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Sweet 16 Trends

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Thursday, March 24

BYU (32 - 4) vs. FLORIDA (28 - 7)

Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 51-78 ATS (-34.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BYU is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 55-89 ATS (-42.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLORIDA is 54-30 ATS (+21.0 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
BYU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BUTLER (25 - 9) vs. WISCONSIN (25 - 8)

Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
BUTLER is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
BUTLER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
BUTLER is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BUTLER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
BUTLER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BUTLER is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CONNECTICUT (28 - 9) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (34 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ARIZONA (29 - 7) vs. DUKE (32 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
DUKE is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Friday, March 25

MARQUETTE (22 - 14) vs. N CAROLINA (28 - 7)

Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 115-86 ATS (+20.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MARQUETTE is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KENTUCKY (27 - 8) vs. OHIO ST (34 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
OHIO ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 174-135 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 111-81 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICHMOND (29 - 7) vs. KANSAS (34 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
RICHMOND is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
RICHMOND is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
RICHMOND is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
RICHMOND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
RICHMOND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
RICHMOND is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
RICHMOND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
RICHMOND is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
RICHMOND is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
RICHMOND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

VA COMMONWEALTH (26 - 11) vs. FLORIDA ST (23 - 10)

Top Trends for this game.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : March 22, 2011 10:27 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Thursday, 3/24/2011

BYU vs. at FLORIDA
BYU: 5-14 ATS in all tournament games
FLORIDA: 7-0 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread

BUTLER vs. at WISCONSIN
BUTLER: 7-0 ATS in all neutral court games
WISCONSIN: 7-1 UNDER in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games

CONNECTICUT vs. at SAN DIEGO ST
CONNECTICUT: 21-39 ATS in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more
SAN DIEGO ST: 11-4 ATS in non-conference games

ARIZONA vs. at DUKE
ARIZONA: 13-4 ATS after a game where they covered the spread
DUKE: 2-8 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread

Friday, 3/25/2011

MARQUETTE vs. at N CAROLINA
MARQUETTE: 17-5 ATS as an underdog
N CAROLINA: 15-25 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week

KENTUCKY vs. at OHIO ST
KENTUCKY: 22-10 OVER in a NCAA tournament games
OHIO ST: 11-3 OVER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite

RICHMOND vs. at KANSAS
RICHMOND: 12-5 ATS after allowing 60 points or less
KANSAS: 1-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders

VA COMMONWEALTH vs. at FLORIDA ST
VA COMMONWEALTH: 7-0 ATS in a NCAA tournament games
FLORIDA ST: 5-13 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games

 
Posted : March 22, 2011 10:29 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Sweet 16 Elite 8 Trends
By Marc Lawrence

There is nothing sweeter this time of the year than being alive in the NCAA Tournament. For those teams that survived the opening two rounds of this main event it’s on to the Sweet 16 and, hopefully, the Eilte 8 this weekend.

SWEET 16 ROUND NOTES:

• #1 Seed favs pts are 2-10 ATS

• Favorites of 9 > pts are 16-6-1 ATS vs opp off BB SU and ATS wins

• Favorites off BB SU wins of 15 > pts are 12-3 ATS

• Underdogs of 11 > pts are 7-2 ATS

Best Team ATS record in this round

North Carolina: 5-1

Worst Team ATS record in this round

Kansas: 3-8

Best Conference ATS records in this round

Atlantic 10: 6-0-1, Big 12: 5-1-1, SEC: 9-3 as dogs, Big 10: 16-7

Worst Conference ATS records in this round

ACC: 0-4 as favs < 8 pts, Big East: 1-8 as favs pts

ELITE 8 ROUND NOTES:

• #1 Seed favs > 7 pts are 0-7 ATS vs foe off BB ATS wins

• #2 Seeds are 2-9-1 ATS off a DD ATS win

• #3 Seeds are 1-5 ATS

• #4 Seeds are 7-1 ATS

• #5 Seeds are 6-0 SU and ATS

• #6 Seeds are 0-7 SU

• #8 Seeds are 3-1 ATS

• Teams that score 67 pts are 27-7 SU and 24-8-2 ATS

• Teams off BB ATS losses are 6-2 ATS

• Teams with Revenge are 13-4-1 ATS

• Dogs off 3 straight DD wins are 1-4-1 ATS

Best Conference ATS record in this round

Big East: 6-1-1 as dog

Worst Conference ATS record in this round

Big 12: 0-9

COACH ME IF YOU CAN:

• Florida’s Billy Donovan is 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS in the NCAA tournament from the Sweet 16 out.

 
Posted : March 22, 2011 10:40 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Topic starter
 

Thursday's Trends to Watch
By Bruce Marshall

BYU vs. Florida (NCAA Southeast at New Orleans)...Florida is just 7-13 vs. the spread as chalk this season. The Gators have also been one of the premier “over” teams in the country (16-5-1 their last 22 on board).

Butler vs. Wisconsin (NCAA Southeast at New Orleans)...Butler HC Brad Stevens is 14-2 SU during his career in March. The Bulldogs, who bring an 11-game SU win streak into tonight, have also covered their last four Big Dance outings, all as a dog, with each of those decided by 1 or 2 points. Butler is also “under” 6-2 its last 8 this season. The Badgers, however, are “over” in 8 of their last 10 games.

UConn vs. San Diego State (NCAA West at Anaheim)...The Huskies are hot, with wins and covers in seven straight beginning at the Big East Tourney two weeks ago. UConn is also “under” 13-7-1 its last 21 games. Meanwhile, the Aztecs have covered 6 of their last 7, but like the Huskies have been trending “under” most of the season (SDSU “under” 19-8 since late November).

Arizona vs. Duke (NCAA West at Anaheim)...The Wildcats are only 3-7 vs. the number their last 10 on the board. As for the Blue Devils, note that nine of their last ten wins have been by DD margins (the exception last Sunday vs. Michigan), and they’re “under” 11-4 their last 15 games entering tonight.

 
Posted : March 24, 2011 12:07 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

SANTA CLARA (22 - 14) at SMU (20 - 14)

Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
SANTA CLARA is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
SMU is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
SMU is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SANTA CLARA vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
Santa Clara is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Santa Clara's last 6 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games

SANTA CLARA at SMU
SANTA CLARA: 21-5 Over after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
SMU: 0-9 ATS at home after 3 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less

 
Posted : March 25, 2011 7:51 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Friday's Trends to Watch
By Bruce Marshall

Marquette vs. North Carolina (NCAA East at Newark)...The Golden Eagles were one of many Big East "under" teams the second half of the season, with the Milwaukee bunch falling that way in 14 of its last 16 games. Marquette is also 9-2 as an underdog this season. Meanwhile, the Tar Heels have failed to cover in their last five outings.

Kentucky vs. Ohio State (NCAA East at Newark)...A rare underdog role for UK; the Wildcats have received points from the oddsmakers just twice this season, both before New Year’s (vs. Washington at Maui in November, and at Louisville on Dec. 31) and covered both. Coach Cal’s bunch has also won seven in a row SU, and covered five of its last six. Ohio State, however, enters Newark having won its last nine in a row SU (7-2 vs. line). The Buckeyes are also "over" in 7 of their last 10 games.

Richmond vs. Kansas (NCAA Southwest at San Antonio)...The Spiders are hot, winning and covering their last nine games. Richmond is also "under" 7-0-1 its last eight, and 9-1-1 is last 11 games entering San Antonio. As for Kansas, note that it has covered just two of its last eight games, while the Jayhawks are also "under" 5-2 their last 7 outings.

Virginia Commonwealth vs. Florida State (NCAA Southwest at San Antonio)...VCU has won and covered all three of its Big Dance outings since last week as an underdog each time. The Rams are also "under" in 7 of their last 10, while Leonard Hamilton’s Seminoles are "under" in their last 4 and 6 of their last seven games. FSU is also 12-4-1 vs. the line its last 17 games on the board.

Santa Clara at SMU (CIT)...Matt Doherty’s slower-paced SMU is "under" in 6 of its last 7 games. Meanwhile, Santa Clara has offered decent value as an underdog, standing 6-2-1 vs. the number its last 9 receiving points.

 
Posted : March 25, 2011 12:07 pm
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