Pacific Time
UC Riverside is improving under first year coach Jim Woolridge and should compete against a UC Irvine squad that is only 20-45-4 ATS as a conference home favorites in 11 seasons under coach Pat Douglass (8-23-1 ATS laying 7 points or more). Riverside is still a bad team, but the Highlanders have covered in 3 straight games and 7 of their last 9 lined games after starting the season 1-4 ATS. That recent pointspread surge is likely to continue given that the Highlanders in a very good 64-17-1 ATS big road underdog situation. My ratings favor UC Irvine by 13 points, so the line is fair, and I’ll take UC Riverside in a 3-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more and for 2- Stars at +12 ½ points.
3-Stars at +13 or more, 2-Stars at +12 1/2.