Arthur Ralph
Super Pick: NJ NETS
Daily BarnBurners : DRAKE & Kentucky
Gold Medal Club
CBB
100* Kentucky +5
50* Utah +6
50* Toledo +5
NHL 100* Philly
WINNERS EDGE
NBA PASS
CBB
Wake Forrest +12 , 2 units
Utah U + 5 , 3 units (Game of Week )
Tennessee - 4.5 , 1 unit
Nick Parson NBA Parlay
Kings-5.5 & Bucks +8
Stan Sharp
double-dime bet Air Force -9.0 vs Colorado St.
Analysis: Today all 3 of Stan's Top College Bettors have all bet AIR FORCE today. Stan agrees with this play as he has AIR FORCE Winning by 14-17 Points. TAKE AIR FORCE as STAN'S BIG tuesday BLOWOUT BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY. STAN'S CONFERENCE MISMATCH BIG BET OF THE MONTH
GAMBLERS WORLD
TIP OF THE DAY Sport: NBA New Jersey Nets vs. Sacramento Kings
Prediction: Sacramento Kings Current Line: -5.5 Over/Under: 201 Reason: The fans at ARCO Arena will be treated to a game between the New Jersey Nets and the Sacramento Kings when they take their seats on Tuesday. Oddsmakers currently have the Kings listed as 5½-point favorites versus the Nets, while the game's total is sitting at 201. The Nets lost to Phoenix 116-92 as an 11-point underdog last time out. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (214). Reggie Jefferson led the Nets with 24 points, while Sean Williams and Bostjan Nachbar each netted 12 points in the loss. Six Sacramento players reached double figures in Saturday's 110-104 win at Indiana, coming in as 3-point road underdogs. The 214 points scored were a PUSH with the posted total of 214. Mikki Moore had 22 points and 11 rebounds, and Beno Udrih added 20 points for the Kings. Current streak: New Jersey has lost 5 straight games. Sacramento has won 2 straight games. Team records: New Jersey: 18-22 SU, 15-24-1 ATS Sacramento: 17-22 SU, 22-17 ATS New Jersey most recently: When playing on Tuesday are 5-5 Before playing Golden State are 4-6 After playing Phoenix are 6-4 After a loss are 4-6 Sacramento most recently: When playing on Tuesday are 3-7 Before playing LA Clippers are 6-4 After playing Indiana are 6-4 After a win are 3-7 A few trends to consider: The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Jersey's last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Sacramento The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing at home against New Jersey Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
College Cappers
NBA:
15 Dime - Pho/Mil UNDER 215
10 Dime - NJ Nets ML +220
CBB
20 Dime - Central Michigan +9.5
75 Dime - Tennessee -4.5
Free Pick - Drake +5.5
Seabass Hockey
10* T.B.
Drew Gordon
1. 200,000* Drake
2. 50,000* Ohio State
3. 50,000* Kings
1. Drake- So, Drake loses Josh Young, and all of a sudden everyone is jumping ship on this Bulldogs team? Not so fast, since the talented guard went down Drake is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS, winning games with rock-solid defense and a chemistry you don't see everyday in college hoops.
First of all, oddsmakers have clearly adjusted to the absence of Young, but the public hasn't. Most believe this Drake team is doomed without him, but what makes this Bulldogs team so dangerous in the first place is their depth. Players like G Adam Emmenecker have stepped up bigtime in his absence (scoring a team-high 19 points in their win over Illinois State Saturday). In other words, underestimate this Bulldogs team at your own risk!
Second, while there's no question both teams are playing well, its hard to argue against the Bulldogs 15-game winning streak! Only Kansas and Memphis have longer active streaks, which should tell you a lot about this Drake team. In fact, the last home game Creighton lost, was against Illinois State, the very same team the Bulldogs beat (without Josh Young) Saturday.
Finally, don't get stuck on the fact Drake hasn't won at Creighton in almost 6 years. That's what they said about Bulldogs' losing streaks to Southern Illinois (16-game losing streak) and Missouri State (10-game losing streak), both of which fell to Drake this season. Bulldogs win games with defense, and that doesn't change because of one player's injury. In the end, look for another focused effort from this Drake team tonight, as they might not win outright, but you better believe they keep this game within the number.
Take Drake plus the points over Creighton as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Ohio State- Tough spot for the struggling Illini, who are coming off an ugly collapse at Purdue, where they led early, but a 20-3 second half run sealed their fate, losing 74-67 Saturday. Won't get any easier in Columbus, as the Buckeyes are coming off 3 straight road losses, and will be looking to get back on track tonight at home.
The biggest mismatch in this contest is the sputtering Illinois offense against a rock-solid Buckeyes home defense. Ohio State plays their best defense by far in Columbus, surrendering just 55 ppg on an outstanding 34% shooting! That's real bad news for an Illini offense that's average at best, and with some tough match ups inside, the Illini are in for big trouble tonight.
Speaking of match ups, its clear that C Pruitt and F Randle make up the bulk of this Illinois offense, but that could be a real issue tonight. Ohio State's frontcourt of 7-footer Koufos and Othella Hunter are both big and talented. Both Buckeyes players are better on the defensive end (combined 60 blocks) and have the benefit of a solid experienced backcourt to get them the ball. Another factor to consider, is the Illini frontcourt's problems staying on the floor, especially Randle, who's constantly on the bench in foul trouble.
Finally, expect the Buckeyes to come out firing in this one, as their frusration from losing 3 straight road games boils over into outright rage in this contest. Losing can sometimes be the best motivator, and I firmly believe, now back at home, we'll see a much more efficient and focused Ohio State team tonight. Buckeyes roll!
Take Ohio State BIG over Illinois in this Big Ten match up.
3. Kings- Talk about two teams going in opposite directions, as the Kings are finally getting healthy and starting to put some wins together, while the Nets look like a ship without a rudder, as all Jason Kidd can think about is getting the hell out of New Jersey (not good when he's your supposed floor general)!
Losers of 5 straight games SUATS, the Nets offense has fallen apart, averaging just 90 ppg on 40% shooting over that span. Not only do they clearly miss Krstic, but Vince Carter is in another one of his "funks," scoring 16 ppg over the Nets last 7 games... No surprise New Jersey is 1-6 SUATS over that span!
The Kings on the other hand, have benefited greatly from the return of Kevin Martin, who since coming back is averaging 26 ppg, and led the Kings to outright wins over Dallas, at Detroit, and at Indiana! In others words, this Kings team is starting to put the pieces in place, and its showed with impressive wins. In fact, Sacramento is averaging 105 ppg on nearly 49% shooting since Martin's return... So you tell me how the Nets keep pace with this resurgent Kings offense?!
Bottom line, the Nets woes continue, as they stand little chance of running with this Kings team in their current state. Sacramento on the other hand, is playing rock-solid basketball, and will not allow a sputtering Nets team any breathing room on their home floor in this one. Like I said: two teams going in opposite directions, and tonight you see just far apart they are!
Take the Kings at home comfortably over the Nets in late NBA action.
DOC'S NCAA
4 Unit Play. Take Wake Forest +12 over Clemson
The Demon Deacons look for a winning conference record tonight when the head on the road to Death Valley to take on the Tigers. After a hot start to the season the Tigers have fallen on harder times having lost three of their last five games including one against Charlotte. They are coming off a loss against Duke and much like earlier this month when they lost to UNC, the Tigers come out flat in their next game. Wake keeps this close throughout and we collect big in the process.
4 Unit Play. Take Creighton -5½ over Drake
A key game in the MVC takes place tonight in Ohama, NE, as the Creighton Blue Jays try and get back into the MVC Conference race. Drake sits atop the standing and is an impressive 16-1 on the season. That being said, the Blue Jays have a big lead in the all-time series and have won sixth straight games against the Bulldogs. After a slow start, Creighton has come on of late having won five straight games and is coming off an 86-point in their last meeting. They will win this game by double-digits and move within one game of first place in the MVC.
4 Unit Play.Take Ohio State -6½ over Illinois
This is more a play against Illinois, who with each loss become more and more frustrated with how the season is going. They dominated early against Purdue, yet still came of short and that is starting to take its toll on them. The Illini have lost six of their last seven including five of six in the Big Ten. The Buckeyes have been a much better team at home this season winning nine of ten games with their only loss coming to North Carolina. Ohio State has already won in Illinois by 16 points and expect a similar type of game tonight. I can see the Fighting Illini coming in really flat and down for the count early.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS
2-Unit Play (4-point Teaser) Take Drake +9.5 over Creighton,Tennessee -.5 over Kentucky
Still perfect in MVC play, Drake will stay inside of double figures of the Blue Jays, if not again find a way to win this one on the road. News suggests that the Bulldogs' top scorer Josh Young will be back tonight, but still, Drake has stepped up big without him. They knocked of Bradley on the road and then handed Illinois State its first conference loss last Saturday. This is a balanced offense that has two others scoring in double figures, and more that gives them a lot of supplemental producitvity in the starting lineup and off the bench. This number will be good here.
The Vols will come through with enough to leave Lexington with the victory. They have one of the more balanced offenses in the country, and a high-paced scoring attack that has found itself over 80 points per game on a consistent basis. Also, look for their full court press, the best I have seen this season, to create mistakes from Kentucky and again get them out of their game. This match-up goes to Tennessee.
FERRINGO
1.5-Unit Play. First Half: Take Clemson (-6) over Wake Forest
1-Unit Play. Take Clemson (-11.5) over Wake Forest
Wake Forest has lost its last three road games by seven, 39, and 22 points. Because they’ve been playing well lately I think the books are trying to sucker you into a bet on the surprising Deacons. However, the Tigers have the style and personnel to handle these big numbers. Wake doesn’t have anyone on the inside to stop the Tigers’ frontcourt power and they shoot 24.1 percent from 3-point land on the road. In fact, over its last six games the Deacons are 33-for-122 (27 percent) from deep. If they can’t get to the basket, can’t shoot from long range, and can’t rebound then they can’t cover. You’d think. Of course, there’s always Clemson’s free throw shooting issues. Only thing keeping this play so low. Here’s to hoping for 60 percent. Wake is 12-26-3 ATS after a win so look for a mini-letdown and a blowout loss.
1-Unit Play. Take Colorado State (+9) over Air Force
Kind of a lot of points for a rivalry game here. Lots of freshmen on both sides so I’m expecting an up-and-down game. Air Force did tattoo UNLV at home awhile ago but beyond that the Falcons have played the sorriest collection of fringe D-I teams you can find. Norfolk State, Prairie View A&M, Radford, and Mississippi Valley State have all fell victim to mighty Air Force. Road team is 11-3 ATS in this series, the dog is 12-4 ATS, Air Force outscores teams by just two points per game on the year, and CSU gets outscored by just five points per this season. Also, the Falcons are getting over 70 percent of the action but the line hasn't moved. Could be an indicator.
1-Unit Play. Take Ball State (+2) over Northern Illinois
We're playing the line movement in this one. Nearly 85 percent of all action in this game is going on NIU but we've actually seen a reverse line movement as the number has dropped from -3.0 at the open. Ball State is a better shooting team from the field and from the free throw line and they've taken the last two in this series. They are 5-2 ATS in the series and NIU is 4-12 ATS as a home favorite.
I also have a solid (1-Unit) lean on New Mexico (-5) over Utah tonight.
Greg Shaker
double-dime bet Creighton / Drake Over 133.5
Analysis Drake Bulldogs at Creighton Bluejays - Over 133.5 Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Note: These two teams play very different styles of play but they both do 2 things very well. They both have outstanding offensive efficiency and they both play oustanding defense. So that should cancel out everything right? Perhaps so, and perhaps not. Trend-wise we they are butting heads as well with all 7 Creighton home games over OVER the posted mark, 10-3 OVER this year regardless of where they play, Drake 5-1 Under on the road, and 11-2 Under in all games. It looks like, based on these facts, that we should leave this one alone. But there are plenty of reasons to believe that we will see enough scoring activity to push this one over. Certainly one of those is the fact that we have a much lower total line than we would normally have for a Home Bluejay contest. That is because of the Bulldogs being dubbed an Under team. These two squads have played a lot of slow scoring games when they have played, but all of them have been on the Bulldog's Floor. Here in Creighton we have seen 135, 151, 149, 145, and 147 over the last 5 years and those games also had a posted total in the mid to high 130's. The Bluejays control the pace here and that is just a simple fact. They do not want to get into the halfcourt type play that Drake brings to the table and they are going to push the action in order to avoid that. They have the shooting capacity to score often and they have done so at 47.5% here at home and right at 40% from beyond the arc. They have proven that they can make a team play their style as they did with slow paced Ark Little, Nebraska and Indiana State. This is the biggest game to date for the Jays as they absolutely must win to keep pace with the visitors and a highly motivated team tonight should be clicking on all cylanders. These teams rebound very well, they also shoot free throws very well. We should see a lot of physical board crashing tonight and more than our share of free throw attempts. That is going to help our cause and so is the fact that we are likely to see a close enough affair to give us some bonus Free Shots toward the end. These two will play at Drake later this year but this is a Bluejay Game and we will see the Bluejay style of play tonight. That is going to give us what we want.
Special K Comp
KENTUCKY +5
Big Al McMordie's Comp
Northern Illinois -3
Mr. A's
Sacramento Kings -5½
Johnny Guild
Phoenix Suns (29-12) at Milwaukee Bucks (16-25)
The Suns go for their fourth straight win and have taken seven of the last eight against the Bucks. The last time these teams met on January 12 at US Airways Center, Phoenix grabbed a 122-114 victory over Milwaukee. Expect the Bucks to step up on offense tonight at the Bradley Center to stay with the high power Suns. Phoenix is averaging 110 points per game and the total has gone over in 7 of the last 8 clashes. Take the points. The Suns are just 4-6 away from home in its last ten games, going 4-5-1 ATS. The dog has been profitable in this series. Underdog is 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Milwaukee is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings versus Phoenix.
Milwaukee Bucks + 8
Over - 214½
CBB
Wake Forest + 11½
New Mexico - 5½
GINA-SPORTS RUMBLE
New Jersey Nets (18-22) at Sacramento Kings (17-22)
The struggling Nets continue to play awful, the worst offensive team in the league. New Jersey is 0-5 both straight-up and ATS in its last 5 games and has lost eight straight and 10 of its last 11 at Sacramento. Go with the Kings. Sacramento is an ugly 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, but has covered the spread in six of their last 8 against Eastern Conference teams.
Kings - 5½
ATS Lock Club
CBB
4* Western Michigan
4* Ohio State
3* Kentucky
ATS Financial
CBB
3* Clemson
3* New Mexico
Rocketman Sports
Play On: 3* Creighton -5.5
Creighton is 31-16 ATS against conference opponents the last 3 years. Creighton is 19-8 ATS last 3 years and 5-1 ATS this year in January. Creighton is 5-1 ATS this year after a conference game. Creighton is scoring 81.8 points per game at home this year. Creighton is allowing only 62.6 points per game overall this year and 63.8 points per game at home this season. Creighton is 4-0 SU and ATS overall vs Drake last 3 years. Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games. Bluejays are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. Bluejays are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Bluejays are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Bluejays are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Bluejays are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games overall. Bluejays are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bluejays are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 vs. Missouri Valley. Favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings. We'll play Creighton for 3 units tonight!
Pac Star
Kentucky +5
Mike Rose
Illinois / Ohio St. UNDER 126
JB Sports
Milwaukee Bucks +8
Ethan Law
Opinion: Illinois +6.5
Bob Balfe
Sacramento Kings -5.5