John Ryan
Minnesota U vs. Michigan
Play: Michigan -3.5
Ryan went 2-1 ATS w/ his first trio of 7* Titan Bubble games. Here are two more and the best news yet is you only pay when the marquee game wins ATS. Both DOGS offering an optional ML parlay. Both reinforced by Ryan’s outstanding research; 1 has angles hitting 83% for a 50-10 mark. Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Michigan as they host Minnesota slated to start at 7:00 EST. AiS shows a 70% probability that Michigan will win this game 5 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 148-102 mark since 2003. so, if you like playing a lot of games then this system certainly is your type. Play against a dog in a game involving two average offensive teams scoring 67-74 PPG and after 15+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less. Michigan is a solid free throw shooting team, but Minnesota is just 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games versus good free throw shooting teams making >=72% of their attempts since 1997. Minnesota also just 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 6 points or less since 1997; 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Michigan in a very favorable spot here noting they are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games after a win by 6 points or less since 1997. Take Michigan.
Brian Hansen
Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks
Prediction: Under
San Jose won 4-2 its last time out at home vs. the Oilers, but I look for it to concentrate on the defensive end this evening. The Kings beat the Ducks 4-3 last night and I expect them to come out sluggish this evening and concentrate on the defensive end as well. The Kings have seen the total go under in the number in 11 of 14 games vs. division opponents; play on the UNDER!
DUNKEL
San Antonio at Detroit
The Spurs (35-17) look to take advantage of Detroit's 0-6 ATS record against teams with a winning record in the second half of the season. San Antonio is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2).
Game 701-702: San Antonio at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.584; Detroit 118.051
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 180 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2); Over
Game 703-704: Boston at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 126.980; Utah 122.054
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-1 1/2); Under
NHL
Vancouver at Ottawa
The Senators return home after taking four of five on their road trip and face a Vancouver team that is just 10-16 against teams with a losing record. Ottawa is the underdog pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has Ottawa favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+110).
Game 1-2: Buffalo at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.641; Philadelphia 12.416
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-155); Over
Game 3-4: Carolina at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.250; NY Islanders 11.471
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+150); Under
Game 5-6: Montreal at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.879; Pittsburgh 10.573
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-185); 6
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+165); Under
Game 7-8: Vancouver at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.978; Ottawa 13.018
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+110); Under
Game 9-10: Chicago at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.168; Florida 13.002
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Under
Game 11-12: New Jersey at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.090; Tampa Bay 11.326
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-200); Over
Game 13-14: Columbus at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.077; Toronto 11.568
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-115); Over
Game 15-16: St. Louis at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.528; Nashville 11.895
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-140); Under
Game 17-18: Calgary at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.243; Minnesota 12.087
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+100); Under
Game 19-20: Edmonton at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.636; Dallas 12.486
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-160); Over
Game 21-22: Atlanta at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.871; Phoenix 11.229
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Over
Game 23-24: Los Angeles at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.787; San Jose 12.490
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-350); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-350); Under
Scott Rickenbach
Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild
Prediction: Over
Both of these teams are coming off of losses and that means both clubs will bring a little extra effort to this game. This is especially true because the Wild relaxed and blew a three goal lead in their loss while the Flames lost their most recent game in the shootout. Calgary and Minnesota both have reputations as being lower-scoring clubs but that is simply not the current case for either team and that is giving us good value here. We do see some books with 5.5 on this but with some books also having this total at a 5 it is a tremendous value. 24 of the Flames last 30 games have totaled at least five goals and many have ended up well over five goals!
As for the Wild, 11 of their last 15 games have totaled at least five goals. The Wild have allowed an average of three goals per game in their last five games and they?ve scored at least 3 goals in five of their last seven games. The Wild are well rested here as they haven?t played since Saturday so they?ll have fresh legs pushing the tempo all over the ice. Also, Flames goalie Miikka Kiprusoff has been more successful at home than on the road throughout his career. The Flames have allowed an average of over 3 goals per game in February but they?ve also averaged nearly 3.5 goals per game in their last 18 games. There are some situational issues here for both teams (like the fact that they?re each coming off of a loss) and that, along with the high-scoring style these teams have been playing ? evidenced by the above stats, means one should consider a small play on OVER 5 goals in Minnesota Thursday night.
WUNDERDOG
St. Bonaventure at George Washington
Pick: St. Bonaventure +3.5
I am hard pressed to understand why the Colonials rate as the choice here. They jumped out to a 6-2 start with some real creampuffs, but have been humbled since going 1-12, with the lone win coming against three-win Fordham. The Bonnies have rebounded from disastrous 1-6 stretch to win two of three and cover four straight and five of their last six. They hung tough on the road against Rhode Island and Duquesne, and won at Richmond. The resistance in this one tonight will not be nearly the same, so I like the Bonnies to get it done on the road against a very poor Colonials’ team.
Montreal at Pittsburgh
Pick: UNDER 6 +110
The Penguins just can't seem to find the magic that carried them to the Stanley Cup finals a year ago. The offense has been struggling off and on for most of the season, and right now it is off. The Pen's have managed just six goals in their last four games - something they are getting accustomed to in Pittsburgh. It has manifested itself at home as well, leading to six of the last eight played on home ice going UNDER the total. These teams have met twice this season and have failed to top this total. I don't see it happening here either and will go with the UNDER.
Brett Maverick Sports
UCLA-8
We dodged the Bruins early in the year as we knew the lines would resemble last years talent, and not reflect the departure of Stars. Now we start to see value in the lines as UCLA has dropped back to back games. Washington was picked N0.5 in the Pac-10 and has over achieved nicely. But we see hard times on the Horizon for Washington starting tonight. The Bruins have played poor defense the last 2 games allowing 53% shooting in the last outing. Nothing makes a coach stand up and demand respect like lack of effort. If the shots will not fall, thats basketball, but when your lazy on defense, then its gut check time. UCLA has not dropped 3 in a row since 2005, and watch the Bruins hit on all cylinders tonight as they turn up the heat on both ends of the court. Take UCLA as a small play.
Drew Gordon
San Antonio at DETROIT +1
I know full well the Pistons are just 7-21 ATS at the Palace this season, but if all you're going to use to handicap this contest is that one stat, then you're not getting the whole picture. Fact of the matter is, the Pistons absolutely must stop the bleeding, losers of 4 straight games, including 3 of those 4 in front of the home fans. I'm expecting an all-out effort from the Pistons tonight, and the fact the Spurs have shown some vulnerability on the road of late only helps Detroit's cause.
Speaking of the Spurs and their recent road play, they've lost their last 2 on the highway, at Toronto and at New York... Not exactly Eastern Conference powerhouses if you ask me! Before you go blindly riding the Spurs simply because the price "looks" right, think about their recent road play and then decide.
Also, while one could argue the revenge factor comes into play tonight, with the Pistons having crushed the Spurs 89-77 in San Antonio back in December, I disagree. If anything, it showed what this Pistons team can do in the right match up, with the right motivation... And its deja vu all over again, as this is the right match up, and obviously the Pistons are highly motivated to snap their losing streak in this one.
Pistons locked down the Spurs to just 39% shooting at the AT&T Center in that contest, and based on how poorly San Antonio has played in their last 2 road games, I'd say they're just as susceptible tonight. Note, the Spurs are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Detroit. In the end, I'll admit its been a disappointing run for Detroit, but in this particular case, they're absolutely desperate for a win, and that's makes all the difference.
Take Detroit plus the points over San Antonio in this NBA match up.
3♦ DETROIT
Michael Cannon
Washington at UCLA -8'
Let’s back the Bruins at home tonight over Washington.
Ucla comes into this game needing a win to stay in the hunt for its fourth straight regular season Pac 10 title, but they also have revenge motive for an 86-75 loss at Washington last month.
I’ll admit this Bruins team isn’t as talented as some of Ben Howland’s past editions, but they are on their home court and they’ve proven to be a tough hombre in that role.
Ucla is 4-0 SUATS in its last four at Pauley Pavilion, winning by an average of 22 ppg. The Bruins have held the opposition to 66 points or less in each of those four games. Overall Ucla is 14-1 at home with 13 of those wins coming by 15 points or more.
Washington has played Ucla tough in this series, but this line is small enough that the Bruins shouldn’t have any problems covering it with the home court advantage.
The host has won six consecutive games in this rivalry and is 4-1 ATS in the last five.
Take Ucla minus the points as they grab the home win and cover.
2♦ UCLA
Jake Timlin
Today's Selection
In one of the biggest blowouts of the night I look for Villanova to cruise to a 20 plus point win at home and thus covering tonight’s high number. After all given that Villanova will be looking to rebound at home and doing so against a bad Rutgers teams I expect nothing but a blowout tonight. You see for the Wildcats they will welcome being back home where they are 12-1 on the season after scoring 102 points in each of their last two home games to win by 18 and 17 points respectively. Meanwhile, for Rutgers the second half of the season has been a disaster as they have lost 12 of their last 13 games. Flat out, the Scarlet Knights lack the offenses needed to keep things close tonight and thus given Villanova looking to avenge last year’s loss to Rutgers I look for the Wildcats to win by at least 20 points. All Villanova minus the chalk!
PICK: Villanova Wildcats
Graig Davis
Another big “free play” win with NC State last night as this game was NEVER in doubt. Getting 20+ points was an absolute mistake by Vegas and we capitalized on it and I hope you did as well. That’s yet another FREE PLAY winner, so you can only imagine what I have in store for you inside.
Tonight’s free play is one Indiana. Yes, I realize the Hoosiers failed to show up against Illinois last Sunday, but they did make a game of it late and actually trailed by just six points with four minutes to go.
The run ended and the Illini’ finished with a 13-point win as 10.5-point favorites.
The difference tonight is the fact the Badgers just don’t have much offense. Sure, they play well defensively and have been on an amazing run lately, but they just aren’t the same team on the road as they are at home, and the Hoosiers will have enough left in the tank to keep this one close for 40 minutes.
No doubt they Hoosiers don’t enter the locker room down by 20+ points like they did Sunday vs. Illinois.
Wisky gets the win, but there’s no way they cover the 10+ points. The Badgers have won four in a row, but before that they were on a six-game losing streak. The Hoosiers are 12-5 ATS their last 17 at home as an underdog.
Take the points.
3♦ INDIANA
Black Widow Sports
1* on Boston Celtics -1.5
Beating the top-2 teams in the league will be too tall of a task for the Utah Jazz tonight. The Jazz picked up a nice win over the Lakers before the All-Star Break but Boston will pose a bigger problem for Utah tonight. The Celtics have won 2 of the last 3 in this series, including a 104-98 road win at Utah in their last visit to Salt Lake City. Boston has been playing their best ball away from home, going 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games overall. Boston is 51-26 ATS (+22.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. The Celtics are 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. The Celtics have posted a solid 20-7 road record this season and with 7 days in between games, Boston will be fresh and ready to go tonight. Their last game was a 99-92 road win at Dallas last Thursday. Take the Celtics and lay the points.
Dave Price
1 Unit on Michigan -3.5
The Wolverines need this one badly to boost their tournament resume as much as possible right now. The Wolverines have been very dangerous at home with a 12-3 SU and a 7-3 ATS mark in home lined games. Since a hot start, the Gophers have dropped 5 of 8 and are just 1-7 ATS in those games. Minnesota is 0-3 SU and ATS in its last 3 Big Ten road contests. The Golden Gophers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog while the Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Favorite is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Michigan at home.