Tony Weston
Today's Selection
We’re coming at it again tonight as we’re delivering with some more college hoops action as we’re switching gears and headed to Big Ten country where we’re taking Illinois on the road at Indiana.
While you might be a little scared off by what Illinois has been doing, or hasn’t been doing, lately, don’t worry, because one of their biggest huckleberries over the last few years has been the Hoosiers.
First, Indiana is absolutely horrible. The Hoosiers are 6-17 SU this season and remarkably 9-8 ATS. They’ve been a .500 team over their last eight games, going 4-4 ATS, however, they’re only 1-7 SU in that stretch, losing, on average, 72-62.
But what’s most important in this game is what these two do when they play each other. In their last seven games the Illini are 5-1 ATS against the Hoosiers. Things were looking so bad when they hooked up earlier this year that their game in Illinois wasn’t even lined. And the Illini went on to administer a humiliating 76-45 loss to the Hoosiers on Jan. 10.
Things won’t have changed much after tonight and the Illini will deliver a similar result as they get over easy on their Big Ten rival. Take Illinois easily on the road in this one.
3♦ ILLINOIS
Sports Gambling Hotline
Illinois at INDIANA -10
Underdog winner on Saturday on Seton Hall plus the points to make it an 8-2-2 comp play run the last 12 days.
Another underdog winner this Sunday on with Indiana plus the points at home over Illinois.
Illinois crushed Indiana by 31-points in early January, but this game is not being played in Champaign, and the Fighting Illini have had their struggles on the Big 10 road, losing 4 in a row prior to this week's 1-point escape job at Northwestern as the 2-point road favorite.
Indiana still has a ways to go, but they have certainly been a tough out as a home underdog this season, going 6-2 against the spread in that role.
This is a ton of points to be laying, and with the Hoosiers looking to avenge that 31-point thumping they suffered just over a month ago, expect Indiana to keep this one a little closer than expected.
Play on the Hoosiers.
3♦ INDIANA
Karl Garrett
Temple at DUQUESNE +1'
Cal gets there on Saturday to make it a 10-4 comp play run the last 2 weeks from the G-Man.
At a near pick, look for Duquesne to get back in the win column after a road loss at Richmond. The last time the Iron Dukes played at home, they were 72-68 winners over highly-ranked Xavier. For the season, the Dukes are 9-3 straight up at home, and they are 6-4 against the spread on their home hardwood.
Temple is off a city-series win over St. Joseph's, but their free-throw shooting, or lack there of almost cost them the win, as the Owls escaped with the 2-point nail-biter after being up by 11 with just over a minute to go.
Of Temple's 9 losses this year, 8 of them have come of the road, and they did lose their last meeting at Duquesne, 96-92 as the road favorite back in 2007.
G-Man will go with Duquesne in this near pick spot.
4♦ DUQUESNE
Bobby Maxwell
North Carolina -9' at MIAMI
Delivered a FREE winner Saturday with Cal over Stanford and we've now given you comp play winners in 14 of the last 21 days. Today we'll give you another one as we go with North Carolina at Miami.
The Tar Heels just put on an impressive show at their rival's house in Duke. Now they have to go to South Florida and take on Miami and while some might think this is a letdown game, there's no way Roy Williams lets that happen to them and they'll come out and deliver a good performance.
North Carolina has won eight straight games and topped the century mark in two of their last three. They got the 101-87 victory at Duke on Wednesday and cashed as a two-point road favorite. They have cashed in three of their last four roadies and this team averages 91.7 points a game and allows just 71.9 points per contest.
Miami has dropped four of its last five games (2-3 ATS) and fell at Duke eight days ago 78-75 in overtime as a 14-point road 'dog. The Hurricanes got a big win in their last home contest, blowing out Wake Forest, but prior to that they lost outright to Virginia Tech as an eight-point favorite.
North Carolina is on positive ATS streaks of 20-6 as a favorite of 7 to 12 1/2-points and 31-15 against teams with a winning record. In the last six games between these two squads, the road team is 5-1 ATS.
The Tar Heels have won the last four in this series, and the last two trips to Miami they have won by margins of 16 and 10, both above tonight's spread. These two met back on Jan. 17 with the Heels getting an 82-65 victory at home but just missing as a 17 1/2-point favorite.
We're counting on the focus being there for North Carolina. Lay the big chalk on the road as they score a 16 point win tonight.
3♦ NORTH CAROLINA
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on DePaul +21.5
The Cards have now lost 2 of their last 3 ugly, and they will not have put their 33-point defeat at Notre Dame behind them yet. Like, Notre Dame, the Demons are desperate for a win. Seeing what the Irish did to the Cards gives the Demons added confidence going in. I expect one of their most inspired performances of the season against a Louisville team that is clearly being overvalued here. Louisville has now lost 3 of 4 against the spread and that is a bad sign for Cards backers as the Cards are just 9-25 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1997. Also, We'll play on road teams as an underdog or pick (DEPAUL) after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 60 points or less. This system is 51-23 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.
Pure Lock
Buffalo vs. Ball State
Play: Buffalo -3
Mikey Sports
Akron vs. Northern Illinois
Play: Northern Illinois +10½
R&R Totals
Atlanta Thrashers vs. Anaheim Ducks
Play: Under 5½
DUNKEL
Towson at Drexel
The Dragons are 9-2 ATS as a favorite this season and face a Towson team that is 6-10 ATS as an underdog. Drexel is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Dragons favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-11).
Game 803-804: Illinois at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 66.007; Indiana 59.477
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 10
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+10)
Game 805-806: Clemson at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 75.186; Virginia 62.487
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-8 1/2)
Game 807-808: Loyola-Chicago at Butler
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 48.379; Butler 69.739
Dunkel Line: Butler by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 19
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-19)
Game 809-810: Buffalo at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 59.657; Ball State 55.242
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-2 1/2)
Game 811-812: South Florida at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 56.842; Notre Dame 72.836
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 16
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-13 1/2)
Game 813-814: Akron at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 59.233; Northern Illinois 47.811
Dunkel Line: Akron by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 10
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-10)
Game 815-816: Towson at Drexel
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 46.455; Drexel 60.303
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 14
Vegas Line: Drexel by 11
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-11)
Game 817-818: Temple at Duquesne
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.468; Duquesne 64.890
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+1 1/2)
Game 819-820: Michigan at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 65.744; Northwestern 66.640
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 4
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4)
Game 821-822: Illinois-Chicago at Valparaiso
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 52.900; Valparaiso 58.102
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 5
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 1
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-1)
Game 823-824: DePaul at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 52.517; Louisville 71.997
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+19 1/2)
Game 825-826: Duke at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 72.891; Boston College 68.790
Dunkel Line: Duke by 4
Vegas Line: Duke by 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+7)
Game 827-828: Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 41.902; Bowling Green 56.936
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 15
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-14 1/2)
Game 829-830: Illinois State at Drake
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 61.091; Drake 58.592
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Drake by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+1 1/2)
Game 831-832: North Carolina at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 78.530; Miami (FL) 73.035
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+8 1/2)
Game 833-834: USC at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: USC 68.032; Arizona State 72.670
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 8
Dunkel Pick: USC (+8)
Game 835-836: Rider at Manhattan
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 50.951; Manhattan 56.850
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 6
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-1 1/2)
NHL
San Jose at New Jersey
The Sharks have dropped four of their last five and face a New Jersey team that has won three straight. The Devils are the underdog pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has New Jersey favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+100).
Game 1-2: Philadelphia at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.806; NY Rangers 11.112
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110); Over
Game 3-4: San Jose at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.005; New Jersey 12.710
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+100); Under
Game 5-6: Colorado at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.829; Detroit 13.301
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-360); 6
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-360); Over
Game 7-8: Washington at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.339; Florida 12.685
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+110); Under
Game 9-10: Carolina at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.872; Buffalo 12.442
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-165); Under
Game 11-12: Atlanta at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.056; Anaheim 12.006
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-210); Over
Game 13-14: Montreal at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.386; Vancouver 11.337
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-150); Over
UNDER - Total Play of the Day from Pregame.com
Illinois (-10, O/U 123.5): The Illini snapped a four-game road losing streak on Thursday with a thrilling 60-59 victory at Northwestern. They saw guard Trent Meacham score eight straight points and then assist on the game-winning basket in the final minutes after trailing 31-25 at halftime. “We’re just thinking, ‘Here we go again. We can’t get stops when we need it - we can’t make the plays when we need it,’” said Meacham. Illinois' first meeting with Indiana was anything but close, resulting in a 76-45 rout.
PROJECTED SCORE: 62
The UNDER is 8-1 in Illinois' last 9 games overall.
Indiana: The status of leading scorer Devan Dumes (13.8 points per game) remains a mystery after he was suspended following a flagrant foul against Michigan State on February 7th. Hoosiers head coach Tom Crean still does not know if Dumes will be active, and he started four freshmen in Tuesday's 62-54 loss at Minnesota. “We’ll just have to wait and see,” Crean said. “I’m being evasive. I’m not trying to hold it from you. I’m not trying to play strategy games. We’re just going day by day with this.”
PROJECTED SCORE: 52
The OVER is 7-3 in Indiana's last 10 games overall
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maddux sports
Today's Free Pick is Miami Fla +8.5
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Game 831-832: North Carolina at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 78.530; Miami (FL) 73.035
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+8 1/2)
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My Secret System using five tools:
I am on a 5-2 run with the system I have developed.
Today's pick is Clemson -6.5 (I bought two points)
Vegas Experts
Duke at Boston College
We do look for the Dookies to bounce back with a victory on Sunday, but covering this sizable number is a different story altogether. Remember, Boston College went into Chapel Hill and beat North Carolina. While the Blue Devils are off three straight ATS losses, BC is off back-to-back SU losses, so this game is crucial to the hosts as well. They are 10-2 ATS at home after playing their previous game as a home dog. Take the points.
Play on: Duke
John Ryan
South Florida vs. Notre Dame
Play: Under 140.5
Ai Simulator 3* graded play Under South Florida/Notre Dame slated to start at 2:00 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that 140 or fewer points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 23-7 mark UNDER for 77% since 2003. Play under with all teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers facing opponent after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers. SF is 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games since 1997. ND is a strong perimeter shooting team, but in this game- a must win game - they will look to work the ball into the point for high percentage shots and will focus even more attention on the defensive end. There is NO reason for ND to run and gun in this game as that would only play into the strengths of SF. Notre Dame faithful still believe they can get an at large birth and in this game defense will be the dominant factor. Take the UNDER.
Tom Freese
Illinois St at Drake
Drake is 13-4-1 ATS off an ATS loss and they are 10-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning road record. The Bulldogs are 16-7 ATS vs. teams with a winning percentage of over 60% and they are 8-3 ATS their last 11 games vs. the Redbirds. Illinois St is 3-8 ATS their last 11 Conference games and they are 1-4 ATS their last 5 games vs. winning teams. The Redbirds are 10-21 ATS off two consecutive Conference games. PLAY ON DRAKE
Dennis Macklin
Clemson at Virginia
Prediction: Clemson
The Clemson Tigers are for real winning four of last five and three of four on the ACC road, twice by DDs. Virginia is a trainwreck having lost L3 homies by DDs and have failed to cover L5 overall while failing to shoot 37% from the field in any game. How do you think hosts will like Clemson full court pressure. Lay the points.
Scott Rickenbach
Montreal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks
Prediction: Over
The Canucks just continue to be involved in high scoring games and the odds makers just haven't properly adjusted. That is giving great value to over players and the Canadiens are off of a game where they ended up netting four goals but they were outshot by a huge margin. Their defense has struggled, their goal-tending has struggled, and this one will turn into a very high-scoring match-up. That's because the Canucks continue to give up a lot of goals even though Roberto Luongo is back. Vancouver should find a way to stay hot and win this one but the OVER is offering more value than the side in this game! Consider a small play on the OVER.
Ben Burns
Philadelphia Flyers @ New York Rangers
PICK: New York Rangers
The Flyers won big (5-1) yesterday. However, that was against the lowly Islanders. Note that they're just 5-8 (-4.7) the last 13 times that they were coming off a win by two goals or more. Additionally, they're also just 19-26 the last 45 times they played the second of back to back games. During the same stretch, including an earlier loss in this series, the Flyers are an ugly 30-52 in games vs. divisional opponents.
The Rangers lost a tough one last time out, falling 2-1 in a shootout loss at Florida. However, they won their most recent home game (5-4 vs. Washington) and they're a profitable 10-4 (+3.8) on the season, when coming off a game in which they scored one goal or less. Looking back further and we find them at 32-18 their last 50 in that situation. During that stretch, the Rangers have also gone an outstanding 32-13 when playing a home game with a total of 5.5. They've got a great chance at improving on those numbers here. Consider New York
Jack Jones
Colorado +300 over Detroit
I know some of you don't know anything about hockey, so if you don't want to comment on this game, just give me your opinions on some other hoops action today and I'll still send you the premium pick. This is a pretty hefty underdog that I think shows value, but remember if Colorado has better than a 1 in 4 shot at winning this game, it would be worth a play. The Avalanche have beaten the Red Wings twice this year already, including a 3-2 victory at Detroit back in December. I know Colorado is in last place out West, but they have played better than their record shows, like Friday when they outshot the Candiens 48-23 yet lost. I think this line should be around +225, so there is quite a bit of value today if you want to take the Avalanche.