Red Dog Sports
Seattle at Oakland
Play: Over 8
Washburn has an ERA of 5.50 in his last 3 starts and Braden's ERA is 6.00 over that span. There have been 7 overs, 3 unders and a push in the last 11 meetings and the A's have 9 overs and 3 unders in their last 12 overall games. Look for the over to profit on Tuesday night!
ALEX SMART
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Carolina Hurricanes
PICK: Pittsburgh Penguins
The Hurricanes have to come up with a huge effort to dump the one minded surging Penguins Something I doubt they will do considering the Pittsburgh team they face looks very much to be a Stanley Cup front runner. I know that only twice in 145 series has an NHL team come back from a 0-3 playoff deficit to win the series 4-3. The last team to lose a series having led 3-0 is their series opponents Pittsburgh way back in the mid 70's to a NY Isles team that that later in that decade went on to win 4 straight cups.
Pittsburgh are surging at the moment thanks mainly to the Pens' two young guns , Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. The super star duo have combined for an impressive 14 points and eight of their team’s 16 goals.
Pittsburgh's underrated defense has come up huge as well, as is evidenced by limiting Canes stalwarts Staal, Whitney and Cole to a combined five assists in the first three tilts .
It's clear Pittsburgh can smell blood in the water and will be primed to end their opponents misery, and extend on their own euphoria by advancing to the Stanley cup final and exacting some revenge on their opponents from last year the Detroit Red Wings.
Despite Cam Wards early post-season heroics, Pittsburgh have found a weakness high on his glove hand side and will continue to pepper the Canes goaltender throughout this fourth game, just as they have done over the first three games. Im betting they bury the biscuit multiple times.
Teams with a 3-0 advantage have swept their opponents in 96 of those 145 series. Thats a 66% strike rate and that makes Pittsburgh a -140 fav on those stats alone. Given that Vegas has priced them as -120 chalk, there is certainly value in that price which makes recommending a Pittsburgh win a viable wagering option.
Play on the Pittsburgh Penguins
Nick Parsons
Chicago White Sox @ LA Angels
Play Under 8.5
Los Angeles will try to bounce back behind Joe Saunders (6-2, 3.17), who is trying to string together consecutive solid outings. The left-hander scattered four hits over seven innings of a 3-0 win over Seattle on Thursday. Saunders had given up seven runs in his previous start after throwing a six-hit shutout against Kansas City on May 9. Saunders is 2-1 with a 3.96 ERA against the White Sox, beating them twice last year while yielding three runs in 15 2-3 innings in two starts. The White Sox have seen the total go under the posted number in 4 of their last 6 games as a road dog of +150 to +175; play on the UNDER!
Sports Gambling Hotline
NY Yankees -120 at TEXAS
We are on an 8-3 comp play run the last 11 days!
Tonight we will back the New York Yankees to make it 2 in a row over Texas.
New York broke out the lumber in yesterday's 11-1 win over Texas, and we see no reason they won't plate a few more runs in this game.
The Yankees have won 11 of their last 13 games, and it is clear that having Alex Rodriguez in the lineup has spiked the New York offense. A-Rod went 5-for-5 yesterday, and we expect him to rap out a few more hits in this one.
It will be Joba Chamberlain, and Kevin Millwood on the hill, and Millwood is coming off a 4-run, 8-inning loss at Detroit his last time out. We doubt he will be able to go through this lineup more than once without getting scuffed up.
The Rangers have been playing hot ball, but at this price, we must back the cheap road favorite, as the Yankees make it 12 of 14 in the win column.
Play on New York.
4♦ NY YANKEES
Indiancowboy
Take the Under 188 between the Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic
I have a play on the side in this contest, but I like a total here as well. Bear in mind that this is a must win for the Cavs. The Cavs are down 2-1 and to be frank, they have been a bit outplayed in this series. I do feel like they show up in this contest for most of the game and consequently will likely push this game Under. The Cavs are an under team by nature, but with the Magic being competitive on the road has the pushed the total over consequently. But, in Orlando, it is a bit different as the Cavs remain competitive and they play their style of pace and offense. Thus, this pushes games under which was the case in Game 3 despite the Magic winning. Bear in mind, that although the Magic won the Cavs dictated pace. The Cavs can only win if they play one type of pace while the Magic can win both in an offensive shootout or a defensive lockdown. Although I have a play on the side in this game, as per this total I lean on the Under as I feel that this game is likely to go Under similar to game 3 in a very hard fought Game 4 which we are likely to see play out tonight.
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers +110
The Brewers were able to end their 3-game skid with a big win in extras yesterday to improve to 4-0 against St. Louis this season. With momentum back on their side, I like the Brewers again tonight, especially with as good as Suppan has been against his former club. Suppan is 7-2 when starting against St. Louis with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.272. His team's record is 9-3 in these starts. Milwaukee is 15-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season and 11-1 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. Plus, Suppan is 7-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times/game over the last 2 seasons. St. Louis is a game below .500 on the road and it is just 6-10 in Milwaukee the last 3 seasons. Back the Beer Makers today.
Karl Garrett
Cleveland at ORLANDO
G-Man scored with another comp play winner yesterday, as underdog Pittsburgh was a winner at Chicago.
Now 6-1 the last 7 days with my comp plays!
NBA action tonight, as let's take the Cavs-Magic UNDER the posted total as my Tuesday comp play winner.
Sunday's game held UNDER the posted price to make it 7 of the last 10 playoff games the Cavaliers have played landing on the LOW side.
Orlando has been on a pronounced UNDER run at home, as 27 of their last 38 games at Amway Arena have played UNDER the total.
In this series, 5 of the last 8 meetings have landed LOW.
Look for Game 4 of this best-of-seven series to land UNDER the posted total.
4♦ UNDER
GINA
Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic
Go with the Magic to snatch a win and go up 3-1 over the Cavaliers tonight at home. LeBron can't do it alone and Orlando's is playing sound defense making it a difficult task for the Cavaliers. Orlando is 6-1 both straight-up and against the spread in its last 7 games versus Cleveland, 6-1 ATS in the last seven at home.
Orlando Magic +1½
Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds
Go with Houston with Roy Oswalt on the hill. The struggling Astros will have their best opportunity to end their five game losing streak. The right-hander hasn't been to form, but has dominated the Reds and hopefully will continue to overwhelm Cincinnati. Oswalt is 23-1 with a 2.35 ERA in his career versus the Reds, 12-2 in Cincinnati. The Astros have won ten of Oswalt 11 starts against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.
Houston Astros -125
Mr A
Orlando Magic +1
New York Mets -155
Minnesota Twins -105
MLB Computer Picks
New York Mets -155
Milwaukee Brewers +105
Chicago White Sox +170
Johnny Guild
Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic
Cleveland’s superstar LeBron James has played his part, but without the help from his teammates and a bench that hasn’t played a role in this series, it doesn’t look good for the Cavaliers. The Magic were a thorn for Cleveland in the regular season and continue to be in the playoffs. Take Orlando on their home court against the suddenly baffle Cavaliers. The Magic are 6-1 ATS in the last seven clashes against the Cavaliers in the Sunshine State.
Orlando Magic +1.5
Scott Delaney
Chicago, which returns home from a 0-6 road trip, has lost eight straight, and you never know when it will score runs. The Pirates’ starter today has a 5.46 ERA the last five times he’s faced the Cubbies.
Fact is, both offenses could erupt for some sick number tonight, and I’m playing this one over.
Let’s start with Pittsburgh’s Ian Snell, who is 1-5 on the year with a 4.88 ERA. He’s 0-4 on the road with a 4.76 ERA, and is 0-3 with a 5.23 ERA in his last six starts since beating Atlanta on April 18. And with the Cubs under the gun to produce some offense, this could be the spot they explode for a ton.
On the other hand, I’m not exactly comfortable in taking a team that is losing the way Chicago is. And with Sean Marshall going, I think we could see some fireworks from Pittsburgh’s side of the plate. Although the southpaw is 1-0 in three starts against the Pirates, he also sports a 5.51 ERA against them. He’s 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA in three home stats, all of which have gone over.
The over is 4-1 the last five times these two have met, so let’s play this one high.
Pirates/Cubs OVER
Matt Rivers
For Tuesday take some coin back with the Dodgers.
Certainly I would rather have Aaron Cook these days over Eric Milton but all in all the Dodgers, even without Manny, are a better club than the Rockies and to get a pretty penny back today is enough to give it a go on the blue.
Los Angeles seems to have recovered after struggling once they lost their best player and with a bunch of, granted not great, but quality players like Furcal, Pierre, Loney, Kemp, Ethier, Martin and others I will take my chances today with the visitors at Coors.
Colorado is a mediocre team these days, period. The World Series losing squad from a few years ago is just not this team. I definitely love the way Todd Helton has rebounded of late and Atkins, Hawpe and Tulowitzki and a few others are solid ballplayers but the Rockies are not as good as the Dodgers and even with the superior hurler are giving too much.
Cook is a former All-Star and a guy that just looked great in that last start in Atlanta but he is still not a pitcher that I fully trust and certainly can get hit today.
Milton is, no doubt, past his prime and will not throw another no-hitter, that I can promise you, but the lefty is trying to stay up in the bigs and should be more than motivated today.
The bottom line is that this price is a bit too much and a small play on the dog is certainly therefore on the docket.
Vernon Croy
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
Play: Detroit Tigers
We are getting solid value here Tuesday night with the Tigers because Grinke has been lights out this season for the Royals but the Royals have lost in 2 of his last 3 starts. Edwin Jackson (4-2, 2.55) has been lights out for the Tigers this season and he is 3-0 with an ERA of just 1.64 over his last 3 starts. Jackson is 2-1 on the road with an ERA of just 1.33 over 4 starts and the Royals bats are cold right now hitting just .223 as a team while averaging just 2.6 rpg over their last 7 games. The Tigers had 19 hits last night in a 13-1 rout over the Royals and they already faced Greinke once this season which is an advantage when facing him again tonight. The Tigers are now 11-2 in their last 13 games played on grass and they are 6-1 in their last 7 games after a win. The Royals are just 1-6 in their last 7 games as a favorite and they are just 6-16 in Greinke's last 22 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. It doesn't matter how well Greinke pitches tonight because with no run support the Tigers will come away with the win playing small ball at a very nice price. Take the Detroit Tigers as my MLB Free Play for Tuesday night.
Steve Merril
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5
The Rockies were in a solid situation yesterday as a home favorite, but they were still destroyed by the Dodgers 16-6. This is a negative indicator tonight and the Dodgers present value as a +1.5 dog on the run line as they have the much stronger offense and bullpen. Going for Los Angeles is Eric Milton who is making his second start this season. His first time out he gave up two runs and two hits in four innings against the Marlins in Florida. Milton is 2-1 against the Rockies with an ERA of 4.66. The Rockies might also be without starting 1B Todd Helton who left yesterday’s game due to a migraine. Going for Colorado is Aaron Cook who is 3-1 with a 4.68 ERA and five Overs in nine starts. Cook is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA and two Overs in four starts at home. Already this season his team has lost 9-5 and 6-5 to the Dodgers with him on the hill. Overall, Cook is 5-6 with a 4.03 ERA and a WHIP of 1.521 against Los Angeles. The Dodgers hit .303 against Cook with Orlando Hudson (15-38), Mark Loretta (12-26), Juan Pierre (8-22), Andre Ethier (9-19), James Loney (4-12), and Blake DeWitt (4-11) all doing the best against him. Los Angeles continues to perform well offensively without OF Manny Ramirez in the lineup and they expect to have both OF Andre Ethier and SS Rafael Furcal in the lineup tonight as both players have been upgraded to probable.
John Ryan
Florida Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Philadelphia as they host the Marlins. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 108-46 mark making 48 units since 1997. Play against road dogs with a money line of +100 to +150 with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities facing a NL opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season. Florida is 4-12 (-9.0 Units) against the money line versus an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season. The point though is that with the exception of Lidge’s struggles this Philly bullpen is getting stronger and stronger. Although the offense in Philly often gets the headlines it is the Philly bullpen that really makes this team go. Plus, JC Romero will be back very soon from his 50 game suspension and that will make this one of the best bullpens in MLB again this year. Philadelphia is 43-20 (+19.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons. Take Philadelphia.