Notifications
Clear all

Saturday Service Plays

122 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
10.9 K Views
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Jimmy Boyd

Kansas vs. Oklahoma State
Take Kansas Jayhawks

1 Unit on Kansas -10.5 Kansas returns 4 starters from a team which beat Oklahoma State by 30 points last season and I like the Jayhawks to do a number on the Cowboys again this year. The Cowboys are only 8-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons, 8-20 ATS versus very good shooting teams making >=48% of their shots after 15+ games since 1997, and 6-15 ATS versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Kansas should probably be favored by 12-14 here, but the fact that the Jays have lost 5 of their last 6 ATS has forced oddsmakers to bring the line down. Kansas is 32-16 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1997. Take the Jayhawks.

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 4:48 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Bill Young

Southern Mississippi vs. Tulane
Take Tulane Green Wave

1* on Tulane -3 Tulane will take advantage of a very porous road team in the Southern Miss Golden Eagles Saturday. Southern Miss is only 4-9 in road games this season while Tulane has put together a decent 9-4 home record. Tulane finally gets a little break today after playing Memphis and Houston at home and a very hot Marshall team on the road in their last 3 games respectively. We expect big things from Tulane in a game they know they should win. Tulane has won their last 2 home meetings with Southern Miss so confidence will not be an issue here. Tulane is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Take Tulane and lay the points.

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 4:49 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

John Martin

Kansas State vs. Baylor
Take Baylor Bears

1 Unit on Baylor -1.5 Baylor will get back on track Saturday as they return to their home floor after an extremely tough schedule recently. Baylor has lost 4 straight games, but with road contests at Oklahoma, Oky State and Kansas what more can be expected. They also lost a close one to Texas at home. Baylor is a bubble team with a 17-8 record that really needs this win to get into the tournament. Their home support tonight will get them over the top. Kansas State has lost 3 straight road games now after losing to Nebraska in their last outing. Baylor is 7-0 ATS in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. The Bears have been a great bet at home after tough runs over the last 3 years. Cash in with Baylor as the favorite.

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 4:49 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Larry Cook

Montana State vs. Weber State
Take Weber State Wildcats

3* on Weber State -5 Weber State plays a Montana State team that is just terrible on the road this season. Montana State is just 4-10 in road games while giving up 75 points per game. In contrast, Weber State owns a 10-2 home record this season while giving up just 63 points per game. Montana State lost their last road game against a very poor Idaho State team by 15 points. They are going downhill in a hurry. Weber State should have no problem overcoming this small spread at home Saturday. Weber State has won 8 of their last 10 home meetings with Montana State. Their last two home games with MSU resulted in 21 and 11-points victories. Weber State already beat Montana State on the road earlier this season. Bet Weber State in their 2nd meeting at home.

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 4:50 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Jeff Alexander

George Mason vs. Ohio U
Take Ohio U Bobcats

1 Unit on Ohio -1 We'll go with Ohio here. The Bobcats are 10-0 at home this season and 8-2 ATS in those games. George Mason is only 4-8 ATS on the road this season. The Bobcats are 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win of more than 20 points, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5, and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. The Patriots are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Bobcats will continue their domination at home. Bet Ohio.

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 4:51 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Vegas Sports Pics

Villanova Wildcats - 1.5 over Connecticut Huskies

No.13 Connecticut (21-5, 10-3) at Villanova (16-9, 6-7) has picked up the pace going 3-1 last four games including a 78-56 home win over (18-8) WVU and a 55-53 loss at No.12 Georgetown. Teams met once last season, Wildcats won at Connecticut 78-74.

Kentucky Wildcats - 2 over Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas (18-7, 7-4) at Kentucky (14-10, 8-3) is going well posting a 7-1 record last eight games which includes a 72-66 home win over now No.2 Tennessee. The Wildcats have won the last seven meetings off winning at Arkansas 82-74 last season.

Vanderbilt Commodores - 8.5 over Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia (12-12, 3-8) is 1-7 last eight games and 1-10 last 11 games versus the SEC East. No.16 Vanderbilt (22-4, 7-4) is 16-0 at home averaging 86.1 points allowing 72.6 points. The Commodores won at Georgia 67-59 on 02/06.

West Virginia Mountaineers - 10 over Providence Friars

Providence (13-13, 4-10) at West Virginia (18-8, 7-6) is 11-2 at home averaging 80.2 points allowing 58.7 points. The Mountaineers, who won at Providence 77-65 on 02/02, figure a big effort here off getting blown out at Villanova in their last game.

Tennessee Volunteers + 6 over (at) Memphis Tigers

No.1 Memphis (26-0) vs. No.2 Tennessee (24-2) is 10-2 away from home this season. The Volunteers are on pace to win their first SEC conference title in 41 years. Teams met once last season, then unranked Tennessee at home beat then No.16 Memphis 76-58.

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 4:52 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Brandon Lang

15 Dime: Tennessee
15 Dime: Oral Roberts
15 Dime: Boise State
5 Dime: Richmond
5 Dime: Bradley
5 Dime: Oklahoma State

Free Pick - VCU and Kent State

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 8:46 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Kelso

Chairmans 10 unit Mich St -15 v. Iowa

Best Bets
5 units WVU -10.5 v Prov
4 units UNLV -6 @ Wyom
3 units FlorStUniv -6.5 v Boston Coll

These are not Kelso's Bracket Busters or his 50 unit pick on Memphis/Tenn or his 25 unit bounceback parlay so you can see these picks are well down his pecking order. Bet accordingly although Kelso has been quite good with Chairmans picks at 7-1 for last 8

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 8:47 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tom Freese

Game: Georgia at Vanderbilt
Prediction: Vanderbilt

Reason: Vanderbilt is in a 91-55 ATS System that says to Play On favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points if they allowed 65 or less points in three straight games vs. an opponent that scored 55 or less points in their last game. Georgia is 7-15 ATS vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60% and they are 7-15 ATS their last 22 road games vs. teams with a winning home rcord. The Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS their last six visits to Vandy. PLAY ON VANDERBILT -

Ben Burns

Game: Cincinnati at Georgetown
Prediction: Georgetown

Reason: The Bearcats have fared well against the lower tier teams in the Big East recently, earning wins vs. Rutgers, St. John's and South Florida. That gives them three straight conference wins for the first time since they joined the Big East in 2005. That's quite an accomplishment for a team which was picked to finish 12th in the Big East after finishing 2-14 in the league last season. However, the last time that they faced a "quality" opponent (vs. Marquette on 2/2) they lost by 15 points. That was at home too. This afternoon, they'll take on an arguably better team and they'll be doing so on the road. While the loss vs. Marquette came at Cincinnati, the Bearcats are also certainly capable of getting blown out on the road. The last time they played a road game against one of the better Big East teams (at Notre Dame on 1/15) they lost by 17 points. They've also lost by double-digits at St. John's and Illinois State, while losing by a whopping 19 at UAB. While the Bearcats did manage a 1-point win (as -7 favorites) vs. South Florida last time out, it's worth noting that they're an ugly 4-14 ATS the last past three seasons when coming off a victory over a conference opponent.

The Hoyas bounced back from a loss at Syracuse with a 10-point win at Providence last time out. That snapped a streak of pointspread losses and I look for them to build off that effort with another convincing victory this afternoon. The Hoyas won both last season's meetings by double-digits, including a 15-point win here at Georgetown. Looking back further and we find that they?ve won all three meetings with Cincinnati - by an average of 14.7 points - since the Bearcats joined the Big East. The Hoyas have also won 18 straight at the Verizon Center, holding foes to a mere 56.1 points in 13 games here this season. I expect them to continue that homecourt dominance this afternoon and am laying the points.

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 8:49 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Dave Cokin

Florida International @ Troy
Play: Troy -2

Troy has been a flop all season, and they've got the ugly spread ledger to prove it. But the Trojans look like a good side here against Florida International. FIU is blank on the road for the season. Their spread record in away games isn't bad, but they're usually catching a bundle. Here they aren't, and the hosts will seriously want to atone for a disgraceful 74-49 loss to the Panthers. Neither team is any good, but this is a good situational play against an awful traveler. Troy minus the small number.

Tom Scott

New Mexico at UTAH
UTAH minus the points

For New Mexico, there's no tougher venue than the Huntsman Center in Salt Lake City. The Lobos have made 18 consecutive trips there without garnering a single victory. This won't be any easier. Utah is home playing with conference revenge, a situation in which the Utes are 25-6 SU since 1990. The Tribe is a stunning 42-6 ATS in its last 48 SU revenge wins, including 24-1 ATS when playing an opponent who is off back-to-back wins and a perfect 17-0 ATS when the foe is off a SU and ATS win. New Mexico fits right into the pattern with a dismal 7-56 ATS log in its last 63 SU losses to avenging teams and its 6-46 ATS mark in its last 52 SU conference losses when coming off a SU and ATS win (1-15 ATS when facing an avenging team). This is one of those revenge plays that you just have to make and we're making it.

PREDICTION: UTAH 75 - New Mexico 62

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 8:51 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

The Rock

12* Northern Arizona -2

Nick Parson

Memphis -6

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 8:56 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

ARMVIN SPORTS

NHL
WASHINGTON 120
FLORIDA at PHILADELPHIA Over 5.5
DETROIT at VANCOUVER Over 5.5

CBB
CONNECTICUT 1.5
MARSHALL -1.5
APPALACHIAN STATE -5.5
JAMES MADISON -6
DREXEL -4
VALPARAISO 0
INDIANA STATE 3
WESTERN MICHIGAN -1.5
CS FULLERTON -7

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 8:56 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Josh Dean

15* Miami
10* Washington -4.5
5* Texas -9

Free B: Denver -3.5

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 8:57 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Carlo Campanella

Denver (32-20) owns a gaudy 21-6 home record, but drops a few notches when playing on the road, as theyre 11-14 record indicates. This Sunday theyll play the second of back-to-back road games, heading to Milwaukee after playing the night before in Chicago. Thats spelled trouble for the Nuggets, as theyre just 1-4 ATS this season when playing in the second of back-to-back road battles. Ill take the home court advantage with the Bucks, who seek revenge from a 125-105 loss in Denver earlier this year.

7* Play On Milwaukee

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 9:09 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

Play on: Texas over Oklahoma

The Sooners have real match-up problems with the ?Horns and the game is being played in Austin. With Texas holding opponents to under 63 points per game on defense last five times out, gotta believe OU might be in the wrong building Saturday afternoon. Lay the wood.

 
Posted : February 23, 2008 9:09 am
Page 2 / 9
Share: