Vernon Croy
NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs
Play: Over 191.5
I had the Under 187 in the Spurs/Thunder game which cashed hands down last night but tonight I will take the Over with the Spurs playing on 0 days rest. The Spurs are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA but they will not be able to play as strong defensively tonight playing with no rest. The Spurs are shooting 41.6% from beyond the arc at home this season and 48.3% from the field. The Timberwolves opponents are averaging over 103 ppg against them this season while shooting 47.5% against them and the O/U is 6-1 for the Spurs when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes in their 1st game when playing on back to back days. The O/U is 8-2-1 in the Spurs last 11 games against a team with a losing record and he O/U is 11-5 for the Spurs in their last 16 home games. The O/U is 6-2-1 in the last 9 games between these two teams and the Timberwolves come into this game well rested so I look for them to pursue a high tempo game against a tired Spurs team. Take the Over as my NBA Total of the Month.
Jay Wright
South Carolina / Davidson UNDER 152.5
Note: Cocks have gone under in 2 of last 3 with a push thrown in. Davidson under is 8-1 in Wildcats last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 non-conference games. Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 road games.
Weber State +12.5
Weber had a 12 game win streak snapped last week putting them in the NIT. They have an identical record as SDST and are catching a dozen? Odds makers clearly have no respect for the Wildcats who covered 19 of 25 games this season and a squad who are 7-0 ATS coming off a SU loss. SDST just 1-5 last 6 ATS as the fave.
Wyoming -2.5
Cowboys on an 8-2 ATS run at home last 10 and 7-2 ATS last 9 overall. Northeastern has lost last 2 overall and last 5 of 7. Wyoming have covered last 5 in a row at home as the fave and 6-0 ATS last 6 as the home fave. Take the Cowboys to route Northeastern and send em packing early.
Play-In Game Selection:
This will not count towards my record, but it's a game I like that didn't make it to the final 3 plays on the card tonight.
Morehead State -3.
On paper Bama State has the better record, but Morehead is coming off 2 wins both as the dog over Austin Peay and Tenn-Martin. They also crushed Eastern KY as a 3.5 point fave by 19 points. Their last 3 games have me sold that this team is on a mission to get in the Big Dance.
Anthony Redd
25 Dime Rhode Island
10 Dime Northeastern
5 Dime New Mexico
5 Dime Nevada
Dr Coglye West
10* Buf/Otw Over 5.5
8* Mtl/NYR Over 5.5
Bob Balfe
Cavs -6
Alabama St. +3.5
PowerPlayWins
Power Play of The Day
NOTRE DAME -6.5
Ben Burns
Dallas/Detroit Under - GOM
Orl/Cavs Over
Bulls
Wym - GOY 1st RD
NMex
R Isd
Brian Edwards
UNLV vs. Kentucky
Pick: Under 135
Kentucky's last three games have been played to 129 combined points or less. There's a reason for that. For starters, the Wildcats play excellent defense with a pair of shot blockers (Patrick Patterson and Perry Stevenson) in the lane. The 'under' is on a 3-1 run in UNLV's last four games, as the Rebels have put up the following pedestrian scoring outputs: 57, 46, 46 and 60. Obviously, both teams are struggling to get buckets. Other than Jodie Meeks and Patterson, the 'Cats don't have a third consistent scorer, allowing opposing defenses to really focus on defending Meeks and Patterson. Give me the 'under' here.
DOC
4-Unit Play Take Orlando +6 Over Cleveland
Even though the Cavs are the best home team in the NBA, they CAN be beat and the Magic are one of those teams that can get the job done. We are not saying Cleveland will go down tonight, but we expect a real close contest here and think that the Magic will be in it late. The Magic have won three straight in this series and seven of the last nine. They have also covered in eight of the last nine meetings. They come in having won seven of their last eight and are playing as well as anyone in the league right now. They are being undervalued by the oddsmakers, too, as they have covered in six of their last eight. The Cavs have been playing really well lately too record wise, but not ATS as they have dropped two straight and four of their last six. In recent games they beat the Knicks by five, Sacramento by three in OT and the Clippers by four. If they are not blowing teams like this out we feel that the Magic can compete for the win tonight as well.
3-Unit Play Take Chicago +1½ Over Boston
Boston has pretty much dominated this series but we think the Bulls will have a chance to get a rare win against them tonight as the Celtics just haven’t been playing up to their standards lately. The Celtics have covered only once in their last nine contests and they have dropped three of their last four overall (straight-up). The Bulls are one of those teams that have been horrible on the road but unbeatable at home. They have won six straight home games including wins over New Orleans, Houston, Orlando and Denver. We think they get another win tonight against the banged-up Celtics.
4-Unit Play Take LA Clippers/Golden State UNDER 223½
The Warriors will be without a lot of firepower tonight. Jamal Crawford (19 PPG) is feuding with Coach Nelson and will is being benched for the next two games in favor of a younger lineup. Stephen Jackson (21 PPG) is suspended because he has amassed too many technical fouls this season. This team still has some scoring options and they will still run, but we just don’t see them scoring enough to get over the posted number, which we feel is a very public number. The Clippers haven’t exactly been great on offensive lately. They have averaged just 93 PPG in their last nine contests and only two of those have gone over 100 points. Two straight meetings this season have gone under the posted total and the one game that did go over barely squeaked past this current number by ½ point. The value here lies with the under.
NHL
4 unit play.Take Florida -110
The Capitols come into Florida after a 5-1 loss last night to a surging Atlanta team. Goalie Jose Theodure was pulled but looks like he will get the start tonight. Off of yesterday injury report Sergei Fedorov has the flu and now today defenseman Mike Green is listed with the Flu, I think it runs a little deeper then those two guys’. The Cap's before last nights loss were winners of three straight but before that were losers of four straight and after last night loss are losers of five of the last eight with some bad losses in there. I think the Cap's have some issues right now one of them being confidence in their goaltending and tonight get a rested Florida team where every point is so important after blowing a two goal lead vs. the Lighting. Florida for the most part is healthy and I think at minus ten cents is a bargain and they pick off a reeling Washington team at home tonight
2 unit play.Take Phoenix +170 over San Jose
The Coyotes returned home on march 14 for a 2-0 shutout loss to Nashville for a bunch on new Coyotes home debut after a five game road trip in seven day's. That was a tough spot for them and it showed in only putting eight shots on goal for the first two periods. It was another good game by Phoenix goalie Ilya Bryzgalov who stopped 31 of 32 shots. Tonight the Sharks come to town after getting their star goalie Nabokov back who was outstanding in beating Anaheim. This Sharks team is still dealing with a lot of injuries and hasn't played consistent in weeks. I think we will get a good effort from the home doggy that is offering great value.
2 unit play.Take over 5½ in St. Louis @ Edmonton
Pretty much a playoff in Edmonton tonight with these teams separated by one point. This is their 4th meeting this year with two staying under, both goalies have been work horses for their clubs. The Blues have been scoring and own the 8th best power play in the league, while Edmonton has struggle on both special teams lately. Unlike most playoff type games that are played tight I don't see this game shaping up like that, I think this will be open type hockey with a good pace. I do think the team that takes advantage of their power play chances will come out on top here. I think the odds maker has the number right at 5.5 but think there should be some money attached this over, gives us some value in what I think will be a high scoring game.
hey blade what are ur thoughts on stu feiners picks?
IndianCowboy
4 Unit Play. Take Oakland -4 over Kent State
If you are looking for some solid dogs today who can win outright and more importantly cover, as those are my favorite plays, take a long look at Northeastern at Wyoming (you can read my research on my page why), or UAB on the road at Notre Dame as the public likely gets buried there, or even UNLV catching 7 at Kentucky as this is the same Rebel team that won at BYU and at Louisville - incredibly tough to do. Having said that, let's take Oakland today. Oakland might be one of the hottest teams in the country that no one is talking about coming into this game. Remember, they played a great game againts North Dakota State and frankly should have won that game. If they win that game, they woudl be dancing but simply collapsed with a double-digit lead as North Dakota State essentially won on a buzzer beater. Oakland has been dominant at home even beating Oral Roberts by double-digits earlier this year. Oakland even lost to Cleveland State, the Champs of their respective conference by 3 on the road. Remember, Cleveland State beat Butler on the road to win their conference championship. Kent State has been a bit weak on the road this year losing to the likes of Ohio, Buffalo, Akron, losing to Cleveland State by nearly 26 on the road and even a team outside the top 250 in Western Carolina at home. Oakland came into this game winning 9 straight ballgames and should have won the Championship and I think they are at a solid price here as small chalk. Oakland has consistently beaten some quality teams at home by double-digits and shoots just under 70% at home for free throws. They are a great story and I think it will be great for America to see this team play some more and I hope they make it to MSG. This team beat Oregon and Wisconsin Green-Bay on the road. Remember, Oakland is a top 70 team while Kent State is a top 125 team. Kent State when facing top 70 teams on the road has lost by 5 to Miami of Ohio (top 110), lost by 14 to Akron on the road(top 100), lost by 11 to Buffalo on the road (top 125), and lost by 6 to Ohio on the road (top 200). In fact, if my numbers serve me right, Kent State has not beat a top 100 team all year on the road and I expect them to have the same trouble tonight riding into a hot Oakland team. Let's take the Tourney caliber team, at home, on the short lay, who are 5-0-1 ATS against a team with a winning record and the Golden Flashes of Kent State are 0-9 ATS in non-conference games.
4 Unit Play. Take the Chicago Bulls +2 over the Boston Celtics
I'm gald we were able to cash with the Thunder +5 outright over the Spurs last night. Let's do the same with another outright winner with the Bulls tonight over the Celtics. If you can, wait until later this afternoon to see if you can get a better price on this game as 71% of the public likes the Celtics on the road here coming off a loss. But, the Celtics are banged up and they are - let's face it - a mediocre team without Garnett. Yes, the Celtics are medicore without Garnett. On top of that, they do not have Big Baby's body tonight either as he is out as well. Yes, the Celtics have Allen (who went 2/11 yesterday) and Pierce who went 4/15 from the field yesterday. This team just lost to the Bucks on the road as 6 point chalk and now they are laying 2 to the Chicago Bulls who are turning their season around? The Bulls have run through the Hornets at home winning by 18, have revenge coming into this game, beat the Bucks, Golden State and Houston all at home. The Bulls, unlike the Celtics are healthy. This team has Miami grad John Salmons, Rose, Gordon, rebounding machine Noah, Tyrus Thomas, depth with Tim Thomas, Brad Miller and Kirk. This team has size, length and great guard play. The Celtics have very little size to bang around with the likes of K. Thomas, T. Thomas, Brad Miller and Noah today and the bigs will have a big impact on this game. I see the Bulls going to the line often and winning this game likely outright today despite the C's on a bounce-back. After all, remember, the C's lost back to back games to the Magic and Heat just recently. The Bulls have covered their last 6-0 ATS at home recently and 4-1 ATS as underdogs of late as well. The Celtics are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 as favorites and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games overall
hey blade what are ur thoughts on stu feiners picks?
I would never make a bet just because he likes it and would never pay for a play from him,I would say he is average at best.
Freinds of Mike Lee
5* Under Detroit
3* Bulls
3* G ST
3* Over Lakers
4* N Dame
3* Penn St
3* Wym
Newyork Sports Investors
Pistons +6
76ers +10
Northeastern/Wyoming Under 133
NewMexico -7.5
Maddux Sports
Basketball
3 units on Cleveland -6
3 units on George Mason +6
3 units on New Mexico -7.5Free Pick Notre Dame -5.5
Hockey
3 units on Philadelphia +165
3 units on Buffalo +105
3 units on Toronto +105
3 units on Dallas +150