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MLBguru
Cubs/Astros under 8.5 - Risking 1.1 to win 1
Mariners/Twins under 8 - Risking 1.1 to win 1
Rays/BoSox over 8.5 - Risking 1.1 to win 1
LA Angels - 132 risking 1.32 to win 1
Parlay: Cards ML + Diamondbacks ML Risking 1 unit.
Mike Rose
all 2 units
nationals over 8.5
dodgers under 7.5
rockies under 9
MTi SPORTS
Philadelphia at Charlotte
Play: Under 185
The 76ers are off a 96-67 loss in New Jersey in which they shot 35.1% from the field. No starter made it to double-digits. We expect the 76ers to be reluctant to fire away here. Indeed, Philadelphia is 0-9 OU with at most one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they shot at least 10 percentage points lower than their season-to-date average, staying under by an average of 16.1 ppg.The Sixers are seeking revenge here, as the Bobcats beat them 100-95 in Philadelphia on March 27th. Andre Igoudala led all scorers with 25 points in the loss. This is relevant because the 76ers are 0-11 OU when seeking revenge for a loss in which Iguodala was the Seventysixers' high scorer. Philadelphia has stayed under by a whopping 19.6 ppg in this situation and we have cashed with this one SEVEN times this season. this one can be tightens up a bit to reveal a spectacular margin. Specifically, the 76ers are 0-4 OU when seeking revenge for a HOME loss in which Andre Iguodala was the Seventysixers' high scorer, staying under by a whopping 32.8 ppg on the average.The Bobcats are 0-5 OU (-7.7 ppg) at home with at least a day of rest after a loss on the road in which Emeka Okafor had more turnovers than assists, 0-6 OU (-6.8 ppg) after a loss in which Gerald Wallace took fewer than 10 shots and 0-5 OU THIS season after a loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists. Both teams should got well into the 24-second clock before attempting a shot here. Take the UNDER.
MTi’s FORECAST: CHARLOTTE 89 Philadelphia 83
HalfBets
Toronto OVER 9.5 (2*)
Wash/Marlins OVER 8.5 (2*)
NBA:
OKC +6 (5*)
Charlotte -4.5 (8*)
Anthony Redd
15 Dime Hornets
5 Dime Hawks
5 Dime 76ers
5 Dime Magic
DAVE MALINSKY
4* 76er's
4* Dodgers
4* Pitt/St Louis Over 8.5
ATS Lock Club
4 Units Rockets
3 Units Hornets
ATS Financial
4 Units Hawks
3 Units Bobcats
Kelso
10 units Lakers
5 units Bobcats
3 units Bulls
DOC
5 Unit Play. Take Over 137 in Louisville vs. UCONN
DR BOND
12* LAL/SAC UNDER 217
DR GURU
12* Atl/Tor Under 198
DOC
3-Unit Play Take New Orleans/Miami UNDER 190½
Miami is one of those teams that can step it up and play strong defense or they can run-and-gun with up-tempo teams. However, we think this one will be a defensive battle and half-court game. New Orleans under has been a great bet lately as 10 of their last 13 games have gone under the posted number. We were expecting a total around 187 here so we think there is some nice value. The last four New Orleans games have been high scoring but they have played mostly teams that like to run and don’t play defense. This is a key game for both teams for playoff seeding and we expect a defensive battle all the way through. 10 of the last 13 meetings in Miami have gone under the posted number.
4-Unit Play #Take San Antonio/Oklahoma City OVER 182
The Thunder has been a hot under team but we think this number has been overadjusted and is several points too low. OKC has allowed 100 or more points in seven of their last nine games. They have given up 107 PPG in their last five contests. Tim Duncan is listed as questionable for this game and if he doesn’t go there will be some more opportunities for points in the paint for the Thunder. The Spurs have played under the posted total just once in their last seven games. They have also given up over 100 in both of their last two games.
4-Unit Play Take Minnesota/LA Clippers UNDER 202
Both teams are really shorthanded tonight and we just don’t know who is going to score all these points to get this one over the posted number. Both teams have players dealing with the flu, various injuries and Zach Randolph has been suspended for a DUI. Both teams have been giving up a lot of points but most of their recent games have come against strong offensive teams. Neither of these squads has been able to put points on the board lately, however. The Clippers have averaged just 96 PPG in their last five and the T-Wolves have been even worse than that, and for longer. The under is 14-6 in the last 10 for Minnesota and 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
Robert Ferringo
4-Unit Play. Take #974 Boston (-140) over Tampa Bay (4 p.m., Tuesday, April 7)
I love it that this number is dropping. I love it. I love that everyone is hopping back on the Rays. Let ‘em. And the fact that this game got pushed back a day is even better for us. Another day in the cage, so to speak, for the Sox. You think Boston wants to come out and make a statement in this game or what? Tampa Bay bounced them from the playoffs last year and did so to cap a bitter, bitter season series. But the bottom line is that – even last year when they were good – the D-Rays do not play well in Boston (4-6). Tampa Bay is just 11-40 in its last 51 games in Fenway and their hurler, James Shields, is 0-3 with a 10.15 ERA in his career throwing there. Shields is also just 2-8 in his last 10 games against the Rays and is 12-26 as an underdog. Mix in the fact that Boston has cruised in its last three home openers, that this is the type of big game in which Josh Beckett thrives, and the fact that Tampa is still without B.J. Upton, and I love this value.
4-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Detroit at Toronto (7 p.m., Tuesday, April 7)
Wow. That was my first thought about the Toronto offense yesterday. Those guys looked pretty good. And I think that they can scratch out four or five runs against Ed Jackson and the teetering Detroit bullpen. But the main crux of this play relies on a couple things. First, we have Jerry Layne behind the dish. And Layne has one of the tightest strike zones in the Majors. Add on top of that the fact that Detroit slays left-handed pitching and that Toronto is trotting out David “I’m In Way Over My Head As a No. 2 Starter” Purcey and I like where this is heading. Purcey had some control issues this spring and his 1.54 spring ERA was a bit misleading. I think that Purcey is going to get rocked – with some support from Layne. Also, Jackson no longer has the benefit of that great Tampa defense. He pitches to contact and Detroit doesn’t field. That’s trouble. I like this one to settle around 8-5 and I like the Tigers to come out on top.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #960 St. Louis (-145) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m., Tuesday, April 7)
Technically, the system at work here calls for a runline play. But since it is early in the year and we have this number under 150 I'm just going to go after the win. The bottom line is that the Cardinals controlled that game yesterday and are the better team. They are going to get one of these games, so we're going to chase out on them and look for them NOT to get swept by the Pirates. Ian Snell is just
1.5-Unit Play. Take #965 Detroit (+105) over Toronto (7 p.m., Tuesday, April 7)
I said yesterday that we were going to work an underdog chase on the Tigers in this one. I see them taking one game in this series and we're going to be getting underdog odds on them so I feel the value is there. Over the last two years the Tigers have been one of the best hitting teams in the league against left-handed pitching and today they are facing a mediocre one. I think they get their licks in and in a game that sees a lot of runs that favors the Tigers and their lineup.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #963 Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) over San Diego (10 p.m., Tuesday, April 7)
If the Dodgers just put up four runs against Jake Peavy and earned a win at San Diego yesterday, what do you think they are going to do today? The Dodgers are simply a better team and they are going to lay it on yet again. This will be a low scoring affair. But the bottom line is that even if we lose we have already won this series because of our underdog score yesterday.
1-Unit Play. Take #957 Chicago Cubs (-110) over Houston (7 p.m., Tuesday, April 7)
It's the Cubs against a left-handed starter. I hate to mess with Wandy Rodriguez at home, where he dominates, but the bottom line is that the Cubs have been an exceptional road team over the last couple of years and they absolutely maul-left-handed pitching. They came out looking sharp yesterday and Alfonso Soriano has been swinging a good stick the last couple weeks. When he's hot they are nearly unbeatable.
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Washington at Florida (7 p.m., Tuesday, April 7)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego (10 p.m., Tuesday, April 7)
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.5 Atlanta at Philadelphia (7 p.m., Tuesday, April 7)
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 Colorado at Arizona (7 p.m., Tuesday, April 7)
Rocketman
MINNESOTA TWINS