Seattle versus everyone else in WNBA
By: Steve Makinen
Perhaps you may have noticed in checking the standings in the WNBA on any given recent morning, but if not, I’ll summarize for you…It’s Seattle versus everyone else, and the chances of anyone keeping the Storm from the 2010 title seem to diminish each passing day. With a record of 18-2 after 20 games, they are five games better than any other team, and already lead the Division by 10 games. For bettors, most importantly, Seattle is tied for the best ATS mark in the league at 12-6-2. As an elite team, there are several strong betting systems that you’ll want to watch for with Seattle the rest of the way.
With a point differential of +9.6 per game (league best) and obviously having won many recent games, there are going to be numerous top angles from FoxSheets that would favor backing Seattle or an UNDER the total over the next several weeks. Records noted are as of Tuesday, July 20th.
# Play On - Any team - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after a win by 10 points or more. (32-9 since 1997.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
# Play On - Road favorites - after 5 or more consecutive wins, in July games. (24-5 since 1997.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 3*)
# Play On - Road teams - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, playing with 2 days rest. (32-10 since 1997.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 2*)
These are favoring UNDER the Total…
# Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, playing with 2 days rest. (35-11 since 1997.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)
# Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game. (58-19 since 1997.) (75.3%, +37.1 units. Rating = 4*)
One other angle to take note of regarding the Storm is that they have thrived against poor defensive teams this season:
# SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 73+ points/game this season. The average score was SEATTLE 85.7, OPPONENT 73.3 - (Rating = 3*)
With scoring up significantly in the WNBA this season, only two teams (Indiana & Washington) are allowing fewer than 73 PPG, so Seattle figures to be in this spot for most of the remaining games.
The best news of all for bettors of the WNBA is that oddsmakers don’t seem to be giving this Seattle team enough credit yet either. In fact, the Storm has only been a double-digit favorite one time all season despite winning half of their 18 games by 10-points or more. Obviously there is still time to take advantage of Seattle’s WNBA dominance.