Robert Ferringo
Take #960 Tampa Bay (-1.5, -125) over Washington (1:30 p.m., Sunday, June 14)
Take #978 San Francisco (-140) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, June 14)
Today's Totals
(from 2.5 to .5 units)
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 N.Y. Mets at N.Y. Yankees (1 p.m., Sunday, June 14)
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Boston at Philadelphia (1:30 p.m., Sunday, June 14)
Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Oakland at San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, June 14)
Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Seattle at Colorado (3 p.m., Sunday, June 14)
Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Minnesota at Chicago Cubs (2 p.m., Sunday, June 14)
Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Washington at Tampa Bay (1:30 p.m., Sunday, June 14)
Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Florida at Toronto (1 p.m., Sunday, June 14)
Rocketman
4* NY Mets
IndianCowboy
4 Unit Play. Take Under 7.5 between the Oakland A's @ San Francisco Giants
Maybe we can keep the perfection in June rolling into today as well as we look for a Golden week in baseball. Anderson if you remember in his last start gave up 5 runs in a little over 5 innings. The A's went on to lose that game 5-10 at home and Anderson looks to bounce-back today on the road against the Giants. Bear in mind that Anderson has had the propensity for some quality road starts as this is the young man that shutout the Whitesox and gave up 0 runs in 7 innings. That performance was stellar as to hold the Chisox to 0 runs in their place - in particular in a season where they have been able to hit many pitchers truly says a lot. And ofcourse, the young kid has a let down in the next game and gets hammered. But, I look for the Midland, Texas native to do well today and have a strong performance as he has yet to have back to back non-quality starts this year. And, you know that is something that I look for very closely - the propensity of a pitcher to avoid back to back non-quality starts. As per Cain, although the Giants won 9-4 in Arizona in his last start, Cain's era took a hike as it is now 2.55. The Alabama native is 6-0-1 in his last 7 starts and has put together 5 of 6 quality starts before his last non-quality start (despite picking up the W). I look for both pitchers to have decent outings today as this game likely dips Under. The Under is 7-0-1 when the A's are Underdogs, the Under is 7-1-1 when the Giants are favored and the Under is 4-0 when Reyburns is behind the plate.
Maddux Sports
NBA picks
#710 - NBA - 3 units on Orlando -3.5
#951 - MLB - 3 units on Houston +128
#956 - MLB - 3 units on Toronto -117
#964 - MLB - 3 units on Philadelphia +113
#978 - MLB - 3 units on San Francisco -137
#979 - MLB - 3 units on NY Mets +110
charlie sports
nba. lakers @ orlando under 199 (500*).
nba. orlando-3 (30*)
mlb. st. louis-110 (20*)
mlb. boston-135 (20*)
mlb. mets+110 (10*)
mlb. toronto-120 (10*) free play
No Fair
Blade You got the Best one !!
IC
NorthCoast Sports
Big 5 Unit Play
California Sports
5* Magic
kbhoops
Big card today, lets cash these dogs in.
MLB
5* Philly +114 **POD**
5* Detroit +119
5* Washington +230
5* San Diego +177
5* Sunday Night Baseball - Cleveland -103
NBA
3* Lakers +3.5
SportsOddsAndPicks
NBA Finals
OVER 198.5 POINTS LA Lakers at Orlando
Major League Baseball
ST. LOUIS +105 (with Carpenter) over Cleveland 8:05 p.m. ET
BOSTON -125 (with Beckett) over Philadelphia 1:35 p.m. ET
Street Rosenthal
*200 New York Yankees -118
*200 Milwaukee Brewers -132
Larry Ness
15* Situational Mismatch-MLB (88-63 in MLB '09!)
My 15* Situational Mismatch is on the Atl Braves at 1:35 ET. The Orioles won a season-high five in a row from May 25-29 but yesterday's 8-4 win made them just 3-10 since that winning streak and they haven't won back-to-back games since that time. Derek Lowe goes for the Braves today and the free agent has surely lived up to his end of the bargain. He's 7-3 with a 3.44 ERA in 13 starts. He's been extremely consistent for Atlanta, allowing three ERs or less in 11 of his 13 starts, including his last six. He's gone seven-plus innings in all but one of his last six outings (lasted 6.2 in the one he didn't), posting a 2.93 ERA. It should also be noted that pitching against the Orioles is nothing new for a man who pitched for the Red Sox, as he's 8-4 with a 3.44 ERA in 15 lifetime starts against Baltimore. He'll be opposed by Baltimore rookie Brad Bergesen. Bergesen is 2-0 over his last three starts, allowing just four ERs in 23 innings (1.57 ERA). However, he's just 3-2 with a 4.04 ERA on the season (10 starts), with the Orioles going 5-5. It should also be noted that like the team as a whole (see below), Bergesen has not done well in day games, allowing 24 hits in 15.2 innings over three starts (1-2), posting a 6.89 ERA. Now, I've never been a big fan of how teams have played on a particular day but the Orioles have taken their abysmal play on Sundays to new levels of ineptitude. The Orioles lost at Washington 8-5 back on May 24, then lost 3-0 at home to Detroit on May 31. The losing continued into June, as they lost 3-0 last Sunday at Oakland. So what else is new? They've now lost EIGHT of nine Sunday games in 2009, getting outscored 48-27. Going back into the 2008 season, they've lost a quite amazing 29 of their last 32 Sunday games! Is Baltimore's play on Sundays just a pure coincidence? Here's why it's not. Most Sunday games are in the day and the Orioles are 3-14 in day games this year, after going 12-29 in day games last year (by the way, the Orioles were 36-60 in day games in the 2006 and 2007 seasons, as well!). Sunday games also often represent the final game of a series between teams and the Orioles are a miserable 3-17 in series finales this year. Situational Mismatch 15* Atl Braves.
20* Playoff Punisher-NBA Finals Game 5 (6-0-1 run)
My 20* Playoff Punisher is on the Orl Magic at 8:00 ET. The Magic will have had a couple of days to recover from Thursday's Game 4 loss, before taking the court for their final home game of the season (win or lose). If the Magic can win, the series will return to LA for Game 6 and Game 7 (if necessary). The Magic are faced with any number of near-impossible 'mountains to climb' in this year's NBA Finals. After falling behind 0-1, the Magic knew that Phil Jackson-led teams were a perfect 43-0 all-time (31-0 in seven-game series) after winning Game 1 of a series and that the Lakers had won 16 consecutive best-of-seven series after taking a 1-0 series lead. After losing Game 2 in OT (Lee missed a 'bunny' at the buzzer in regulation), the Magic faced the fact that the Lakers were 38-1 all-time after taking a 2-0 series lead in a best-of-seven-series. Now, after another "blown opportunity" in Game 4 (Howard's two FT misses with 11.1 seconds remaining in regulation and the team's 15 FT misses for the game), the Magic's second overtime loss of the Finals leaves them down 3-1. Orlando now is up against yet another overwhelming fact, that in NBA Finals history, all 29 teams which have taken 3-1 leads have gone on to win the title. The Lakers will surely want to close out the Magic in this game and while the Lakers did just that in a Game 6 at Denver in the Western Conference finals, that's really the only time this postseason in which the Lakers have won when they really didn't "have to." The Lakers lost Game 3 in Utah (up 2-0) in the first round, lost Games 4 and 6 at Houston in the second round (up 2-1 and 3-2, respectively) and then lost Game 2 (up 1-0) in LA and Game 4 (up 2-1) at Denver in the Western Conference finals. In contrast, the Lakers are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS this postseason, following a loss. While the Lakers may give lip service to wanting to "end things" in Game 5, I believe we will not see LA's best effort in this game. As for Orlando, while some of Van Gundy's decisions are open for criticism and some of the Magic players have "come up wanting" in "crunch time," one can't dismiss the strides this team has made in 2009. Clinching their first round series (sans Howard, who sat out with a suspension) by winning 114-99 (as five-point dogs) at Philly, was impressive. So was winning Game 1 at Boston in the second round and then making a great comeback in Game 6 of that series to 'stay alive,' before CRUSHING the Celtics at Boston, 101-82 in Game 7. It was on to Cleveland a few days later and despite falling behind 33-19 at the end of the first quarter (and by more than 20 points during the second quarter), the Magic rallied to win yet another Game 1 on the road, 107-106. The Magic would eventually eliminate LeBron and the Cavs in six games, averaging 103.7 PPG in the six-games series, after the Cavs had opened the 2009 postseason with eight straight wins (7-0-1 ATS), having held opponents to 78.1 PPG. History says the Magic won't come back to win this series but that doesn't mean they can't win here. While the Zig Zag theory is a modest 35-30-4 ATS this postseason, it is an excellent 9-3-1 ATS since the beginning of the conference finals and the Game 5 play is on the Magic. Let's also note that SU and ATS winners have been almost synonymous since the start of the second round, with the 39 SU winners going 33-3-3 ATS (that's 91.7 percent!). Yes, the Magic are small favorites (minus-2 1/2 or three) and there is a small danger of them winning but not covering but it's worth the risk. In fact, I see them winning Game 5 and I don't expect it to be close. Playoff Punisher 20* Orl Magic.
15* Pitching Mismatch-MLB (7-0 all sport run the L3 days)
My 15* Pitching Mismatch is on the Cin Reds at 2:10 ET. Kansas City was an AL Central-best 18-11 entering May 8 but the Royals would go on to drop 23 of their next 30 games. They lost nine series and split another in that stretch. Then came this weekend and the Royals have already guaranteed their first series win in more than a month by beating the Reds 4-1 on Friday and 7-4 on Saturday. They go for the sweep today but that won't be easy. Johnny Cueto of the Cincinnati Reds has to be mentioned among any talk of the NL's best pitchers this season. He's long ago put last year's 9-14, 4.87 ERA mark behind him (Reds were 12-19 in his starts). Cueto is 6-3 with a 2.33 ERA in 12 starts in '09, with the Reds going 8-4. He's allowed just 61 hits in 81 innings and has been much better on the road, than at home. He's made five home starts, going 1-2 with a 3.18 ERA (Reds are 2-3) but 5-1 with a 1.72 ERA in seven road starts (Reds are 6-1). His 2.33 ERA ranks in the NL's top three, as does his opponents' batting average (.210). Cueto has lasted at least seven innings in nine of his last 10 games with eight quality starts in that stretch. It should also be noted that he's 1-1 with a 2.22 ERA in his four career interleague starts. Yes, KC has won the first two games but the Royals haven't swept a three-game series this season, with the team's last sweep coming back in September of 2008. Brian Bannister will take the mound for the Royals and the 2009 season seems to playing out exactly as it did in 2008 for this young right-hander. Bannister opened the 2008 season 3-0 with an 0.86 ERA but then went 6-16 (6.82 ERA) over his last 29 starts (Royals were 10-19). It's deja vu all over again in 2009. He started 3-0 with a 1.48 ERA in his first four starts of '09 but over his last six, is 1-3 with a 7.18 ERA (team is 2-4). No sweep today for KC, as it's Cueto over Bannister in a knockout! Pitching Mismatch 15* Cin Reds.
20* PERFECT STORM-MLB (9-1 in MLB '09!)
My 20* PERFECT STORM is on the Chi Cubs at 2:20 ET. The Twins entered their series with the Cubs this weekend just 9-20 on the road this year and with only two wins in nine all-time road games at Wrigley Field. However, they won 7-4 Friday afternoon and then 2-0 on Saturday. Maybe that shouldn't be all that much of a surprise, as with 125 interleague wins, the Twins are one of only three teams with 120 or more. It should also be noted that the Cubs are in a funk, especially offensively. Saturday's shutout loss makes it four losses in a row, with the team batting .174 during its slide. Indicative of the Cubs' woes was yesterday's ninth inning. Chicago got its first two batters on base but with no outs, couldn't get even one of them home against Minnesota closer Joe Nathan. The Cubs have totaled just six runs in their four-game losing streak. While I've yet to produce anything to "back the Cubs" in Sunday's game, I'm just getting started. The case begins with Minnesota's starter today, Scott Baker. He went 11-4 with a 3.45 ERA last year in 28 starts (team was 17-11) and he was expected to be the team's 'ace' in 2009. While Baker has looked like the ace that Minnesota expected him to be in his past two starts (15 IP / 5 ERs / 3.00 ERA), let's not get carried away. Baker didn't make his first start until mid-April and his first four were just awful (9.15 ERA). Yes, he's been better in his last seven (4.02 ERA) but he will enter this game only a 4-6 record this year, with a 5.59 ERA in 11 starts (team is 5-6). He's made just four road starts in '09, going 1-3 with a 6.56 ERA and in four daytime starts, he's 1-2 with a 6.85 ERA (Twins are 2-2). Now let's get to Chicago's Ted Lilly. He's been very good since coming to the Cubs in 2007, going 15-8 (3.83 ERA) that season and following it up by going 17-9 (4.01) last year. He's been the team's most consistent starter this season, entering with a 7-4 mark and a 3.00 ERA in 12 starts (team is 8-4). Lilly has an 0.87 ERA in his last three starts (he's 2-0 and the team is 3-0) and on the season, has been much better here in Wrigley, than he has been on the road. He's 3-3 with a 4.40 ERA in seven road starts (team is 4-3), while going 4-1 with a 1.29 ERA in five home starts. Unlike Baker, who has struggled in his daytime starts, Lilly has posted a 2.25 ERA in his four afternoon starts. Lilly, as most know is a lefty, and that's the clincher. The Twins were only 11-21 vs lefties in road games last year and while they are 8-1 at home in night games vs lefties this year, they are just dreadful vs left-handers in all other situations. Follow the bouncing ball. The Twins are 0-2 (1.5 RPG) in home day games vs lefties. In road day games vs lefties they are 0-5 (1.6 RPG) and in road night games, 2-5 (4.6 RPG). That comes to 2-12 and more importantly, the Twins are 0-7 in day games (anywhere) vs lefties this year, having scored a total of only 11 runs (1.57 per game!). No sweep here, as Lilly leads the Cubs to a win. PERFECT STORM 20* Chi Cubs.
Wunderdog
Game: Seattle at Colorado (3:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Colorado -130 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 3.1)
The Colorado Rockies go for win number 11 in a row and I think they get it. How does a team that sits at 20-32 reel off ten straight? Is it Jim Tracy (12-4 since replacing Clint Hurdle)? Is it the team gelling? Is it luck? Probably a little bit of everything - but whatever it is, it's working. They have outscored opponents 66-27 during the run, batting .288 and pitching to a combined 2.70 ERA. Seattle is a losing road team that has struggled to produce runs all season long. They average just 3.8 per game, 3.4 over their last seven games and 3.3 all season long in day-games. With Colorado putting up 5.8 per game at home, the Mariners are going to struggle to keep up. Yes, Jason Vargas has been very good this season but right now the Rockies are hitting everything. Seattle is just 40-73 since last season on the road. I like Colorado to get win number 11 here.
Game: Seattle at Colorado (3:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Colorado -1.5 runs +150 (runline) (risk 2 to win 3)
With Colorado averaging their past ten wins by 3.9 runs per game, there's no reason to not back them here on the runline at +150 odds. Dating back to last season, Seattle is just 18-28 to the run line on the road after 2+ straight losses. Colorado is 28-14 to the run line in interleague play over the past three seasons. Colorado is killing all comers and against a bad road team, this is a great opportunity to get them at + odds and we'll take it.
Game: San Diego at Los Angels Angels (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angels Angels -190 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.6)
The Angels cruised to a 9-1 win yesterday and I like them to do it again today. The Padres are just 9-22 on the road this year where they are allowing opposing teams to rack up 5.9 runs per game. Today they must face Jared Weaver who has been spectacular in eight starts, posting a 2.31 ERA. At home he's been unconcious going 4-0, lasting 7.4 innings per start and putting up a 1.21 ERA. Where is San Diego going to find offense today? How bad are the Padres on the road? Since last season they are 27-65 as a road dog! When facing a good defensive fielding team (those that average under 0.7 errors per game) on the road this season, San Diego is just 4-17! Chris Young is just 9-18 vs. winning teams the past two seasons. The Angels get it done here.
Game: San Diego at Los Angels Angels (3:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Los Angels Angels -1.5 runs +115 (runline) (risk 2 to win 2.3)
Jared Weaver should keep the Padres in check today. They can't score (4.0 runs per game) and he has allowed just seven runs in 45 innings pitched at home. Over the past two seasons, the Padres are just 5-15 to the run line in interleague play. When facing winning teams on the road over the past two seasons, San Diego is just 19-26 vs. the run line. With Weaver on the mound and given San Diego's road woes, I like the Angels to get another big win.
12-0 last 3 days +34.2 units. Now 144-132 on season +3.6 units.
Our CEO's 25 Dime NBA Finals Private Play
Los Angeles Lakers (198') @ Orlando Magic (-3) 8:05, ET
This is a Private Play release from our CEO which means he is personally playing this game based on private information he has received or knowledge of various circumstances which may lend to an increased likelihood of a winning wager. No analysis is included with this selection.
Orlando Magic (-3) 25 Dime NBA Finals Private Play
An impotant note from our CEO: He instructs you to buy this line down to -3 should there be an uptick to -3.5 or that is the line your bookmaker or offshore has available.
Billy's 20 Dime NBA Finals Winner #2 in a Row
Los Angeles Lakers (198') @ Orlando (-3) 8:05, ET
It was nice to get on track with a 20 dime winner on the Los Angeles Lakers in game 4, but we're moving on. The Lakers did what they needed to do in Orlando, they took game 4 and now have a 3-1 lead heading into game 5 with all the confidence in the world. So they end it in game 5 right? I don't think so! The Magic are desperate once again, just like they were in game three and managed to pull off a 4 point win. Tonight they come out and leave everything on the floor once again. The Lakers know they own a 3-1 lead and will take the Magic lightly tonight and will pay for it. Orlando goes out tonight and plays with passion, determination, intensity, and physicality. The Lakers know that the Magic can't beat them twice in Los Angeles and I believe they want their home crowd to see them win it all on their home floor. Watch the Magic go out tonight and show a lot of heart while the Lakers take the night off. LA will win this series, but not tonight! Jump all over the Magic who will show a lot of heart tonight.
Orlando Magic (-3) 20 Dime NBA Finals Winner #2 in a Row
Dante's 10 Dime Interleague Two Pack
Seattle Mariners (Vargas) @ Colorado Rockies (Hammel) 9:05, ET
The Rockies seek win number 11 in a row as they continue to pummel opponents outscoring teams 66-27 during the streak. You don't go against a streak like this, you ride the streak till it ends and we will do that today backing a Rockies team that has found new life with skipper Tracy at the helm.
Colorado Rockies (-125) 10 Dime Interleague Winner #1
St. Louis Cardinals (Carpenter) @ Cleveland Indians (Lee) 8:05, ET
Cliff Lee is an impressive 5-0 in 8 career home starts versus the Cardinals. The Indians are 14-5 in his Interleague starts while Carpenter struggles against AL opponents. Look for Lee to contain Pujols as the Indians roll to the home win this afternoon. A lot of people are going to look at the raw numbers and see Carpenter with that 4-0 mark and 1.23 era and think this is a simple game for the Cardinals. But not so quick, Lee, despite his 3-6 mark still has a respectable 3.17 era and will step up during prime time in front of the home crowd. 10 dime play on the Indians tonight.
Cleveland Indians (-105) 10 Dime Interleague Winner #2
King's 5 Dime Interleague Two Pack
Cincinnati Reds (Cueto) @ Kansas City Royals (Bannister) 2:10, ET
I've used Cueto several times this year with great success, however today I am going to back Kansas Citry as they continue to dominate in Interleague play. The Royals may not get to Cueto but they will get to the middle relief. Great pitching wins games, but only when there is run support. The Reds have been held to three runs and just 14 hits over their current three game skid and a meager 3 for 19 with RISP. Bannister pitches well against NL opponents with a 3-1 mark and a 4.01 era and he will get it done today against the Reds struggling offense.
Kansas City Royals (+110) 5 Dime Interleague Winner #1
Minnesota Twins (Baker) @ Chicago Cubs (Lilly) 2:20, ET
The Twins have been dominant in Interleague play with 125 wins overall and will try to sweep the Cubbies today at Wrigley. To do so they will have to penetrate the seemingly unhittable Ted Lilly who is boasting a 0.87 era in his last three starts. Meanwhile Scott Baker who has gotten 10 runs of support in his last two starts will not be getting that kind of production today from his teammates against Lilly. Minnesota has a shorthanded outfield and Baker's era is still a whopping 5.59 while Lilly is 3-1 with a 3.52 era in six starts against the Twins. The Cubs bats will come alive this afternoon as they end their four game slide with an impressive win over the Twins.
Chicago Cubs (-130) 5 Dime Interleague Winner #2
King's 40 Dime NBA Finals Pay After You win
Los Angeles Lakers (198') @ Orlando Magic (-3) 8:05, ET
Analysis By 3:30, ET
Orlando Magic (-3) 40 Dime Pay After You Win
If this line moves up to Magic -3.5 you should buy the half point down to Magic -3.
Erin Rynning
under Milw/playmaker
under Orlando/playmaker
Kelso
10 units Magic
10 units Under
5 unit parlay
Mike Lineback
Chicago Cubs