Nelly
Nebraska - over Texas A&M
Nebraska has had some problems on the road but the Huskers are as tough as anyone in the Big 12 at home. Nebraska owns home wins over Missouri, Kansas State, and Texas and barely lost in close games with Oklahoma State and Kansas in Lincoln. Last weekend Nebraska lost in an ugly performance in Lawrence but this match-up should set-up well. Texas A&M enters this game after back-to-back games against big rivals as the Aggies beat Texas and then held on to beat Texas Tech on the road last week. A&M really did not play well in that game but received a lot of breaks as Tech was whistled for 34 fouls, sending the Aggies to the line for 51 free throw attempts. Nebraska is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 games as the Huskers are a team that is gaining some late season momentum. On the season Nebraska has allowed just over 55 points per game at home and A&M's fortunate win in Lubbock last weekend was the first Big 12 road win of the season for the Aggies.
Johnny Guild
Memphis Grizzlies at Cleveland Cavaliers
The struggling Grizzlies have dropped their last four games and have played horrendous away from home, just three wins in their 25 road games this season. Look for the LeBron James and his crew to crush Memphis at Quicken Loans Arena. Cleveland has won 10 of the last 12 versus Memphis in Cleveland, including 4-0 both straight-up and against the spread in the last four. Cleveland is allowing an average of just 90.8 points per game, a big task for a team playing sad on offense, averaging 93.5 points per game. Take the Cavaliers to win their seventh straight against Memphis.
Cleveland Cavaliers -14.5
NCAAB
New Mexico Lobos -15
LSU Tigers -4
GINA
Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets
The Houston Rockets have won their last 5 games at home, 4-1 ATS and have taken eight of the last nine games at home against the Portland Trail Blazers.
Go with the Rockets in a close battle at the Toyota Center. Houston goes for their fifth straight win, while Portland will try for their fourth. However, the Trail Blazers have played below par away from home and unrewarding, 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games on the road and 2-4 ATS in its last 6 versus the Blazers in Portland.
Houston Rockets -4½
Mr A
Cleveland Cavaliers -14
Orlando Magic -3
Houston Rockets -4½
Scott Rickenbach
Chicago Blackhawks @ Nashville Predators
PICK: Chicago Blackhawks
The Hawks are pricier than we like to use as a true "service play". However, we do see some value here with Chicago in this spot! The key is going to be the offenses in this one. Nashville is off of a 1-0 overtime win at St Louis while the Blackhawks are coming off of a 2 to 1 home loss versus Minnesota.
The Blackhawks got a ton of shots on goal against the Wild and their offense will be poised to bounce back in a big way after struggling to get but one goal past Minnesota's Niklas Backstrom. As for the Predators, scoring goals has been an issue for much of this season. After a tight 1-0 win in OT on the road, this looks like the perfect spot to fade Nashville on their home ice. Chicago is hungry and we're able to get a "decent" price since they're on the road. Had they been the home team here this line would have been well over -200. That said, consider a small play on Chicago on the money line on Tuesday night.
BEN BURNS
Creighton @ Missouri State
PICK: Missouri State
Early reports from offshore contacts indicate that Creighton will be one of today's most popular bets. In this case, I believe that the joe public bettors are off base and that the current line provides solid value with the home underdog.
While Missouri State has only won three of its last six home games, the three losses all came by single-digits.
Its true that the Bears were blown out at Creighton. However, the Bears have won three of the last five series meetings at Missouri State and the two losses were by just five combined points. With the revenge-minded Bears gaining some confidence from a momentum-building win, look for this evening's game to also come down to the wire. Consider taking the points.
DAVID MALINSKY
Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat
PICK: Over
In a game matching two teams that will both brings chips on their shoulder after being embarrassed on national television on Sunday, we anticipate high levels of physical energy. And with each side going into an “attack” mode against uninspiring defenses, there will be a level of offensive efficiency that combines with the pace to make this an easy Over.
As bad as the Pistons have been, and we have benefitted well through their downfall, like cashing 6*, 5* and 4* tickets in succession against them before the All Star break, Sunday’s crash at Cleveland could be their bottoming out. There are some veterans that really do have some pride on the roster, and that is where a lot of tonight’s energy will come from. On the offensive end, that is. What they no longer have, is any kind of defensive chemistry. In their only three February road outings they are allowing 105 points per game in regulation, and even that must be taken with a grain of salt – one can only wonder how many points Cleveland would have scored on Sunday if the Cavs had kept trying, with only 11 of their 99 tally coming in the fourth quarter.
Meanwhile most of the Miami roster is coming off of an embarrassment here as well. Take away Dwayne Wade’s 50-point outburst at Orlando and the others combined for a horrid 49 points, on 20-59 shooting. That includes a dismal 2-10 from Jermaine O’Neal, and a 1-7 from Mario Chalmers, two players that we can absolutely expect to bounce back here. But it is Wade that is once again the catalyst, with Detroit having to open the game with Rodney Stuckey against him (Allen Iverson? Of course not.), which opens the door to not only find plenty of room for his own shots, but to also create for his teammates as well.
It is real easy to projecting the losing team to score at least 90 points in this one; the only team Detroit has held under 90 in February was that grinder of a loss to the Spurs last week, when Pops was playing it slow without Manu Ginobli, and the Heat have not held an opponent to 90 the entire month.
Dennis Macklin
Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals
Prediction: Over
In this matchup, we find two of the NHL's higher scoring teams. The Flyers are 6-1 over in L7 while the Caps are 9-2-1 over in L12. Philly's last five games have produced a whopping 39 goals and of course this game features two of the games premier snipers in Carter and Ovechkin. Techs pretty much neutral so we'll rely on current form and watch this one go flying OVER the total.
Matt Fargo
Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs
Prediction: San Antonio Spurs
The Mavericks blew another one on the road, this time against Houston as it had a big lead but failed to hold on and that has been the story of this team lately. Dallas has dropped four of the last five meetings in this series and despite being at .500 on the road this season, it has been struggling recently by going 4-8 in its last 12 road games (5-7 ATS). Dallas has been a hard team to read this season. After a disgusting start of 2-7, the Mavericks went 20-6 in their next 26 games. However, it has been a slight digression since then as Dallas has gone 11-9 in its last 20 games and while that is a good mark for a lot of teams, it will not get it done in the Western Conference. The rodeo is over and that means the Spurs get the AT&T Center back, for three games at least before they head back out on the road. San Antonio had an eight-game roadtrip as it had to leave the arena at the beginning of February and the one break was that it coincided with the All-Star layoff so it was not on the road the entire time. The Spurs went 5-3 on the trek (5-2-1 ATS) with one of those losses coming by a bucket and another coming in overtime. They have had a great history of coming out strong in the first home game back from the long roadtrip as they are a perfect 6-0 straight up and ATS over the last six years, winning those games by an average of 18.5 ppg. The absence of Manu Ginobili is significant but the Spurs have won and covered both games without him thus far. San Antonio has covered six straight games against winning teams. San Antonio also falls into a great situation. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that are averaging between 92 and 98 ppg going up against a team allowing between 98 and 102 after a win by 15 points or more. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1996 with the average point differential being +9.7 ppg. 3* San Antonio Spurs
Info Plays
3* on Tulane +7
Reasons why Tulane covers the spread:
1.) Southern Miss now has no shot of making the NCAA Tournament after going 1-6 SU in their last 7 games overall. Their only shot at making the Tournament will be to win their conference championship, so until that even occurs it will be hard for this team to get motivated on a nightly basis.
2.) Southern Miss is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Eagles are laying too many points tonight against a team that they have already beaten by 7 points. Having already beaten Tulane by 7 will only make it harder for Southern Miss to get motivated to play Tuesday. Tulane is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and unlike Southern Miss, this team is still coming to play every night.
3.) System Play. We’ll Play Against - A home team (SOUTHERN MISS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team. This is a 32-9 ATS System hitting 78% over the last 5 seasons. Bet Tulane on the road.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Bobcats/Suns OVER 221
The Suns have now gone over the number in 5 straight games and they will really look to run up the score for a couple different reasons tonight. First of all, the Bobcats held the Suns to 76 points in a matchup at Charlotte a month ago. Secondly, the Suns will be looking for payback from that lopsided loss as they look to send a message to former teammates Raja Bell and Boris Diaw. Thirdly, they will look to rebound from a blowout defeat by Boston. Phoenix is 8-1 OVER revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent this season. Bet the Over tonight.
Dwayne Bryant
Florida St. +2.5 vs Boston Col
In a game that figures to be tight, taking the points is always best. Such is the case tonight at Boston College. These two teams have squared off four times in recent years. The winning margins have been 3, 3, 1, and 3. It doesn't get much tighter than that.Since getting blown out at Wake Forest, the Seminoles have responded with a solid win over Miami and an upset road win at Virginia Tech. The 'Noles play well away from home, evident by their 9-2-1 ATS mark in that role.In their last two games, BC upset Duke and then lost by double-digits at Miami in a clear flat spot. One thing stands out when I look at BC's results from this season; they don't seem to have the heart to bounce back off a loss. Each time they lost a game this season, it was followed by a second loss. Yes, the competition was tough, but it will also be tough tonight.The Seminoles are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, including 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. On the flip side, the Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.This one figures to go down to the wire, so I'll grab the points with FSU.
GREG SHAKER
Florida Gators at Louisiana State Fighting Tigers - Under 151
Note: Better than average pace and offensive efficiency for these two teams meeting in Baton Rouge tonight. The Venue is the key for this one with the LSU Tigers playing very good D here and exhibiting a slower style of play when they do. We are seeing a slower style of play on this court with a much more controlled gameplan and more fullcourt pressure by the Tigers. We will certainly see that tonight with this game being of great importance to the home guys. The Gators have not been as prolific when they travel, scoring nearly 12 points less when they do. The last 2 played on the highway against "Real Competition" have netted them just 65 and 63 at Kentucky and at Tennessee. The Team they will play tonight has a defensive efficiency rating of #27 in the country which is comparable to Ky and much better than the Vols. We are seeing a high posted number due to the overall performance of these two squads but a close to the vest contest is expected, and we will see some scoring droughts. It is not going to take many of those to give us what we want and I would play this one down to 147.
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
Pitt -8 over PROVIDENCE
The Panthers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss, while the Friars are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. The Panthers are oon a roll right now as they have won their last 7 in a row, since their loss to the Cats back in late January. The Panthers are 12-2 in the Big East, outscoring their foes by 11.6 ppg in the process. We also note that in their 12 Big East wins, the Panthers won each game by at least 8 points. None were closer. The Panthers have been excellent at both ends of the floor, as they are 29th in scoring (78.3 ppg) and 47th in points allowed (62.3 ppg). The Panthers are also 4th in offensive rpg (13.8) and 52nd in defensive rpg (23.8). All good reasons why the Panthers are ranked #1 in the country. The Friars have played well at times this year and they are 8-7 in the Big East, but when this team loses in the Big East it has been ugly. Of their 7 Big East looses the Friars lost 6 of them by 9 points or more, while 4 of their last 5 losses have been by at least 18 points. Despite the winning conference record they have still been outscored by 2.3 ppg in Big East play. The Friars are ranked 20th in points scored (79.2 ppg), but they have been pitiful on defense as they are 323rd, allowing 76.7 ppg. Bottom line here is that I expect the Panthers to win this one outright and when they do in the Big East it has been by an average of 14.8 ppg, while the Friars have been outscored by 15.1 ppg in their 7 Big East losses. Pitt by double digits easily.
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Free Selection from Totals4U
Tuesday's free selection: Charlotte/Phoenix over 222
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maddux sports
Today's Free Pick is LA Lakers -8.5
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Pittsburgh Panthers at Providence Friars (+8, 157.5) free pick from covers
The Friars (16-11, 8-7) looked like they might be NCAA tournament-bound late after opening Big East play 6-2, but they've struggled since. Providence has dropped five of seven, most recently losing 103-84 at home to Notre Dame on Saturday.
"What's a defense going to do?" coach Keno Davis said after the Fighting Irish made 11 first-half 3-pointers. "It seemed like they got whatever they wanted, whether they wanted to go inside or outside."
The loss certainly wasn't on the shoulders of senior guard Weyinmi Efejuku, who had a career-high 31 points. Efejuku is averaging 23.7 points in his previous three games.
Junior guard Sharaud Curry, who had 23 against the Irish, averaged 22.0 points in his last two games against Pitt.
Providence is 1-10 all-time against top-ranked teams.
Pick: Pittsburgh -8
ATS Trends Pittsburgh
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games.
Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5.
Panthers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big East.
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Panthers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
Panthers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Panthers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Providence
Friars are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Friars are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games.
Friars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Friars are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Friars are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog.
Friars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Friars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Friars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.
Friars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Friars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Friars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Friars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.
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Sports Pick System Laugh Corner 😀
Bookie Breaking Nightmare System :'(
does it again with a win with Louisville
that landed way beyond the spread !!! 😉
record: 6 wins and 2 losses 😮
Today's pick: Pittsburgh -6.5 (buy two points)
8)
Rich Green
CLEVELAND -14.5 Over Memphis
The Cavaliers lead the Central Division of the Eastern Conference under their Head Coach Mike Brown, and stand at 43-11 Straight Up, and 36-18 Against The Spread on the season. They are on current 4-0 SU and ATS winning runs, and have been taking no prisoners. Positive trends for the Cavs here include 3-0 ATS in this Series, 20-6 ATS at Home, 50-34 ATS in non-Conference Play, and 20-9 ATS after a SU win of 10 or more points.
The Grizzlies trail the Southwest Division of the Western Conference under their new Head Coach Lionel Hollins with a record of 15-40 SU, and 21-33-1 ATS on the year. They have lost four games in a row SU, and show one SU Road win over the past two months. Negative trends for the Grizzlies here include 5-17 ATS after three or more SU losses in a row, 16-26 ATS in Revenge mode, and 8-18 ATS versus the Central Division.
The line overnited at Cavaliers -14 and figures to move up. We'll go with the Home Cavs to cover for us here tonight.
Wunderdog
Columbus at Calgary
Pick: Columbus +155
Columbus is an average team. They are however, one that is playing their best hockey of the season which makes them dangerous. The Blue Jackets have now only lost two of their last eight games, and one of those was in a shootout. They have gotten superb goaltending, allowing just 19 pucks to clear the net, or 2.4 a game. Calgary has been just the opposite. The Flames have lost just seven times all season at home, but have hit a speed bump as three of those seven have come in their last four home games. After turning in a 12-3 run, the Flames have slipped back as they are just 5-6 in their last 11. The dog has taken five of the last seven in this series. The Blue Jackets are out-playing the Flames right now, so I'll back them on the road here.