Tommy Gold's NBA PLAYOFFS 2010.05.13 Picks (47-28-2, +15.97u)

NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 397-292-9, +71.46 units won (689 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)

NBA PLAYOFFS (47-28-2, +15.97u) 2010.05.13 first pick: *

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics

Boston will host today the Cavs thinking that today they have a gold opportunity to end this series and go through it. If they won tonight, they will play the conference finals against the Orlando Magics. However, if they lose today, they will have to play a game 7 on the road, This series are being extremely balanced, with both teams alternating wins until the last 2 games, where the Celtics were able to snap 2 wins in a row. In 3 home games, the Cavs lost 2, mostly due to a bad defense and low power in the paint. However, they were able to win 1 of 2 road games, having tonight the chance to won the 2 in 3 games and make the tie.

Boston Celtics didn't made a good regular season, at least, not as good as every one expected. However, they easily passed the Heats in 5 games, and are in the eminence of knock out the contenders to the title Cleveland Cavaliers. In their 3 wins, they were able to hold the Cavs to less than 70 shots, and overcame the Cavs in the rebounds as well. In the middle of their wins, that had a blow out loss at home, just the same that happened in he last game, where they were dogs by +7.5 points but won by almost 40 points. Once again, they had a terrific defense and hold the Cavs for less than 70 shots.

In that games we can also highlight their offense, that is able to score with a great accuracy, including the six 3 points made by Allen last game. In their last home game, they were able to win by 10 points, with a low pace game, holding the Cavs for even less shots than the last game at Cleveland. This hard defense started after the Cavs gave them a blowout loss in the first game at Boston. Tonight, the Celtics are aware that they will meet the Cavs they faced in that first game at Boston, aggressive, and will have to make their best defensive performance in this season to hold the Cavs and try to finish this series tonight.

The Cavs have the talent to do a better figure. With a 3 shots made in 14 attempts, Lebron had made one of their worst playoff games ever, leaving his team "to death". Even with a poor performance, several of the Cavs players had a barely decent performances, such as Shaq that ended with 21 points. After their won in the first game in this series, where they were able to end the game with the same rebound of the Celtics, the lost the second game at home. It was in that point, with a 1-1 tie in the series, that they went to Boston. They knew that only one win in any of those two games can give them the home advantage again, and so, they entered the first game with "fire in their ass".

They had made the right approach to the game, being extremely aggressive, overcoming the Celtics defense and being better in the rebounds for the only time in this series. They have a great offensive power, after all, they got LeBron James in their roster. They just have to be aggressive, facing the game with their angry as they did in the last time they went to Boston needing to win. Their apathy in their last game at home, that cost them the game and left the team in disadvantage, can only be fixed with a win today. Today, the Cavs or win or will end the season.

Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers ML +105 (2.05) Bookmaker

* One unit each always. I'll look later on the total, because I'm leaning right now on the Under, but I want to handicap it thoroughly before taking a position on this market.