Karl Garrett
Cincinnati at MILWAUKEE -135
G-Man giving you an easy OVER for FREE last night on Baltimore and Texas. Now 14-6 the last 20 days with my comp plays.
Another OVER tonight, this time in the senior circut, as the Reds and Brewers keep the sticks cranking on Tuesday.
Last night, Cincy and Milwaukee combined for 13 runs, and we could be seeing at least that many tonight when Bornson Arroyo and Manny Parra hit the bump.
Arroyo allowed 5 runs in 6 innings in his first start of the season, while Parra allowed 5 runs in 4 innings in his season debut.
Parra's last 2 starts against the Reds have seen 10 runs cross in just 12 innings of work, while Arroyo's last start against Milwaukee saw 5 runs cross in 6 innings. As you can see, these 2 hurlers aren't fooling too many batters of late.
9 of the last 15 meetings at Miller Park between the teams have gone OVER the total, and this one will as well.
3♦ OVER
Bobby Maxwell
Cincinnati +120 at MILWAUKEE
Got a winner on the pro hardwood Monday night when the Bulls went to Detroit and scored the outright upset. Today we'll score a comp winner on the Reds as they take on the Brewers in Milwaukee.
Cincinnati squeaked out a 7-6 victory on Monday in Milwaukee and today they will get it done again behind the pitching of Bronson Arroyo who went six innings in an 8-6 win over the Mets in his first start of the season.
The Reds have scored seven or more runs in three of their six games this season and they've won three of their last four. Plus look at what they've done in Milwaukee, winning seven of their last nine visits to Wisconsin.
Milwaukee has dropped three straight and their pitching has been brutal, allowing 21 runs in their last three games and giving up six or more in five of their seven games to start the season. Manny Parra is on the hill for the Brewers and in his first outing he gave up five runs through 4 1/3 innings in a 7-1 loss to the Giants. The Brewers have lost his last five starts dating to last season and eight of his last 10.
Parra faced the Reds twice last year and lost them both, givin up 11 runs in 12 1/3 innings. Look for Arroyo to deliver a solid outing and the Brewers pitching staff to surrender a lot of runs like they've done all season.
Get the plus-money and play Cincy on the road in this one.
3♦ CINCINNATI
Jeff Benton
Baltimore at TEXAS -140
Three straight free-play winners, all on the baseball diamond as the Cardinals eked out the win against the DBacks on Monday. I’m now on a 12-6 roll with freebies over the last 18 days, and we’ll look to build on that with another baseball winner Tuesday as we take the Orioles-Rangers game OVER the total.
For starters, both of these squads have been involved in a slew of shootouts already this year, with the Rangers going 4-1-2 “over” the total in their first seven games and Baltimore going 5-2 “over” in their first seven. That includes Monday’s 10-9 slugfest won by the Orioles in Texas.
So far, the Rangers have played four home games, and the combined run totals in those four contests were 10, 13, 20 and 19. Even though we’re still two months away from summer, the ball is flying out of the Rangers’ home ballpark, with a whopping 17 home runs hit in those four games!
Not only are there a ton of quality hitters on both of these squads, but both pitching staffs have been shaky (and that’s being kind). Even before last night’s 10-9 outburst, Baltimore had a 5.67 overall team ERA and an 8.34 bullpen ERA, while Texas had a 6.00 ERA overall and a 9.19 ERA from its relievers.
Throw in the fact that the two starting pitchers in this game – Baltimore’s Alfredo Simon and Texas’ Brandon McCarthy – combined to allow seven earned runs in just 10 innings of work in their first two starts, and the only way to look in this game is OVER the total.
4♦ Orioles-Rangers OVER
Chris Jordan
Utah at L.A. LAKERS
If the Jazz want any chance of avoiding the No. 8 seed and a return trip to Los Angeles for the opening round of the playoffs, they’ll have to avoid a sixth straight road loss to the Lakers. Can they win outright? I don’t know that for sure. But I do know they’ll do everything they can to avoid a loss on the hardwood tonight, and should stay inside the number. Utah is one game behind New Orleans and Dallas with one game to play, and it has much more to play for than the Lakers, whose chances at the No. 1 overall seed in the NBA disappeared last night, when the Cavaliers toppled the Pacers.
Utah holds the tiebreaker over the Hornets and Mavericks, so a win over Los Angeles gives it a chance to move up if either New Orleans or Dallas loses their finale tomorrow night. I realize the Lakers would like to make a statement in case these two do meet in the first round, so a blowout win would earn the mental edge, but Phil Jackson has been relaxing his players in the fourth quarter quite a bit, and that would put a crimp in the home favorite covering.
1♦ JAZZ
Vegas Experts
St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamonbacks
Arizona starter Max Scherezer was once considered a very promising prospect, but the Diamonbacks have done nothing to boost his resume by losing all seven of his career starts. Don't look for win #1 tonight vs. the Cardinals and Chris Carpenter, who looked sensational in his first start of the year, allowing just one unearned run in seven innings of work. Carpenter has never lost to Arizona and the Redbirds are currently riding a five-game win streak.
Play on: St. Louis
Tom Freese
Boston at Oakland
Boston starter Daisuke Matsuzaka is 3-1 with a 2.55 ERA in 4 career starts vs. Oakland. The Red Sox are 14-2 in the last 16 starts made by Matsuzaka and they are 40-18 when Dice-K is favored in a game. Oakland is 8-22 after allowing two or less runs in their game and they are 20-41 vs. an opponent that scored 2 or less runs in their last game. The Athletics are 6-18 their last 24 games vs. AL East teams and they are 0-4 with Dana Eveland on the mound vs. AL East teams. PLAY ON BOSTON - (Matsuzaka vs. Eveland)
LT Profits
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Under 8.5
The Tampa Bay Rays took the series opener from the New York Yankees 15-5 last night, but we expect a much lower scoring affair tonight.
Rays starter Matt Garza picked up where he left off in his breakthrough 2008 season in his first 2009 start, limiting the Boston Red Sox to just one run and four hits in seven innings at Fenway Park. Garza has some of the best stuff in the American League, and he can be downright dominant when he is on top of his game. He also has success vs. the Yankees last year, allowing three runs or less in two of his three starts against them.
Speaking of dominant, Yankees starter A.J. Burnett has always had great stuff, but he struggled with his control for much off his career. That changed last year when Burnett has the best season of his career with the Blue Jays, and his first start as a Yankee was a promising one, as he allowed two runs in 5.1 innings with six strikeouts. He was brilliant the last time he faced Tampa Bay last year, not allowing an earned run while posting 10 strikeouts in seven innings.
Look for the pitchers to dominate this evening in Tampa Bay.
Pick: Yankees/Rays Under 8.5
Rocketman
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
Play: Chicago White Sox
Detroit is 63-82 the past 3 years against division opponents. John Danks pitched 6 very good innings in his first outing this year and has a 0.00 ERA to prove it. Porcello is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA this year after his first start. Chicago White Sox are 24-13 overall vs Detroit the past 3 years. The White Sox are 5-1 vs Detroit when Danks has started. White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. White Sox are 6-1 in Danks' last 7 starts during game 2 of a series. Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 Tuesday games. We'll recommend a small play on the Chicago White Sox today!
LARRY NESS
Boston Red Sox @ Oakland Athletics
PICK: Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox won the World Series in 2007 and came within a Game 7 loss last year to Tampa Bay in the ALCS, of returning to the Series. However, the Red Sox have opened the 2009 season at 2-5, hardly looking like a championship contender. The team is batting just .235 and averaging a measly 3.4 RPG. Reigning AL MVP Dustin Pedroia is hitting .179, David Ortiz is batting .208 with just three RBI while still looking for his first extra-base hit and Mike Lowell is batting .154. Boston owns a team ERA of 5.55 and will turn to Dice-K to get the team back on the right track tonight, after losing 8-2 in Oakland last night. Matsuzaka is coming off a season in which he lost only three times in 29 starts (he was 18-3 with a 2.90 ERA and Boston went 23-6 in his starts) but he lost his 2009 season debut, allowing four runs on nine hits and three walks in 5.1 innings in a 4-3 loss to the Rays in Fenway last Thursday. He allowed three HRs in a game for only the third time in his career. The A's are off to a 3-5 start with last night's win and will counter with Dana Eveland. The lefty made 41 appearances from 2005 through 2007 but only six starts. With Oakland trading away (and losing via free agency) so many starting pitchers, Eveland made 29 appearances in 2008 (all starts). He finished 9-9 with a 4.34 ERA, as the A's were a respectable 16-13 in those games, going plus-$460 vs the moneyline. He was very good at home last year, posting a 3.25 ERA (team was 11-4), as opposed to posting a 5.63 road ERA (team was 5-9). Eveland's first start of 2009 came against the Angels last Wednesday, a game in which the A's won 6-4. Unfortunately, that night will be best-remembered for what happened after the game, as Angels pitcher Adenhart was tragically killed in a car accident. As for Eveland, he allowed eight hits and three runs in six innings. He commented after the game that his velocity felt a little down from where it is normally. In his lone career start vs the Red Sox (Aug 2 of last season at Fenway), not much went right for the lefty, as he lasted just two innings, allowing eight hits and nine ERs. The Red Sox haven't hit yet but they will. Let's nor forget that they were 27-13 vs lefties last season, averaging 5.9 RPG. As for the A's, they were just 15-22 (minus-$1,045) vs right-handers at home in night games last season, scoring just 3.6 RPG. Matsuzaka went 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in three outings against Oakland last year (Red Sox went 3-0) and I'll come back with the Red Sox in Game 2 of this series (my only loser in a 4-1 Monday was on Boston) for a small play.
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Minnesota Twins -120
Toronto is off to a strong start, but I give the edge to the Twins at home tonight in this battle of southpaw starters. The Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter and 36-15 in their last 51 home games overall. The Twins are 8-1 in Perkins' last 9 starts during game 2 of a series, 7-1 in Perkins' last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, and 4-1 in Perkins' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. After three straight losses, the Twins will be ready to get back in the win column tonight. Lastly, we'll play against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) with a team batting average of .295 or better on the season (AL), after a win by 2 runs or less as this system is 44-20 since 1997. Bet the Twins.
Undefeated's tools picks now on a 14 wins and 5 losses run ! ;D
That is almost 75% folks ! 😮
Our selection for today is: L.A. Lakers - 4.5 (buying two points)
You can probably win it without two but I need to keep up my
percentage of wins as I am not straight betting but using another
secret system. 😉
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EZWINNERS'S FREE SELECTION
Date: Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Game: Boston Red Sox @ Oakland A's
Sport: MLB
Time: 9:05PM CST
(919) Boston Red Sox -$155
(Listing Matsuzaka and Eveland)
I look for Dice K to bounce back from his poor first outing this season.
Eveland was hammered in his only start by Boston last season and I
expect the Sox to do enough damage here to pick up the win.
2009 Free Selections Record 58-44 (56.9%)
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Free Selection from Totals4U
Monday's free selection: Minnesota/Dallas over 203 1/2
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
245 - 160 run 60 %
Tuesday L A Lakers
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8)
DUNKEL
Utah at LA Lakers
The Lakers look to take advantage of a Utah team that is just 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. Los Angeles is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-8).
Game 701-702: Miami at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 116.969; Atlanta 124.346
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 193
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+9); Over
Game 703-704: Boston at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 119.354; Philadelphia 119.772
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 183 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+2 1/2); Under
Game 705-706: Utah at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 115.949; LA Lakers 126.450
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8; 210
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-8); Under
GoodFella
DET (+122) vs CWS
NOT going to be a popular play & really more of a GUT feeling on this kid pitching AT HOME today & Detroit rakes lefties pretty good, .297 on the season & last year they got atleast 6 runs in 2 of the 3 starts Danks made vs Detroit last year...This is really just a SMALL gut play on Porcello to dial it in & have his best stuff pitching at HOME....The talented 20-year-old right-hander - a hard-throwing first-round pick who earned a spot in the rotation despite never before pitching above Single-A - was a bit shaky in his major league debut Thursday in Toronto, allowing four runs and nine hits in five innings of a 6-2 loss. "He looked a little young at times, bounced some curveballs, but he also threw some nasty ones and got some strikeouts on them," Tigers manager Jim Leyland said. "He's got some work to do, but that's something to work with.". I am going to go ahead & back the young kid here in this spot & look for the Tigers to touch up Danks some here today.
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
ChiSox -123 over DETROIT
The White Sox are 6-1 in Danks' last 7 starts during game 2 of a series, while the Tigers are 4-13 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter and 10-25 in their last 35 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Sox are 4-0 in Danks last 4 starts vs the Cats and he was most impressive in his first outing of the year as he allowed 0 ER on just 3 hits and 3 walks in 6 innings of work vs the Royals. Detroit's struggles vs lefties and should have the same problems here. Rick Porcello is off his first career start and it was not good as he allowed 4 ER on 9 hits, including 2 HR's, and 1 walk in just 5 innings of work vs the Jays. He must now face a ChiSox offense thta has put up 29 runs in their last 4 games. The Sox put 10 on the board yesterday and should score more than enough to this one easily as well.
SportsKingz
FLORIDA -120
MINNESOTA -130
K.C. -145