Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY
(Power Angle Play)
New York +3.5 over MILWAUKEE: The Knicks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 e Knicks have been outscored by just road games vs. a team with a winning home record, while the Bucks are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win, plus the Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The knicks come in winners of just 1 of their last 6 games, but they have played really well in their 2 road losses in that stretch as they lost by 5 points to NJ and by 5 points to Miami. despite a 7-22 record the Knicks have been outscored by just 4.3 ppg on the road this year, including just 4.1 ppg in their last 10 away from home. The Bucks have played well at home this year with a 19-12 mark, but they have won just 2 of their last 6 on their home floor and that was vs GS and Washington. The Bucks have allowed 110.8 ppg in their last 10 games at home and must now take on a Knicks team that has hasd put up 100+ points in 20 straight games, while they have averaged 112.9 ppg in their last 12 games. The Knick defense is bad, Milwaukee has averaged just 99.1 ppg in their last 7 games. Milwaukee crushed the Knicks in the last 2 meetings this year, but both games were with Michael Redd and Andrew Bogut, but tonight both are missing and the result will be different. The Bucks are a combined 14-20 ATS with gtheir 2 starts missing and the Knicks will get their revenge tonight.
POWER ANGLE For This Play-- The Bucks are 1-14 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite with 2 days or more rest and they are coming off a home win in which the had an assist to turnover ratio of at least 2.
3 UNIT PLAY
(Power Angle Play)
Dallas +6 over PHOENIX: The Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, while the Suns are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Ok so I was taken in by Phoenix' ability to score and score some more, so I was playing them a lot since the coaching change and have had mixed results. Yes the Suns can score, but their defense was ranked near the middle of the pack before the change, but now this team team clearly plays the worst defense in the league. The Suns have allowed 115.7 ppg since the change, compared to just the 103.4 ppg they allowed before the change. Now they face a Dallas team that has averaged 101.1 ppg (11th) and have shot 46% from the field (9th) on the year, plus that offense has been stepped up a bit lately as they have averaged 105.1 ppg in their last 6 games. The mavs also get the edge at the line where they are 2nd in the league (82%), while the Suns are 21st (75.7%), plus the Mavs are 6th in rebounding (42.8 rpg), while the Suns are 14th (41.3 rpg). Phoenix has really struggled with winning teams this year and even without Josh Howard I see the Mavs keeping this one very close, if not winning outright.
POWER ANGLE For This Play--- The Suns are 1-16-2 ATS in their last 19 regular season games following the Spurs. The Suns have been outscored by 6.6 ppg in this situation.
2 UNIT PLAYS
Cleveland/ Clippers Under 195: The Under is 16-5 in Cavaliers last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, while the Under is 24-9-1 in Clippers last 34 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Cleveland's road games have averaged just 189.2 ppg, while their last 5 overall have averaged 186.6 ppg. Clipper home games have averaged 195.2 ppg, but they score just 93.8 ppg on their home floor this year, while the Cavs average just 96.7 ppg away from home. The Cavs are the top defense in the league as they allow just 90.5 ppg overall and 92.5 ppg on the road. The Clippers defense is bad, but the cavs are not a running team and with a date at Phoenix they will need to conserve energy. I say go low in this one.
SAN ANTONIO -5 over Charlotte
1 UNIT PLAY
Oklahoma City/ Sacramento Over 207