Karl Garrett
NY Yankees at CLEVELAND
The G-Man came through with the UNDER in the Yankees-Indians last night night to make it a 9-2 comp play run the last 11 days.
I say, if it ain't broke, no sense in trying to fix it...Take the UNDER once again in the New York-Cleveland game again tonight.
The Yankees are now 5-1-1 UNDER the total their last 7 times on the diamond, while the Indians are 3-1 UNDER the posted price their last 4 games.
Expect a pitcher's duel again tonight, as you know CC Sabathia will be extra juiced to go against his former club, and the southpaw does sport a 2.92 road ERA this season, with 4 of his 5 road starts staying UNDER the total.
Fausto Carmona may not be up to snuff this year, but you can expect Carmona to also be extra jacked to face his former teammate, and he has turned in some soild starts against New York in the past.
Finally, with last night's UNDER, 6 of the last 8 games played between the teams at Cleveland have stayed LOW.
Stick with the LOW.
3♦ UNDER
DAVE COKIN
BOSTON RED SOX / TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Take BOSTON RED SOX
Today's Red Sox-Blue Jays game has a god chance of being decided by the bullpens. Tim McClelland's generally tight strike zone could mean high pitch counts for starters Brad Penny and Brian Tallet, so I'm expecting three innings plus minimum for the bullpens on each side here. That's where Boston rates a clear cut edge in my opinion, and with the Red Sox posted as dogs, I think they're the way to play this one.
JIM FEIST
CINCINNATI REDS / MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Take CINCINNATI REDS
Cincy is one of the top road teams in baseball. They've also had a good week, winning 4 in a row while sweeping Houston. Bronson Arroyo pitched a five-hitter to help the Cincinnati Reds beat the Houston Astros 6-1 for a three-game sweep. Starter Aaron Harang is an ace and a workhorse, with a 3.36 ERA and a 56-15 strikeout to walk ratio. Milwaukee starter Dave Bush has never liked facing the Reds, with a losing mark against them and a 6.54 ERA in 53 innings. Play the Reds.
DUNKEL
Cleveland at Orlando
The Cavs come off their victory in Game Five (112-102) and look to build on their 10-1-1 ATS record in their last 12 games following an ATS win. Cleveland is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+2).
Game 523-524: Cleveland at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 128.436; Orlando 128.852
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+2); Under
MLB
St. Louis at San Francisco
The Cardinals look to bounce back from yesterday's loss and build on their 9-0 record in Chris Carpenter's last 9 starts as a road favorite between -150 and -200. St. Louis is the pick (-155) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155).
Game 901-902: Florida at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 16.505; NY Mets (Redding) 15.013
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-115); Over
Game 903-904: Atlanta at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Vazquez) 13.575; Arizona (Davis) 14.942
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over
Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Stults) 15.114; Cubs (Dempster) 16.009
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-130); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-130); N/A
Game 907-908: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Martis) 14.675; Philadelphia (Hamels) 13.996
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-240); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+220); Under
Game 909-910: Houston at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 13.611; Pittsburgh (Karstens) 13.836
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Over
Game 911-912: Cincinnati at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Harang) 14.595; Milwaukee (Bush) 15.757
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-125); Under
Game 913-914: San Diego at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Geer) 16.156; Colorado (Hammel) 15.041
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 11
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Over
Game 915-916: St. Louis at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.696; San Francisco (Zito) 15.191
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155); Over
Game 917-918: Boston at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Penny) 14.791; Toronto (Tallet) 14.834
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Over
Game 919-920: Minnesota at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 14.950; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.208
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130); Under
Game 921-922: Detroit at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.659; Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.743
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Over
Game 923-924: NY Yankees at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.459; Cleveland (Carmona) 17.125
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+160); Under
Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 14.697; Kansas City (Meche) 14.563
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+105); Under
Game 927-928: Oakland at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Anderson) 15.384; Texas (McCarthy) 15.200
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+150); Under
Game 929-930: Seattle at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 16.607; LA Angels (Palmer) 14.952
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100); Over
NHL
Pittsburgh at Detroit
The Penguins open the series looking to build on their 9-3 record in their last 12 games as an underdog between +110 and +150. Pittsburgh is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140).
Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 14.299; Detroit 14.013
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Over
MTi Sports
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers
In his last start, David Bush went six and two-thirds and allowed only five hits as a 125 dog in Minnesota. The Brewers are a big money-maker in this spot, going 11-0 as a home favorite with Bush when his is off a road start in which he went six-plus innings and allowed six or fewer hits, as long as he wasnt a 150+ favorite in that road game. Milwaukees average margin of victory in the eleven games has been 4.7 runs and nine of the eleven wins were by multiple runs.
Yesterday, the Brewers played a fine game. They allowed only five hits, Looper went seven ininings and allowed two walks. Milwaukee is not soft after these types of wins. The Brewers are 22-1 as a home favorite after a win in which they allowed six or fewer hits and their starter went more than five innings, walked fewer than five batters and it is not the first game of a series.
The Reds, on the other hand, are 0-9 with Harang on the road when they won his last start, losing by an average of 3.3 rpg. In his two starts in this spot this season, the Reds lost 7-0 and 5-3, with Harang allowing five earned runs in each start.
Finally, the Reds are 0-5 THIS season when they won the last two games their starter started, as long as they are not a 130+ favorite.
This price is very cheap
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Tampa Bay Rays -126
The Twins are just 5-15 on the road this season and they send the struggling Liriano to the hill this afternoon. The Twins are only 3-7 in his starts in 2009, and 0-3 in his last 3, in which he has posted an ERA of 8.36. I expect a much better start from the Rays David Price this time out as he has now got the first start jitters out of his system. The Twins are 6-20 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 0-5 in Liriano's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 29-8 in home day games over the last 2 seasons. Take Tampa.
Gina
Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic
Go with the Magic at home. I believe this game can go either way, but Orlando at home has the advantage. The Cavaliers haven't won Amway Arena all season and are 0-5 ATS in the last five in Orlando. Cleveland is just 2-14 ATS versus Orlando in the last 16 meetings.
Orlando Magic -2
Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles
Go with the Tigers with Verlander on the hill. The right-hander is 5-0 with a 0.85 ERA over his last six starts and is 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in four starts against the Orioles. Detrot has won six of Verlander’s last 7 starts, while Baltimore has dropped six of right-hander Jeremy Guthrie last 8.
Detroit Tigers -145
Mr A
Orlando Magic -2
Boston Red Sox +105
St. Louis Cardinals -150
MLB Computer Picks
New York Mets -105
Philadelphia Phillies -240
New York Yankees -170
Johnny Guild
Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic
The hungry Magic will try to end LeBron James and squad season tonight. Expect another hard fought physical battle. “Where’s the money” Orlando is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 clashes versus Cleveland, 9-1 ATS in its last 10 and has won and covered the spread in their last 5 games against the Cavaliers at Amway Arena.
Orlando Magic -2
Drew Gordon
Detroit -130 at BALTIMORE
3 straight Freebies with the Reds Wednesday, the Orioles Thursday, and the White Sox last night! We keep it rolling on the Diamond with another FREE winner Saturday...
Quickest way to end a winning streak? Well, I can think of a couple ways, but facing a red-hot Justin Verlander will do just fine! The Orioles have been playing rock-solid baseball of late, winners of 5 straight, led by Luke Scott and their surging offense. O's have thumped the Tigers in two straight, but the bleeding stops tonight, as one of the Majors hottest pitchers takes the mound in this one.
He may have started the season a bit slow, but is there any doubt how good Verlander is pitching right now? The Tigers righty is 5-0 with a mind-boggling 0.85 ERA over his last 6 starts, including tossing 7 scoreless at the Royals in his last one! He's clearly shaken off the road woes that plagued him to begin the year, so you can throw out his 5.17 ERA away, as his last 3 road starts have all been impressive (allowed 2 runs over his last 22 1/3 innings away)! Also, his numbers against the O's are excellent, going 3-0 with a miniscule 1.29 ERA in 4 career starts!
He'll be opposed by Baltimore's Jeremy Guthrie, who's also coming off an great effort, allowing 1 run over 7 innings against the Blue Jays. HOWEVER, unlike Verlander, Guthrie has been anything but consistent, going 1-4 with a 6.26 ERA in his last 7 starts. And worse yet, he's held only 2 of his 10 opponents this year to 3 runs or less. In other words, counting on Guthrie to repeat his effort we saw against the Jays in this one, is a stretch at best. He's also 1-0 with a very average 4.85 ERA in 4 career games (1 start) against the Tigers.
Finally, look for the Tigers to come out swinging here, as they've been beaten pretty badly over their last 2 games, and will be targetting the bounce back behind their red-hot ace tonight. Detroit averages a hearty 5.2 runs per game against righties this season, and Baltimore will be hard-pressed to get anything near that against Verlander tonight. In the end, the bleeding stops for Detroit, as they ride their surging righty to victory Saturday night.
Take Detroit behind Verlander over Baltimore and Guthrie in this MLB match up.
3♦ DETROIT
Chris Jordan
St. Louis -150 at SAN FRANCISCO
Last night my premium selection was on the San Francisco Giants. Today we bring it down a notch - to a complimentary selection - and nail the visiting Cardinals with Chris Carpenter toeing the slab. We'll list both pitchers, siding against Barry Zito, and aim for a huge win here.
You can't tell Carpenter has missed most of the last two seasons, that's for sure. He's 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA. And in 23 innings that span four starts, Carpenter has given up a mere one unearned run while he is limiting hitters to a .127 batting average. That's not all, as the right-hander has recorded 23 strikeouts versus just four walks.
He comes in after dominating the Brewers, retiring the first 18 batters he faced and allowed two hits while fanning 10 and walking nobody over eight innings of a 1-0, 10-inning loss for the Redbirds.
The veteran hurler is 2-0 with a 3.03 ERA in four career starts versus San Francisco, albeit he hasn't faced this team since late in the 2006 season.
And while I told you the return of Ryan Ludwick was irrelevant last night, I think the St. Louis bats come together tonight against Zito, who is a dismal 1-5 this season, and continues to be a bust since arriving from Oakland. Making matters worse, he's 0-2 in three games against St. Louis. Last season, which was his most recent start against it, he allowed four runs - three unearned - and seven hits of an 8-2 setback.
All things point to a solid winner with the Cardinals and Carpenter!
1♦ CARDINALS
JrTips
SEATTLE MARINERS vs. LA ANGELS
The Seattle Mariners and starting pitcher Felix Hernandez have struggled after beginning the season strong. Hernandez (5-3, 3.76 ERA) went 4-0 with a 2.38 ERA over his first five starts and then Seattle lost its next four games started by Hernandez, who was 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in that stretch. He finally snapped out of his slump with a 5-4 victory over San Francisco giving up four runs, one earned while striking out a season-high 10 in eight innings. Hernandez and the Mariners are showing signs of improvement now winning consecutive games for the first time since recording three straight victories from April 23-25.Seattle scored three runs in the third inning and never trailed in a 5-2 win over Los Angeles (24-23) in the series opener last night.The Angels have already hit Hernandez hard in a 6-5 win May 19th. Hernandez gave up six runs and 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings, falling to 3-5 with a 5.13 ERA in 13 career starts against the Angels. Angels designated hitter Vladimir Guerrero is 13 for 34 (.382) with two homers and seven strikeouts lifetime against Hernandez. Matt Palmer (5-0, 4.82) will take the mound for the Angels, who hope to remain undefeated in games started by the rookie right-hander. Palmer won his first five starts and pitched one inning of relief in the Angels' 4-2 loss to the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday.Palmer took advantage of the Angels' success against Hernandez to win his first start against them last week. He gave up five runs and seven hits in five innings. The Angeles have had a history of success against Hernandez which should continue tonight and get them back in the win column after losing to Seattle last night.
TAKE LA ANGELES-110
Big Al McMordie
Seattle Mariners vs. LAA Angels
Play: LAA Angels
At 9:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Los Angeles Angels over the Seattle Mariners. Which version of "King" Felix Hernandez will show up tonight for the Mariners? Will it be the one who shut down the Giants in his last start over eight innings, which incidentally seems like the same Felix who two starts before that shut down the Rangers in Arlington over seven innings? Or will it be the one who got blasted in the Metrodome on May 9th, which seems to be the same Felix who this same Angels team teed off against at Safeco Field on May 19? In that start, the Angels took advantage of Hernandez not just at the plate, but also on the basepaths, stealing five bases against him. The Los Angeles starter in that game is also the starter for them tonight, righthander Matt Palmer, and Palmer has been getting some of the best run support in the league as evidenced by his 5-0 record to go along with his 4.82 ERA. Palmer got those five wins in his first five starts of the season and although he didn't win his last start against the Dodgers, he didn't lose it either. Palmer and the rest of this Angels team should get a boost from the return of their All-Star outfielder Vladimir Guerrero, just back from an injury that had kept him out since the middle of April. He's come out of the gate slowly so far, but expect Guerrero to contribute some serious offense soon. Hernandez always seems to struggle against the Angels. In 2007, despite going 14-7 with an ERA of 3.92, Felix was 0-2 with a 7.30 ERA in four starts against them and last season he was only slightly better, recording only one win in four starts against them while logging a 5.06 ERA. Take the Angels.
John Ryan
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: Cleveland Indians
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Cleveland Indians as they face the NY Yankees slated to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 46-26 making 36.5 units since 2003. Play against road favorites with a money line of -125 or more with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game and with a hot starting pitcher sporting a WHIP =1.5 HR's/game versus a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start and who is working on 5 or 6 days rest. NYY are 6-16 (-13.8 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is a very patient team ranking 5th in the Majors in walks with 200. Moreover, they have been intentionally walked just 6 times ranking 24th, which shows that the Indians are earning these bases on balls. Take the Indians and enjoy the upset.
Tony Weston
Minnesota at TAMPA BAY -130
Going to back the Tampa Bay Rays at home against the visiting Minnesota Twins.
In Game 1 of this series yesterday, the Rays got over with a solid 5-3 victory and have won 5 of their last 7 games at home against the Twins.
Also, over their last 8 home games the Rays have cashed in 6 times, while the Twins have lost two straight games and 9 of their last 15 overall. On the road, Minnesota is only 1-10 its last 11 and 5-15 so far this season.
Today the Twins' road woes will continue as the Rays get over at home again against Minnesota. Take Tampa at home in this one.
3♦ TAMPA BAY