Tommy Gold's NBA 2010.03.02 Picks (257-189-6, +44.82u)

Golden State Warriors @ Miami Heat

Today, we will see only a few part of the Golden State team. They already had problems with the injuries, but today they will have to add Biedrins, Maggette and Ellis to that list. Maggette and Ellis are two of their best scorers, and without them, it will be only Curry to carry that responsability. Despite he his a rookie, there is no doubt that he have the talent, and he will be the best warriors player playing today. With him and Morrow, the Warriors will build a new team to face Miami today, and will have to use many D-league players for several players.

Warriors starts today an exaust road trip, where they will play against some strong opponents, and will have to give enough rest to Curry and Morrow. Miami have two defeats at home in their last 2 games, and needs to turn things. Wade will return today, and there is no better game for him. Today he can show how he can lead a team that are struggling, and playing against a team with no defense, with few "real" players, and that needs to play with rush, is the perfect game.

Pick: Miami Heat -10.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Sacramento Kings @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Since Kings traded Martin, Kings can't score as much as before. Tyreke is big without question, and can support the team, but there isn't any true company to help him in scoring matter. Kings have a young team with talent, but they need more time to get mature and be able to pass better some defenses. They can easily fight for games when they are facing teams that despise them, or go to the game giving only 50% of what they can.

But today, they will face a brilliant Thunders so far, as they face every game as a final. They give what they can give, never less than 100%, and it doesn't matter the opponent. One base of their game is their defense, and at home, it's rare to see Thunders let any team try to force a high pace. In Oklahoma, its Thunders that says how the game will be played. And that how, it's a low pace game, with a good defense, allowing few points from Kings, and scoring enough to win.

They have to control this game easily, as they will go to Denver play next game.

Pick: Under 204 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers

Indiana got a win in their last game without any problems. The game was easy for them, and that was good for tonight game. They are fresh and willing to take their chance to score many points, and give to Lakers as much problems as they did about one year ago in LA. They will start today a roadtrip of 4 games, 4 kind of games that they have to be good in their offense to try their chances. There can't be better start than make a difficult life today to Lakers, and the only chance they have to do it, it's scoring lot's of points.

The Lakers, are coming from bad performances, despite their wins. In the last game, they were down by many points until they recovered to win by 6 against Denver. In their last 6 games, they lost all them ATS, and the supporters are not very happy about the recent performs. They have to give a big performance to their supporters, and today, they can easily punish Pacers without caring about defense, as they have all the edge in the paint. As a contenders to the title, they have to know play all the kind of games, including a fast game like run and gun.

At home, it's really easy to Lakers scores more than 120 points, and today we can't expect no less than that, with Pacers trying to keep the scoreboard as equalized as possible.

Pick: Over 211 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

NBA 2010.03.02 results:

Golden State Warriors @ Miami Heat: Miami Heat -10.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (110-106: LOSS)
Sacramento Kings @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Under 204 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (113-107: LOSS)
Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers: Over 211 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (122-99: WIN)

NBA 2010.03.02 finished 1-2 and -1.09 units lost/3 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 258-191-6, +43.73 units won (449 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 38-53, +7.71 units won (91 units risked)