Dave Price
1 Unit on South Carolina +9
SC beat Florida by 1 at its place and I anticipate another close one tonight so I'll take the points. Florida's only chance to blow out the Gamecocks is to get ridiculously hot from 3 and I don't see that happening as SC defends the 3 quite well. SC is 11-1 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons, 8-1 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons, and 14-3 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Take the points.
JRTIPS
MILWAUKEE vs. NEW JERSEY
Richard Jefferson returns to the Izod Center for the first time as a visitor. Jefferson and the Milwaukee Bucks visit New Jersey tonight looking to win three straight for the second time this season. This is the second time Jefferson is facing the Nets (21-27), . Jefferson scored 13 points on 3-of-15 shooting in his first meeting against them back on Jan. 9 in a 104-102 win but this meeting is likely to be more emotional. He left as New Jersey's second all-time leading scorer with 8,507 points, and played a part in leading the Nets to six straight playoff appearances from 2002-07, including trips to the NBA finals in 2002 and 2003.This game also has obvious implications in the standings, since both teams are part of a crowded race for one of the last playoff spots in the East and Jefferson and the Bucks look to win three straight for the second time this season. The Bucks are coming off a 110-107 win over Atlanta on Saturday.Charlie Villanueva scored 27 points and added seven rebounds and a season-high six assists while Jefferson and Ramon Sessions each had 20 points. Villanueva has averaged 24.5 in the last eight games and 27.0 points in the last three. With the win, the Bucks improved to 2-2 since Michael Redd went down with a season-ending ACL and MCL tear in his left knee last week.The Nets, meanwhile, return home after a brutal stretch of road games in which they have dropped nine of 12, with eight of those games coming on the road. New Jersey is coming off an 85-83 win over Philadelphia on Saturday, snapping a three-game losing streak. Vince Carter finished with seven points, playing only two minutes in the fourth quarter after spraining his ankle, however, the injury wasn't serious and he doesn't expect to miss tonight's game. The Nets' previous nine opponents had averaged 102.0 points against them. The Bucks are playing god basketball right now after they have adjusted to the abscense of Micheal Redd and Richard Jeffersson will give the team an extra boast and motivation they need to get the win tonight against his former team.TAKE MILWAUKEE+3 1/2
DUNKEL
Milwaukee at New Jersey
The Nets are coming off a victory at division-rival Philadelphia, but are just 5-9 ATS following an upset win and 1-7 ATS after a division game. The Bucks are the underdog pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3 1/2).
Game 701-702: Toronto at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 116.517; Cleveland 125.654
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 195 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 11; 193
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+11); Over
Game 703-704: Minnesota at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 116.394; Indiana 120.801
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 212 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 705-706: Boston at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 129.201; Philadelphia 123.420
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6; 185 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 707-708: Milwaukee at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.554; New Jersey 115.275
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 196
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 3 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3 1/2); Over
Game 709-710: Chicago at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.154; Houston 122.170
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8; 206 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 711-712: San Antonio at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 119.377; Denver 125.815
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 6 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 4; 199
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-4); Over
NCAAB
San Diego State at UNLV
The Aztecs have lost four of their last five ATS as road underdogs between 3 1/2 and 6 points, while the Runnin' Rebs have won six of their last seven ATS as home favorites by the same margin. UNLV is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Runnin' Rebels favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-4).
Game 713-714: Towson at Old Dominion
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 46.655; Old Dominion 58.540
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 12
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+13 1/2)
Game 715-716: Akron at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 59.233; Eastern Michigan 45.697
Dunkel Line: Akron by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 10
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-10)
Game 717-718: Toledo at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 46.479; Kent State 60.437
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 14
Vegas Line: Kent State by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+15 1/2)
Game 719-720: Mississippi State at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 63.283; Kentucky 76.760
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 10
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-10)
Game 721-722: Central Michigan at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 49.973; Buffalo 62.368
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 14
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+14)
Game 723-724: Purdue at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 70.920; Ohio State 71.063
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Purdue by 2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+2)
Game 725-726: Rutgers at Georgetown
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 56.494; Georgetown 68.302
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 12
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 16
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+16)
Game 727-728: BYU at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 64.293; Air Force 54.504
Dunkel Line: BYU by 10
Vegas Line: BYU by 12
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+12)
Game 729-730: Iowa State at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 57.163; Kansas State 66.924
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 10
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+12 1/2)
Game 731-732: Maryland at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 64.105; North Carolina 82.343
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 18
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+21 1/2)
Game 733-734: Northern Iowa at Bradley
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 64.916; Bradley 64.511
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Bradley by 2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+2)
Game 735-736: South Carolina at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 63.462; Florida 74.809
Dunkel Line: Florida by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-8)
Game 737-738: Marquette at DePaul
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 73.158; DePaul 57.649
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Marquette by 11
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-11)
Game 739-740: Hofstra at George Mason
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 51.797; George Mason 65.286
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: George Mason by 12
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-12)
Game 741-742: Wyoming at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 52.784; New Mexico 70.386
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 15
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-15)
Game 743-744: San Diego State at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 63.690; UNLV 71.107
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: UNLV by 4
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-4)
NHL
Washington at New Jersey
The Caps lost to New Jersey (6-5) the last time the two teams met in November, but come into tonight's rematch with a 13-2 mark when revenging a loss this season. Washington is the underdog pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+110).
Game 1-2: Atlanta at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.176; NY Rangers 13.085
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-230); Over
Game 3-4: Washington at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.850; New Jersey 11.509
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+110); Under
Game 5-6: Tampa Bay at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.575; NY Islanders 12.238
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-110); Under
Game 7-8: St. Louis at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.826; Columbus 13.633
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 9-10: Pittsburgh at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.487; Montreal 10.614
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-165); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+145); Under
Game 11-12: Florida at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.387; Toronto 11.232
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-125); 6
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+105); Over
Game 13-14: Los Angeles at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.634; Ottawa 12.207
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-165); Under
Game 15-16: Phoenix at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 10.910; Nashville 12.701
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-145); Over
Game 17-18: Calgary at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.056; Dallas 13.278
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-130); Under
Game 19-20: Chicago at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.497; Edmonton 12.046
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+115); Over
Game 21-22: Carolina at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.009; Vancouver 11.345
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-145); Over
Jeff Alexander Sports
1 Unit on Iowa State +12
This line is inflated because of back-to-back wins over Missouri and Texas by the Wildcats. K-State will not get up for this game the way they did for those two as we catch the Cats looking ahead to Texas A&M. The Cyclones gave the Sooners everything they wanted and more Saturday and will be charged up to go after another team they aren't supposed to beat. The key here is that ISU rarely beats itself. Plays on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points ( IOWA ST ) - excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, in February games are 41-15 ATS since 1997. Take the points.
LT Profits
Florida -8.5
The Florida Gators are a perfect 13-0 straight up at home this season while winning by a hefty average of +18.8 points per game, and we look for another handy victory when they host the South Carolina Gamecocks tonight.
The Gators are the second highest ranked SEC team on the Pomeroy Ratings at number 31, trailing only number 25 Kentucky. The Gators are averaging 78.6 points per game and they are hitting an amazing 49.3 percent of their field goal attempts at home. Furthermore, they are hitting 56.5 percent of their two-point attempts overall, ranking fourth in the entire country in that category.
Now granted, Florida did not have the toughest of non-conference schedules, but even after adjusting for SOS, they rank 19 in the nation in offensive efficiency at 1.150 points per possession. Comparatively, South Carolina ranks 88 in that department with an adjusted PPP of 1.071.
Now the Gamecocks are 18-4, but all four of their losses have come away from home. The biggest difference in their home/away splits is in their defense, as South Carolina is allowing a high 77.2 points per game on a porous 50.5 percent shooting on the road! That should be their death blow tonight vs. an offense as efficient as Florida.
Look for the Gators to build a big early lead and never look back here.
Pick: Florida -8.5
Tom Freese
South Carolina at Florida
South Carolina is 36-15 ATS their last 51 road games and they are 6-2-1 ATS their last 9 Conference games. The Gamecocks are 5-2-1 ATS vs. winning teams and they are 36-16 ATS away vs. teams with a winning home record. Florida is 5-13 ATS their last 18 home games and they are 2-5 ATS off a straight up loss. The Gators are 2-55 ATS on Tuesday. This is not a vintage Gator team and head coach Billy Donovan knows that.
Play on: South Carolina
Vegas Experts
San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets
Terrible spot for San Antonio. They are just 8-20 ATS playing on back-to-back days over the last two seasons. Denver has been great when laying points this year, covering 20 of 30 games. For the Spurs, playing with no rest in the thin air is no small chore. Nuggets have been off since Friday, so they've had plenty of time to stew over a 17-point home loss to San Antonio back in December. They'll get their revenge tonight.
Play on: Denver
Nelly
Ohio State + over Purdue
Purdue has now won six in a row but they were incredibly fortunate in two of the road wins. This will be the fifth road game in the last eight games and the schedule could eventually catch up to the Boilers. Ohio State has won nine of the last ten meetings between these teams including the most recent meeting in this stadium. Purdue is 2-2 ATS in Big Ten road games but easily could have lost its last road game at Wisconsin. Purdue only played one non-conference road game and this should be the toughest road game the team has faced all season long. Ohio State is 11-2 at home this season with the losses coming against Michigan State and West Virginia. The Buckeyes have delivered convincing wins in the past two games but gave up a lot of points against Indiana last weekend which should lead to a renewed defensive effort in this match-up. Purdue is finding ways to win right now but the Boilers have caught considerable breaks this season in conference play and are likely a big overrated in this match-up.
maddux sports
Today's Free Pick is Maryland +21.5
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Celtics -1.5
Boston is expected to be without an ill Kevin Garnett tonight, but I think odds makers have over figured his absence into the equation here. Boston will focus that much more without their leader to get the "W" and the cover tonight. Leon Powe, Glen Davis, and Kendrick Perkins give Boston enough interior depth to float Garnett's illness again tonight. The Celtics are 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia , 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, and 39-16-2 ATS in their last 57 vs. the NBA Atlantic. The 76ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Atlantic and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Boston .
Jack Jones
St. Louis +165 over Columbus
This is kind of a big underdog play we are taking tonight, but I think it shows some value. Columbus is coming off a terrible loss on Saturday to the Dallas Stars, in which their rookie goalie gave up three goals in just eight shots. Now that the 20-year-old is battling mononucleosis it will be intersting to see how the Blue Jacket defense reacts. Chris Mason on the other hand is riding high here recently, having not allowed a goal in his last 95 minutes. With all that going for us I think it's worth a shot to take the heavy underdog tonight!
Florida -7.5 over South Carolina
This might seem like a lot of points to be laying with the Gators tonight, but I think they will win in blowout fashion. The Gators lost to the Gamecocks back on January 21st even though they shot 54% from the floor and held the Gamecocks to 39% shooting. I feel like Florida would take those numbers every time out, but on their home floor they aren't going to lose the turnover battle so drastically. This game is sandwhiched in between the trip to Tennessee the Gators lost badley, and a trip to Kentucky in one week, but I doubt they will be looking ahead with that last loss to SC in their recent memory. South Carolina is not to be underestimated with their 16-4 record, but at 3-3 on the road I think they get beat up pretty badly by a Gator team that is 13-0 at home and winning by more than 18 points per game in Gainesville.
Wunderdog
Calgary at Dallas
Pick: Dallas -121
Dallas has got it rolling as they have won four straight games with three of those wins coming on the road. That will give them a boat load of confidence coming home where they have dropped just two of their last 10. The Flames have dropped three of their last four on the road where their play has been spotty all season long. This spot is even tougher as the Flames played last night and they are just 1-8 in their last nine without rest. The Flames have been doused at Dallas in their last 10 games as they sport just a 2-7-1 mark in the last 10 trips into Big D. The Stars get the call in this one.
Rocketman
Marquette @ Depaul
Play: 1* Depaul +12
Cleary, Marquette is the better team tonight but they are going to come into Depaul where the Blue Demons do have a winning record this year at 6-5. I'm thinking Depaul getting double digits at home should be a good play. Now the public will be all over Marquette tonight in this one so we definitely want to be on the other side. Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Depaul is 3-0 ATS last 3 years against Marquette. We'll recommend a small play on Depaul tonight!
Drew Gordon
San Antonio +6 at DENVER
I know full well there's some factors pointing to the Nuggets tonight, and if they were matched up against some inconsistent Eastern Conference team, I'd be inclined to back Denver in this one. However, that would be a big mistake and here's why...
Critics of this play will argue that the Spurs are playing in the tail end of back-to-back, and even worse, it was an OT game (win at Golden State), so hence the fatigue factor comes into play. While that's true to an extent, you simply CANNOT use one single factor to determine the side in this contest. Fact of the matter is, the more important factor is recent meetings and recent play, and the Spurs get the edge in both.
Rewind back to their last meeting - an impressive 108-91 Spurs outright win in Denver as a 4-point dog - and how can you possibly like the Nuggets tonight? San Antonio demonsrated yet again, when they are healthy and playing well, the Nuggets cannot touch them. Duncan, Parker, and Ginobili all won their match ups on both ends of the floor, and you tell me why that won't happen again here tonight?!
Finally, while I'll admit the Nuggets have been playing well of late (4-1 SUATS L5 games), so have the Spurs (8-1 SU & 5-3-1 ATS L9 games). I simply do not see that many points separating these two teams, and again, if this were some inconsistent road team, I might side with Denver. But fact remains the Spurs are far to consistent to look any other way in this contest. In the end, fatigue maybe a factor, but the Spurs are playing great basketball, and don't play again until Sunday, so they can and will put everything on the line tonight.
Take San Antonio plus the points over Denver in this NBA match up.
2♦ SAN ANTONIO
Michael Cannon
Purdue -2 at OHIO STATE
Take Purdue as the small road chalk over Ohio State.
The Boilermakers have won six straight, going 5-1 ATS. Their defense has been the main reason they’ve been able to string together a bunch of wins. Purdue is allowing just 58.3 ppg during its six-game win streak, giving up 63 or fewer in all six games.
Ohio State bounced back from a two-game losing streak with back-to-back wins and covers over Michigan and Indiana. Neither one of those wins is overly impressive however, as Michigan has actually taken a step back in the second year of the John Beilein era and Indiana is just awful.
Purdue is on further ATS runs of 27-9-1 in conference play, 13-5-1 on the road, 9-4 on Tuesday and 21-9-1 after a spread-cover.
Take Purdue minus the small number as they grab the road win and cover.
2♦ PURDUE