Frank Rosenthal
NBA Hoops
701 Clippers Over 194 Sb+
708 Nets+4 Sb
713 Kings+9 Sb
Over 228 Sb
716 Warriors-15.5 Sb
College Hoops
756 Ky-3 Sb
7199 Arkansas Over 147 Sb
723 Virginia Tech+11 Sb
Under 149 Sb+
725 Clemson+4.5 Sb
Under 154 Sb+
727 Michigan St+3.5 Sb
732 Texas-4.5 Sb
734 Kansas-10 Sb
738 Ucla-3 Sb
Over 123 Sb
742 Unlv+1 Sb
744 Georgetown-4 Sb
Under 125 Sb
The Hammer Guaranteed Selections
PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB SEC TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR
Kentucky -3.5
INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns
Play: Sacramento Kings +9.5 (POD)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: Sacramento Kings +9.5 (POD)
People fail to realize that if you take the Kings in the right spot, they can have a great deal of bite. I nearly took them yesterday against the Blazers but laid off. The Kings remember are one of the few teams to go the Staples Center and win outright, in fact, they did it as nearly double-digit dogs which shocked a great deal of people. This team then came back home and beat Portland despite Portland having revenge in that ballgame and they beat they look to avoid getting swept by the Suns after losing 102-117 at home and 127-111 on the road. This team looked to avoid the similar situation against the Lakers and won outright and they have double-revenge from this year. I'm not saying the Kings win this game outright, although they do have a shot at that as in fact, they have a better shot at beating the Suns outright than they did when they faced the Lakers and beat them outright, but the Suns are not necessarily dominating anyone unless of course it is the Grizzlies. The Suns lost to the Jazz outright at home, they beat the Spurs by single-digits and they beat the Warriors by single digits. I'll take the Kings on revenge looking to avoid getting swept in the 07-08' season, they are healthy and are 4-0-1 ATS when facing teams with a 60% winning percentage at home or better - meaning that they show up against the better teams in the league.
INDIAN COWBOY: Minnesota Timberwolve vs Portland Trailblazers
Play: Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 ^^^ The Twolves are in a decent spot today and it seems 9 point dogs or higher have been hitting with success, so why not stop now. This is probably the weaker of the plays of the card that I have today, but it is still a strong play for a couple reasons. For one, I mentioned yesterday that the Twolves are likely to win outright at the Sonics due to revenge from an overtime loss at home and that is exactly what they did. The Twolves have actually won their last 3 of 4 ballgames - and those were all road wins at that - winning at Seattle, at the L.A. Clippers and at Sacrament - the same team that beat the Lakers outright on the road. The Twolves in short, have won 3 straight games outright on the road and are again catching near double-digits against the Blazers. The Blazers are a sound team and they come off a frustrating loss at Sacramento losing by 11 so they will look to rebound and likely win at home. Remember that these 2 teams just recently played in Minny back on March 11th and with over 70% of the public backing, Portland ended up winning and covering on the road 103-96. However, it took a 26-17 4th quarter for Portland to accomplish this as they were fortunate to beat the Twolves who are now looking for revenge and remember that game which was less than a week ago. Yes, Portland does come off a loss, but I like Minny here given that they have revenge, come off 3 outright road wins and they have a shot at winning this game outright - I'll take the points. The Blazers are 0-7 ATS against teams with a losing road record at home - meaning when they play the weaker teams in the league at home, they fail to blow them out and consequently cover.
Texas A&M +10.5
Tex A&M as you know lost by 17 to this team on Senior day at Texas A&M the one and only time they faced them. Kansas in my mind did not play their best basketball against Nebraska, or maybe they simply did as this team does not start off the game hot off that bat and they didn't do that in last year's conference game either. You saw how Nebraska was able to hang in there most of the game and that was Nebraska, who were drilled by 20+ by this team and embarrassed by Kansas. People show up in the conference tournament and neither of these teams have home court advantage given that it is in Missouri. This is likely to be a low paced ballgame as well which favors the points and Texas A&M will drag this game out forever. Don't forget, this is about possession basketball and if Nebraska can hang in versus Kansas, don't believe for one second that Texas A&M will not have a shot at winning this game outright as they should play the Jayhawks tight all game today if not have the possibility of winning outright. This fits in right with my philosophy of betting dogs that can win outright and I'll gladly take the Aggies at +10.5, the Twolves at +9.5 and the Kings at +9.5.
Nick Parson's
SEC GOY Tenn-5'
Philly-Connection Premium Plays.
3* Temple+3.5
3* Wisc/Mich St. under 117
3* Sacramento+9
BOB Akmens GOM
20* Under Dallas Stars
ER Sports
20* Playmaker: Michigan State +3.5
King Creole
4* Kentucky
Sports Investors
Wisc
Minn
Fullerton
IND/ORL OVER
DR BOB
2 Star Selection
Kentucky (-3 ½) over Georgia
15-Mar-08 09:00 AM Pacific Time
Georgia managed to upset Mississippi yesterday but that overtime win could make it tough for the Bulldogs to have the energy to beat a Kentucky team that has caught fire in conference play after struggling to adapt to new coach Billy Gillespie early in the season. The Wildcats started the season 7-9 straight up but they’ve won 11 of 13 games since then and my ratings using conference games only favor the Wildcats by 6 points in this game (by 4 ½ using all games). Kentucky beat Georgia twice in the regular season, by 5 points and by 6 points, and they should get the sweep today given that the Bulldogs apply to a negative 39-77-3 ATS situation that is based on their first round upset win. The best part of that situation doesn’t apply but there is enough line value on the side of the Wildcats to make them a play. I’ll take Kentucky in a 2- Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.2-Stars at -4 or less.
2 Star Selection
Duke (-4) over Clemson
15-Mar-08 01:00 PM Pacific Time
Clemson applies to a negative 13-49 ATS subset of a 50-102-2 ATS conference tournament situation today and my ratings favor Duke by 5 points. I’ll take Duke in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less.2-Stars at -5 or less.
3 Star Selection
Temple (+3) over St. Josephs
15-Mar-08 03:00 PM Pacific Time
Both of these teams are playing well, but Temple applies to a 136-51- 4 ATS conference tournament momentum situation and the Owls are now 15-4-1 ATS this season when not favored by 5 points or more while also being 14-3-1 ATS in conference games. Each team won a 1 point decision in the regular season and my ratings favor St. Joe’s by 2 ½ points, but using conference games only would result in a fair line of St. Joe’s by only 1 points and Temple finished well ahead of the Hawks in conference play. I’ll take Temple in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 or more and for 2-Stars from +2 ½ to +1.3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars down to +1.
2 Star Selection
Kent State (-1 ½) over Akron
15-Mar-08 04:00 PM Pacific Time
These teams are about even over all games this season, but Kent plays their best against better teams. Akron is 5-3 against the other 4 top teams in the MAC (Miami-Oh, Ohio, W. Mich, and Kent) but Kent State is 7-1 against the top teams in the conference, including a sweep of Akron. My ratings only favor Kent by ½ a point in this game using all games for the season, but using games against quality teams would result in a line of Kent by 5 ½ points. I think the fair line on this game is Kent by 2 points and Kent State applies to a 136-51-4 ATS conference tournament situation. I’ll take Kent State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or-1 ½ and for 3-Stars at -1 or better.2-Stars at -2 or less, 3-Stars at -1 or better.
3 Star Selection
Fullerton State (-5) over UC Irvine
15-Mar-08 08:00 PM Pacific Time
Fullerton State beat UC Irvine by 10 points at home and then by 8 points in Irvine last week. I expect the Titans to make it 3 for 3 tonight, as they apply to a very good 136-51-4 ATS conference tournament momentum situation while Irvine applies to a negative 45- 113-4 ATS letdown situation following their 3 straight wins and covers. My ratings favor Fullerton by 5 ½ points and I’ll take Fullerton State in a 3-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less and for 2- Stars at -5 ½ or -6 points.3-Stars at -5 or less, 2-Stars at -5 1/2 or -6 points.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): UTAH JAZZ vs NEW JERSEY NETS
Play: UTAH JAZZ -3 (NBA)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: UTAH JAZZ -3 (NBA) We are giving you a full variety of styles today. We are going toi go with a trend angle on this play as Utah is 24-12 ATS off a road win while New Jersey struggles at 1-11 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog. With such a small line we also have a SU advantage here with the Jazz.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): CLEVELAND vs COLUMBUS
Play: CLEVELAND -2.5 ( ARENA FOOTBALL)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: CLEVELAND -2.5 ( ARENA FOOTBALL). Simple tactic here. Sharps move lines extremely early or extremely late while the public moves lines on game day. This game started with Columbus as a fave and swiftly moved Cleveland into that position. Most of the times we are basing moves on performanced based stats and trends, but sometimes you just let the lines answer your questions and no doubt some big money pushed this game into the opposite direction. We'll ride that as we have a more than capable team to get the job done. Lets take Cleveland -2.5
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): LOS ANGELES vs GEORGIA
Play: LOS ANGELES vs GEORGIA UNDER 104.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: LOS ANGELES vs GEORGIA UNDER 104.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL) 4 of 5 of these head to head match ups have gone under. Both these teams appear solid on defense and with Georgia losing their offensive co-ordinator to Grand Rapids, their high powered offensive mindset has done a 180 degree turn. The risk here is LA has shown they are the most balanced team next to Philly in the AFL. They could potentially pour it on but they did play on Monday night giving them a short week to prepare and they are on the road. We are going to apply NFL principles here. We don't have enough confidence in the Dog to take advantage of this situation due to what they have shown so far, so we'll opt to grab the UNDER as we'll see two teams with more emphasis on the defense and take advantage of a LA team that is on the road for a 2nd consecutive week and battling a short rest from a prior Monday Night game
Chan
Stanford/UCLA OVER 123.5
Robert Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take #717 Tulsa (+16.5) over Memphis
5-Unit Play. Take #728 Wisconsin (-3) over Michigan State
Note: This is our Conference Tournament Game of the Year.
Wisconsin is playing as well as anyone in the country, covering six straight games and seven of eight overall. They have won three straight against the Spartans – the last two by double-digits – and I think they matchup very well with Sparty all over the court. Michigan State is a good team. There’s not doubt. And I wouldn’t be stunned if they won this one outright. But they are also the flakiest, most inconsistent team in the conference. Clubs like that can’t be trusted. If things get tough for Michigan State tonight there is a chance they will quit and get worn out. Wisconsin plays hard. They play smart. They shoot the ball better. And they are a much more cohesive unit. I think they are going got win the Big 10 Tournament and I think they deserve it. So if I believe they will win today I think they cover the short number.
3-Unit Play. Take #735 St. Joseph’s (-2.5) over Temple
3-Unit Play. Take #745 Boise State (+7) over New Mexico State
2.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #725 Clemson (+10) over Duke AND Take #742 Texas (-0.5) over Oklahoma
2.5-Unit Play. Take #733 Texas A&M (+10.5) over Kansas
2.5-Unit Play. Take #723 Virginia Tech (+11) over North Carolina
2.5-Unit Play. Take #744 Georgetown (-5) over Pittsburgh
Drew Gordon Tonight's Games
1. 50,000* Kent State
2. 50,000* Magic
Today's Top Play
1. 200,000* Michigan State
1. Michigan State- Tournament time is all about momentum, and the fact of the matter is, as the Spartans Drew Neitzel goes, so goes his team. Neitzel's 28-point effort against the Buckeyes yesterday changes everything, because if he gets hot, this Michigan State team all of a sudden becomes a hell of a lot more dangerous. Coach Izzo has always been good at getting his teams to gel come tournament time, and when you couple that with a suddenly resurgent Neitzel, the Spartans are in business this afternoon.
While there's no question the Badgers defense has been excellent of late, make no mistake, this Spartans team has a score to settle. Once again Michigan State finds itself matched up against this Wisconsin team in the Big Ten Semifinal... Except this time around, there's no Tucker or Taylor to bail the Badgers out. Wisconsin's offense is average at best, leaving them vulnerable in games just like this one, against a highly-motivated opponent with a superior offense and a solid defense.
Speaking of offense, Michigan State with an average Drew Neitzel was still better than the Badgers offense this season, however if he can continue to stay hot, I can easily see the Spartans winning this game outright. Consider this: Both Raymar Morgan and Kalin Lucas played terrible yesterday (combined 16 points on 7 of 27 shooting), yet the Spartans still won and covered against a highly motivated Buckeyes team. You have to believe at least Morgan will play better today, as he's not the type to struggle in consecutive games. Look for Neitzel to open up the Badgers defense with a couple long balls, clearing the way for Morgan to goto work down low in this one.
Bottom line, when you factor in the sudden resurgence of Drew Neitzel, the revenge factor, and the Spartans edge on offense, there's no question the play here is on Michigan State. Everyone has fallen in love with the Badgers defense, but that's only one facet of the game necessary to win. Spartans grab the cash in this highly-anticipated Big Ten Semifinal rematch.
Take Michigan State plus the points over Wisconsin as your top-rated play of the day.
WAYNE ROOT
Chairman - Arkansas
Millionaire - Duke
Money Maker - NJ Nets
No Limit - Oklahoma
Insiders Circle - UNLV
Billionaire - Stanford
Spreitzer
overall conf tourney goy............wisc
gom........................gtown
ko........................kansas
ko.....................akron
tko.........................texas
5 star west conf shocker gow.............kings
Cokin
fat man plays.....tenn, okla,columbus(arena)
champ club.................minny
window....................stanford
under the hat.................okla
3 star..................boise
3 star....................cs full
under the hat...............nets
3*..................sixers
Feist
personal best......................temple
steam...............................hartford
steam.................standford
steam.....................temple(released this game twice)
platinum.........................kansas
inner circle....................arkansas
5*.......................oklahma
4*.........................virg tech
nba gom.................nets
total.....................jazz under 04
inner circle..................sixers under
5*...........................portland
Fairway Jay
Big Drive: UNLV Over 126.5
New Jersey +4.5
Delaney
10* Kentucky
10* Duke
10* Wisconsin
Tom Freese NBA Burial
PHX Suns