Thanks for picking up the slack while the hogs on break
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): EVANSVILLE vs VALPARAISO
Play: VALPARAISO -10 ( WITH A HOOK)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: VALPARAISO -10 ( WITH A HOOK)^^^^ This is the advantage of purchasing early as we get this out to you in the early AM. We are going to take full advantage of this generous opening line. It starts out at 10.5 so purchase a hook and get it to 10 as that's a number we always like when we have a big spread. For tonight's action it's really a simple breakdown for handicapping so early in the season. Bottom line is you face many unknowns to start a new season in any sport and the easiest way to counter act that is to go with experience. We have an overwhelming edge there with Valparaiso who return all five of their starters from last years team giving us experience balance and cohesiveness. Evansville is a bi-polar opposite losing 3 of their 4 best scorers from last years team. Evansville has been struggling to say the least to adjust to the changes. Both teams have two common opponents already this early in the season. Austin Peay who Evansville beat by 10 points and Valparaiso beat by 14 and Ball State who Evansville struggled to beat by one point and Valparaiso dominated winning by 13 points. Evansville averages 58.4 points while Valparaiso averages 74.3 points. We have the more experienced team in what looks to be the better offensive minded team and we get them on their home court taking advantage of the opening line. Purchase that hook as once again we are being very line specific here. We are willing to see it go to 11 but to insure the win, we'd like to see out clients protected and take the 10 and lets cash this one in tonight on Valparaiso
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) LATE ADDITION SELECTION: SEATTLE vs CHICAGO
Play: SEATTLE +8.5 (NBA)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) LATE ADDITION SELECTION: Always check back by 7pm est week days and 6pm est on the Week ends. Always remember that plays posted early are always LVTR primary plays. Today's Late addition play is : SEATTLE IN NBA +8.5 ( Seattle is 9-2 ATS at Chicago and the Sonics are 5-2 vs spread in their last seven games )
Larry Ness' Late-Breaking NBA Play (3:00 ET update!)
My Late-Breaking Play is on the GS Warriors at 10:35 ET. The Spurs are off two big wins without Duncan, first against the hated-Mavs (97-95) and then the Jazz (104-98). Ginobili stepped up in both games with 37-point efforts and now leads the team in scoring at 21.1 PPG (4.8 RPG and 4.5 APG). Parker (20.6-6.8 AP{G) is not far behind, with Duncan at 17.6-8.9. Duncan is expected to play in Oakland tonight and considering that since drafting Duncan first overall in 1997, the Spurs are 33-5 against the Warriors (19-0 in San Antonio and 14-5 in Oakland), the Spurs are the play, right? WRONG! I expect Duncan to be less than 100 percent for this one and while the Spurs' depth is usually a HUGE advantage for them against most teams, that's NOT the case against the very deep Warriors. Davis (23.1-5.2-8.4) and Jackson (21.8-4.8-4.0) are the stars but four other players are in double digits, plus Pietrus (7.9) and Barnes (7.7) are close. Guard Ellis (16.5) has is shooting touch back and forward Harrington (14.8-5.6) loves playing with this team. SF Azubuike, who played in just 41 games as a rookie averaging 7.1 PPG, has played in almost as many minutes this year in 20 games (603) as he did in all of LY (689), while posting averages of 13.2-5.0. Then there's center Biedrins (11.-0-10.0), who is averaging a double-double! Another key here is that while the Spurs have typically been near the top in opponents FG percentage, this year they rank 23rd, allowing 46.5 percent. That's NOT good news vs a team that's averaging 110.4 PPG! Late Breaking Play on the GS Warriors.
Wunderdogsports (nba)
Game: Minnesota at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 196.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Washington is 11-8 OVER overall and 6-4 OVER at home this season. They are scoring 103.4 per game here while allowing 101. Minnesota is an awful team, but it's really their defense, not their offense. The Wolves are averaging 93 ppg both on the road and at home - not great but not terrible. They are allowing opponents 102 ppg. They are getting to the free throw line 20 times per game and Washington is 20-5 OVER the past two seasons vs. teams shooting 24 or fewer free throws per game. The Wizards are also 8-1 OVER after scoring 100+ points in two straight games.
Game: Toronto at Atlanta (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Atlanta +135 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.4)
The Hawks have won three straight, capped off by our moneyline pick on them yesterday (won outright as a 9.5 point dog). They have been a winning team at home all season, playing to a 6-5 mark which includes 4-1 in their last five. The Raptors are not off to the type of start many believed they would be, as they are hovering around .500 at 11-10. Part of the reason is their road play, which has seen them drop four of their last five. Home wins against Dallas and Phoenix show this team is capable of winning at home against good competition so we will ride the Hawks to again get the SU win.
Game: Detroit at Memphis (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 204.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Detroit is scoring this year. They are averaging 100 ppg and actually scoring more on the road than at home. Their defense remains great at home, but is average on the road (95.3 ppg allowed). Memphis can score with anyone. They are averaging 103 ppg and 110 per game at home, while allowing 106 per game. There's no way they keep Detroit under 100 and likely not under 110. And we think the Grizzlies also get to triple-digits. While 8-2 UNDER on the road, Memphis is 7-2 OVER at home this season and 31-18 OVER at home dating back to last season. That includes an 11-2 OVER mark when the total is between 200 and 210. Detroit is 8-3 OVER on the road!
Greg Shaker....
double-dime bet Wright St / Bradley Under 139.5 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: Bradley Braves at Wright State Raiders - Under 139.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Note: These two teams played last year at Bradley and in that game we saw 137 points scored. However, the Braves got 88 of that and absolutely crushed this Raider team. But that was on the road where the Wright State offense has not been as prolific as it is here at home. What I mean by that is that they don't control the tempo as well when they travel, but they do here in a big way. They have certainly got to do that tonight and they certainly do know. This team can be as slow paced as anyone in the country with most games seeing 110 shots or less. Their last game verses Butler just 88 taken in what we all expected to be a yawner. That was with Butler, a team much like theirs. Wright took just 38 of those, and if they have their way tonight we will see them control the pace and work for the good shot. That "Good Shot" is going to be the 3 pointer in many cases and they can shoot the Big Shot well. They will have to to beat this very good Braves Squad. We have seen teams that possess good D slow down Bradley this year, including Iowa, Loyola Chicago, and Iowa State. All of those games went UNDER the Total, and all games saw a low number of shots taken. Certainly Michigan State did the same just the other day on 114 shots and just 127 points scored on a 144 Total. If you allow the Braves to play their kind of game, they are going to beat you. I doubt that Wright State has enough horses to win this game, but I know they know that and they will be using Mules tonight, and lot's of halfcourt and a D that is #90 out of 341 NCAA Teams this year. Barring outstanding shooting we should see a total end in the 120's. Play down to 134.
Vegas Runner
Tue, 12/11/07 - 7:00 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides
triple-dime bet518 Wright St 2.0 (-110) Bodog vs 517 Bradley
Analysis:
** 3* NCAABB PLAY of the DAY **
Allright gentlemen, this is the 3* for tonight's NCAABB Action, and as soon as I saw this number posted...the first thing I thought, is that the wrong team is favored...Bradley came into the season with 7 new faces that they need to get playing as one team and although they are 6-3 so far this season, they are only 2-2 on the road, and at the college level, it remains the toughest part of a successful season...Wright St was fortunate to get 3 of their main part back for another run at the Horizon League Title and although they are only 3-2 so far this year, expect them to be in the mix, all the way to the end...
Wright St is 3-1 at home and is shooting 44% from the field and allowing only 40% FG by their opponents, which shows just how well this team plays defense...they are able to get to the line about 19-20 times per game and connect on almost 80% of those attempts...their 3 Pt shooting is excellent, as they are able to hit 47% from beyond the arc this year at home...the one other fact that I found which shows me just how well this team is capable of playing at times, is their ability to control the ball and not make those costly mistakes which turn into easy buckets...in fact they average only 12 TO per game which is just excellent...they should also have some success tonight from the perimeter, as Bradley is allowing 40% 3pt shooting against them...and with Wright St finally having some very decent size down low for the first time in years...we should be able to get the win and cash in on a nice 3* Wager...our first this week in the college ranks...
EZ Winners
NBA
1 STAR: (506) ATLANTA (+3) over Toronto
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (507) LA CLIPPERS (+6) over New Jersey
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (511) SEATTLE (+8.5) over Chicago
(Risking $110 to win $100)
NCAA Hoops
1 STAR: (521) ST. MARY'S (+4.5) over Southern Illinois
(Risking $110 to win $100)
WILL SYKE'S IS NOW 19-10 ON FREE PLAYS
FOR TODAY:Minnesota vs Washington
MAJOR TRENDS
*Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
*SU winner has covered 9 of the L10 games in this matchup. (When Washington play as a home favorite, with a spread between 8 and 10.5, they're a awesome 37-1 SU since 1991)
COUNTER TRENDS
*Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference, BUT Timberwolves are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 vs. Eastern Conference.
*Timberwolves are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, BUT Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
*Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, BUT Wizards are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
COMPARING TRENDS
*Timberwolves are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Southeast, AND Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
*Wizards are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win, AND Timberwolves are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
FINAL THOUGHTS: I'll hand the T-Wolves one trend that was standing out to me but won't even make a difference, its that the T-Wolves are 5-3 ATS on away, but that's only because they're getting some ridiculous lines like +11, +14, etc. This time these Wolves are in a horrible spot where they're 0-2 ATS off 2 days rest this year, which comes to another nice trend that the Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Minnesota has the worst record in the NBA at 3-15 and one of those wins came on their last game beating the Phoenix Suns and snapping their 5 game winning streak when shooting 44% and the Suns shooting a slight better at 45%. The Wolves not only won that game (100-93)but they won by 7 points as 10 point underdogs, which then follows my point that the Wolves are horrendous 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win and at the same time they're are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win. In that game they did score 100 points which comes to another bad trend because the Timberwolves are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Now doesn't this game look too easy when first looking at it? That since the T-Wolves easily beat the Suns SU as dogs, they should be able to keep this game close and we should take the generous points against this mediocre Washington team with Gilbert Arenas out, thing is that the Wizards are a winning 8-4 ATS record with Gilbert out and the rest of the trends support big time in Washington's favor. Don't even think about taking these points, as this game has blowout written all over it and yup, you guessed it, those sneaky little oddsmakers are psyching you out into taking those points. Best thing here is to stick with Sykes and you won't be psyched.
Wizards -8.5
Alex Smarts
Washington Wizards
-9.0 / 3 units
7:05p The Pres
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
o185.0 (-110) / 3 units 3* - Toronto and Atl OVER 185
7:35p The Pres
Los Angeles Clippers
New Jersey Nets
u184.0 (-110) / 3 units 3* - NJ and LA Clippers UNDER 184
8:05p The Pres
Detroit Pistons
Memphis Grizzlies
o203.5 (-110) / 3 units 3* - Det and Milw OVER 203.5
California Sports
NBA: NBA game of the month: 5* detroit (-5) 8:05est
CBB: 3* evansville (+11.5) 8:00est
Billy Coleman
NBA: 4* toronto (-3)
CBB: College basketball game of the month: 5* bradley (-1.5)
3* southern illinois (-4.5)
NHL: 3* San jose ( under 5)
Billy Coleman free 4 star: Toronto Raptors
Young Gun free 3 star is on Seattle Sonics
Marco D'Angelo | NBA Total Single-Dime Bet
510 MEM / 509 DET Over 204.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis: Detroit invades Memphis tonight and we look a high scoring game. Detroit has a Big Game in Houston tomorrow night which means they won't go full throttle tonight. It takes no energy to play offensive but it does to play defense. We see this game as a up & down the court type of game.Vegas thinks the same way by the number they have posted as Detroit hasn't had a total of 200 or more in 12 straight games. The last time Vegas put a total over 200 on Detroit it went Over. TAKE DETROIT/MEMPHIS OVER as and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY.
Marco D'Angelo | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
518 Wright St 2.0 (-110) Bodog vs 517 Bradley
Analysis: Expect Bradley to come up flat tonight after there near miss against Michigan St. It's tougher to rebound from a Big Game than most people think. Also most people will expect Wright St to the flat team off of their Upset Win over Butler but the opposite will be true. That Big Win will carry over here tonight. I have Wright St Winning by 4-7 points. TAKE WRIGHT ST. and make them my DOUBLE DIME PLAY OF THE DAY.
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Detroit Pistons @ Memphis Grizzlies - Tuesday December 11, 2007 8:00 pm
Detail: IC'S TUESDAY NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Over 204.5 (-108)
I have been hitting the Pistons over consistently for quite some time when they hit the road and today is no different. The Pistons many feel are a great defensive team, they are - but the catch this year is that they are a more offenisve minded team as they have plenty of young blood, are not as affective defensively on the road - the Hornets game was an exception and they are taking less time between possessions as they are simply more offensive minded this year with the new blood that Dumars has brought in. The Pistons are 6-0 as road favorites and I have hit the over for the Pistons on the road trips at least 3 of those times and the over is 6-1 when the Grizzlies are home dogs and undoubtedly they will get up for this game as everyone uses this team as a measuring stick to see at what competency they are at. Memphis has lost 4 straight ballgames as they return home and they will look to get back on track as they come back home as I see both teams topping 100 today as this game should tip over as I have it at 215.
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Seattle Supersonics @ Chicago Bulls - Tuesday December 11, 2007 8:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 192 (-110)
I've made it a point to play the Supersonics over anytime they shoot less than 40%, and in particular, under 37% the night before. They have done this twice including scoring pitifully at Orlando only to come the next day at Miami to get their first win and score well above a 100. This team responds well when they have a poor shooting night like against the Hornets where they went a deplorable 34 for 90 and for many teams that stat is ok, but given that this team is offensive minded, they will have a better night shooting today in my opinion. The Bulls are also scoring more points of late hitting 111 against Charlotte at home (their breakthrough offensive game), 98 against Dallas and even 98 on the road at Detroit. This comes off a frustrating offensive game against a Celtics team that is great defensively, which is the same situation the Sonics come off playing against a defensive Hornets tema and I think both teams pop 96 today and consequently the over. I have this game at 204 as I think Seattle will push Chicago and consequently the over.
CHARLIES SPORTS MEMBERS SECTION
nba. detroit @ memphis over 204 (500* )
nba. toronto-1' (30*)
nba. minnesota+9 (20*)
cbb. central florida-12' (20*)
cbb. bradley-2 (10*)
nba. utah-13 (10*) free play
Wolkosky Milan
312-250-13 last one hundred eight days
2-3 Yesterday
Today:
10* WASHINGTON -8½
10* DETROIT -5½
10* GOLDEN STATE +3
SMI Picks
CBB
Bradley -2
C Fla. -13
NBA
Det -5.5
Cleve- 4