Indiancowboy
4 Unit Play. Take St. Bonaventure +14 over Dayton
We hit up the Atlantic 10 just like we did when Temple got it done easily over St. Louis. In much the same way, I look for St. Bonaventure to hang inside the number here against Dayton. St. Bonny has a lot of good things going with their program currently. For starters, this team has a power ranking within the top 200. Furthermore, they are an 11 win team this year as they sit at 11-7 which is a stark improvement from years before. And, the kicker, is that they are 7-0 on the road. This team has gone on the highway and are undefeated. So, the confidence is certainly not lacking. St. Bonny went on the road to defeat Rutgers earlier this year, defeated Marist by nearly 20 on the road and most recently defeated a top 120 team in Richmond on the road by 4. Now, this team comes off an ugly 20 point loss to Xavier at home. That's great for us. This team undoubtedly has the ability to step up on the road, comes off an ugly loss at home, and has the ability to play big named teams on the road and be competitive such as defeating a conference foe in Richmond Outright on the road. Dayton is good. But, Dayton swept this team last year and will not be expecting a barn-burner which this team will give them today. Thus, St. Bonny has revenge too - tack that on as another plus for us as they will undoubtedly get up for this game as they have several returning starters. Last year, St. Bonny lost to Dayton by 5 at home and 7 points on the road - a total of 12. So, in two games last year when they were younger they lost by a combined total of 12 points and today, they are getting 14 points in total overall. Dayton is 2-5 ATS of late and they have not been blowing teams out at home or on the road for that mater. And, yes, they are 14-2, but for them to be laying a point spread of -14 when they do not have a track record of big blowout wins, clearly signifies a great shot at St Bonny losing by 5-8 here. Remember, Dayton only defeated conference foe Fordham (team outside the top 300) by 1. Bonnies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and the Friars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 contests as favorites.
MIKE NERI
3* Lakers
3* Denver
3* Central Florida
3* Clemson
DOC
4* West Virginia
4* Northern Iowa
SPORTS UNLIMITED
5* Pittsburgh
KEVIN ROGERS
Kings at Raptors
Pick:Kings +9.5
The Kings fell by two last night at Milwaukee, in a back-and-forth affair, as Sacramento looks to bounce back north of the border at Toronto. The inconsistent Raptors had a strong second half in beating the Bulls on Friday night as a road dog, but Toronto has struggled when laying points, especially at home. The Raps are 0-5 ATS when laying at least six points, while covering just three of 11 at the Air Canada Center as home chalk. Sacramento is 0-17 SU against Eastern Conference opponents this season, but the Kings have been reliable lately as road dogs, going 8-4 ATS L12 when getting points away from Arco Arena, including covers at the Lakers, Hornets, Rockets, and Pistons. I like the Kings to stay within this number against the Raptors.
ATS Sports Club
NBA Total Winner
Chicago Bulls vs. Minnesota Timberwolves over 206
NCAA Hoops Mismatch Winner
Clemson Tigers -13
NCAA Hoops Underdog Winner
Pittsburgh Panthers +1.5
Lenny Stevens
10* Michigan State
Executive
300 Pitt
Big Al
3* Miami Florida
3* Denver
3* Spurs/Lakers Under
Jeffersonsports
Lakers -7
Kirkwins
3* LAL/SA over 201.5
Cajun-Sports Executive
Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
Pick: Over 213.5
The Pepsi Center will be the site of tonight’s meeting between the host Denver Nuggets and the visiting Utah Jazz. The Jazz have dominated this series of late winning their last four meetings overall.
The Jazz enter tonight’s game having gone ‘over’ the total at a rate of 25-19 on the season. They have continued their ‘over’ play on the highway going 13-9 Over this year and 11-2 Over their last thirteen games overall. In those contests the Jazz have averaged 103.4 points per game versus teams that allow 99 points per game. Defensively the Jazz have been suspect on that end of the floor allowing 104.6 points per game to teams that only average scoring 98.3 points per game. The Jazz have also flown ‘over’ the posted total when facing teams from the Western Conference going 16-5 Over their last 21. We also note that the Jazz are 10-2 Over when installed as a road underdog and are a perfect 5-0 Over when playing the second game of a back-to-back and 15-4 Over their last nineteen in that situation.
Denver has also played to the ‘over’ this season with a record of 24-19 on the year. When playing at the Pepsi Center the Nuggets have gone ‘over’ at a rate of 13-10 their last 23 games. They are averaging 107.4 points per game against teams that would normally only allow 98.8 points per game and on the defensive end they are allowing 106.0 points per game to teams that average 99.2 points per game. Denver has played to the ‘under’ recently at home going ‘under’ in four of their last five games overall but there are angles for tonight’s contest that point to an ‘over’ here. We see that when the Nuggets face teams from the Northwest Division they have gone ‘over’ at a rate of 38-18-2. They have also gone ‘over’ in ten of their last fourteen games overall. When Denver has been installed as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points they have gone ‘over’ at a rate of 32-19 over the last two seasons.
This series has seen the ‘over’ cash in six of the last nine meetings over the last three years. Since 1996 the ‘over’ has cashed in at a rate of 14 of the last 23 meetings that were played in the Mile High City.
Our Total Performance Ratings Index: 9.4 points “Over”
With both teams having solid ‘over’ tendencies not only on the season but in this series and the fact that our Total Performance Ratings Index shows a significant mathematical advantage on the ‘over’ we will make this selection our NBA Play of the Day.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (4*) Utah Jazz / Denver Nuggets Over 213.5