igz1 sports
4* Uconn -20.5
3* VCU +8
Dr Bob
There was some confusion with his picks. Here they are again.
Friday's Best Bets are Wake Forest (-7 1/2) 3-Stars at -8 or less, 2-Stars at -8 1/2 or -9 and Arizona State (-4 1/2) 3-Stars at -6 or less, 2-Stars up to -7. I'll re send Friday's analysis shortly.
Sorry for any confusion.
3 Star Selection
Butler (+2 ½) over Lsu
Butler has built a great tradition of excellence that continued this season despite coach Brad Stevens being forced to start 3 freshman. The Bulldogs aren’t as good offensively as they’ve been in recent years, but they play great defense (38.2% FG allowed) and take care of the ball (just 12 turnovers per game). Teams in the Horizon League are used to Butler’s deliberate offensive system, but the Bulldogs have frustrated non-conference opponents over the years and they are 19-2 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games when not laying more than 1 point (as dog, pick or -1), including a perfect 5-0 ATS this season. The Bulldogs have impressive wins at Davidson and at Xavier this season and lost by just 3 points at Ohio State and 4 of their 5 losses were by 4 points or less – so they figure to keep this game very close if they don’t win it straight up. Of course, I expect Butler to win this game straight up against an LSU team has struggled against teams with good interior scorers (Butler’s leading scorer Matt Howard fits the bill) this season. My ratings favor Butler by ½ a point and the Bulldogs apply to a very strong 24-2 ATS subset of a 99-36-3 ATS round 1 situation. I’ll take Butler in a 3-Star Best Bet at +1 or more and for 2-Stars at pick or -1. My math model predicts 126 total points.
3 Star Selection
Ucla (-7) over Virginia Commonwealth
VCU is everyone’s first round upset pick, but I just don’t see that happening. UCLA isn’t as good as they’ve been in recent years, but they’re not that much worse either. The Bruins certainly have a different sort of team, relying more on their offense to atone for their mediocre defense, but UCLA’s offense is among the best in the nation. In fact, the Bruins led the nation in field goal percentage and their adjusted offensive efficiency (points per possessions adjusted for the level of opponent’s defensive efficiency) is the best in the nation since sharp shooting Nikola Dragovic was inserted into the starting lineup on January 11th. The Bruins’ defense, while not as good as in recent years, still ranks 49th in the nation in my rankings using games with their current lineup (defense is a bit worse with Dragovic starting), but VCU’s adjusted defensive rating is 48th in the nation. The difference is the offenses of these two teams and VCU’s offensive rating is 74th in the nation after compensating for opposition. My ratings favor UCLA by 10 points, which is where this line opened, but I’ve adjusted that number down to 8 ½ after factoring in VCU’s higher level of play against better competition. So, while the opening line of 10 was indeed too high, a line of 7 points is now too low and the Bruins apply to a very good 19-1 ATS subset of an 82-29-3 ATS round 1 situation. I’ll take UCLA in a 3-Star Best Bet at -8 or less and for 2-Stars at -8 ½ or -9 points. My math predicts 142 ½ total points, so I’ll consider the Over a Strong Opinion at 137 or less and a regular opinion at 137 ½ or 138 points.
3 Star Selection
***California (-1) over Maryland
Maryland is getting too much credit for being an ACC team while the Pac-10 is incorrectly perceived to be a lesser conference. The ACC is indeed a better overall conference than the Pac-10, but 1.5 points on average, but that’s because North Carolina and Duke are pulling up the average. The Pac-10 doesn’t have any elite teams, but 9 of the 10 teams are in the post-season and 8 of them are actually good teams and the median Pac-10 team (USC, Arizona) is better than the median ACC team (Miami-Florida, Maryland). Cal and Maryland actually played a schedule that rated exactly the same in difficulty and the Bears were 22-10 while the Terrapins are just 20-13 straight up. Maryland is getting some credit for beating North Carolina at home and for beating Wake Forest in the ACC tournament, but those were their only 2 wins of the season against teams that rate as highly as Cal or better (against 8 losses). The Bears, meanwhile, were 10-7 straight up against teams as good or better than Maryland and the Bears have some wins over good teams too (2-0 against Washington and a win over Arizona State). Maryland was is just 5-11 against teams rated in my top 50 while the Bears are 7-7 against top-50 teams and Maryland doesn’t even rank in the top-50 (they’re #51). Cal is actually 6-1 straight up against teams that rate within 3 points of Maryland’s rating (UNLV, 2-0 against Arizona, 2-0 Wash St, 1-1 Stanford) while Maryland is 3-5 against teams that rate within 3 points of Cal’s rating (wins over Michigan, Miami, and Wake and losses to Georgetown, Miami, Florida State, Clemson and Wake). The Bears should certainly be favored by more than just 1 point in this game and my ratings favor Cal by 2 ½ points and by 4 points using only games against other good teams. The Bears also match up well, as Maryland is better defending the interior while allowing opponents to get open looks from the outside (they allow 34.4% 3-point shooting to teams that combine to average 34.8% shooting). Cal leads the nation in 3-point shooting at 43.4% and their top 3 scorers are all perimeter players, so Maryland’s ability to defend the paint doesn’t really mean much. Maryland’s bad offense (42% shooting) just won’t be able to keep up with the Bears’ outstanding offense. In addition to the line value and match-up, the Bears apply to a 24-3 ATS first round angle while Maryland applies to a negative 42-70-1 ATS game 1 situation that is based on their good play in their conference tournament. I’ll take California in a 3-Star Best Bet at -2 or less and for 2-Stars at -2 ½ or -3 points. My predicted total is 144 total points.
2 Star Selection
**Washington (-5 ½) over Mississippi State
Mississippi State has won 6 consecutive games while covering the spread in all 6 and winning 5 of those as the underdog. However, major conference teams that weren’t likely to make the NCAA Tournament without winning their conference tournament generally fall flat in the NCAA opener and the Bulldogs apply to a 9-33-1 ATS letdown situation in round 1. Also, teams that win 3 or more consecutive games as an underdog are just 28-75-1 ATS as an underdog or pick in their next game if facing a team with a winning record, including 2-11 ATS as a dog of less than 12 points in the NCAA Tournament. Washington, meanwhile, is 7-0 ATS this season after a loss so the Huskies should bounce back from their loss to Arizona State with a good effort in this game. Washington also applies to a 24-3 ATS first round situation. My ratings favor Washington by 6 points in this game, but I don’t particularly love the match-up. Mississippi State shot blocker Jarvis Varnado, who averages an incredible 4.7 rejections per game, should neutralize Huskies’ big man Jon Brockman and Washington’s mediocre outside shooters (34% 3-pointers) will be forced to take more 3-pointers than they usually do (just 12 per game). Washington’s top two scorers are guards, so they don’t completely depend on inside scoring and they do score enough in transition to negative Varnado somewhat, but overall I think the match-up favors the Bulldogs a bit. In fact, my match-up analysis projects a fair line of 5 points instead of 6 points. The situation is simply too good to pass up and I’ll take Washington in a 2-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less and for 3-Stars at -5 or less. My math model predicts 149 total points.
Opinions/Possible Best Bets
Duke (-21 ½) vs Binghamton
Duke is coming off a win in the ACC Tournament Finals, but the Blue Devils are just 4-11 ATS as an NCAA Tournament favorite of 14 points or more following a victory and big favorites often letdown after winning their conference tourney. In fact, teams that win the ACC Tournament are just 5-12 ATS in their first round NCAA tournament game the last 17 years, including 2-6 ATS when Duke is the conference champ. Duke does have the benefit of playing this game in nearby Greensboro and teams playing in their home state are 115-76 ATS in the NCAA Tournament over the years. However, my ratings favor Duke by 22 points after adding in 3 points for that crowd advantage, so the line has already been adjusted. I’d lean slightly with Binghamton at +22 or more and I’d lean slightly with Duke at -20 or less. My math prediction for the total is 140 ½ points.
Texas (-4) vs Minnesota
Minnesota applies to a negative 9-33-1 ATS first round situation while Texas applies to a 42-18-1 ATS round 1 angle. The issue with playing Texas is the fact that the Longhorns are an overrated team that has covered the spread in just 6 of their last 20 games. Minnesota has also fallen off since their 16-1 start to the season (just 4-11 ATS in their final 15 games), but my ratings favor Texas by just 1 ½ points in this game and I get the Longhorns by 2 ½ points using more recent games. The situations that favor Texas are negated by the lack of line value and I have no opinion on this game at the current price. I would lean with Texas at -3 or less and my predicted total is 126 points.
North Carolina (-25) vs Radford
North Carolina doesn’t have a lot of quality depth, which is why they were just 3-9 ATS as a favorite of more than 19 points this season (big leads were often dwindled late by the subs). However, the Tarheels are 24-6-1 ATS after a loss under coach Gary Williams, including 3-0 ATS this season with those 3 wins coming by an average of 30 points against 3 teams that are as good or better than Radford. Radford lost at West Virginia and at Wake Forest by an average of 28.5 points, so they did not perform well against NCAA Tournament caliber teams. Those games, however, were before Chris McEachin took over the for the suspended Martell McDuffy at the off guard spot and the Highlanders improved after that lineup change in early January. My ratings only favor North Carolina by 22 ½ points after giving them 3 points for playing in nearby Greensboro with point guard Ty Lawson out. Lawson missed both of North Carolina’s 2 ACC tournament games in which the Tarheels didn’t come close to covering, so his value to the team is pretty obvious. I don’t want to buck North Carolina after a loss, but UNC is a different team without Lawson. I’ll pass this one. My math projects 165 total points.
Connecticut (-20 ½) over Tennessee Chattanooga
Connecticut is just 1-6 ATS in 7 games since losing guard Jerome Dyson, but the Huskies have more than enough talent to dominate Chattanooga in this game. The Huskies have had plenty of time to get over their 6 overtime loss to Syracuse and Chattanooga applies to a 42-70-1 ATS first round situation. My ratings favor the Huskies by 21 points, so the line is fair, but the situation isn’t strong enough to play as a Best Bet I’ll lean with U Conn at -21 points or less. My math projects 142 total points.
Byu (-2 1/2) over Texas A&M
Déjà vu. These teams met last season in the first round of the tournament with BYU as the 8th seed and Texas A&M as the 9th seed. The Aggies of A&M won that game 67-62 as pick thanks to some uncharacteristic 50% 3-point shooting (they were 36% for the season and BYU allowed only 30% 3-pointers for the season). The Aggies will likely win again if they make half of their 3-pointers, but that’s not likely to happen. BYU applies to a very good 99-36-3 ATS round 1 situation that is particularly good for smaller favorites or dogs. My ratings using all games for both teams would favor BYU by 6 points, but the Aggies have played better against good competition while BYU hasn’t played quite as well, on a relative basis, against better teams. I still get BYU by 3 points even after factoring that in. I’ll take BYU in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 points or less and I’d consider the Cougars a Strong Opinion at -2 ½ or -3 points. My math model predicts 144 ½ total points, so I also lean with the over.
Villanova (-16 ½) over American
This is basically a home game for Villanova playing in nearby Philadelphia and teams playing in their home state are 115-76 ATS in the NCAA Tournament. American lost by an average of 23 points in road games at Oklahoma (lost by 29), Georgetown (lost by 24) and Maryland (lost by 16) and that doesn’t bode well for them here. My ratings favor Villanova by 18 points, with 3 points added for playing in Philly, and I’ll lean with the Wildcats at -17 or less. My math model predicts 130 total points.
Memphis (-19 ½) vs CS Northridge
Memphis beat up on Conference USA teams again this season (average win by 18 points) and Northridge is about the same as an average CUSA team (excluding Memphis). My ratings actually favor the Tigers by 19 ½ points and their aggressive defensive should wear out a thin Northridge squad whose depth has been hurt by injuries to starting guards Deon Tresvant (leading scorer) and Josh Jenkins (top assist man). I actually think the starting 5 is better for the Matadors because neither Tresvant (39% FG) nor Jenkins (35% FG) shot the ball well, but I expect Northridge to run out of gas in this game. CSN played relatively worse against good teams Stanford, UCLA, New Mexico and San Diego State this season, so a 20-plus point loss is certainly a reasonable assessment given the Tigers’ 13-4-1 ATS mark as a favorite of 12 points or more since moving Evans to the point in late December. However, Memphis applies to a negative 52-80-1 ATS first round situation. I have no opinion on this game (I’d only lean with Memphis at -18 or less) and my math predicts 130 total points.
Oklahoma (-16 ½) vs Morgan State
Oklahoma hasn’t played well lately, but losing their first conference tournament game in upset fashion to Oklahoma State should have the Sooners more focused for this game than they otherwise would be. Morgan State does have an outright win at Maryland to their credit, and they lost by just 14 points at Washington, but overall they’ve played at the same level against good teams as they did overall this season. Oklahoma tends to let up against weaker teams, but I don’t see that happening after losing to the Cowboys and my ratings favor the Sooners by 17 points. I have no opinion on this game at -16 ½ or higher, but I’d lean with Oklahoma at -16 or less (strong opinion at -15) and my predicted total is 139 points.
Michigan (+5 ½) over Clemson
Michigan is capable of beating good teams, as they proved this season with wins over UCLA, Duke, Illinois and Purdue, and the Wolverines’ 1-3-1 zone and funky offense are capable of giving non-conference teams problems. Coach John Beilein’s teams at West Virginia had success as underdogs in the tournament and the Wolverines could make some noise too if their abundance of 3-point attempts (they average 26 per game) are falling. Clemson is worse than average defending the 3-point arc, allowing 35.8% to a schedule of teams that combines to average 34.0% from long range, so the Wolverines should have some open looks. My ratings favor Clemson by just 4 points and I’ll lean with Michigan at +5 points or more. My math model predicts 142 ½ total points.
Purdue (-8) vs Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa started the season slowly, but the Panthers played well once conference season started and they backed up their regular season Missouri Valley title by winning the conference tournament. The addition of big man Lucas O’Rear to the rotation after Christmas seems to have been the catalyst and the Panthers are 15-7 ATS with their current rotation of players. My ratings only favor Purdue by 7 ½ points, so the line move from the opening number of 9 points was certainly justified. The number looks right now and I have no opinion at the current line, but I’d lean with Northern Iowa at +8 ½ and I’d lean with Purdue at -7. My predicted total is 126 points.
Illinois (-4 ½) over Western Kentucky
Illinois is a much better team than Western Kentucky if the Illini were at full strength, but the injury to point guard Chester Frazier hurts. Frazier averages an impressive 5.3 assists per game and he is also the Illini’s best on ball defender (1.4 steals per game). Illinois played well in a 10 point win over Michigan and poorly in a 10 point loss to Purdue in the Big 10 tournament without Frazier, but my best guess as to his value is about 2 points. The opening line on this game (Illinois was favored by 6 ½ points) suggests that the oddsmakers had already adjusted for Frazier’s likely absence, as my ratings favor the Illini by 8 points using all games. The subsequent line move down after opening at 6 ½ points gives us line value in favor of Illinois. Apparently, the public has been listening to TV analysts that hype the #12 seed over #5 seed upset and point out that the Hilltoppers upset #1 seed Louisville earlier this season. However, they forget to mention that Western Kentucky also lost by an average of 17 points to the 3 other good teams that they faced (Houston, Florida State, and Miss State). Also, #12 seeds are only 50% ATS against #5 seeds the last 18 years, so there is no magic in betting on a #12 seed. I favor Illinois by 6 points after adjusting 2 points for Frazier being out and Western Kentucky applies to a negative 4-22 ATS first round situation. I’ll consider the Illini a Strong Opinion at -5 or less and a regular opinion at -5 ½ or -6. My predicted total is 126 points.
Gonzaga (-12 ½) over Akron
Gonzaga is very good on both sides of the ball and the Zags should be too much for an Akron team that has a tendency to play better against mediocre and bad teams than they do against good teams. The Zips are pretty good defensively (they rank 51st in my adjusted points per possession defensive ratings), but Gonzaga is the 6th best offensive team in the nation in adjusted efficiency and I just don’t see how Akron’s bad offense (41.9% shooting) will be able to get anything going against a Gonzaga team that allowed just 36.8% from the field this season. My ratings favor the Zags by 14 points without giving them anything for playing close to home in Oregon. I’ll lean with Gonzaga at -13 or less and my predicted total is 134 points.
Steven Budin
25 DIME - GONZAGA
C-Stars Sports
1000 Units Top Play Morgan St./Louisville OVER the total
1000 Units Top Play Penn St. minus the points over Rhode Island
1000 Units Top Play Citadel plus the points over Old Dominion
BobbyClarkeSports
Butler +2 Wager 880 to win 800
BYU -2.5 Wager 880 to win 800
California -1.5 Wager 880 to win 800
Texas -4 Wager 880 to win 800
Clemson -5 Wager 880 to win 800
UCLA -8 Wager 880 to win 800
WKentucky +5 Wager 880 to win 800
Washington -6 Wager 880 to win 800
Jefferson Sports
Washington
Gameday
4* Gonzaga
3* UCLA
Helmut
Oklahoma Over 134.5
ANALYSIS: The Sooner’s were a great offensive team in their non-conference portion of the schedule scoring at least 70 points in every game. It’s not like they played all cupcakes either in games against the weaker competition they put up an average offensive efficiency of 1.22 averaging 88 ppg. The Bears have shown a willingness to play up-tempo, as their bracket buster game against Towson was fast pace as well as several non-conference games against up-tempo teams. The Bears did play some tough teams (Mississippi, Washington and Maryland) earlier in the season and they did manage to put up at least 65 points in each of these games. I think this game is going to be played to a pretty good pace and the Sooner’s should have no issues scoring here and Morgan State looks to have enough offense to get this one up and over the total.
Notre Dame Over 146.5
ANALYSIS: I realize that the Irish have now played 9 out of the last 10 under the total but this one looks much too low. The first thing that stands out to me is that I think we will get a really fast pace to this game. The Lobo’s are just coming off a game against Nebraska that played to 152 total possessions. Most of the Lobo games in the non-conference schedule against up-tempo opponents were really fast paced games and no reason to think this game against the Irish will not be as well considering the teams have very little time to prepare a defensive game plan and are both really solid offensive teams. With a 150+ possession game one of these teams is really going to have an off shooting night for this to stay under the total.
Stu Feiner
2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover
Mississippi State (149) vs Washington (-6) @ Portland
Mississippi State seems to be a public play, but I love the Pac-10 champion Huskies to cover this number later today in Portland. Washington had won six straight and nine of 10 before being knocked off by a quality Arizona State team last Friday in the conference tournament. That early exit allowed UW to rest up and re-focus for the Big Dance. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs experienced an emotional ride in having to win four games in four days culminating with last Sunday’s SEC Tournament title win over Tennessee in Tampa. Then it was back to Starkville and now all the way out to Portland, where a pro Washington crowd will be on-hand at the Rose Garden. The Dogs went 4-5 ATS in non-conference games and they’ll come crashing down against a balanced Washington club. Look for the Huskies to attack MSU big man Jarvis Varnado inside. If Jon Brockman, Isaiah Thomas, Justin Dentmon and Venoy Overton can keep coming at the MSU big fella and get him in foul trouble,then the Dogs’ chances are toast. Remember, this is a 25-win Washington team that has won and covered six straight as a neutral court favorite of 3 ½ to 6 points. Mississippi State had a magical run last weekend, but this is just too difficult a turnaround spot for MSU as a better rested and more balanced Washington team pulls away and wins this by at least a dozen points.
WASHINGTON (-6) 2500 Dime High Roller
2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover
Minnesota (+4) vs Texas (127') @ Greensboro, NC
Minnesota is the better defensive club in this match-up and I love the Golden Gophers to use their defensive prowess to upend this Texas team that has really never pulled it altogether in a season after the club lost point guard D.J. Augustin early to the NBA draft. The Longhorns went just 7-7 SU in its final 14 games and went 7-8 SU and 5-9 ATS down the stretch versus teams with winning records. Texas, 1-5-1 ATS last seven games, also failed to win or cover in both games this year when installed as a neutral court chalk of 3 ½ to 6 points. Furthermore, this team has failed to cover in seven of its last eight outside of Austin and has negative spread marks both overall and when laying points. Minnesota went 12-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in non-conference games and this Minnesota team is glad to be in this spot. They believe in Tubby Smith, a championship winning coach who knows what to do this time of year. Look for the Gophers with Jamal Abu-Shamala and Klawrence Westbrook leading the defensive charge to frustrate the Horns and steal this outright win tonight.
MINNESOTA (+4) 2500 Dime High Roller
2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover
Michigan (+5') vs Clemson (137') @ Kansas City
Clemson’s press is not working and the slumping Tigers will give up loads of dunks and layups tonight as Michigan wins this one outright. The Wolverines have committed fewer than 10 turnovers in four of their last five games as Jim Beilein’s club had been on runs of 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS before falling to Illinois in the Big Ten tournament. This team believes in its second-year coach with his quirky offense and unorthodox 1-3-1 zone defense. Clemson finished the year on a 1-4 SU/ATS slide with the lone victory coming over lowly Virginia at home. They have negative spread marks overall, as a chalk, in non-conference games as well as being 1-3 ATS this year in neutral court affairs. Meanwhile, Michigan has beaten both Duke and UCLA this season and this solid outside shooting team should be able drain treys against a Tiger team that finished last in three-point shooting defense.. The Wolverines went 10-3 SU and 6-1 ATS in non-conference games and 4-0 SU and 2-0 ATS playing on five or six days rest. Clemson is struggling while DeShawn Sims, Manny Harris and the Wolverines are not as Michigan wins outright..
MICHIGAN (+5') 2500 Dime High Roller
2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover
#4American (+17) vs Villanova (130) @ Philadelphia
This is a confident American team that will easily stay inside this bloated price tonight in Philly. The Patriot League champs easily stayed inside the number in last year’s respectable first round loss to Tennessee in a game the Eagles felt they should’ve won. Now with essentially the same returning cast back and riding a 13-game win streak (19-1 SU last 20), American will give the Wildcats all they can handle. Villanova has failed to cover in six of its last nine overall and is on further negative spread skids of 1-4 in neutral court games and 1-3 when laying more than 12 ½ points in neutral court contests. American starts five seniors and has an effective inside-outside combo of guard Garrison Carr and forward Brian Gilmore. They’ve already faced the likes of Oklahoma, Maryland and Georgetown this year and have covered five of their last eight neutral court games. Yes this game is in Philly, but look for the crowd to be rooting for the underdog as Scottie Reynolds and Villanova will be in for a fight and American easily scores this ATS win.
AMERICAN (+17) 2500 Dime High Roller
2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover
Morgan State (+16) vs Oklahoma (136) @ Kansas City
Morgan State, the MEAC champs coached by former Cal coach Todd Bozeman, will no doubt stay inside this large spread tonight in Kansas City. The Bears won at Maryland this season as well as DePaul and Marshall and were competitive in losses at Ole Miss, Washington, Saint Mary’s and La Salle. Meanwhile, the Sooners finished on a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS swoon as the Sooners don’t have a deep bench and appear to be wearing down. They’ve also failed to cover in all three games this year playing on five or six days rest. Yes Blake Griffin will have a big game, but the Bears have a big man in Kevin Thompson who can take up room in the paint. The three-guard lineup that Bozeman relies on can make plays from the outside and it must be noted that MEAC teams have covered nine straight first-round Big Dance games (not including play-in games). The Bears are a solid defensive club (62 ppg, 40% shooting) and they’ll sag back on Griffin and force the cold-shooting Sooner guards to make shots from the outside. Morgan State point guard Jermaine Bolden is quick enough to handle the OU press and the Bears will stay inside the number tonight.
MORGAN STATE (+16) 2500 Dime High Roller
Fairway Jay
Big Drive: Washington
American
California
Tom Stryker
4* Wash
3* BYU
3* UCLA
3* IL
Best Sports Picks
California -1.5
Clemson -5
Oklahoma -16
All Sports Picks
Capitals -220
Canucks -180
DOC
3 Unit Play. Take Edmonton -105 over Colorado
The Oilers come into Colorado off a 2-1 shootout win over the Blues Tuesday to put them in eight place in a tight race for the last spot in the western conference. They now face a Colorado team who leads the season series with a 3-2 edge, the Aves are dealing with some injuries with Paul Stastny being questionable and that with Salei, Foote, Tjarnqvist and Sakic out (Been out most of the year). Edmonton has a huge edge in goal with Roloson who has been solid, in betting I don't believe in the term "must win" but this is the type of game the Oilers have to take advantage of and I can't see how Colorado opened a favorite I made the Oilers a thirty cent favorite and I think we have some tremendous value here.
SMTM Sports Picks
2* California -1