Jimmy The Moose
Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning
Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning
Two team's near the basement in the NHL standings meet-up in Tampa tonight. The Maple Leafs are on the verge of being blown up as they rebuild a franchise that has not been a serious contender for years. Toronto has lost 11 of their last 15 games. In their last 11 road games Toronto is 3-8. The Leafs are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents. After a horrible start Tampa has started to play a lot better over the last month. Although they have lost 5 of their last 6 games this team is better than the record indicates. Toronto is 2-5 in their last 7 trips to Tampa. Play on the Tampa Bay Lightning -.
Brian Hansen
Vancouver Canucks at Phoenix Coyotes
Prediction: Phoenix Coyotes
Phoenix is coming off a 1-0 road win over Dallas and I expect them to play the Canucks well tonight who are continuing their road trip. Vancouver won a high scoring affair in St. Louis its last time out, but I expect them to stumble this evening. Vancouver is 9-15 (-14.4 units) when playing against a team with a losing record; play on PHOENIX!
Craig Trapp
Utah State vs. Idaho
Play: Utah State -6
Well yesterday hit our free play with UNC winning easily!! Today we are going to use trends in picking this winner. Utah St has been killing Idaho since 2005. In that time they have beat them by 9 or more every game!! Lets check out some more trends:
UTST: 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Idaho: 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Pretty tough to not take UTST here all the trends and recent history point to easy victory. UTST playing for a nice seeding if they can win out!! SCORE UTST 70 - IU 57
Brett Maverick Sports
Thursday we catch a Hot Troy team in a payback mode as they try to get to the top of the Sun Belt. In the first meeting at Murfeesboro Tn MTSU embarrassed Troy by a score of 81 to 53 and out toughed them badly getting 45 rebounds to only 29 for Troy. In that game Troy was rusty as they had been sitting for 9 days. Troy has now won 8 games in a row and have two very good guards running the show. Look for coach Maestri to check these guys manhood tonight, and challenge them to hit the glass and get the home win. We love a nice payback situation , at home, with a hot team. Take Troy.
Big Al Mcmordie
UCLA at Arizona St.
Play: Arizona St.
At 9 pm, our member selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils plus the points over UCLA. These two ballclubs met earlier this season at Pauley Pavillion, and the Sun Devils stunned UCLA 61-58 as a six-point underdog. That defeat started a three-game ATS losing streak for UCLA, but it has rebounded since to win and cover four straight games, including a 26-point blowout of Notre Dame on Saturday. Of course, defense is coach Ben Howland's calling card, and UCLA has held eight of its last nine to 66 points or less. Still, I'm going to go against the Bruins tonight, as Arizona State falls into a 75-37 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off a double-digit win, which are matched up against a foe off four or more wins. The Sun Devils have covered nine of 14 vs. UCLA. Take the points.
Jrtips
HEAT vs. BULLS
The Heat (27-24) face the Bulls (23-29) and more importantly, Dwyane Wade who is leading the league in scoring faces Derrick Rose in his home town on National TV. The Chicago Bulls are ranked 12 on offense, averaging 100.4 points per game. The Bulls shooting percentages include 45.0 FG%, 78.2 FT%, and 37.8 three point % so far this season and the Miami Heat are ranked 24th on offense, averaging 96.3 points per game. The Heat shooting percentages include 45.0 FG%, 73.9 FT%, and 35.5 three point % so far this season.The Chicago Bulls are 14-10 at home this season, and 11-17 against Eastern opponents. At home the Bulls are averaging 101.2 scoring, and holding teams to 100.3 points scored on defense. On the road, the Heat are averaging 96.7 scoring, and holding teams to 100.3 points scored on defense. Forget alll the stats in this game, tonight will be about the Vetern All-star Diwayne Wade going head to head with the Rookie sensation Derrick Rose. Both guards will be pushing the ball tonight at a high pace and on Top of their game for this much anticipated matchup. Look for both teams to put up points tonight lead by their Superstar guards.TAKE OVER 196 1/2
Jeff Alexander Sports
1 Unit on Gonzaga -4
St. Mary's can't bear the Zags without Patrick Mills. Gonzaga won the first meeting at home by 7 and I expect this one to be even worse with the Bulldogs coming off an eye-opening 18-point loss to Memphis. St. Mary's is also coming off an 18-point defeat but history is not on the side of the Gaels bouncing back. St. Mary's is 6-18 ATS in home games after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997 and 4-14 ATS in home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival since 1997. The Gaels are losing by an about 9 ppg in each of these situations. Gonzaga has won 25 of the last 29 in this matchup and I'll take the Zags in a bounce back spot here.
Tom Freese
Santa Clara at Pepperdine
Santa Clara is 24-11 ATS their last 35 games vs. losing teams and they are 7-3-1 ATS off a straight up win. The Broncos are 5-1 ATS their last 6 Conference games and they 18-7 ATS vs. teams with a win percentage of under 40%. Pepperdine is 1-6 ATS at home off three or more straight road games and they are 1-4 ATS at home vs. teams with a losing road record. The Waves are 9-19 ATS their last 28 home games and they are 1-10 ATS at home if they covered ATS in their last game. PLAY ON SANTA CLARA -
Larry Ness
Louisville @ Notre Dame
PICK: Notre Dame
Notre Dame was riding high at 12-3 (3-1 in the Big East) when it visited Louisville on Jan 12. The Irish came back from a halftime deficit to force overtime but were then outscored 16-2 in the extra period, losing 87-73. Notre Dame hasn't won since. The team enters this game on a seven-game losing streak (SIX of the losses have come against ranked opponents) and with a 12-10 overall record (3-7 in the Big East). That's a pretty sad state of affairs, as most felt this was Mike Brey's best team. Meanwhile, Louisville comes in 18-4 overall (9-1 in the Big East) and ranked 5th in the nation. Swingman Clark (13.0-8.5-3.0) is a 'nightmare' matchup for every team, while the 6-6 Williams (13.0-9.0-4.6) and 6-9 freshman Samuels (12.3-5.2) round out the team's three double digit scorers. Pitino's got his usual bevy of guards, with Sosa (7.5), Smith (7.5), Knowles (5.5) and McGee (4.7) all getting playing time. However, "every dog deserves at least one day" and let's not forget, the Irish played the Cardinals toe-to-toe in Freedom Hall. Harangody (24.3-12.6) hasn't forgotten how to play plus guards McAlarney (15.8-2.5-3.6) and Jackson (10.9-4.9-5.1) are an impressive duo. When U Conn beat Notre Dame 69-61 in South Bend on Jan 24, it ended the nation's longest home winning streak at 45 games. The Irish will be happy these days to have a winning streak of ONE and I'm betting that ONE coms tonight! Take the points with the Irish.
maddux sports
Today's Free Pick is Portland Trail Blazers +3
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My special system picks:
Another winner by a wide margin yesterday with
Oklahoma !!!
Today's picks
1. Utah State -4 $30
2. Gonzaga -3 $20
Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY
(Power Angle Play)
San Diego -13.5 over LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
The Toreros are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, while the Lions are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. San Diego has also gone 6-1 ATS in Loyola and they have taken the last 3 in the series overall, by an average of 18.7 ppg. Loyola has been truly dreadful this year as they are 1-23 overall and have been outscored by 18.3 ppg on the year, plus they have been outscored by 15.9 ppg at home. Loyola is also 0-8 in conference play and they have scored just 55 ppg and shot a pathetic 33.4% from the floor in West Coast play. On the flipside, the Lions have allowed 73.5 ppg and 49.1% shooting in their conference games. Overall the Lions rank dead last in the country in FG% (34.4%) and points scored (54.3). The San Diego defense will be tough for the Lions to get points off of as they are 28th in points allowed (60.5 ppg) and 106th in FG% defense (41.7 %), plus they allow just 59 ppg in West Coast play. The San Diego offense is nothing special, as they average just 62.2 ppg, but they are above average in FG% as they rank 144th in that category (44.4%). San Diego should be able to put some solid points on the board vs a Lions defense that has allowed 73.3 ppg overall, 70.6 ppg at home and 76.4 ppg in their last 5 games. San Diego has lost 4 of their last 5, but those losses were vs Gonzaga, Portland, St Marys and Santa Clara and the last time I checked the Lions weren't even in the same galaxy as those teams. San Diego best the Dons by 10 their last time out and they should have a much easier time tonight. SD by 18+.
POWER ANGLE For this Play-- During the last 2 seasons, Loyola is just 1-11 ATS vs teams that average 53 shots or less per game.
2 UNIT PLAY
Louisville -3 over NOTRE DAME
Speculating Sports
Oregon State Beavers @ Washington Huskies
Pick: 3 units Oregon State Beavers +16.5
The Beavers have quietly played much better basketball as the season has progressed. They are 4-3 against the spread in their last 7 games, but their games are much more competitive than earlier in the season. Oregon State is in a position where they play their best basketball, a significant road underdog where little is expected of them. In addition, they were embarrassed by Washington earlier in the season at home, so this game is a huge revenge factor for them. Meanwhile, the Huskies are not in a good situation heading into this game. They are coming off of four consecutive road games against the better teams in the Pac-10. Now Washington is coming home to play a team that they dominated earlier in the season, so there is little motivation for them to get up for this game. Especially since they had were fairly successful in their road contests, going 2-2 straight up. Look for an improved Oregon State team playing with motivation to keep this game close.
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Louisville -3
The Irish will get up for this one and they'll be in it for a while, just like they have been in so many of their games, but when it's all said and done they will come up short again. This Notre Dame team relies on making three point shots to win games and it hasn't been able to do it consistently enough. Teams have been letting Luke Haragody get his, but they have been all over Kyle McAlarney like white on rice, not allowing him to ever really find a rhythm. Louisville's pressure really took its toll on Notre Dame in the first meeting when the Cards won by 14 and it will be the same story tonight. Notre Dame is 0-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season, losing by an average score of 73.3 to 83.9. Take the Cards!
John Ryan
Illinois vs. Northwestern
Play: Northwestern +2
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Northwestern as they play host to Big-10 rival Illinois slated to start at 9:00 EST. Northwestern will win this game based on the AiS summary data and projections. Two projections working against Illinois are that Wisconsin has an 82% probability of shooting between 40 and 46% in this gam,e and that Illinois will score between 61 and 66 points. Note that Illinois is just 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons and just 18-45 ATS (-31.5 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. Supporting this graded play is a strong money line system that has produced a record of 63-32 making 29.3 units since 2003. Play against road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 after allowing 60 points or less facing an opponent after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games. Illinois not in a good role either noting they are 1-9 against the money line (-8.7 Units) at road when the money line is +135 to -155 over the last 3 seasons. Take Northwestern.
LT Profits
Eastern Illinois +8.5
The Eastern Illinois Panthers have dominated the Morehead State Eagles in recent seasons including a covering win this year, and we do not feel enough separates these clubs to justify this big spread.
Now Morehead State does lead the Ohio Valley Conference at 10-3, but we still do not trust them laying this many points, as the Eagles are actually getting slightly outscored by an average of -0.4 points in all of their games this season. The problem has been turnovers, as they have turned the ball over in 23.9 percent of their possessions, ranking 311 in the country in that category.
Eastern Illinois may be no great shakes at 11-12, but their statistics are not vastly different than those of Morehead State, as the Panthers are getting outscored by -0.8 points per game overall. More importantly, they are a good three-point shooting team at 36.5 percent, which is a nice trait for a decided underdog like this.
The Panthers won the first meeting between these clubs this season 67-61 at home, bringing them to 10-1-1 against the spread in the last 12 head-to-head meetings. Look for them to cover this inflated number also.
Pick: Eastern Illinois +8.5