SportsKingz
SYRACUSE -2
MICHIGAN ST. -4
LOUISVILLE -11.5
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
Syracuse -2 over Arizona State
The Orange are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games as a favorite. Down the stretch the Orange have been on of the hottest teams in the the nation as they won 8 of their last 9 games and a case can be made that that lone loss was due to all the extra OT periods they had played the previous nights. Well the Orange are now rested and ready for a solid run in the tourney. The Orange defense has been very good down the stretch and if you take out the 6 OT game vs UConn then they have allowed just 55.9 ppg in their other 8 games, and that still includes 2 other OT games. ASU has not been that hot down the stretch, as they limped into the Pac-10 tourney with a 1-3 mark right before and then they lost to USC in the title game. ASU's numbers vs Temple were solid as they shot 51.3% from the field, including 57.1% from beyond the arc, while the Owls shot just 37.3% overall and 35.5% from beyond the arc. Despite those solid numbers the Sun Devils still only won by 9. ASU won't have those kinds of numbers in this one as the Orange are simply a better team than the Owls. ASU has played good defense this year, but the Orange have scored 73.7 ppg when playing away from home and 84.3 ppg on neutral floors. The Devils have scored just 64.7 ppg away from home this year. I just feel the Orange are playing to well right now to not make it to the Sweet 16. 'Cuse by 7+ here.
2 UNIT PLAYS
Cleveland State/ Arizona Over 133.5
The Over is 12-4 in Vikings last 16 games following a S.U. win, while the Over is 9-1 in Wildcats last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 6-1 in Wildcats last 7 NCAA Tournament games. The Vikings come in scoring 70.7 ppg on neutral floors this year and they have put up a solid 67.5 ppg in their last 5 games. Cleveland State does allow just 60.1 ppg overall and 63.4 ppg on neutral floors. The will be facing a very good offense tonight as the Cats have averaged a solid 72.5 ppg overall 73.8 ppg on neutral floors and a very good 78.2 ppg in their last 14 games. Their last 14 games have averaged 153.4 ppg, while their neutral games have averaged 138 ppg. The Vikings put up 84 points on a tougher Wake defense and I see them having good success vs this Arizona team, while the hot shooting Cats are more than capable of notching 70+ points in this one, This game should be played in the high 140's
5.5pt Two Team Teaser Play--- Wisconsin +9.5 & Michigan State +1.5
1 UNIT PLAY
Oklahoma State +8.5 over Pittsburgh
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Cleveland Cavaliers -6.5
I know the Cavs just played yesterday, but I don't see fatigue as a factor against a Nets team playing without Devin Harris. In fact, New Jersey is 5-15 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons, losing by 13.6 ppg on average in these spots. The Cavaliers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. the NBA Atlantic and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. The Nets are 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5. Lay the points.
Dave Cokin
Warriors @ Hornets
Play: Hornets -8'
The Warriors open a very tough four game road trip tonight at New Orleans. Golden State has struggled in the first game of their extended trips this season. They're just 1-6 straight up and 2-5 ATS in the opener of three or more game trek, and I'm going to back that trend tonight with an opinion on the Hornets minus the points.
John Fisher
Marquette vs. Missouri
Play: Missouri -4
I like the dribble penetration and kick outs for threes against Marquettes quicks. Team with the fewer TO's will have the advantage. Warriors will be game but will fade down the stretch. 4 STAR MISSOURI Missouri 78 MArguette 69
DUNKEL
Golden State at New Orleans
The Warriors look to take advantage of a New Orleans team that is just 1-5 ATS as a home favorite between 6 1/2 and 9 points. Golden State is the underdog pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hornets favored by only 7. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+8 1/2).
Game 701-702: Houston at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 122.790; San Antonio 123.876
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 179 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 177
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+4); Over
Game 703-704: Miami at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 118.683; Detroit 120.010
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 183 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 705-706: Oklahoma City at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 115.402; Minnesota 116.092
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 201 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 199
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1); Over
Game 707-708: LA Clippers at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 110.863; Toronto 115.963
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 4; 208
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-4); Under
Game 709-710: Cleveland at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 122.554; New Jersey 118.462
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 4; 297
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 7; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+7); Over
Game 711-712: Golden State at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 113.921; New Orleans 121.021
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 7; 210
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 8 1/2; 215
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+8 1/2); Under
Game 713-714: Philadelphia at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 117.948; Sacramento 114.997
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+4 1/2); Over
NCAAB
Cleveland State vs. Arizona
The Vikings come in 6-1 ATS as an underdog against an Arizona team that has dropped 8 of its last 11 ATS in tournament games. Cleveland State is the underdog pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+3).
Game 715-716: Arizona State vs. Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 71.707; Syracuse 75.460
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 4
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-2 1/2)
Game 717-718: Cleveland State vs. Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 65.185; Arizona 66.696
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+3)
Game 719-720: Oklahoma State vs. Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 67.596; Pittsburgh 76.734
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-7 1/2)
Game 721-722: Siena vs. Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 62.625; Louisville 76.617
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 14
Vegas Line: Louisville by 11
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-11)
Game 723-724: Dayton vs. Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 64.101; Kansas 69.819
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+8 1/2)
Game 725-726: USC vs. Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: USC 66.476; Michigan State 72.075
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-4)
Game 727-728: Marquette vs. Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 68.386; Missouri 73.435
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 5
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-3 1/2)
Game 729-730: Wisconsin vs. Xavier
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 65.404; Xavier 70.309
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 5
Vegas Line: Xavier by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-3 1/2)
NHL
Edmonton at Minnesota
The Oilers have won three straight and face a Minnesota team that has dropped five of its last six. Edmonton is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+135).
Game 51-52: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.704; Pittsburgh 13.874
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-140); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-140); Over
Game 53-54: Edmonton at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.484; Minnesota 10.531
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+135); Under
Game 55-56: New Jersey at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.969; Boston 11.139
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+110); Under
Game 57-58: Los Angeles at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.088; Chicago 10.714
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-250); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+210); Over
Game 59-60: Ottawa at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.823; NY Rangers 12.171
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-160); Over
Game 61-62: Phoenix at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.463; Anaheim 11.128
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-215); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+180); Under
Game 63-64: Colorado at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.233; San Jose 12.431
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-330); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-330); Over
Tom Freese
New Orleans at Golden St
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS when their opponent scored 100 or more points in their last game and they are 5-1 ATS when their opponent scored 100 or more points in their last game. The Hornets are 24-11 ATS their last 35 games vs. Pacific Division foes and they are 5-2 ATS off a straight up win. Golden St is 16-47-1 ATS off a straight up win and they are 7-17-2 ATS their last 26 road games. The Warriors are 2-7-1 ATS their last 10 games vs. NBA Southwest Division foes. PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS -
Ben Burns
Phoenix Coyotes at Anaheim Ducks
Prediction: Anaheim Ducks
The Coyotes cooled off the Canucks yesterday. They're 0-5 the last five times that they played the second of back to back games though and an ugly 1-8 their last nine in that situation. Consider laying the wood with the Ducks, who have won three straight in the series.
Drew Gordon
Houston at SAN ANTONIO -3'
Looking for a solid bounce back from Tim Duncan and company this afternoon, coming off a bitter home loss to the Celtics Friday. Spurs do not take losing laying down, going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after a SU loss, and I expect more of the same today, as San Antonio ratchets up the intensity against a Rockets team that’s been very average on the road.
Houston is just 17-17 SU & 18-16 ATS on the road this season, and while they have won their L3 roadies, they are about to run smack into a highly motivated Spurs team in this one. If you review their 3 meetings this season, you’ll get a strong sense as to why I’m backing the Spurs this afternoon. San Antonio won 2 of those 3 meetings, including the last one outright in Houston 88-85 March 14th. Some critics of this play will be calling for revenge, but that's a lot easier said than done after the Spurs home loss to the Celtics Friday.
Besides the motivational factors and the Rockets shoddy road play, there's also the injury to Carl Landry, who was a key contributor out of the frontcourt. With the addition of Drew Gooden, the Spurs frontline is not to be trifled with, and I expect a solid edge for San Antonio down-low. True, they still have to contend with Yao, but that wasn't a problem in their last meeting, keeping him to a modest 18 points in that match up (2 points under his average).
Bottom line, Rockets have won 3 straight since losing to the Spurs, and as much as they want to avenge that loss, I seriously doubt San Antonio has any slip-ups in this one. The playoff race in the West and specifically home court advantage, is separated by only a few games, and with the Spurs sitting a 1/2 game ahead of the Rockets, look for them to ferociously defend their house this afternoon.
Take San Antonio over Houston in this NBA match up.
2♦ SAN ANTONIO
Wisconsin +4 vs Xavier, at Boise, ID.
I warned you about underestimating this Badgers team when I released my strongest paid play of the college postseason, taking them against Florida State Friday. Once again, I feel compelled to warn my customers about the danger of going against a Wisconsin team that not only matches up well with Xavier, but also plays a style conducive to covering in this spot. Read on...
I told you the problem Florida State had was their inability to trap this Badgers team, which was Wisky's achilles heel in conference play. Same goes here, as the Musketeers bigmen aren't going to be able to effectively press, leaving the door wide open for a Wisky offense that prefers playing in the halfcourt. On a side note, the Badgers style of play has proven successful against the A-10, having gone 7-1 ATS in their L8 in that spot!
Also, Badgers-backers have to be happy about the re-emergence of F Keaton Nankivil, who gives the Badgers another bigman who can score. Coupled with Landry, Krabbenhoft, and Leuer (those last two must play better after being all but invisible vs the Seminoles) Wisky has more than enough depth in the front-court to deal with Xavier's Brown and Love down-low.
Finally, let's not get too carried away with the Musketeers win over Portland State! I find the Badgers win over the Seminoles A LOT more impressive, and one has to wonder how Xavier will fare against the sometimes frustrating Big Ten-style (slow-paced, defensive-minded) Badgers team in this one. Much like FSU, I believe the Musketeers get dragged into a methodical slug-fest, which is not their strength. In the end, this game will be razor close, as the Badgers got some of their swagger back, and it'll show this afternoon.
Take Wisconsin plus the points over Xavier in this college hoops match up.
3♦ WISCONSIN
VEGAS EXPERTS
Marquette at Missouri
Can't see the depth shy Golden Eagles of Marquette faring too well in their 2nd game in 3 days against this uptempo opponent. Missouri, meanwhile, is 8-1 ATS playing with one or no days rest and an even better 11-1 ATS when coming off an Under. If Marquette thinks they are going to be able to get away with scoring 59 points and winning like they did in Round One, then they are sorely mistaken.
Play on: Missouri
JACK JONES
Pitt -8 over Tennessee
The Panthers received a scare in their first round game against East Tennessee State, but much like the Memphis Tigers did yesterday I expect them to come out with a vengeance today. Oklahoma State went down to the wire with Tennessee despite the fact that they shot 72% from inside the arc and their opponents shots 33 3-pointers despite being a terrible outside shooting team. Basically round one set us up for value here in round two as Pitt rolls easily.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Rockets/Spurs OVER 177
System Play: Plays Over on All teams where the total is 179.5 or less in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 85 points or less are 31-5 since 1996. We'll make a small play on this 86.1% time tested system.
3G-SPORTS
The New Orleans Hornets: No Jamal Crawford for Golden St and Stephen Jackson wont be able to do it all against the Hornets on Sunday. The Hornets have stepped up their play as they battle for a playoff spot and in the NBA West. I give a lot of the edges in this game to New Orleans and they should cruise on Sunday evening.
PREDICTION: Hornets Win 115-100
GoodFella
Arizona -2.5 vs Cleveland St
Arizona just has too much size for Cleveland St. with Hill & Buddinger IMO & I really think Zona is greating good value here, with the upset win that Cleveland St. got over a overated Wake Forest team, who were playing their worst ball of the season entering the tournament. I really think hammers Cleveland St. on the glass today & feeding Hill down low. Arizona is also playing fierce defense & this team has a ton of confidence right now. I look for a 6-8 pt win from Arizona today, as I personally see some great value with this play
Rob Homyak
Michigan St. -4 vs Southern California
USC dominated the second half and ran away with a 72-55 victory over Boston College on Friday night. USC covered the 2.5-point spread, and the 127 points went UNDER the posted total of 137.5.
Taj Gibson shot 10-for-10 from the field with a game-high 24 points, and Dwight Lewis added 20 in the win.
Michigan State scored 41 points in the first half as they easily got past Robert Morris 77-62 in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday. Michigan State could not cover the 16-point spread, but the combined score made it OVER the posted total of 133.5.
Goran Sutton had 11 points with 17 rebounds for a double-double. Raymar Morgan and Draymond Green each had 16 points in that win.
Michigan State Spartans are 17-9-1 ATS in NCAA Tournament games, 7-4 ATS as a chalk, 19-7-2 ATS as a favorite of less than seven points, 13-4-1 ATS when laying points in the Big Dance and 5-1 ATS on Sundays. USC TrojansTrojans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games.