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SUNDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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NSA

20* Tennessee -12.5
10* Duke +8.5
10* Vanderbilt -8
10* Clemson +5.5
10* Boston -3.5
10* Utah -5.5

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:01 am
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Sports Investing

Celtics

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:02 am
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Harvey Slavin

Dallas (-115) vs. Montreal

Montreal has played poorly on the road as they seek just their third road win in the last 15 road games. Montreal also has goalie problems, as Carey Price has been horrible since coming back from that lower body injury. Dallas will use Marty Turco in goal. He has 2 wins and a 0.97 GAA in 3 career starts against the Habs. Montreal is 0-4-1 in the last 5 games in Dallas.

Play: Dallas -115 3 units

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:03 am
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Tim Trushel

20* Suns/Spurs Under 219

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:04 am
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Ben Burns

Toronto

Orlando

Grizzlies/Rockets Over

Ohio St.

Duke/UNC Under

Sacramento Kings

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:10 am
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CTO

11* Vanderbilt

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:10 am
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Ferringo

2.5-Unit Play. Take #839 Florida International (+9) over Western Kentucky
I'm going to try to soak one last score out of Florida International. I think that they are a completely different team now that they are healthy and I think that they have the size to compete with Western Kentucky underneath. The Hilltoppers are out of control most of the time, and pounding the offensive glass is their best offensive weapon. I think FIU can limit those opportunities and can keep this one close.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #826 Toledo (-4) over Northern Illinois
Toledo was a team I played a lot - clearly too much - early in the year. And I vowed I would be done with them. But if this team is a favorite that clearly means that something fishy is going on. They have four senior starters. And this is a team that was a great home bet in conference last year. NIU has really struggled on the road and

1.5-Unit Play. Take #846 Troy (Pk) over South Alabama
The Trojans were the better team throughout the regular season and South Alabama has not been a strong road team over the past few seasons. USA is just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 conference games and are actually just 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Trojans have been a consistent squad all season and I think that they will be ready to advance in this one.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #824 Bowling Green (-4.5) over Ohio
Ohio has been one of the worst road teams in the country over the past several years and still need to be a blind fade away from home. Bowling Green has an upperclassmen-laden team and they have four seniors that will be playing their last game. Ohio is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 4-10-1 ATS as a road underdog.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #857 Charleston (+9) over Davidson
I know you must think I'm nuts to mess with Stephon Curry today. But I really don't think that it was a fluke that Charleston beat the Wildcats in their last meeting. Charleston has covered both times that they have played Curry's crew this year and I think that they have a decent shot at an outright victory here.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #849 Old Dominion (+5) over VCU
This is a regional rivalry and ODU has been playing good basketball lately. This one is going to be a very emotional grinder, and the Monarchs have won 10 of their last 11 games outright, including a home win over VCU in the last meeting. I don't think that Eric Maynor will let his team lose. But Gerald Lee and company should make this a one-possession game in the last four minutes tonight and if that's the case we're going to be real happy about having these points.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #829 Arkansas (+8) over Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is playing well. No doubt about that. And Arkansas has been a mess in conference play this year. But I'm not ready to say that the 'Dores are going to go out there and lay a double-digit beating on anyone. Arkansas has some athletes, and the SEC has been just shaky enough this year where I could see an outright upset here and not be stunned.

1-Unit Play. Take #832 Buffalo (-3) over Miami, OH
Buffalo has pretty much falled apart, losing five of their last six games. But I think they will be up for this game with wounded Miami tonight. The Redhawks are without their starting point guard and starting forward and are simply not as strong of a team without two of their top four scorers. Buffalo has several seniors playing in their last game and this Bulls team handled Miami on the road earlier in the year. I think they get it done on their home court and muster the sweep.

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 138.5 Virginia Tech at Florida State
I'm not a bit totals guy, but I do know that Florida State has been playing great defense and that neither of these teams really want to get out and run up-and-down the court. I think this one will be played in the 60's, and a 67-61 score is more likely than a 74-68 score is. I think this is strong value for a low Unit rating.

Today's Teasers
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #862 Siena (-7) over Fairfield AND Take #855 Portland (+13) over St. Mary’s

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #849 Old Dominion (+10) over VCU AND Take #839 Florida International (+14) over Western Kentucky

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #841 Middle Tennessee State (+7) over North Texas
AND Take #860 Chattanooga (Pk) over Samford

That's it for today. Good luck. If you don't want to play all of these games and want a tighter card, I say play FIU, Portland, Charleston, ODU, Toledo and Bowling Green. Those are my favorite games.

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:13 am
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Cogyle

8* Coyotes/Islanders Over 5.5

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:14 am
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Mike Lineback

Utah Jazz

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:15 am
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JB Sports

Phoenix Suns

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:16 am
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Lenny Del Genio

North Carolina

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:16 am
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Tony George

Suns/Spurs Under

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:17 am
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Nick Parsons

S Alabama

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:18 am
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Tom Freese

New York at New Jersey
Play: New Jersey -4.5

New Jersey is in a 62-29 ATS System that says to Play On favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points if they have revenge from a game where their opponent scored 110 or more points. New York is 10-25 ATS their last 35 road games as dogs of 4.5 or less points and they are 5-12 ATS if their starters combined to play over 160 minutes in yesterday's game. The Knicks are 2-5 ATS after scoring 100 or more points in their last game and they are 0-4 ATS vs. a team that scored 100 or more points in their last game. 10* PLAY ON NEW JERSEY -

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:19 am
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Jimmy Boyd

Denver at Sacramento
Play: Denver -7

The Nuggets are in a tight race in the Northwest Division, just a half game in front of Utah and Portland. The Nuggets have struggled on the road recently, but I don't see those struggles taking place today against a team they have dominated. Denver has won 118-85 at Sacramento and 118-99 at home in this season's meetings, making it quite clear that the Kings don't have the offensive fire power to keep up. Off a loss to division rival Utah, the Nuggets have heavy motivation to win here to keep the top spot in the division. Sacramento is 5-14 ATS as a home underdog this season, losing by an average score of 98.1 to 109.6 in these spots. The road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5, 27-7-1 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lay the points.

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:19 am
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