NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 231-169-6, +41.25 units won (400 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 35-49, +6.31 units won (84 units risked)
NBA 2010.02.17 first 2 picks:
Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic
After a great win yesterday at home, Pistons will play again today. It's a back to back game, however they are coming from 5 days off. They shouldn't be tired, but more important, they are with confidence and with the will to chance the path of the team. Pistons are the kind of team that starts every year with a minimum target, playoffs. However, they are disappointing the fans this year, with poor games and a 19-33 record. However, the team is not so bad as it seems, they still have good players, and despite their best players missed many games in the first part of the season, the team is all ok now. There is no excuses to keep the bad performances and fail to get a better record. Yesterday they entered the second part of the season with a great game, winning it by 23 points. So, they will arrive to this game thinking that they are able to make the difference in the remaining part of the season.
In other hand, Orlando will have 3 home games. After Detroit, they will have to handle with Mavs and Cavaliers. That's enough to approach this game with the minimum resources. Orlando is a good team unquestionable, and can get great wins, but is not the kind of team to win by many points, as they slowdown when they are leading with comfort. That's why it's hard to expect Orlando to enter todays game with all they got, as they probable think that this will be the easy game and they are already thinking in the next games. And Detroit can make a surprise, at least, they will try.
Pick: Detroit Pistons +11 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks
Yesterday, Knicks went to Chicago. The game ended with 203 points, but that's because Bulls were leading by many points, and in the fourth quarter, both teams slow down and quit the game, otherwise, the game would probably ended with 220 points or more.
The things that made me going in the over yesterday, still available for today matchup. Players are not tired as they rested almost a week. Nate Robinson could return today.
So, both teams learned yesterday some thing about each other. Knicks will have to use it today, as they will probably try to get their revenge after the big loss yesterday. The biggest difference in the game, was the accuracy. With only 30% of shots right, Knicks will have to improve it a lot today, and at home, that seems really easy to them. However, their defense shouldn't be able to stop Bulls, at least, to make the difference. They had shoot yesterday 60%! Bulls probably learned the lesson, and will know today how to score. They will probably keep more than 50% of accuracy today.
Knicks will make a fast game. They know that right now, they are not better shooters, but they can shoot more. Bulls learned yesterday how to handle Knicks. The trick is not try to make a good defense, is only shoot better.
Pick: Over 201.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
*One unit each always.
NBA 2010.02.17 another pick:
Houston Rockets @ Milwaukee Bucks
Houston will go to Milwaukee to a matchup against against a good defensive team. Despite the 12-14 record on road that Rockets got, they are not a good road team. They have managed to get 12 wins on road, but this number will probably have a small increase for the rest of the season. This team seems a good defensive team, however, their kind of game is usually to fast to make a good defensive work. On road, their defense sucks, and when they face teams that defend and don't let Houston play fast, they struggle.
Bucks are one of that kind of teams that makes the season in their home games and an ocasional surprises. At home, they got the edge in the paint with Bogut and a rookie that is shinning a lot and making the diference, Jennings. They can score a lot, play a fast game, but they are smart enough and know that their edge is on their defense. Against houston, that's all they need to get a confortable win.
Pick:Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
*One unit each always.
NBA 2010.02.17 another pick:
Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Hornets
Utah are 7-0-1 in their last 8 road games on ATS. They were playing really well before the break, and showed yesterday that they still reaming with their "momentum". They are strong in every positions, with Deron, Boozer and Okur.
New Orleans are without CP3, and the true is that is a big loss to the team. They could hold a little bit after the all star break, winning some games, however, they will return today to action, after 7 days off. To a team that will play more 2 or 3 weeks without their leader, it will be hard to show competitiveness in this first games.
Without CP3, the Hornets will not be able to discuss games against teams that are strong and have big mens, as Boozer, Okur and Millsap. Their athetism is a little bit soft, and they will not be able to control the gam in the paint against Utah. And they will not be able to defend Deron Willians as they should in order to discuss the game.
Pick: Utah Jazz -4 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
*One unit each always.
NBA 2010.02.17 another 2 picks:
Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors
Despite the break, GSW weren't able to treat their players from the extensive injured list. They played yesterday and they seems with lack of confidence and rhythm. In their last games, they lost 9 straight games, and ended the first part of the season with a win. That should give them confidence and the strength to look forward in the second part of the season. The team can play a fast game, but they can't defend but that's not their main problem at this point. They have players from the minors playing lot's of minutes, few players of their initial roster at day 1 is playing right now.
Kings are being so far a nice surprise for me. With two rookies making the difference, Kevin Martin have more space, and the team is well equalized and playing very well. Yesterday, they were almost able to win to Boston, but they couldn't hold the lead in the final part. I think that they are able to approach this second part of the season with a positive perspective, and forget the last month before the break, where they sucked a lot.
Today, Kings are a team more organized and with more confidence. They are able to play pretty well in a fast pace, and make the difference today defending when they have to.
Picks: Sacramento Kings +4.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker & Sacramento Kings ML +170 (2.70) The Greek
*One unit each always.
Final, no more picks for today.
Today is the last day to close the transfers window and as you might noticed, there are several regular players being benched in the last 2 days (and seeing little game time in the process), which screws any analysis of the game, so I might not have a play for tonight.
NBA 2010.02.17 results:
Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic: Detroit Pistons +11 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (116-91: LOSS)
Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks: Over 201.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (109-115: WIN)
Houston Rockets @ Milwaukee Bucks: Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (99-127: LOSS)
Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Hornets: Utah Jazz -4 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (90-98: WIN)
Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors: Sacramento Kings +4.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (130-98: LOSS)
NBA 2010.02.17 finished 2-3 and -1.18 units lost/5 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 233-172-6, +40.07 units won (405 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 35-50, +5.31 units won (85 units risked)
Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors: Sacramento Kings ML +170 (2.70) The Greek (130-98: LOSS)