Carlo Campanella
Charlotte Bobcats at Houston Rockets
The Houston Rockets are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, they've won 3 straight games and 6 of their last 8 overall. Houston's 4-0 SU during the last four meetings in this series and now host a Charlotte squad that's a horrible 6-18 on the road this season. Lay the points with this home Favorite as they continue their winning streak on Sunday as we find them at a profitable 20-7 ATS against Southeast Division opponents.
Play on: Houston
Jimmy Boyd
Michigan vs. Iowa
Play: Iowa -1
Iowa is just .500 on the season, but it is 11-3 at home. Michigan is just 2-6 in true road games and in a big letdown spot here after knocking off Minnesota. Iowa has played its best ball against the best at home and that was evidenced by its performance against Purdue last game. Iowa is 10-1 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 65.0 to 56.9 in these games. Michigan is just 3-11 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 54.7 to 63.5. We'll take the Hawkeyes at home here
LT Profits
Michigan State -8.5
The home team has dominated the head-to-head series between the Michigan State Spartans and look for the Spartans to continue that home dominance.
Michigan State should also be in an ornery mood here after getting blown out by 18 points at Purdue on Tuesday, so returning home and facing Wisconsin in a down year seems like the perfect remedy. Sure, this spread may seem a tad large at first glance, but remember that the Spartans are winning their home games by an average of +13.9 games this year.
MSU is very balanced offensively and defensively, as they rank number 22 in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency and number 14 in adjusted defensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy Ratings. The also rank fourth in the country in offensive rebounding percentage, which is significant here as Wisconsin ranks 199 in that category, meaning the Spartans should have the edge in second-chance points.
The Badgers are a disappointing 17-9 overall and just 8-6 inside the conference. They have a losing 4-5 record in their true road games including 3-4 on the road in conference, and those were vs. Indiana, Penn State and Michigan. Wisconsin has yet to beat a team of the Spartans caliber away from home, and the fact that State is coming off of a bad loss diminishes the Badgers chances even more.
Finally, Wisconsin has won the last four head-to-head meetings including wins in the last two Big Ten Tournaments, so Michigan State seems primed for revenge this afternoon.
Pick: Michigan State -8.5
Tom Freese
New Orleans at UL-Lafayette
New Orleans is 15-5 ATS on the road off a straight up win as an underdog in their last game and they are 10-4 ATS their last 14 games of underdogs of 7 points to 12.5 points. The Privateers are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games as underdogs. UL-Lafayette is 0-7 ATS after scoring 60 points or less in two straight games and they are 1-5 ATS revenging a loss where they scored 60 or less points. The Ragin' Cajuns are 4-11 ATS their last 15 games as favorites and they are 3-7 ATS off an ATS loss. PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS -
Matt Fargo
Illinois at Ohio State
Prediction: Illinois
The public is all over Ohio St. as the short number for the home team looks very attractive. However the wrong team is favored in what should be a big bounce back game for Illinois. The Illini are coming off one of the worst offensive games we have seen lately as they managed to score only 33 points on 30 percent shooting in a home loss against Penn St. Embarrassment is an understatement and they want to make up for that performance on Sunday. Their 33 points ranked as the school?s worst output since 1947 and displayed what happens when the Illini aren?t at their sharpest when cutting, screening and doing all of the other motion offense basics. Ohio St. prefers to play a zone defense so the motion offense may not be an option and that will work in the favor of Illinois as it can rely on open looks from the perimeter. Ohio St. has lost two straight games and even though those came on the road, this is a tough bounce back assignment at home. Illinois continues to lead the Big Ten and rank among the nation?s leaders in multiple assist-based categories. Entering the week, the Illini ranked first in the country in assists-per-basket ratio at 70.2 percent, 3rd in assist/turnover ratio at 1.48 and 5th in assists per game at 18.1 assists per contest. Ohio St. cannot match up with those numbers and all we need to see is its assist/turnover ratio which is at 0.99 and fading teams that are below the breakeven point is usually very rewarding. Illinois won the first meeting this season by 18 points and while it sets up a revenge situation, the matchups outweigh any sort of revenge that is thought to be come into play. The Illini fall into a great situation. Play on road teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams that are allowing fewer than 63 ppg, after scoring 50 points or less. This situation is 32-13 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1997. Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a loss so it has been able to bounce back very well of late and we will see it again on Sunday. 3* Illinois Illini
Free Selection from Totals4U
Sunday's free selection: Minnesota Golden Gophers - 6
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National Sports Advisors
LA Lakers @ Minnesota
Time: 7:05 PM EST
Pick: Minnesota +10.5
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Charlies Sports - free pick
nba. lakers @ minnesota+10. Without their starting center, the
Los Angeles Lakers keep driving forward. The Minnesota
Timberwolves, meanwhile, have been lost without their big man.
The Lakers look for their fourth straight win overall and fourth in
a row at the Target Center tonight when they face a Timberwolves
team trying to stop a five-game slide at home, t'wolves cover+10.
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CELTICS vs. SUNS FREE PICK from JRTips
Two teams missing their All-Star power forwards will square off
Sunday afternoon in Phoenix as the Suns had no problem adjusting
to life without Amare Stoudemire in their first game without him and
now the Boston Celtics are about to find out how they'll play without
Kevin Garnett. The Suns will have a tougher time trying to continue
their string of 140-point games even with Garnett on the sidelines for
the defensive-minded Celtics who allow the second-fewest points
per game (92.0) in the league behind the Cavaliers. After hanging
140 and 142 points on the Clippers on back-to-back nights, Phoenix
didn't miss a beat on Friday in its first game without Stoudemire in
a 140-118 home win over Oklahoma City. New coach Alvin Gentry
inserted guard Leandro Barbosa in the starting lineup against
Oklahoma City, and the former Sixth Man of the Year scored a
career-high 41 points. With Garnett out, the Suns strategy will be
to get Shaquille O'Neal heavily involved as he has looked good in
his last three games. averaging 17.7 points on 76.7 percent
shooting in about 26 minutes per contest. O'Neal had 16 points in
Phoenix's first meeting with the Celtics on Jan. 19, but the Suns
were blown out losing by 30-points at halftime en route to a 104-87
victory.The Boston Celtics loss 90-85 in Utah when kevin Garnett
went out at halftime with a strained right knee. The Suns love to
play running up and down as they strive in this up tempo offense.
The Suns are playing their best basketball of the season and have
plenty of confidence. This is the perfect spot for the Suns playing a
nationally televised game with their new revised energy, against the
Celtics in which they seek a revenge from the most embarrassing
loss of the season. The Celtics are playing their 4th game on the
road and without kevin Garnett in the lineup, the Celtics give up 5
more points a game which they can't afford playing this hot Suns
team.
TAKE PHOENIX-1 free pick from JRTips
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Maddux Sports
Today's Free Pick is Wisconsin +8.5
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NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS -
Free Winner from Gerry "BIG CAT" Andino
FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS
Clemson @ Georgia Tech
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Pick: Clemson -7
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Sports System Laugh Corner 😀
Bookies Nightmare Pick System
We are sizzling on a 5 wins and
1 loss run with our sports picks 😮
Those who did not buy the two
extra points on Siena yesterday
lost. Buying the two points won
us that game. 😛
Today's pick is: Ohio State on
the money line. (-135) 8)
DUNKEL
Charlotte at Houston
The Bobcats (22-33 SU) are 8-3 ATS as a road underdog between 6 1/2 and 9 points, while the Rockets are just 10-20 ATS against teams with a losing record. Charlotte is the underdog pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Houston favored by only 2 1/2.
Game 801-802: Chicago at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 119.779; Indiana 120.041
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 204 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 803-804: New York at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: New York 115.100; Toronto 119.333
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 4; 214 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2 1/2); Under
Game 805-806: Boston at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 124.946; Phoenix 122.376
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 225
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+2); Under
Game 807-808: Charlotte at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 117.952; Houston 120.380
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 188 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+6 1/2); Over
Game 809-810: Denver at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.729; Milwaukee 120.884
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 811-812: Miami at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 115.379; Orlando 125.830
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 10 1/2; 187 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 813-814: LA Clippers at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 109.292; Portland 124.386
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 15; 214
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 815-816: LA Lakers at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 123.944; Minnesota 116.104
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8; 216 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+10); Over
Game 817-818: Detroit at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 115.872; Cleveland 124.987
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 179 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+10); Over
NCAAB
Wisconsin at Michigan State
The Spartans have won nine of their last 11 ATS as a home favorite between 6 1/2 and 9 points. Michigan State is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-8).
Game 819-820: Wisconsin at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 68.101; Michigan State 78.595
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-8)
Game 821-822: Massachusetts at St. Joseph's
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 59.046; St. Joseph's 62.134
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 3
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+6 1/2)
Game 823-824: Villanova at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 73.148; Syracuse 72.888
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 3
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+3)
Game 825-826: Clemson at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 72.741; Georgia Tech 62.221
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 7
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-7)
Game 527-828: George Washington at Xavier
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 49.868; Xavier 72.491
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-18 1/2)
Game 829-830: St. Bonaventure at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 50.370; Temple 68.159
Dunkel Line: Temple by 18
Vegas Line: Temple by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-16 1/2)
Game 831-832: Duquesne at LaSalle
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 60.790; LaSalle 60.584
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 3
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+3)
Game 833-834: Northwestern at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 64.254; Minnesota 66.385
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+6)
Game 835-836: West Virginia at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 72.125; Rutgers 60.743
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 10
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-10)
Game 837-838: Michigan at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 65.324; Iowa 63.491
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 2
Vegas Line: Iowa by 1
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+1)
Game 839-840: Seton Hall at St. John's
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 63.993; St. John's 62.520
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 1
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+1)
Game 841-842: Wake Forest at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 70.190; Duke 74.127
Dunkel Line: Duke by 4
Vegas Line: Duke by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+6 1/2)
Game 843-844: New Orleans at UL-Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 45.160; UL-Lafayette 51.255
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 6
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 7
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+7)
Game 845-846: Arizona at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 68.986; Arizona State 75.460
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+7 1/2)
Game 847-848: Illinois at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 66.370; Ohio State 72.962
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-2 1/2)
NHL
Colorado at Carolina
The Avalanche are coming off a 4-1 win at Washington and look to build on their 11-9 record after scoring 4 or more goals in their previous game. Colorado is the underdog pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+135).
Game 51-52: Colorado at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.912; Carolina 11.395
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+135); Over
Game 53-54: Pittsburgh at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.968; Washington 11.586
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-215); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+180); Under
Game 55-56: Boston at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.829; Tampa Bay 11.143
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-240); Over
Game 57-58: Toronto at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.313; NY Rangers 11.434
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-185); Over
Game 59-60: Minnesota at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.677; Chicago 11.138
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-215); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+180); Under
Complimentary Selection - from Jeff Benton
Sunday’s freebie comes from the NBA, as we’ll play Portland as a big home favorite against the Clippers.
The Clippers are freakin’ train wreck, folks, and even though they’ve had three full days off, they still stand no chance of competing against the Blazers at the Rose Garden tonight.
After going into the All-Star break on a nice 3-1 uptick (2-2 ATS), Los Angeles started this week with two completely embarrassing losses to the Phoenix Suns, 140-100 on the road and 142-119 at home The Clippers have now failed to cover in four straight games and 11 of the last 13, and the SU winner is 12-1 ATS during this stretch. In fact, the winner is 18-3 ATS in L.A.’s last 21 games, during which time Mike Dunleavy’s team has cashed a grand total of six times despite being an underdog in all but one of those contests.
What’s more, the Clippers have lost 13 of their last 15 road games, and in those 13 losses, they’ve been defeated by the following point margins: 40, 19, 29, 24, 8, 17, 15, 17, 22, 5, 8, 2 and 34. That’s nine double-digit road defeats!
Now they face a Blazers squad that’s won seven straight home games and 10 of 11. Including Friday’s 108-98 rout of Atlanta, Portland is on a 14-6 SU run, with such lopsided triumphs as 14 points over the Thunder, 14 points over the Jazz, 14 points over the Bobcats, 13 points over Washington, 17 points over Milwaukee, 14 points over Chicago, 13 points over Golden State and – their biggest win of the bunch! – a 113-88 rout of the Clippers in Los Angeles, cashing easily as a 10½-point road favorite.
Finally, even though the Blazers embark on a three-game road trip this week, the first of those games isn’t until Tuesday in Houston. So with an off day Monday, we should see Portland’s starters go the distance in this one. If they do, lord help the Clippers, who are giving up an average of 116.4 ppg in their last 10 outings, eight of which have been played on the road. Lay the chalk.
(based on a 1♦ to a 10 ♦ Rating)
7♦ TRAIL BLAZERS
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In the last two months I have been following this guy I have not seen a free
pick rated 7 before.
JACK JONES
Seton Hall +1 over St. John's
St. John's has lost five in a row to get to 3-10 in Big east play. This team has also lost 10 of their last 12 games, with those two wins coming against the likes of Rutgers and South Florida, more bottom dwellars in the conference. Seton Hall is coming off a couple of losses to UConn and Marquette, but they played two of the Big East's elite tougher than you would have expected, especially on defense. Seton Hall won by 10 earlier in the year on their home floor and had put together five straight wins before falling to the Huskies and Golden Eagles, so there isn't much of a doubt in my mind who is the better team here.
New York Knicks +3 over Toronto Raptors
New York has won 12 of their last 15 games at the pay window and I think they have a great chance to win again tonight in Toronto. These two teams met on Friday night and the Knicks easily took care of the Raptors 127-97. This Toronto team has been very disappointing all year long, and they have only put up 89 ppg over their last 5, which means they will have a tough time keeping up with a Knicks team that is averaging nearly 120 during that same span.
Today's Complimentary Selection from Jake Timlin
Even with the Orange having already lost three home games this year the Carrier Dome is still a tough place for visiting teams and it will be once again for Villanova today. After all given that Syracuse could really use a marquee win to build their tournament resume I fully see the Orange getting revenge against the Wildcats after losing at Villanova earlier this season. You see helping Syracuse out will be the fact that Villanova is human on the road as they have lost 4 of their 5 game this season on the highway, including their last road game by 21 points at West Virginia. Meanwhile, for Syracuse despite their up and down season they have won and covered their last two games at home to get now one win away from their 20th win of the season. Well getting their 20th win of the season I look for the Orange to get their revenge over the Wildcats as Syracuse pulls away late for the cover win.
Lay the points on Syracuse today!
FREE PICK: Syracuse Orange
Jeff Alexander Sports
1 Unit on LA Lakers -10
The Lakers won 132-119 here on January 30th and I like them to drop another double digit defeat on the T-Wolves today. Here's the key, plain and simple: The Lakers are 11-0 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 117.2 to 102.9. Also, Minnesota is 2-12 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. We'll lay the points.
VEGAS EXPERTS
New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors
The Knicks have been a cash machine for Over bettors of late, going Over in all eight games this month. Don't look for the streak to end Sunday afternoon North of the Border as Toronto just gave up 127 points to New York in Madison Sqaure Garden two nights ago and now return home where they already allow an average of about 100 points per game. The last four meetings between these teams have all gone Over.
Play on: Over
John Ryan
Charlotte Bobcats at Houston Rockets
Prediction: Charlotte Bobcats
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Charlotte as they travel to face Houston slated to start at 5:00 EST. AiS shows a 72% probability that Charlotte will lose this game by 6 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 342-239 ATS for 59% winners and has made a whopping 79.1 units since 2003. Obviously, if you like action than this is a system you want to start using now and for the foreseeable future. Play on road teams after a game where they failed to cover the spread and is bad team posting a win percentage of 25% to 40% of their games on the season. Charlotte is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing <=14 turnovers/game this season while Houston is just 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Houston is also just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a game where they made 85% of their free throws or better this season. Charlotte is also a strong 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season; 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Take Charlotte.
Los Angeles Lakers at Minnesota Timberwolves
Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Minnesota as they host the Lakers slated to start at 7:05 EST. AiS shows an 83% probability that Minnesota will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 26-7 ATS for 79% since 1996. Play on dogs of 10 or more points after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games facing an opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. Here is a second system that has gone 46-17 ATS for 73% winners since 2003. Play against favorites after a win by 6 points or less facing an opponent after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games. Lakers are just 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season. HC McHale is a strong 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent in all games he has coached since 1996. Take Minnesota.
BEN BURNS
Toronto Maple Leafs @ New York Rangers
PICK: New York Rangers
This play is "too expensive" to qualify as one of my premium plays. That said, I feel the Rangers have an excellent shot at coming away with the two points and that the price is actually quite reasonable.
Note that the home team has won both games in this series this season. Additionally, note that the Rangers were laying -220 the last time the teams met here. That goes back to my point about the line being "fair."
Both teams come off losses yesterday. However, the Leafs' loss figures to be much tougher to bounce back from. For starters, they had to play overtime and lost in a shootout. More importantly, that was a very emotional game, as it came vs. their longtime leader, Mats Sundin.
The Leafs are 12-22 (-5.1) the last 37 times that they played a road game with an over/under line of 5.5. During the same stretch, the Rangers were 33-14 (+12.2) when playing a home game with an over/under line of 5.5. Consider laying the wood.
DAVID CHAN
Boston Celtics @ Phoenix Suns
PICK: Over
There are very few sure things when it comes to sports betting, yet a lot of bettors think the 'under' in today's Celtics-Suns game is exactly that.
The thinking is that the Celtics are going to slow the suddenly surging Suns down to a crawl, but without KG, I don't know they can do that.
The fact here is, the Celtics should be able to score at will against an awful Suns defense. Maybe awful is a little harsh, the Suns simply don't play defense, at least in that's been the case in their first three games under Alvin Gentry.
As good as the Suns have been offensively since the coaching change, they've given up 100 points or more in two games against the Clippers and one against the Thunder. It's my opinion that the Celtics can get up around 115 in this game, even without Garnett. So that means we would need only 108 from the Suns, a full 32 points fewer than they've scored in their last three games. It certainly looks doable to me.
This total definitely looks high at first glance, but that's only because the Celtics, one of the league's best in terms of defense, are involved. Don't lose sight of the fact that they're only part of the equation today, and they're not nearly as tough without Garnett. On Thursday they gave up 38 in the first half with KG, 52 in the second half without him. This should be a fun game to watch.