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SATURDAY'S FREEBIE HOOPS PLAYS!!

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(@ppsman)
Posts: 14
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A couple late plays.  Let's roll tonight.....

(NBA)

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (-2.5)
Kevin Love is questionable but like the match-up here with LeBron and company on their home court, seemingly back to playing on all cylinders.  The Spurs are 2-0 ML and ATS in their only 2 games this season in which they have been listed as the underdog, but they will be missing both Gasol and Parker for tonight's match-up.  Cleveland has won 2-of-the-L3 meetings against these 2 teams and have also won the only match-up against the Spurs in Cleveland since LeBron has come back to town.  Take the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS at home.....

DENVER NUGGETS (-5)
The Clippers will be without Paul and Griffin again here tonight and that is usually a major detriment to their lineup.  Take the DENVER NUGGETS at home....

PHILADELPHIA 76'ERS (+10)
Although Joel Embiid is out here tonight, still like a hot Sixers teams to hang within this double-digit spread.  Go with the PHILADELPHIA 76'ERS on the road tonight.....

(NCAA BB)

MIAMI HURRICANES (+9)
Duke and Grayson Allen are going through some things right before our very eyes.  They might right the ship tonight without Coach K on the sidelines tonight, but we'll take our chances with a Miami squad that has played pretty well when at Duke in recent years.  The Hurricanes have produced an impressive 7-0-1 ATS mark in their L8 games played on the Duke campus and have taken two straight wins overall in the series, while also getting the edge with a 4-2 ML mark in the L6 affairs.  Miami won the last meeting held at Duke two years ago, 90-74, and Miami is actually 2-1 ML in the L3 played there.  And when playing at Duke, these two teams play games that come down to the wire, as they have had 4-of-the-L6 meetings there since the 2008-09 school year decided by 4 points or less.  The Hurricanes are also 7-2-1 ATS in the L10 games versus Duke overall. although they have been in an overall funk against the spread as of late.  Miami has lost 3-of-their-L4 overall straight up and ATS, while also posting a lackluster 2-7-1 ATS record in their L10 overall.  Catching Duke right now might be exactly what this team needs as Duke comes in off 2 straight losses outright, as well as 3 straight losses ATS.  The Blue Devils are currently mired in a 1-6 ATS skid and despite having won 9 straight on their home court, Duke is a mere 3-4 ATS in their L7 there in that span.  Jefferson was missing from the last two games and is doubtful for tonight, so that in itself should leave the Blue Devils without a key star once again.  Miami has owned Saturday action since all the way back to 1997, posting a 52-28 ATS record on the day in that span.  Go with the MIAMI HURRICANES in tonight's meeting.....

UTAH UTES (-2.5)
The Utes have been bet down from -4.5 here, but still this team has been playing like an upper-tier program as of late, while Washington has struggled to get anything going this season.  Utah is rolling right now for the money, hitting for a 5-0-1 ATS (4-2 ML) record in their L6 games overall and they have posted a 6-2 ML mark in their L8 overall to go with a 6-1-1 ATS record in the extended stretch.  It should also be noted that their 2 losses in that stretch came at Arizona and in a 1-point loss against UCLA.  The Utes have won and covered in two straight away from home, while also posting a 3-2 ML and 5-0 ATS record when playing on the road this season.  That includes a perfect 3-0 ATS mark when playing as the road favorite like we have here today and Utah has also managed to put together a perfect 5-0 ATS mark this season when playing as a favorite of anything less than -10 points.  Dating back to last season, sees the Utes have now covered in 7 straight on the road, while also notching their record up to 10-2 ATS in their L10 on the road.  The Huskies did pick up an OT win over Colorado in their last outing, but that was the lone bright spot in recent weeks, as that win only improved their record to 2-4 ML in their L6 games overall, while also hosting a 2-3-1 ATS mark in that stretch.  When getting a small amount of points like they are today has not been conducive to earning money with Washington this season, as they are now 0-3 ATS when playing as an underdog of less than -7 points and 1-5 ATS as an underdog on the season overall.  The last 4 instances, dating back to last season, in which Washington has been an underdog in a Pac 12 game at home, has seen the Huskies lose, as they are 0-4 ML and ATS in our L4 overall.  Utah has won 2 straight meetings against the Huskies and are 5-1 ML in the L6 meetings, while also holding a 7-3 ATS advantage in the L10 meetings.  The Utes are 13-5 ATS in their L18 games following a win off a conference rival in their previous game.  Washington is 3-8-1 ATS in their L12 overall.  Take the UTAH UTES in today's meeting.....

MURRAY STATE RACERS (-4.5)
Murray State has been a favorite team of ours to bet on over the years and although we haven't gone to their well all that much this season, this should present a good spot for us to pick up a nice cover.  The Racers are rolling once again, having won 3 straight overall and posting a 6-1 ML and 4-2-1 ATS mark over their L7 contests.  This will be their 5th road game out of their L6 games overall and they have won 3-of-their-L4 on the road prior, holding a 3-1 ML and ATS mark in those previous 4 games.  The start of that 4 game road trip was where things began to turn around for the Racers and we tend to think they will play more like the team of late, other than the team that started out the season 0-6 ML and 2-4 ATS in their first 6 games on the road.  Austin Peay lost at home against Morehead State last time out, but had won 2 straight and covered in 3 straight on the road immediately prior to that.  The Governors have dropped 6 consecutive games on their home court, although they have managed a 3-1 ATS record in those games, playing as the underdog in all 4 that had listed spreads.  Those were mostly inflated spreads though, as they have lost each of their L4 home games by an average of over 8 PPG and have lost by at least 5 points in each one.  Murray State has been the heavy sided victor in this match-up in recent years, as they have posted a 10-1 ML record in the L11 meetings between the two schools, while also holding a 7-4 ATS record in those games.  But it has been on the campus of Austin Peay is where they have been their most dominant, as they have picked up the outright at an 8-0 ML clip in the L8 meetings on the road, going 6-2 ATS in that stretch, with only one win coming by less than 7 points.  Austin Peay has struggled on their home court themselves over the last couple of seasons, posting a disappointing 8-21 ATS mark for their backers on their home court.  If you need any more convincing, Murray State currently sits at 24-10 ATS in their L34 games when playing as a road favorite of -3.5 to -6 points.  Roll with the MURRAY STATE RACERS in today's meeting......

Best of luck to all tonight!!  Let's get that money!!

 
Posted : January 21, 2017 7:03 pm
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