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DAYTON SERVICE
Top-Rated 10♦ play on Kansas minus the points.
Bonus 5♦ play on Syracuse minus the points
Bonus NBA 5♦ play on Detroit Pistons plus the points.
Tony Weston
20 Dime Oregon State
10 Dime Rockets
Oregon State at Oregon
OREGON STATE - There must be something in the water in that state because a year after Oregon State was wrapping up a horrible season, Oregon finds itself in the midst of a 7-20 SU season.
After 14 consecutive losses, the Ducks finally broke through and picked up their first SU win of 2009 by beating Stanford 68-60. Over their last 15 games the Ducks have covered only four times and have covered only twice in their last eight home games.
For the season Oregon is only 4-9 ATS at home this year and is getting outscored, on average, 75.6-70.4. Keep in mind, also, that the Ducks have covered in only eight of their last 28 games overall.
The Beavers, on the other hand, come into this game having covered in three straight games, winning each of those SU by an average of 8.3 points per game.
Also, the last time these two played, Oregon State beat Oregon SU 57-54 on Jan. 31.
Oregon State has been hot lately and will cover tonight against the Ducks. Take the Beavers on the road in this one.
Rockets at Timberwolves
ROCKETS - It might be hard to argue because of a few other teams, but at this point in the season the Minnesota Timberwolves might very well be the worst team in the entire NBA.
Minnesota is 18-40 SU this season and has lost five consecutive games SU and has only covered once in that five-game stretch and has only covered twice in its last 11 games overall.
Things don’t get better at home as the Timberwolves have covered only once in front of the home fans in their last nine games in Minnesota and have gone 8-20-1 ATS overall at home this season.
Now the T-Wolves battle a Houston Rockets team that’s covered in four of its last five games and is 5-0-1 ATS its last six games against Minnesota, including covers in two consecutive games against the Timberwolves.
The last time these two met, less than a month ago on Feb. 7, Houston got over easily on Minnesota, winning 107-90 as a 7 1/2 point favorite.
Tonight, the Rockets are laying about six points, depending on where you play this, and will get over easily on the Timberwolves. Take Houston on the road in this one.
KELSO
50 units Louisville -9
Bobby Maxwell
400-Unit NBA Sunday Sizzler - CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
This is the third meeting this season between these two with the home team taking the first two, but we're looking for the Cavs to put out the same effort they gave on Friday at San Antonio. Play Cleveland tonight in Atlanta.
Cleveland has won six of the last eight matchups with the Hawks and gotten the cash in five of the last eight. The Cavs are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven overall and they just beat the Spurs Friday night 97-86 as four-point road favorites. They've won three of their last four roadies SU and ATS.
LeBron James is going to deliver a solid night every team he steps on the court, and as long as a couple of the supporting cast comes along this team is tough to beat. Delonte West had 17 points and seven rebounds against the Spurs and center Zydrunas Ilgauskas had 10 points and 10 rebounds.
Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings in Atlanta and the favorite is riding a 16-6 ATS streak in this series.
The Cavs are also riding ATS streaks of 19-9 against teams with a winning record, 43-19 overall, 5-2 against the Eastern Conference and 4-1 after a spread-cover. Atlanta is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven Sunday games and 2-5 ATS in its last seven against teams with a winning record.
Look for the Cavs to walk away with this one.
100-Unit NBA Slam Dunk - PHOENIX SUNS
The Lakers have owned this series lately, but don't think the Suns aren't going to come out fighting today in this nationally televised contest. Phoenix has been playing better lately and they'll deliver a surprise for the Lakers today.
The Suns are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven overall and they are coming off a 133-113 victory over the Raptors on Friday, easily cashing as 3 1/2-point home favorites. Shaquille O'Neal had his best game in six years, getting 45 points against Toronto.
Alvin Gentry has the Suns playing better and Friday they had all five starters in double-digits and bench player Louis Amundsen had his career high 20 points in the win.
The Lakers stumbled on Friday night in Denver, losing 90-79 as a two-point road chalk. it was the first time in six games they didn't reach at least 107 points, and it came the night after they put up 132 against these Suns in Los Angeles.
The lone matchup between these two in Phoenix this season came back on Nov. 20 when the Lakers got a 105-92 victory.
The Lakers are on ATS slides of 4-9 after a straight-up loss, 7-17 when getting one day off and 1-4 after losing a game by more than 10 points.
Meanwhile the red-hot Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven at home and 5-2 ATS overall. If Shaq is feeling inspired like he was at home Friday night against Toronto. Play the Suns at home!
GOLD MEDAL CLUB
Michigan HUGE
Tennessee HUGE
W.Virginia REG
Maryland REG
Marc Lawrence
Indiana Pacers
BEN BURNS
Annihilator
I'm playing on Louisville and Marquette to finish UNDER the total.
Much like Villanova yesterday, Marquette enters this game off back to back high-scoring games and averaging a ton of points. However, that doesn't mean that they'll be able to put up big numbers here again this afternoon - not against this defense. Like the Wildcats, who managed a mere 54 yesterday, I expect the Golden Eagles to have some trouble scoring at their regular pace today. Note that the Golden Eagles will be without playmaker Dominic James, injured for the season last time out. While Maurice Acker should do a fine job, James' loss is still significant. Pitino knows that the Golden Eagles are better on defense than advertised, stating: "They're very tenacious defensively. If you put the ball down in traffic against them they're going to strip it." Of course, the Cardinals have one of the best defenses around. They held Georgetown to 58 last time out after limiting Cincy to 63 in their previous game. They're holding opponents to 39.4% shooting on the season and to an average of only 60.3 points per game on this floor. The UNDER is 5-1 the last six games in this series with all six games producing less than 140 points. Speaking of 140, note that the Cardinals have seen the UNDER go a profitable 17-9 the last 26 times they played a game with an over/under line in the 140s. Look for this afternoon's game to also finish below the generous number. *Annihilator
Western Conf. Best Bet
I'm taking the points with MINNESOTA.
I played on the Rockets on Thursday and they upset the Cavs. Yesterday, I played against the Rockets and they were beaten by the Bulls. That wasn't a "typical" loss either as Houston blew a double-digit fourth quarter lead. Most will expect the Rockets to bounce back from that disappointing defeat with a blowout victory. However, those types of demoralizing losses can be tough to bounce back from, not to mention both physically and mentally exhausting. Note that Yao Ming was visibly winded running up and down the court at times in last night's game. With last night's loss, the Rockets are now 1-6 ATS their last seven games away from Houston, including an 0-4 SU/ATS mark their last four. Note that their only two victories in that seven road stretch came by only five combined points. As I mentioned yesterday, those road losses weren't exactly against elite teams either as the Rockets lost at Milwaukee, Memphis, New York, Indiana and now Chicago. They won by only two at Oklahoma City and by three at Detroit. Including the losses at Memphis and New York, note that the Rockets are 0-2 ATS over the last month when playing the second of back to back games. They're also a money-burning 11-20-1 ATS on the season, when facing a team with a losing record and an ugly 3-7 ATS when listed as road favorites in the minus 3.5 to six range. The T-Wolves, who are playing with "double-revenge," are off a poor offensive effort which saw them manage only 82 points vs. Portland. However, we can cut the offense a bit of slack as they'd previously reached triple-digits in scoring in seven straight games. Look for the T-Wolves to be the "fresher" team as the bounce back with a much better effort and improve to 6-3 ATS after scoring 85 points or less in their previous game. *Western Conf. Best Bet
Main Event
I'm taking the points with ATLANTA.
Even most casual fans know that Cleveland has a better record than Atlanta this season. However, many would be surprised to know that Atlanta's home record is better than Cleveland's road record. In fact, its not even close! While the Cavaliers are 19-11 outside of Cleveland, the Hawks are a much better 20-6 when playing here at Atlanta. Not surprisingly, the home team has won both meetings in this season's series. While the Cavs had yesterday off, they were off back to back games against tough Texas opponents the previous two days (Hawks haven't played b2b games in more than 10 days) and they've got another game on deck tomorrow. That's worth noting as we find the Cavs at just 1-5 ATS (2-4 SU) in 2009 when playing the front end of a back to back situation. The Hawks, who have finally gotten heathy, score more than 100 points per game on this floor, while shooting 47.4%. They're also coming off a dominant defensive effort, which saw them limit Miami to a mere 83 points. Note that they're 6-3 SU/ATS on the season after holding their previous opponent to fewer than 85 points. The Hawks have also thrived in the underdog role. Including the earlier "upset" of the Cavs here, they're a profitable 17-9 ATS when getting points, including 2-0 ATS when listed as a home underdog in the 6.5 to 9 point range. Currently in fourth place, this is the Hawks chance to again show that they can compete with the "Big 3" in the East. I expect them to respond with a massive effort, continuing their excellent play on this court. *Main Event
Blue Chip
I'm playing on Boston and Detroit to finish OVER the total.
These teams have played a trio of low-scoring games against each other this season. Those results, combined with the recent results of both teams, have helped to provide us with a very low over/under number to work with. While the over/under number is a few points lower than it was for the earlier meeting here at Boston, I expect this afternoon's game to see significantly more scoring. As you're probably aware, the Celtics are currently without Kevin Garnett. While "The Big Ticket" is a strong offensive player, Boston has proven it can score without him in the lineup. In four games without KC in the lineup, the Celts are averaging greater than 109 points. Replacing his excellent defense isn't as easy. While the Pistons are likely to be without Iverson, they too have proven capable of scoring without him in the lineup. Richard Hamilton started in his place last game and had 31 points. The Pistons would finish with 93. While that's still not that many, it was more points than they had scored in any of their previous five games. Its true that the Celtics have seen each of their last three games dip below the total. However, a closer look shows that those games averaged greater than 192 points and that all three of them finished with a minimum of 184. Additionally, its worth noting that the OVER is 5-2 the last seven times that the Celts were coming off three or more consecutive games which stayed below the total and 16-10 their last 26 in that situation. While Detroit road games are averaging "only" 187 points this season, games here at Boston have averaged a healthy 199.1 points per game. Not surprisingly, 18 of 29 games here have finished above the total, including seven of 11 when the champs have been favored in the 6.5 to 9 point range. Look for those numbers to improve this afternoon as the final combined score makes its way above the low number. *Blue Chip
CHARLIE
Atlanta +4 (500*)
Miami Ohio -5 (30*)
Marquette -9 (20*)
Tennessee +5 (20*)
Rutgers +3' (10*)
Detroit +9' (10*) free play
Wayne Root
Chairman- Tennessee
Millionaire- Rutgers
MoneyMaker- Oregon
CTO
11* Arkansas
Las Vegas Sport Picks
NBA:
2* Jazz/Warriors over 226
3* Mavericks -6
5* Nuggets/Pacers over 215
NCAA:
2* Missouri/Kansas over 150
4* Rider -5
5* Duquesne -1
NHL:
3* Devils -140
BobbyClarkSports
Marquette/ Louisville under 145.5 Wager 550 to win 500
Providence/ Rutgers under 146 Wager 550 to win 500
Philadelphia Wager 500 to win 600
Washington Wager 1000 to win 500
LOW RISK HIGH REWARD: Carl Edwards Wager 100 to win 500
Dave Malinsky
6* Lakers
4* Louisville/Marquette Under
4* Bowling Green
APwins
Louisville - 9 over Marquette (STEAM PLAY)
NSA
20* Cincinnati +9
10* Missouri +4.5
10* Marquette +9
10* Providence -3
10* Rhode Island +1.5
10* Detroit +9