Jimmy The Moose
San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
Prediction: San Francisco Giants
The Giants have dropped both games in the series to the Padres. Today they look to take game 3 with their ace Tim Lincecum on the mound. Lincecum has made 8 career starts vs. the Padres and the Giants have won 7 of the 8 games. Chris Young was steady in his first game of the season but he struggled last season vs. the Giants. The Padres lost his last 3 starts vs. the Giants and 2 of the 3 games were at home. Play on the San Francisco Giants -.
Tom Freese
Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors
Prediction: Over
Philadelphia is 7-1 OVER their last 8 road games and they are 20-7-2 OVER off a straight up loss. The Sixers are 6-2 OVER after allowing 100 or more points in their last game and they are 5-0 OVER in Canada vs. the Raptors. Toronto is 11-4 OVER after allowing 100 or more points in their game and they are 21-9 OVER of an ATS loss. The Raptors are 19-9 OVER off a straight up loss and they are 10-4 OVER vs. a team that allowed 100 or more points in their last game. PLAY ON 'OVER'
LARRY NESS
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds
PICK: Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh has had a number of players suffering from a virus (flu?) the last few weeks. Friday’s series opener at Cincy was postponed due to rain and the day off seemed to have helped. Pittsburgh had just been one-hit at St Louis on Thursday but had 12 hits (including three HRs) in Saturday's 10-2 win. The Reds have opened the 2009 season 1-3 (all at home) and after getting just six hits Saturday, are batting .218 as a team on the season. However, I expect those Cincy bats to 'wake up' vs Pittsburgh's Ian Snell on Sunday afternoon. Snell went 14-11 with 4.74 ERA back in 2006 and then 9-12 in 2007, although he did improve his ERA by almost a full run (3.76). However, he was only 7-12 with a 5.42 ERA last year, allowing 201 hits in 164.1 innings. The Pirates were 14-17 in his 31 starts, with Snell posting a 6.22 ERA on the road. Snell's 2009 debut hardly gives any indication of him showing improvement this year, allowing eight runs (six earned) and nine hits over four innings in Tuesday’s 9-3 loss to the Cardinals. He went 2-2 with a 5.01 ERA in four starts against the Reds last season and is 4-6 with a 5.21 ERA in 11 lifetime starts vs the Reds (Pirates are 4-7). The Reds counter with Aaron Harang. Harang won 16 games in both 2006 and 2007, going 16-6 with a 3.73 ERA in 2007. The team was a spectacular 24-10 in his 34 starts that year, making Harang MLB's biggest "moneymaker" among starters (plus-$1,347). Harang had a HUGE 'fall' last year, going 6-17 (4.78 ERA), with the Reds going 12-17 (minus-$640) in his 29 starts. However, he looked very good in Monday’s season-opening 2-1 defeat at the hands the Mets and Johan Santana. Harang allowed just one run, seven hits, three walks and struck out two in five innings. Harang was 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA in three starts (Reds were 1-2) vs the Pirates last season after going 3-0 with a 3.52 ERA in four starts (Reds were 3-1) against them in ’07. Harang is 11-5 (4.29 ERA) in his career vs the Pirates (team is 12-8 in 20 starts) and I'm of the belief that he'll be much closer to his '07 form this year, than to his '08 form. Let's see if I'm right, today? With the Reds facing Ian Snell, I should have more than a little "margin of error." Take the Reds.
Undefeated's tools picks now on a 12 wins and 4 losses fire
ball run. That is a whopping 75% winning percentage folks. 😮
Today's pick is in the MLB - San Fran vs. San Diego - UNDER
the posted 6.5 total points.
Another pick is in the NBA - Knicks at Miami - buy 2.5 points
to lay the points at: -4 Miami
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Free Selection from Totals4U
Sunday's free selection: Cubs/Brewers over 8 1/2 runs
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
243 - 160 run 60 %
Sun Seattle Mariners
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EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION
Date: Sunday, April 12, 2009
Game: Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Hornets
Sport: NBA
Time: 12:00PM CST
(702) New Orleans Hornets -3
These two teams just met in Dallas on Friday where the Mavericks picked
up the eight point win. Dallas has been playing very well at home, but they
are a different team on the road. The Hornets had won four straight meetings
between these teams before Friday's loss and I expect them to get back on
track in this game. Dallas is only 1-5 against the spread in their last six trips
to New Orleans. Lay the points.
2009 Free Selections Record 56-44 (56.0%)
8)
DUNKEL
Memphis at LA Lakers
The Grizzlies have won seven straight ATS and face a Lakers team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games against teams with a losing road record. Memphis is the underdog pick (+12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by only 10. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+12 1/2).
Game 701-702: Dallas at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.494; New Orleans 118.702
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 191 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 3; 193
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Under
Game 703-704: Boston at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.286; Cleveland 127.278
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 173 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+6 1/2); Under
Game 705-706: New York at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: New York 113.540; Miami 121.742
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 210 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-6 1/2); Under
Game 707-708: Philadelphia at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 115.854; Toronto 119.558
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto; Over
Game 709-710: San Antonio at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 119.116; Sacramento 109.110
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 216
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 10 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+10 1/2); Over
Game 711-712: Memphis at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 115.843; LA Lakers 125.966
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10; 196 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+12 1/2); Under
MLB
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee
The Cubs come in just 1-4 in Ryan Dempster's last 5 starts as a favorite and face a Milwaukee team that is 6-2 in Jeff Suppan's last 8 home starts against teams with a winning record. The Brewers are the underdog pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has Milwaukee favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+135).
Game 901-902: NY Mets at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.419; Florida (Johnson) 16.018
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Under
Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 14.623; Cincinnati (Harang) 15.052
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-150); Under
Game 905-906: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Olsen) 13.525; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 16.356
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-210); Under
Game 907-908: Houston at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 15.094; St. Louis (Lohse) 14.836
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+130); Over
Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Park) 14.959; Colorado (Cook) 16.486
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-145); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-145); Over
Game 911-912: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.440; San Diego (Young) 13.970
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120); Under
Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Wolf) 13.651; Arizona (Haren) 14.509
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-155); Under
Game 915-916: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Dempster) 14.739; Milwaukee (Suppan) 15.517
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+135); Over
Game 917-918: Texas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 14.603; Detroit (Jackson) 16.297
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Under
Game 919-920: Toronto at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Purcey) 15.080; Cleveland (Reyes) 15.229
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-140); Over
Game 921-922: Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 16.093; Baltimore (Eaton) 15.024
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-155); Under
Game 923-924: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 16.503; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.491
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: White Sox (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over
Game 925-926: NY Yankees at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 16.144; Kansas City (Meche) 16.398
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+140); Under
Game 927-928: Boston at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 14.827; LA Angels (Moseley) 15.828
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+155); Under
Game 929-930: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Bedard) 15.127; Oakland (Cahill) 15.718
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Under
NHL
Detroit at Chicago
The Wings look to close out the regular season and build on their 7-1 record over their last 8 road games. Detroit is the underdog pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120).
Game 1-2: Detroit at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.129; Chicago 10.702
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-140); 6
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120); Under
Game 3-4: St. Louis at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 10.879; Colorado 11.111
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 5-6: NY Rangers at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.148; Philadelphia 12.686
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 7-8: Boston at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.580; NY Islanders 11.113
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Drew Gordon
Houston at ST. LOUIS -140
Nice effort in a Astros 3-2 win over the Cubs in his season debut last Tuesday, but as we've learned over the years with Wandy Rodriguez, he's a very different pitcher on the road. No question you have to consider the venue when playing the Astros lefty, as his 5.58 ERA on the road over the last 2 seasons is tough to ignore! True, he's got some rock-solid numbers against the Redbirds of late, but you can make the same argument for his counterpart...
Kyle Lohse is coming off a breakout season last year, going 15-6 with a 3.78 ERA in 2008. He did a chunk of that damage against Houston, going 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA in 4 starts against them last season! Not to mention, Lohse was especially good at Busch, going 8-2 with a 3.32 ERA in 18 starts there! Look guys, it may come at a stiffer price, but the more consistent pitcher here is Lohse, hands down.
Finally, looking over the two offenses, is there any doubt you give the edge to the Cardinals?! Pujols has started the year in mid-season form, knocking in 7 RBI's in Saturday's 11-2 win! Houston on the other hand, has lost 3 straight and scored more than 3 runs in just one game thus far this season. A match up against a pitcher who owned them last season isn't going to help much! In the end, look for the Redbirds to break out the brooms Sunday!
Take St. Louis behind Lohse over Houston and Rodriguez in this MLB match up.
2♦ ST. LOUIS
Michael Cannon
Houston at ST. LOUIS -135
Take the Cardinals as the home chalk over the Astros.
Wandy Rodriguez will start for Houston and he doesn’t pitch nearly as well on the road as he does at home.
With the way Albert Pujols is mashing the ball right now, that trend figures to continue today for the Astros’ left-hander.
Pujols is off to a 9-for-21 start with three homeruns and five walks this season. He hit a grand slam and later added a three-run homer in yesterday’s 11-2 rout of Houston.
The Cardinals will start Kyle Lohse, who had a career year last year going 15-6 with a 3.78 ERA. The right-hander went 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA in four starts against Houston last year and only allowed two runs over eight innings in the outing where he didn’t receive a decision.
Take the Cardinals as they complete the series sweep this afternoon.
2♦ ST. LOUIS
Chris Jordan
Chicago -135 at MILWAUKEE
Though he didn’t end up with a decision in his first start of the season, Chicago’s Ryan Dempster notched a quality start by yielding a mere two runs and scattering six hits over six frames. And since the Astros won in extra innings, I’m thinking we’re going to see the right-hander come strong to avenge his team’s loss. Dempster, who struck out five Astros, was 4-0 with a 2.40 ERA in five starts against the Brewers last season.
We’ll also list Jeff Suppan, who picked up where left off last year – pitching terribly – by getting drilled for six runs in four frames against San Francisco in a 10-6 loss. He went 0-3 with an 8.44 ERA and lost Game 4 of the National League Division Series for the Brewers. Now he’s 0-2 in four Opening Day starts with an 8.55 ERA and has given up a whopping 10 home runs in those games. Suppan is 6-6 in his career against the Cubs, including 1-1 last season, when he surrendered 11 runs in 15 innings against the Cubbies
Looking inside the numbers, the Cubs are on winning runs of 4-0 when Dempster toes the rubber on a Sunday, 13-5 when he’s laying a price in this range and 5-1 when he’s coming off a quality start in his last outing. On the other hand, the Brew Crew are on losing streaks of 1-6 in Suppan’s last seven starts, 0-5 when he’s an underdog and 0-5 when he pitches on four days rest.
Most importantly, the Cubbies are 4-1 in Dempster’s last five starts against Milwaukee. This one is on national TV, and I like our chances with the Cubs and Dempster.
1♦ CUBS
Texas +115 at DETROIT
Any chance I get to side against Edwin Jackson, I take advantage. I’m still not sold on his work, and will gladly take the money with Kevin Millwood, who won for the first time in four Opening Day starts with a 9-1 victory over the Indians last Monday. The Texas right-hander, who is 4-4 with a 3.91 ERA in 11 career starts against the Tigers, is a respectable 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA in three Motown starts.
The Rangers are looking to snap a Detroit drought, as they’ve lost seven straight at Comerica Park. They’ve lost the last two nights by a combined final of 19-5. But that doesn’t sway me one bit, as this is an offense that can jump on Jackson early to give Millwood a lead to work with.
Texas comes in on a 4-0 run in Millwood’s last four starts against AL Central foes and 5-2 in his last seven Sunday outings. Take the road dog here, as Texas gets it done.
1♦ RANGERS
Jeff Benton
Boston at L.A. ANGELS +145
Back on track with the freebies Saturday with an easy winner on the Cardinals, so I’m now 10-6 with free plays over the past 16 days. We’ll stay on the diamond Sunday and back the Angels as a sizeable home underdog against the Red Sox and Josh Beckett.
I watched Beckett’s first start of the season and he absolutely toyed with the Rays in a 5-3 victory, allowing just a single run and two hits while striking out 10 over seven innings. However, that game was played on a cool day in Fenway Park, where Beckett has shined since his arrival in Boston. However, last year on the road, Beckett was a mediocre 5-5 with a hefty 5.65 ERA.
Not only that, but Beckett struggled in three starts against the Angels last season. He went 0-2 with a 7.43 ERA in two regular-season contests (allowing 20 hits and 12 earned runs). Then in Game 3 of the A.L. Divisional Series in Boston, the Halos roughed up Beckett, who gave up four runs and nine hits in five innings with Los Angeles eventually winning 5-4 in 12 innings. That’s three Beckett starts against the Angels and three losses!
A couple of other things to consider here: Even though Boston held on for a 5-4 victory Saturday, it is still just 1-9 in its last 10 regular-season contests versus the Angels, and the Sox haven’t won a series in Anaheim since August 2006. Finally, there’s no way that Red Sox closer Jonathan Papelbon will be available to pitch today, not after Saturday’s shaky 42-pitch, 1 1/3-inning outing – and no Papelbon means if the Angels can at least keep this close, they’ll have a much better chance to win it in the late innings than they ordinarily would.
Throw in the fact that the Angels have won seven of their last eight games as an underdog and five straight as a home ‘dog – not to mention 24 of 36 against the mighty A.L. East – and I’ll take my chances at this juicy plus price.
3♦ L.A. ANGELS
Sports Gambling Hotline
Boston at CLEVELAND -5'
Our comp play run stands at 9-4 the last 13 days!
Sure, some of the luster of this Boston-Cleveland meeting is off considering that both have clinched their respective playoff spots for next weekend, but we feel both teams will get after it today, as they know they are likely to face each other once again in the postseason, and feel the need to "send a message" in this showdown.
That being said, we will side with the Cavaliers minus the number at home.
Cleveland is 38-1 straight up on their home hardwood, and they thoroughly dominated the Celtics at the Quicken Loans Arena 98-83 back in early January.
The Cavs are on a 7-1 spread run - playoffs included - the last 8 times the teams have clashed, and the Cavaliers are also on a 4-1 spread run the last 5 times they have been installed as a single digit favorite on the year.
Boston comes in toting a 6 game winning streak, but we see that streak getting snapped in a big way in this one.
Play on Cleveland minus the points.
4♦ CLEVELAND
Karl Garrett
San Antonio -10' at SACRAMENTO
G-Man hooked you up with a baseball winner on the Phillies last night, as the free play run stands at 13-5 the last 18 days.
NBA for tonight, and while the number may be a little high, I have to lay the road chalk with the Spurs as they play at Arco Arena.
Here you have a San Antonio team that is trying to secure a home court edge in the first round of the postseason, playing against a team that has lost their last 7, and 14 of their last 16 straight up. The Kings have also dropped 5 in a row against the spread.
San Antonio comes in at just 3-4 straight up their last 7, but the Spurs have been able to 4 straight in this series, and 9 of the last 10, while covering in 2 in a row, and 4 of the last 6.
Of course the "back-door" could be open here, as this is a ton of points to be giving away on the road, but I really think the Kings have gone and cashed in their chips for the season, and the Spurs will roll to the blowout victory.
Lay the wood!
1♦ SAN ANTONIO
Johnny Guild
Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers
The Celtics have won five of the last eight clashes against the Cavaliers, but have struggle like most at Quicken Loans Arena. Boston has dropped seven straight versus the Cavaliers in Cleveland. Take LeBron James and crew on their home court to seize their 16 straight home victory. Cleveland has won 16 of their last 18 games and has played remarkable at home, 38-1 at home this season. The Cavaliers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus the Celtics, 5-1 ATS in its last 6 at home.
Cleveland Cavaliers -7
Mr. A
New Orleans Hornets -3
Miami Heat -6½
Gina
Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors
The 76ers have played awful away from home, just 16-23 on the road this season, but the Raptors have played just as poorly at home, going 17-23 this year. Both have lost their last four games. Expect a close battle, the 76ers and Raptors have split the last 16 meetings with the Sixers taking the last two. Go with Philadelphia in a close high scoring battle at Air Canada Centre.. The 76ers have won three of the last four meetings and is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games in Toronto, 10-4 ATS in the last 14. The total has gone 'over' in the last five meetings in Toronto.
Philadelphia 76ers -1½
Over - 205½
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
Go with the Chicago Cubs with Ryan Dempster on the hill. The right-hander is 8-2 with a 2.45 ERA in 35 outings, including 13 starts against Milwaukee and is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in two outings at Miller Park. Chicago has won eight of the last 12 games versus Milwaukee. Brewers' right-hander Jeff Suppan is 6-6 with a 3.60 ERA in his career against the Cubs.
Chicago Cubs -140
Vegasflyer Sports
Mike Hillin
Free Play
Cincinnati Reds and the over 9