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Drew Gordon

Denver -7 at SACRAMENTO

All you have to do is pop in the DVD of the last two meetings between these two teams, and you'll see why I'm siding with the Nuggets here, despite their recent struggles on the road. Both times they played this season, the Nuggets won by double-digits, scoring 118 points in each of those contests! More of the same tonight, as Denver is angling for home court and cannot afford to lose to this NBA bottom-feeder.

Match up-wise, it doesn't look like Kenyon Martin is going to play, as he's listed day-to-day with back spasms. However, I like the depth behind Martin in the Nuggets frontcourt (Petro, Anderson, Balkman, and Kleiza), and truth be told, they should have little trouble making up for his production against a very suspect Kings frontline (Thompson is just a rookie, and Garcia is hardly a consistent threat).

But we know the true disparity in this contest comes at the small forward position, and in the backcourt. The trifecta of Anthony, Billups, and Smith can and will dominate their couterpart on the Kings. Sure, Martin will get his, but after him, the Kings have NO ONE.

Finally, let me throw two trends at you, as the Kings are a pathetic 7-18 ATS in their last 25 home games. And, the road team in this series is 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings... So needless to say, all signs point to a Nuggets road win and cover in this one. The fact they've been struggling on the road, only serves to further focus this Denver team, as they may looked past the Kings if they were winning, but now cannot afford a slip-up tonight. Nuggets roll!

Take Denver over Sacramento in this NBA match up.

2♦ DENVER

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 7:14 am
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Sports Gambling Hotline

Purdue at MICHIGAN STATE -6'

Our comp play run is 20-11-2 the last 33 days!

We will go ahead and lay the wood with the Spartans in their home finale this Sunday night, as Michigan State should be chomping at the bit to avenge a rather lop-sided 72-54 loss at West Lafayette back on February 17th.

That win ran the Boilers series winning streak to 2 straight, and 3 of the last 4, while also covering in those 4 games. In fact, Purdue has covered 5 in a row in this series, but we see that streak coming to a halt today.

Michigan State has won 4 straight, and 7 of their last 8 with their lone loss in that span coming to Purdue. The Spartans have covered their last 5 when laying single digits, and they do catch Purdue off a very shocking home loss to Northwestern earlier this week.

The Boilermakers are just 3-8 against the spread on the road this year, and the favorite in this rivalry stands at 10-3 against the spread in the last 13 series meetings.

We say to lay the single digits as Michigan State avenges their earlier loss to Purdue in convincing fashion.

Play on the Spartans.

4♦ MICHIGAN STATE

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 7:14 am
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Karl Garrett

Indiana +17 at WISCONSIN

The Indiana Hoosiers are perfect on the road this season! Perfect as in the fact they are 0-10 straight up as a true visitor this year, and while the G-Man expects them to remain perfect at 0-11, I do like Tom Crean's team plus the points at Wisconsin today.

Indiana has played a more competitive brand of basketball to close the season out, as the Hoosiers have been a pointspread winner in their last pair, 3 of 4, and 5 of their last 9 overall.

Wisconsin has cooled off since their 5-game winning streak, as the Badgers have dropped 2 of their last 3 straight up, and all 3 against the spread.

Bo Ryan's team could use a romp today, but at just 5-8 against the spread at home this year, it makes it tough to trust the Badgers minus this many points.

True, Wisconsin is on a 3-game series win and cover streak, but the series is a 4-4 spread split the last 8 meetings overall.

G-Man grabbing the generous spot today, and rolling with the Hoosiers to find the back-door.

2♦ INDIANA

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 7:15 am
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Tom Freese

Memphis at Houston

Houston is 18-6 UNDER as home favorites of 11 or more points and they are 6-1 UNDER off an ATS loss. The Rockets are 4-1 UNDER after scoring 100 or more points in their last game and they are 5-2 UNDER after allowing 100 or more points in their last game. Memphis is 4-0 UNDER after allowing 100 or more points in their last game and they are 4-0 UNDER vs. their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Grizzlies are 5-2 UNDER on Sunday and they are 17-8 UNDER their last 25 games vs. the Rockets. PLAY ON 'UNDER'

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 8:07 am
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Matt Fargo

Northwestern at Ohio State
Prediction: Ohio State

It is revenge time for the Buckeyes who will be looking to get some payback from an earlier loss this season in Evanston. There are also other important things on the line, namely an NCAA tournament berth. A win here gets Ohio St. to 10-8 in the Big Ten and closer to an at-large bid, something that was not looking good a week ago. The Buckeyes were in a tailspin, losing four of five games and they were then taken to the final seconds at Iowa on Tuesday but prevailed. A loss there would have most likely ended any sort of realistic hope of making the Big Dance but now there is new life. It can be argued that beating a bad Hawkeyes team means nothing but when teams have their backs against a wall and come out with a victory, those are some of the biggest even if the opposition was not good. In addition to adding another win to the resume, a victory here coupled with a loss by Wisconsin means a first round bye in the upcoming Big Ten Tournament. The good thing is that Ohio St. plays its game first before Wisconsin does so it will not know any outcome which is big. Why? Because the Badgers are taking on Indiana so a loss is very unlikely since they are 5-0 at home against the Hoosiers under Bo Ryan and they are an incredible 55-0 in their last 55 home games against unranked Big Ten opponents. I think we can chalk up a Badgers win on Senior Day but anything can happen and Ohio St. can only get a shot at that bye if it wins so it will be an all out effort. Northwestern enters this game off its third win this season against a ranked opponent, the second on the road. That is no doubt impressive and it made it three straight victories for the Wildcats who are currently 8-9 in the Big Ten and a win here assures nothing as far as the NCAA Tournament goes. The Wildcats are going to have to make a long run in the conference tournament, probably all the way to the championship game to make an impression with the NCAA Tournament selection committee. I just don?t see Northwestern keeping it going here with a lot on the line for the other side as well. That latest victory over Purdue was nice but the Boilermakers had absolutely nothing to play for as the regular season title was already locked up. The more efficient Ohio St. offense gets it done on Sunday and keeps a lot of possibilities still open for the Buckeyes. 3* Ohio St. Buckeyes

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 8:08 am
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Duke Blue Devils +8.5

Ty Lawson is the engine of the Heels and did not practice Saturday due to a toe injury. This rivalry is huge and I expect him to be in the lineup, but I don't expect him to log as many minutes or to be as effective. Duke brings a 5-game winning streak into this one and the revenge factor. Keeping all of these things in mind, it is clear that Duke is getting too many points here today. Duke won at UNC last season with a team not as good as this one so the Devils will not be lacking confidence. A win also gives Duke a share of the ACC title and that further adds to the motivation of beating the Heels. The Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Underdog is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win, and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Take the points!

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 8:09 am
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Alex Smart

Vanderbilt -8

Vanderbilt is currently playing some very good basketball, winning two straight against former SEC champions LSU and current leaders South Carolina on the road, and have notched victories in 7 of their L/10 overall. Their hosts are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, having lost 9 of their L/10 and 11 of their L/13 trips to the hardwood.

The last two most recent times these programs have faced each other, the Razorbacks, have come out on top , and now with the Dores in double revenge mode, I expect the Hogs 0-7 SU (1-5-1 ATS) SEC away record to sink further into negative territory.

Final notes & Key Trends: Commodores are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Home team is 8-3 ATL/11 in this series. Razorbacks are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and have failed to cover 5 of their L/7 as a road dog of between 7 to 12.5 points.

Play on Vanderbilt

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 9:20 am
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DUNKEL

Utah at Toronto
The Jazz (39-23 SU) look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is just 1-8 ATS against teams with winning records in the second half of the season. Utah is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Jazz favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Utah (-5 1/2).

Game 801-802: Utah at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 124.818; Toronto 116.126
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 8 1/2; 217 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 5 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-5 1/2); Over

Game 803-804: Orlando at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 120.125; Boston 122.893
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 3; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+4 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Phoenix at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 118.601; San Antonio 125.934
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 214
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 220
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6); Under

Game 807-808: New York at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: New York 115.355; New Jersey 118.538
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 3; 225
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 4 1/2; 220
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Memphis at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 112.036; Houston 127.050
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 15; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 12 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-12 1/2); Over

Game 811-812: Philadelphia at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 116.543; Oklahoma City 117.272
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 206
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 813-814: Denver at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.619; Sacramento 112.626
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 8; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-7); Under

NCAAB

Virginia Tech at Florida State
The Hokies are coming off a loss versus North Carolina (86-78) and are just 1-3 ATS after allowing 80 or more points in their previous game. The Seminoles are the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has FSU favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: FSU (-5 1/2).

Game 815-816: Alabama at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 58.686; Tennessee 72.493
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 14
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 13
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-13)

Game 817-818: Akron at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 57.027; Kent State 60.262
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 3
Vegas Line: Kent State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+4 1/2)

Game 819-820: Central Michigan at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 50.647; Western Michigan 56.783
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 6
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 5
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-5)

Game 821-822: Eastern Michigan at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 46.965; Ball State 56.135
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 9
Vegas Line: Ball State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-7 1/2)

Game 823-824: Ohio at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 53.110; Bowling Green 56.460
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+4 1/2)

Game 825-826: Northern Illinois at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 446.276; Toledo 50.659
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 4
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-4)

Game 827-828: Virginia Tech at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 64.655; Florida State 72.447
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 8
Vegas Line: Florida State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-5 1/2)

Game 829-830: Arkansas at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 58.713; Vanderbilt 68.954
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 10
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 8
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-8)

Game 831-832: Miami (OH) at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 53.967; Buffalo 57.534
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3)

Game 833-834: Duke at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 71.896; North Carolina 81.794
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 10
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 8
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-8)

Game 835-836: Northwestern at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 62.454; Ohio State 70.200
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-5 1/2)

Game 837-838: Clemson at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 68.101; Wake Forest 73.776
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 5
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-5)

Game 839-840: Florida International vs. Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 48.200; Western Kentucky 57.283
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 9
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+9)

Game 841-842: Middle Tennessee State vs. North Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 50.044; North Texas 54.485
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-2)

Game 843-844: Denver vs. Arkansas Little Rock
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 50.504; Arkansas Little Rock 58.385
Dunkel Line: Arkansas Little Rock by 8
Vegas Line: Arkansas Little Rock by 7
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas Little Rock (-7)

Game 845-846: South Alabama vs. Troy
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.412; Troy 55.882
Dunkel Line: Troy by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Troy

Game 847-848: Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 61.277; Northern Iowa 61.289
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 849-850: Old Dominion vs. VA Commonwealth
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 58.212; VA Commonwealth 59.787
Dunkel Line: VA Commonwealth by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 851-852: Santa Clara vs. Gonzaga
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 53.098; Gonzaga 71.097
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 18
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 855-856: Portland vs. St. Mary's (CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 55.715 St. Mary's (CA) 61.703
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 857-858: College of Charleston vs. Davidson
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 53.213; Davidson 60.206
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 859-860: Samford vs. TN-Chattanooga
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 49.823; TN-Chattanooga 49.023
Dunkel Line: Samford by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 861-862: Fairfield vs. Siena
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 47.867; Siena 62.978
Dunkel Line: Siena by 15
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 863-864: Rider vs. Niagara
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 52.151; Niagara 62.526
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 865-866: Purdue at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 69.639; Michigan State 75.688
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 6
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-5 1/2)

Game 867-868: Indiana at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 54.157; Wisconsin 72.970
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 19
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 16
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-16)

NHL

Calgary at Atlanta
The Thrashers look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is playing its fourth straight game on the road and is 0-3 after playing 3 or more consecutive road games. Atlanta is the underdog pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Thrashers favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+160).

Game 51-52: Boston at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.114; NY Rangers 11.431
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-110); Under

Game 53-54: Pittsburgh at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.406; Washington 11.968
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 55-56: Colorado at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 9.669; Chicago 11.879
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-260); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-260); Over

Game 57-58: Phoenix at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.306; NY Islanders 10.707
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-120); Under

Game 59-60: Calgary at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.542; Atlanta 11.701
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+160); Over

Game 61-62: Montreal at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.940; Dallas 11.587
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-130); Under

Game 63-64: Minnesota at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.399; Anaheim 11.148
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 9:24 am
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Michael Cannon

Duke at NORTH CAROLINA -8'

Lay the points with North Carolina at home today over Duke.

I know Ty Lawson is questionable for this game after suffering a foot injury in practice, but the Tarheels are going to cover this number with or without him.

Although it will be a bit easier if Lawson does play.

Duke just doesn’t have the athletes to hang with Carolina’s frenetic pace for a full 40 minutes. The Tarheels have run the Blue Devils ragged over the last few years, winning five of the last six meetings SU.

Duke is also weak in the interior, and teams have been able to penetrate the lane against them without much resistance. Look for the Tarheels to attack Duke in the lane no matter who is running the point tonight.

North Carolina is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings with Duke and the Tarheels are also on ATS upticks of 7-3 after a non-cover and 13-5 at home against teams with a winning road record.

Duke is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 against opponents who have a winning percentage over .600 and 1-4 ATS in its last five after a non-cover.

Take North Carolina minus the points as they grab the home win and cover.

3♦ NORTH CAROLINA

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 9:33 am
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Dwayne Bryant

Miami (Ohio) +3 vs Buffalo

Rematch in the MAC East as Miami (Ohio) visits Buffalo today. In "Round 1" this season at Miami (Ohio), the Bulls scored a 76-64 upset win as 8-point dogs on 1/24/09. That snapped a four-game winning streak by Miami (Ohio) in this series.In that game, Buffalo shot 50% from the field (8.5% above their season average) and 62.5% from 3-point range (27.4% above their season average). The Bulls were also +5 in turnovers and +8 in rebounds. The Red Hawks shot just 38.8% from the field in that contest. While I still expect Buffalo to win the battle on the boards, I do expect the Red Hawks to win the turnover battle this time around, as well as hold the Bulls closer to their season shooting averages.The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the Red Hawks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Buffalo.I expect this game to go down to the final possession, so I'll grab the points with revenge-minded Miami (Ohio).

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 9:47 am
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Greg Shaker

N. Texas -2 vs Mid. Tenn

The Hottest Team in the Sunbelt is North Texas, winning their last 7 of 8 games and in many cases in impressive fashion. This team is rebounding the ball very well and that is giving them the extra shots that they need to win games. That is exactly what they did the last time these two met and the Eagles came away with a 12 point win on the Blue Raiders homecourt. While MTS has righted themselves with recent wins, they have not been so impressive doing it with a lethargic game and non-cover verses Ark State, wins verses non-impressive teams of Fla Int, and Fla Atl. Sandwiched inbetween that was a thrashing by Western Kentucky on their home floor. That means that they are just 2-6 ATS last 8 and the fact is, the confidence level is not very high for MTS. That is just the opposite for our team, who clearly are near the top of their class in this conference and sitting in the front row. Neither one of these squads are going to go to the NCAA unless they win the conference Tourney. North Texas has the best shot and I think their desire and confidence will shine through today in Hot Springs Arkansas. PLAY NORTH TEXAS.

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 9:48 am
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Johnny Guild

Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics have won 12 of the last 14 clashes versus the Orlando Magic, going 12-2 ATS. Look for Boston stingy defense to contain Orlando. The Celtics won both earlier meetings this season against Orlando holding them to an average of 84 points. Take Boston at TD Banknorth Garden. The home team in this series is 21-7 ATS in the last 28 meetings.

Boston Celtics -3.5

NCAAB

Michigan St. Spartans -5.5
Florida St. Seminoles -5.5
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -5

GINA

Utah Jazz at Toronto Raptors

The Jazz are on a roll, winning their last ten games, while the Raptors have lost four straight. Go with the hot Jazz! Utah is 5-2 both straight-up and against the spread in the last seven meetings versus the struggling Raptors in Toronto.

Utah Jazz -5½

Mr. A

Utah Jazz -5½
Boston Celtics -4
Denver Nuggets -7

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:42 am
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WUNDERDOG

Orlando at Boston
Pick: Boston -4

Two of the top teams in the east clash in what should be a good game in Boston. The Celtics have taken care of Orlando twice already this season as they aren't intimidated by Dwight Howard. Boston is already assured of the playoffs but they remain a half game behind Cleveland for the top spot and the all-important home court advantage. This is a good matchup for Boston who has held Orlando under 100 points in four straight meetings, holding them to an average of just 88.8 points per game. Since the Big Three have been here, Boston is 80-59 ATS as a favorite including 20-9 ATS against teams at .700 or better. The Celtics have the better offense, the better defense, home court advantage and motivation, so laying four points here is not a problem

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:42 am
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Jack Jones

Bowling Green -5 over Ohio

I like the defense Bowling Green plays to help them win this game today. They are giving up just 61.2 ppg at home this year and 56 ppg over their last five. Ohio is 0-9 ATS on the rod against teams allowing less than 64 ppg the second half of the last two season. Ohio has been having problems offensively so this is not a good matchup for them, as they are 0-8 ATS on the road after scoring 25 points or less in their last game the last two years. Bowling Green won the first meeting between these two teams this year, and they should win the home portion in a big way today.

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 10:57 am
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LT Profits

Arkansas Little Rock -7

The Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans went 22-7 overall this season including 15-3 in conference play, but they realize that they are still not guaranteed an NCAA Tournament berth, so do not expect a letdown when they face the lowly Denver Pioneers in the Sun Belt Conference Tournament.

The Trojans closed the season strong by winning eight of their last nine games straight up, and they are also on a very nice 11-3 run against the spread. Keep in mind though that the Sun Belt does not get that much respect from the selection committee, so the Trojans know that the best way to remove all doubt about where they will be playing in the post-season is to win this tournament.

Arkansas-Little Rock is also 11-3 straight up and 10-3 ATS on the road, which will serve them well here on a neutral court. They also did win and cover vs. Denver during the regular season, although that win did come at home.

The Pioneers finished at just 15-15 SU overall this season and 10-8 in the conference, and unlike UALR, they did not get the benefit of a first round bye, advancing to this point with a 66-57 win on their home floor over a bad UL Monroe team Wednesday. Also, Denver was a poor road team this year at 2-12 SU.

The bottom line here is that the Trojans are the far superior team here, and with the motivation of needing to win the tourney to advance to the Big Dance for sure, we look for an emphatic victory.

Pick: Arkansas-Little Rock -7

 
Posted : March 8, 2009 11:40 am
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