Keith Martin Sports Total GOY
The 2008 Totals GOY rest in the Samford/E. Kentucky game.
The current total is at 109 as many players stay away from teams for their unpredictablity. After much consideration and numbers crunching I feel 100% correct in saying Samford Over. I expect a score in the upper 120's
Winning Points Online NCAAB.
***BEST BET
Northwestern* over Purdue by 6
Hey, at least we waited until Northwestern was taking more than a pair of treys on their home floor, against a so-so offensive visitor, before featuring them here.
Coach Carmody played a give-up game at Ohio State earlier in the week -- cutting the minutes of his only senior Jason Okrzesik drastically -- but now that they are back home, and still winless in the Big Ten, expect an all-out effort and the "A" rotation as they make a push for their first conference win of the season. When do winless conference teams get their first conference win of the season? Late in the season, on their home floor. That would make today a strong candidate.
Purdue has 20 wins, which is fine and dandy. They are also a young team facing a type of defense that they haven't played against this season, a match-up zone that switches to man. Nobody that hit a 3-pointer for Purdue in their two wins against Northwestern last year is on the roster this season. They're out on the road comingoff win #20 on ESPN against Michigan State, thinking who the heck they are.
NORTHWESTERN, 59-53.
FERRINGO
2-Unit Play. Take #707 Kentucky (-2) over LSU
This is a perfect “Buy low, sell high” situation. LSU is coming off its biggest win of the season at Florida and their stock has never been higher. Kentucky is coming off one of the worst losses in the program’s history and has never been lower. But if we look at the numbers and look at this objectively, the Wildcats are a better team here. The Tigers are getting all kinds of credit for “almost” beating Tennessee. Well, Kentucky DID beat Tennessee. UK has won at Auburn and at Georgia. They lost at Florida in overtime and are 7-2 ATS recently. LSU has really played two decent games. But they shot 60 percent from the field at Florida (33-for-55). What are the odds of that happening again? LSU is 3-13-1 ATS at home and are still a bad team.
2-Unit Play. Take #787 Illinois (-3.5) over Penn State
We’re going to continue to fade the Nittany Lions, especially on the short number here. I had this game posted as a -7.5 or a -8.0 so I think we’re getting some value. Penn State is 1-6-1 ATS in its last nine games since losing Geary Claxton. They beat Illinois in Penn State on a night when the Illini couldn’t hit anything. That was also Illinois’ last really bad loss. The Illini have played one of the toughest schedules in America and seven of their last 10 games have been against Indiana, Purdue, Wisconsin, or Michigan State, with one game at Ohio State kicked in there. Those first four are the cream of the Big 10 crop and it’s acceptable for Illinois to drop those games. And in the three games against the bottom-tier of the conference Illinois won by 24 (over Minnesota), by 33 (over Northwestern), and by 18 (over Michigan). I see them muscling over the Lions today.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #845 Portland (+12) over San Diego
San Diego has been smoking lately – and now it’s time to sell high. The Toreros will likely be looking ahead to Monday’s huge matchup with Gonzaga and may overlook a team that played them tough in their last meeting. Portland lost by three points in the first meeting and the average margin of victory in this series over the past two years is just 4.3. Portland got bombed by St. Mary’s and Gonzaga, but other than that the average margin of victory in their last seven conference games is just 4.4. They hang around. And the fact that 92 percent of the betting action (over 2,600 bets) is on San Diego makes them a solid fade today.
5-Unit Play. Take #806 VCU (-8.5) over Old Dominion
Note: This is our Game of the Week. The only reason that it isn't a 6-Unit Play is because there is so much action on VCU (82 percent) and that bothers me. But I love the game and love the situation and I'm not backing away just because every square and yahoo is on this one as well.
Here is my Super Square play of the day. But here’s the margin of victory of VCU’s last nine home games: 19, 23, 14, 21, 10, 2, 20, 14, and 9. That’s 8-1 in terms of topping an 8.5-point line and a 14.6 average. I know you’d think that those results wouldn’t matter because none of those games came against ODU. Well, ODU sucks. They are a young, inconsistent team. They’re coming off back-to-back emotional home wins and are now heading to face a team that’s twice as talented and extremely tough at home. I’m looking for another double-digit win out of the Rams, who want to maintain their spot atop the CAA standings. The Monarchs are 1-8 ATS at VCU and 3-13 ATS in this series overall. This might also be the worst team they've brought into this series in five years, while VCU is nothing but legit.
3-Unit Play. Take #793 Richmond (+13) over Duquesne
The Dukes are coming off a monster comeback win at Dayton and have a date with Xavier on Monday. This is kind of a sandwich game and Duquesne has shown a penchant for letdowns (see: 15-point loss to St. Bonaventure). Richmond isn’t awful. They’ve hung around with some people, they’ve beat some people, and they have some athletes. They’ve also won 10 in a row in this series and covered four of five. The Dukes are 3-8 ATS at home and the Spiders are 8-2-1 ATS on the road.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #843 Michigan State (+4.5) over Indiana
Would you be surprised if Michigan State won this game? Me neither, so this is too many points. Negative vibes abound around the IU program, as Kelvin Sampson is under investigation and Armond Bassett just quit the team. They lost at home against Wisconsin and now I think the Spartans will make it back-to-back home L’s by winning outright. Michigan State slept through the first half against Purdue, but bounced back to play solid in the second half. I think that carries over. Also, I don’t think that Drew Neitzel will have another terrible shooting night. MSU has some size to keep D.J. White from going off for 30, and if they can harass Eric Gordon with the patented Izzo defense I think MSU could win this one big.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #726 Bradley (-2.5) over Creighton
We’re going back to the well here with Bradley. The favorite is 12-5-1 ATS in this series and I look for the Braves to keep it rolling. Creighton has dropped three straight road games while the Braves have won four in a row at home. Bradley is coming off its worst shooting night in a month and I’m looking for them to hang a big number up today in front of the home crowd. This team is a sleeper in the MVC tournament and I see them stealing another solid victory today to make it nine covers in their last 11 games.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #781 Southern Illinois (-1) over Wichita State
The Salukis are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and should dominate the lowly Shockers today. Wichita State has just two wins in its last 10 games and neither was much to write home about. This number is short because SIU has been so bad on the road. However, they’ve split their last two road trips and are simply a much better team here. They’ve won three of their last five trips to Wichita and have won five of six in this series overall.
2-Unit Play. Take #717 Drake (-2.5) over Northern Iowa
Why did everyone jump off the Drake bandwagon so quickly? They’ve beaten much better teams than NIU on the road this year and are still the class of the MVC. With a few rare exceptions, the better teams have taken care of business in the MVC, with small favorites covering at a respectable clip. I just think that a team that’s 22-2 and that’s covered 7 of 10 games would get more love than this.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #823 Youngstown (+11) over Valparaiso
Valpo is in a free fall. The Crusaders have lost five straight games and haven’t covered in over a month. Yet, they’re getting an astounding 96 percent of the betting action on this game – the highest single-game total on the board. We’re going against the public on this one, and backing a scrappy Penguins team that is 7-1-2 ATS in its last 10.
ASA
7* G0y Tex A & M
Powerplaywins
Louisville -5.5
Clemson -5.5
Purdue -9
Texas +1.5
Arizona St. -4.5
Bryan Leonard Big 10 Shocker
Nwestern
Tom Freese
20 Star Blowout Vandy
Private Players Pitt / GAVAZZI
5 Utah,BYU
4 MissSt,KSST,VCU,
3 Wis,MTN,SMU
Dr Bob Early
IOWA STATE (-1) over Nebraska, 3-Stars at -1 or better, 2-Stars at -1 1/2 or -2 points.
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (+6 ½) over Western Kentucky, 2-Stars at +6 or more, 3-Stars at +7 or more.
Auburn (+13) over MISSISSIPPI, 2-Stars at +13, 3-Stars at +13 1/2 or more
Strike Point Sports Picks For College Basketball
3-Unit Play. #707 Take Kentucky -2.5 over LSU
The Wildcats now know they are fully backed up against the wall. After getting sandblasted at Vandy earlier this week, nothing less than a stellar finish to the season is going to get them into the NCAA Tournament. And if nothing else, they certainly need to save some face for the program and come out strong in this one. LSU is also just 9-14 and they have arguably been worse than Kentucky in the SEC.
3-Unit Play. #723 Take Akron -4 over Bowling Green
In the first meeting this year, the Zips put a beatdown on the Falcons by 36 points. Akron remains one of the stronger teams in the MAC, and after a bad loss last game, look for them to bounce back and get a season sweep of Bowling Green. The Zips cover in this all-Ohio affair.
2-Unit Play. #748 Take Dayton -4 over Temple
If the Flyers are ever going to get things going, it has to be here at home against a Temple team that has shown inconsistencies this year. Dayton has been tough at home at 12-2, and that's where senior leader Brian Roberts seems to take over. The Owls pretty much lucked out with two straight overtime victories in their last couple of games. Not a very good road team, we'll be the home team to get back on track.
2-Unit Play. #750 Take Iowa State -1.5 over Nebraska
Yes, somewhat mediocre this year, but the Cyclones have shown much more at home this season with an 11-4 mark. Just as much, Nebraska is not good away from Lincoln at just 1-5, and the Cornhuskers are only 2-8 ATS in their last ten games in conference play. Iowa State has covered four of the last five meetings, and they'll take care of business in this one as well.
6-Unit Play (Game of the Week). #781 Take Southern Illinois -2 over Wichita State
Last time out, the Salukis registered the best win so far in Missouri Valley play this season by beating red hot Drake. Southern Illinois remains a postseason threat with a conference tournament title still a possibility, but this is one series they have dominated. SIU is 9-1 ATS in the last ten vs. the Shockers, and it's safe to say this year Wichita State is not right, just 3-11 in league play. Southern Illinois keeps it going with the victory and the cover as a small favorite.
Tom Stryker
7* Texas A&M
3* Butler
3* K. St
3* Missouri St.
Dr. Bob
College Opinion/Possible Best Bet
INDIANA STATE (+1 ½) over Illinois State
Indiana State is 10-1 straight up at home with their only loss coming against a 15th ranked Drake team with a 22-2 record. The Sycamores have home wins over Creighton, Southern Illinois and Bradley, who are all about the same caliber as Illinois State. Indiana State also applies to a decent 46-14-2 ATS home momentum situation and the Sycamores are 5-1 ATS in conference home games. Unfortunately, my ratings favor Illinois State by 2 points, so I’ll just lean with Indiana State at pick to +1 ½ and I’ll take Indiana State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +2 points or more.
Special K...
20* Super K..Iowa State
Rocketman
3* Kentucky
3* Missouri State
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT
TEXAS +2
FLORIDA +7
EASTERN KENTUCKY vs SAMFORD OVER 110
Pure Profit
Backroom...VCU
Diamond...Niagara
Special Total...Missouri UNDER
Power Play...Youngstown State
High Roller...Eastern Washington
Money Move...New Mexico
Consensus...Kansas State
A-Play
Chip Shot...UAB
Double Play...So Florida
Vegas Hotline...Providence
Heavy Hitter...Kentucky
Major Shocker...Syracuse
Private Players Club...St John's
Ron Meyer
Chalkboard...Wisconsin
Coaches Consensus...Illinois
Locker Room....UNLV
Heavy Hitter...Kentucky
Playbook...San Diego State
Dallas Sportsmen...Mississippi State
Bob Balfe
Louisville -5 1/2
Purdue - 8 1/2
Vaderbilt -6
DOG: S. Florida +7
Sports Bank
500* Mississippi St
Lenny Stevens
10* Louisville
10* Michigan State
10* Dayton
Alatex
15* Hawaii
Gameday
4* New Mex
California Sports
Kentucky
Clemson
New Mexico
KELSO STURGEON
100 units Vanderbilt