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(@blade)
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Best Sports Picks

Bradley -2

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 1:52 pm
(@blade)
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Chris Jordan

600♦ SAN DIEGO STATE

Ran my numbers last week, when the lines were set. Read all the stories I could on this game. Did my research continually, grabbing every bit of resource I could for this clash of overachievers. And though my mind was made up heading into this morning, about 4 a.m. pacific, on San Diego State, it wasn't until about 4:20 a.m. that I solidified my choice with such confidence ... thus the 600♦ rating.

The lead to the story reads this: "After an exhausting day of travel, the Baylor men’s basketball team arrived to a surreal scene outside of its Manhattan hotel early Monday morning."

Sure, the Bears have had a full day to rest; but if it was early Monday morning, that tells me this "team that had been on planes and buses all day from Waco to New York dodging nasty weather" is going to need more than an overnight rest to take on the No. 1 seed in this event.

According to that news report, the Bears had to "skirt around bad weather in New York and New Jersey on Sunday. After leaving Waco on their 50-seat charter plane in the afternoon, they took an alternate route to Greensboro, N.C. After a two-hour stopover, they still couldn’t get into the airport in Teterboro, N.J., due to the weather. So they flew to Allentown, Pa., and loaded on a bus for the last two hours to Manhattan."

Sorry, but that's too much to deal with for a team that's here because of a lucky run through the Big 12 Tournament, and likely would have been in one of those 'other' smaller tourneys if it would have bowed out of the Big 12 Tournament when we expected it to.

I'd much rather side with arguably the one team that had the legitimate argument it should have been in the Big Dance. San Diego State, which comes in 26-9 overall, got here courtesy of three straight home wins over Weber State, Kansas State and Saint Mary’s. The veteran-laden Aztecs feature four senior starters in forwards Lorrenzo Wade, Kyle Spain and Ryan Amoroso and guard Richie Williams.

And forget the fact this is a team that has a balanced attack on offense, I love the way the Aztecs use a tenacious defense that has limited foes to 40.7 percent shooting and 59.2 points per game.

Coach Steve Fisher has troops who are athletic and who do a great job of crashing the boards. And since they're all about the same size and share the sam abilities, it's hard to block them out. They’ve got four guys who rebound really well, and that goes a long way in gaining second-chance opportunities.

I'm not too worried about Baylor's zone defense, I think Fisher has enough talent and enough experience with his roster, to be able to break through that. I also think that even though Baylor has shot 57.1 percent overall and 43.9 percent from beyond the arc during their three tourney games, that weariness will kick in, along with the awe of playing in the middle of basketball's Mecca!

Take a look at the betting numbers, as they certainly favor us despite Baylor's 13-3 ATS run on neutral sites. The Bears are mired in ATS slides of 1-7 as the favorite, and a dismal 0-7 when laying the number in this range. That's why I am telling you the line is off ...

With the Aztecs, we have a team on ATS runs of 5-0 versus the Big 12, 5-0 versus non-conference foes, 8-2 following an ATS cover and 6-1 overall.

Take the slim dog, and try to get it before the line possibly moves the other way. And if I'm wrong, and the line goes up on Baylor, get you some more!!!

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 1:52 pm
(@whodat)
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this is kinda off the wall but does anyone have any good book recommendations on the subject of sports betting- how to win or winning systems
thanks

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 1:56 pm
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Cogyle

8* Bruins over

8* Ottawa over

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 2:04 pm
(@blade)
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this is kinda off the wall but does anyone have any good book recommendations on the subject of sports betting- how to win or winning systems
thanks

Can't really think of a book but look around here they have tons of books on sports betting

www.gamblersbook.com

Forget about systems they don't work.

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 2:09 pm
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Smooth44

Knockout Punch Of The Day - Philly -1 -120

Detroit +10 -120

Detroit Over 177 -120

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 2:13 pm
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Erin Rynning

Playmaker: Bobcats Under

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 2:24 pm
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Scott Rickenbach

1* (regular play) Anaheim Ducks Money Line (+) @ Edmonton

Beautiful revenge spot here. The Ducks only have one loss in their last seven games and it came on their home ice against the Oilers. In other words, the best payback for Anaheim – as both teams are in a battle for the playoffs – would be to return the favor in Edmonton. The Ducks are coming off of a 4 to 1 win over the Avalanche on Sunday. Prior to that, the Ducks did lose on Friday against the Oilers but they actually peppered Edmonton goalie Dwayne Roloson with a season-high 54 shots. As you can see from that statistic, even though the Oilers won the game, the Ducks “carried play” for much of the match. Note that Edmonton had lost three in a row before beating the Ducks Friday. Then, on Sunday, the Oilers right away lost again as they were defeated by the Wild in a 3 to 2 loss in Edmonton. Note that home ice really hasn’t been all that special for the Oilers this season as they’ve only won 16 of their 36 home games this season! Also, Jonas Hiller is expected to get the start between the pipes for the Ducks tonight and he’s been red hot. He is 4-1 with a 1.41 GAA in his last five starts. Hiller and the Ducks are the hot goalie and the hot club right now while the Oilers struggles continue. That means it’s payback time here! Play Anaheim on the money line as a regular selection.

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 2:25 pm
(@blade)
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THE GOLD SHEET'S LTS (+)

NBA

INDIANA (-2) over Chicago

NEW ORLEANS at SACRAMENTO "OVER" 201.5

COLLEGE HOOPS

SAN DIEGO STATE (+1) over Baylor

PENN STATE (+4) over Notre Dame

BRADLEY (-2) over Old Dominion

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 2:30 pm
(@panos1)
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this is kinda off the wall but does anyone have any good book recommendations on the subject of sports betting- how to win or winning systems
thanks

As big of a douche as he can be... Wayne Roots book is VERY good

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 2:33 pm
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Rocketman

3* Bobcats
3* Mavs
3* Kings

4* Tampa Bay Lightning

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 2:35 pm
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RON RAYMOND

5* Thunder / Spurs Over 188

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 2:37 pm
(@whodat)
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thanks for the responses yall are great what is wayne roots book name thx

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 2:55 pm
(@double-dime)
Posts: 57
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this is kinda off the wall but does anyone have any good book recommendations on the subject of sports betting- how to win or winning systems
thanks

Kevin O'Neill has some very good books. I think you can buy them at the Gambler's Bookstore in Vegas or online

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 3:15 pm
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Anthony Redd

5* Lakers
5* Mavericks
5* Hornets

 
Posted : March 31, 2009 3:30 pm
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