Burns NBA
BULLS (-7 or better)
Game: Atlanta Hawks vs. Chicago Bulls Game Time: 11/27/2007 8:35:00 PM Prediction: Chicago Bulls Reason: I'm laying the points with CHICAGO. The Hawks have the better record. However, the Bulls are playing at home and I still believe that they're the significantly better team. The Bulls should be happy to be back home and thrilled to be playing their first game against a team from the Southeast Division, as they were 31-15 SU and 28-17-1 (62%) ATS against teams from that division the past two seasons. The Bulls have dominated the Hawks for a lot longer than that though! In fact, they've won 11 straight series meetings, going a highly profitable 9-2 ATS. The most recent meeting here at Chicago resulted in a one-sided 106-81 romp. The Hawks have begun this road trip with wins at Minnesota and Miami. However, this is a tougher venue and the Hawks haven't swept a three game road trip in roughly a decade. The Hawks were 12-29 on the road last season while the Bulls were 31-10 at home. I expect things to return to "normal" with the highly motivated Bulls recording a much-needed one-sided victory. *NBA Blowout GOM
UNDER sonics/lakers (212 or better)
Game: Seattle SuperSonics vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game Time: 11/27/2007 10:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I feel that this total is too high and I'm playing on the Sonics and Lakers to finish UNDER the total. The Sonics obviously don't play the best defense in the league and that's the primary reason for such a big over/under number tonight. However, their games still average "only" 208 points. The Lakers have averaged 206 in their games but a lower 202.6 here in LA. Yes, the Sonics played a high-scoring game against the Spurs in their last game. However, in addition to that helping tonight's over/under line to be a couple of points higher, note that Seattle has already seen the UNDER go a profitable 6-1 this season after allowing 105 or more points in their previous game. The Sonics last road game was also high-scoring. However, they've still seen three of their last five road games finish with less than 200 points. Meanwhile, the Lakers have seen their last four home games all produce 202 combined points or less. The Lakers, currently listed as 11 point favorites, have shown a recent tendency to go "under" the total when listed as large favorites, as the UNDER is 5-1 the last six times the Lakers were favored by greater than eight points. One of those five "unders" came from the most recent meeting between these two teams when they combined for 207 points (total was 210) last April. Look for tonight's game to be lower scoring than expected once again and for the final combined score to stay beneath the generous total. *Western Conf. TOM
Matt Fargo
Duke -8
REASON FOR PICK: Wiseguy Game of the Month This line jumped out right away. Digging into the numbers and it became even more out of whack. Looking at the power situations shows that this line is completely off and that explained at the end with the situation that backs this game. Both teams come in undefeated but at this point, these are two completely different undefeated teams. The Badgers had to rally from a double-digit deficit to defeat Georgia on Saturday and now they must take the road for the first time this season. This line is likely to go up.
Wisconsin had played no one prior to that game against the Bulldogs and currently its schedule is ranked 337th in the country. It has blown everyone out but that is actually in our favor seeing that it gives us added value based on the point differentials. The Badgers have better rebounding numbers as well as a better assist/turnover ratio than Duke and because of those, Wisconsin would normally be a play but that schedule is too much to look past, as is the schedule Duke has played, which is half of the Badgers.
Duke lost in the first round of the NCAA Tournament last season and it came out this season with a chip on its shoulder and it clearly seems to be a lot better than the underachieving squad of a year ago. The Blue Devils have blown away all three teams at home, including a very good New Mexico St. team and then won three games on a neutral floor to take the Maui Invitational. Duke numbers are right on pace with the Badgers and this is with the much more difficult opposition played.
This is where the line comes into play. It is almost a contrarian line seeing that Duke is favored by single digits because of the way it has won and that is by large margins. The big wins from Wisconsin are keeping it low by playing no one and we’ll take it. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a win by 15 points or more going up against an opponent after three straight wins by 15 points or more. This situation is a perfect 16-0 ATS (100 percent) over the last five years and 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1997. Blowout city! Play Duke Blue Devils 3 Units
LT's Lock Of The Day
The LOCK: The Hoosiers -10'
The STREAK: 2 wins
The RECORD: 521-419-2
Winners Edge:
New Jersey Nets -5.5, 3units
Sports Advisors
NBA
Boston (11-1, 9-3 ATS) at Cleveland (8-6, 6-8 ATS)
LeBron James and the Cavaliers are the latest team facing the daunting task of stopping the juggernaut Celtics when these Eastern Conference squads meet up at Quicken Loans Arena.
Boston has been idle since upending the Bobcats 96-95 on Saturday. Ray Allen hitting the game-winning three-pointer at the buzzer, but it wasn’t enough to cover the nine-point spread. The Celtics have won three in a row since suffering their only loss of the season – a 104-102 setback at Orlando – but they’re just 2-3 ATS since beginning the year with six consecutive spread-covers.
Like Boston, Cleveland carries a three-game winning streak into this contest, most recently topping the Pacers 111-106 as a two-point road underdog on Sunday. James finished with 30 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists, his second straight triple-double and fourth of the young season.
The Cavs have alternated ATS wins and losses in their last six games, and the straight-up winner is 7-1 ATS in their last eight contests. At home this year, Cleveland is just 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS.
Boston is 4-0 ATS when playing after more than one day of rest.
Cleveland is 7-1 in its last eight meetings with the Celtics, but just 4-3-1 ATS, with Boston covering the number in all three clashes last year, all as an underdog.
The over is 9-5 in Cleveland’s 14 games this year, including 6-2 in the last eight. Also, the Cavs have hurdled the total in eight straight conference games. However, the under is 7-4-1 in Boston’s 12 outings this year and 10-4-1 in its last 15 dating to last season.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
Seattle (2-12, 5-9 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (7-6, 8-5 ATS)
Rookie phenom Kevin Durant plays his first-ever NBA game in Hollywood tonight when he leads the struggling Sonics into the Staples Center to battle the suddenly slumping Lakers.
It’s been a season of streaks thus far for Seattle, which opened with eight straight losses, then won two in a row and has now dropped four straight, including Sunday’s 116-101 home loss to the Spurs as a 10-point underdog. The winner has covered the spread in each of the Sonics’ last seven games.
Durant tallied 25 points and pulled down six rebounds in Sunday’s loss to the Spurs. The rookie has scored in double figures in every game and is averaging 18.9 points per contest.
L.A. has followed up a four-game SU and ATS winning streak with four consecutive losses and non-covers. On Sunday, the Lakers hosted the Nets at Staples Center and got outscored 65-51 in the second half, falling 102-100 as a seven-point favorite.
The Lakers took three of four from Seattle last year, but the Sonics were 2-0-2 ATS, with both pushes coming in Los Angeles. Going back to the end of the 2005 season, the Lakers have won six of eight meetings (3-3-2 ATS).
Seattle is just 2-6 SU and ATS on the road, with the winner covering the number in all eight games. Meanwhile, the Lakers had a three-game home winning streak snapped in the loss to the Nets and are now 4-3 at Staples Center (5-2 ATS).
The Sonics are 1-3 ATS as a double-digit underdog this year.
The total has alternated in Seattle’s last five games, with Sunday’s contest against San Antonio easily going over the posted price. Meanwhile, even though its game against New Jersey barely jumped over the total by two points, the under is still 3-1 in L.A.’s last four home games.
The over is 7-2 in the last nine series meetings, including 4-1 in L.A.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. LAKERS
North Star Sports Service
CBB - 11/27/2007 GEORGIA TECH 10.5
CBB - 11/27/2007 BALL STATE 16
CBB - 11/27/2007 FLORIDA STATE -8
CBB - 11/27/2007 Best Bet! IOWA STATE 1.5
CBB - 11/27/2007 COLORADO -3
CBB - 11/27/2007 DUKE -8.5
CBB - 11/27/2007 NEW MEXICO STATE 6
CBB - 11/27/2007 CLEMSON -10
NHL - 11/27/2007 MONTREAL -106
NHL - 11/27/2007 ANAHEIM 130
Larry Ness' 20* CBB Blowout of the Month (16-8 CBB run / last 20* covered by 25 points!)
My 20* play is on UTEP at 9:00 ET. The Aggies had a great season LY, winning 25 games, the WAC title and giving Texas a tough time in the first round of the NCAAs. While head caoch Reggie Theus bolted for the NBA (Kings), the Aggies return three starters and lots of depth. Guards Gibson (15.0), Peete (10.2-4.2 APG) and Carter (7.2) form a solid trio. Up front, forwards Hawkins (14.6-8.4) and McKines (8.8-6.0) are paired with centers Passos (9.8-7.7) and Iti (5.3-4.7), who are 6-9 and 7-0 respectively. However, while the team looks good on paper, the Aggies have opened 2-4 (0-5 ATS). Their only wins are over Cal-Davis and Le Moyne-Owen (whatever that is?). They've lost at Ohio by eight, at Duke by 25 and in neurtal site games to Texas (by 15) and West Va (by 14). Meanwhile, UTEP is 3-1, losing only to 15th-ranked Texas A&M, by 81-76 on the road! The 6-5 Jackson (23.3-5.0) is paired with PG Kilgore (12.3-5.3 APG) in the backcourt, aided by freshman Culpepper (9.5). The 6-11 Sampson (7.3-5.4) has two decent forwards alongside, in Watts (6.3-4.5) and Ramalho (4.0-4.5). This is a bitter rivalry (schools are VERY close) and after sweeping New Mex St two years ago, UTEP lost 71-69 at New Mex St and then 68-62 at home LY. The Miners "smell blood" this time around! CBB Blowout of the Month 20* UTEP.
Vernon Croy...Nets
Cappers Access...Indiana and Wisconsin
Alex Smart NHL..Maple Leafs -115
Bobby Maxwell...Seattle Sonics (3)
John Fina...Hawks +5
Jimmy the Moose...76ers
Mighty Quinn (lost on Steelers last night)..Wisconsin
Razor Sharp..UAB -7
Frank Patron...Cavs +3.5
Paul Leiner...*5* Colorado -3 (CFB)
Larry Ness' Superstar Triple Play-NBA (won last two / 5-1 with individual games!)
My three STPS are on the NJ Nets (7:35 ET), the Mil Bucks (8:05 ET) and the Chi Bulls (8:35 ET).
After winning four of five games to start the season, New Jersey dropped six straight (0-5-1 ATS) by an average of 15.1 points. Jason Kidd challenged his teammates during the skid and soon after his comments, the Nets shot a season-high 53.7 percent from the field to end their slide with a 106-101 road victory over Portland on Wednesday. They followed that with a 98-93 victory at Seattle on Friday and a 102-100 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday in the finale of a four-game Western Conference road trip. Jefferson had 27 points in Sunday's win (he leads the team at 25.1 PPG) while Kidd added 15 points and 14 assists (he leads with 8.4 RPG and 10.4 APG), plus Vince Carter came off the bench to score 19. Carter has been used as a reserve in three straight games after missing the final five games of New Jersey's losing streak with a badly sprained right ankle. He could return to the starting lineup Tuesday. Even with Carter still limited, the Nets are shooting 49.8 percent from the field and averaging 102.0 points during their current run. The Nets return home to meet the Grizzlies (4-9), losers of five straight road games (2-3 ATS)) since winning their road opener Nov. 7. Once an excellent defensive team, the Grizzlies are allowing 107.8 PPG this year, the third-worst mark in the league. STP on the NJ Nets.
Milwaukee (7-4) remained perfect at home with a 97-95 victory over Dallas on Saturday and will now be looking to win its first seven games at the Bradley Center since opening 18-0 there in the 1990-91 season. The win over the Mavericks was Milwaukee's fifth straight overall and featured a 35-point fourth quarter to pull out the victory. Michael Redd (leading scorer at 24.5 PPG) had 27 point and he's scored at least 21 points in every game during the five-game run. Mo Williams had his third double-double in the last five games, recording 19 points and 10 assists. The point guard is averaging 15.6 points and 10.0 assists during Milwaukee's winning streak. Philadelphia (3-9) has been in a free fall since starting the season 2-2. The Sixers have lost seven of their past eight and are trying to avoid their second four-game skid of the month. Andre Iguodala's all-around game has been the lone bright spot for Philadelphia. He leads the team in scoring (18.2) and assists (5.0) and also averages 6.8 rebounds. Kyle Korver, the Sixers' second-leading scorer last season, has missed the last four games with a groin strain. Philadelphia is 1-9 SU (3-6-1 ATS) as an underdog TY and is scoring only 89.9 a contest (one of just four teams averaging under 90 points). Meanwhile, the Bucks are just 1-4 on the road where they allow 105.6 PPG, but 6-0 (5-1 ATS) at home, where they allow just 91.6 PPG. STP on the Mil Bucks.
The Bulls just complete another miserable "circus" road trip, going 1-5 SU and ATS. Chicago (2-10) was considered to be one of the top teams in the East after advancing to the conference semifinals last season. Instead, the Bulls have been one of the worst, averaging an NBA-low 86.5 points and shooting a league-worst 38.5 percent from the floor. This game will be the Bulls' first at home since a 101-71 loss to Toronto on Nov 10. They are 1-3 in Chicago after finishing with a conference-best 31-10 mark at home last season. The good news for Chicago is that Luol Deng, averaging 15.3 points, returned to Chicago's lineup on Sunday after missing the previous three games with a sore lower back and had 21 points and nine rebounds. While the Bulls have had little success this season, they have had no problems playing against the Hawks lately. Chicago has not lost to Atlanta since a 116-101 defeat on April 9, 2004, sweeping the last three season series. The Bulls won all four over the Hawks last season, outscoring them by 16.5 points in their two wins at the United Center. The Hawks are wrapping up a three-game road trip with this game and have opened their trip with consecutive wins, after losing their previous 17 away from home. Atlanta is coming off an impressive 94-87 victory over Minnesota on Saturday, as it rallied from a 21-point first-half deficit and from 10 points down in the fourth. The Hawks also came back from a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit in their 82-79 win at Miami on Wednesday. They have not completed a perfect three-game trip since April 9-12, 1997 and after two HUGE comeback wins, I see their luck running out here, vs the desperate Bulls. Atlanta, which went just 12-29 on the road last season, has not won three in a row away from home in November since opening the 1997-98 season with four straight road victories. STP on the Chi Bulls.
Frank Rosenthal
NBA
507 76ERS+7.5 SB
510 BULLS-5 SB
513 SONICS+11.5 SB
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COLLEGE HOOPS
515 NW OVER 133 SB+
518 INDIANA U-10 SB
526 UL LAFAYETTE+7 SB
534 DUKE-8 SB
540 CAL SANTA BARBARA-3 SB+
JEFFERSONSPORTS"
Great run continues,
Been posting plays since Oct 6. Here are the exact records since then.
NCAA HOOPS 13-6
NCAA FOOTBALL 14-7
NBA HOOPS 18-11
NFL FOOTBALL 3-5
NHL HOCKEY 25-13
TODAY
NHL
DETROIT OVER 5
OVERALL RECORD 73-42
Ill get the rest later, good luck guys
RAS:
UCSB -3 over UNLV...1/2 unit
Larry Ness' Superstar Triple Play-NBA (won last two / 5-1 with individual games!)
My three STPS are on the NJ Nets (7:35 ET), the Mil Bucks (8:05 ET) and the Chi Bulls (8:35 ET).
After winning four of five games to start the season, New Jersey dropped six straight (0-5-1 ATS) by an average of 15.1 points. Jason Kidd challenged his teammates during the skid and soon after his comments, the Nets shot a season-high 53.7 percent from the field to end their slide with a 106-101 road victory over Portland on Wednesday. They followed that with a 98-93 victory at Seattle on Friday and a 102-100 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday in the finale of a four-game Western Conference road trip. Jefferson had 27 points in Sunday's win (he leads the team at 25.1 PPG) while Kidd added 15 points and 14 assists (he leads with 8.4 RPG and 10.4 APG), plus Vince Carter came off the bench to score 19. Carter has been used as a reserve in three straight games after missing the final five games of New Jersey's losing streak with a badly sprained right ankle. He could return to the starting lineup Tuesday. Even with Carter still limited, the Nets are shooting 49.8 percent from the field and averaging 102.0 points during their current run. The Nets return home to meet the Grizzlies (4-9), losers of five straight road games (2-3 ATS)) since winning their road opener Nov. 7. Once an excellent defensive team, the Grizzlies are allowing 107.8 PPG this year, the third-worst mark in the league. STP on the NJ Nets.
Milwaukee (7-4) remained perfect at home with a 97-95 victory over Dallas on Saturday and will now be looking to win its first seven games at the Bradley Center since opening 18-0 there in the 1990-91 season. The win over the Mavericks was Milwaukee's fifth straight overall and featured a 35-point fourth quarter to pull out the victory. Michael Redd (leading scorer at 24.5 PPG) had 27 point and he's scored at least 21 points in every game during the five-game run. Mo Williams had his third double-double in the last five games, recording 19 points and 10 assists. The point guard is averaging 15.6 points and 10.0 assists during Milwaukee's winning streak. Philadelphia (3-9) has been in a free fall since starting the season 2-2. The Sixers have lost seven of their past eight and are trying to avoid their second four-game skid of the month. Andre Iguodala's all-around game has been the lone bright spot for Philadelphia. He leads the team in scoring (18.2) and assists (5.0) and also averages 6.8 rebounds. Kyle Korver, the Sixers' second-leading scorer last season, has missed the last four games with a groin strain. Philadelphia is 1-9 SU (3-6-1 ATS) as an underdog TY and is scoring only 89.9 a contest (one of just four teams averaging under 90 points). Meanwhile, the Bucks are just 1-4 on the road where they allow 105.6 PPG, but 6-0 (5-1 ATS) at home, where they allow just 91.6 PPG. STP on the Mil Bucks.
The Bulls just complete another miserable "circus" road trip, going 1-5 SU and ATS. Chicago (2-10) was considered to be one of the top teams in the East after advancing to the conference semifinals last season. Instead, the Bulls have been one of the worst, averaging an NBA-low 86.5 points and shooting a league-worst 38.5 percent from the floor. This game will be the Bulls' first at home since a 101-71 loss to Toronto on Nov 10. They are 1-3 in Chicago after finishing with a conference-best 31-10 mark at home last season. The good news for Chicago is that Luol Deng, averaging 15.3 points, returned to Chicago's lineup on Sunday after missing the previous three games with a sore lower back and had 21 points and nine rebounds. While the Bulls have had little success this season, they have had no problems playing against the Hawks lately. Chicago has not lost to Atlanta since a 116-101 defeat on April 9, 2004, sweeping the last three season series. The Bulls won all four over the Hawks last season, outscoring them by 16.5 points in their two wins at the United Center. The Hawks are wrapping up a three-game road trip with this game and have opened their trip with consecutive wins, after losing their previous 17 away from home. Atlanta is coming off an impressive 94-87 victory over Minnesota on Saturday, as it rallied from a 21-point first-half deficit and from 10 points down in the fourth. The Hawks also came back from a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit in their 82-79 win at Miami on Wednesday. They have not completed a perfect three-game trip since April 9-12, 1997 and after two HUGE comeback wins, I see their luck running out here, vs the desperate Bulls. Atlanta, which went just 12-29 on the road last season, has not won three in a row away from home in November since opening the 1997-98 season with four straight road victories. STP on the Chi Bulls.
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-CBB (11-2 run with Insiders since Nov 16 / 7-1 in BKB!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on Florida State at 7:30 ET. Tubby was pretty much run out of Lexington and I'm not so sure why he picked Minnesota? The Gophers return all five starters from LY's team but while that's the good news, it's also the bad news. The not-so-Golden Gophers were 9-22 overall and 3-13 in the Big 10. Minnesota has opened 3-0 this season but hasn't been tested. Three seniors lead the way, in 6-9 center Tollackson (13.7-6.3), 6-9 forward Coleman (11.7-6.0) and guard McKenzie (10.7). The rest of the team (starters and backups), are quite questionable. FSU has missed the NCAAs in each of the last two seasons, amid much controversy. While the Seminoles will miss PF Thornton this year, Leonard Hamilton has plenty of talent. His guard rotation of Swann (16.6), Douglas (12.4) and Rich (10.6-4.7) is excellent. Up front, the 6-9 Echefu (10.6-6.1) will get plenty of help from 6-10 freshman Vaughn (5.4-3.0), 6-9 sophomore Reid (5.0-4.1) and 6-8 junior Breeden (4.9-2.7). FSU lost in OT to Cleveland St and then by one point to USF in a tourney in Daytona Beach (troubling) but then came back with a 30-point win over Georgia State and a 65-51 win at 24th-ranked Florida (Rich had 20 points and 11 rebounds). Tubby's team is NOT ready for primetime just yet (if ever TY?), while Hamilton will want a win here (on national TV) against his high-profile coaching peer! Las Vegas Insider on Florida State
greg shaker
Tue, 11/27/07 - 9:00 PMGreg Shaker | CBB Total
double-dime bet534 Duke / 533 Wisconsin Over 134.5 BetUS
Analysis:
NCAAB: Wisconsin Badgers at Duke Blue Devils - Over 134.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 11/27/2007
Note: This is not the Duke team we have become accustomed to in recent years as they have the talent to push the ball and have this year much more so than the past. It is a new style of play that has given them the #49 most uptempo ranking in the land. We are seeing anywhere from 15 to 20 more shots in Duke played games this year due to that and they do have the offenssive efficiency that put them in the top 15% as well. While the Badgers have been known for their D over many years, they are not going to be playing a team tonight that they can handle. In addition Wisconsin is also throwing more shots toward the net this year and have attempted at least 58 per contest everytime of the court. Wisconson has ben smothering opponents this year allowing just 34% shooting but this uptempo attack by the Devils is going to give them some problems. Duke has already shown another Big 10 Team, Illinois, what they think about full court pressure and the Ilini are no slouch to playing good D. While we rarely see a Badger game put at such a high Total Level as this one, we also rarely see them play a team like Duke. Both teams shoot the ball very well, both make free thows very well and that is going to be a huge benefit down the stretch. In my best estimation, this line is about 10 points less than it should be so play it at any number.
California Sports 5* GOM CBB
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Nov 27, 2007
California Sports NBA: 4* chicago (-5.5) 8:35est
CBB: 5* arkansas little rock (-4.5) 8:00est
3* troy state (+22.5) 8:00est