THE MOOSE'S NHL "TOTAL OF THE MONTH" NO BRAINER
Detroit Red Wings vs. Los Angeles Kings - Detroit's defence has been solid all year but has been slumping of late allowing 3.6 goals/game in their last 5. Wings 8-1 over in their last 9 games vs. Pacific division opponents. The Kings have been horrible defensively all season have played over the total in 9 of their 10 overall. The over is a profitable 13-3-1 in the Kings last 17 home games played. Look for a high scoring affair tonight. Play the Over.
Black Magic Sports
NCAA Basketball:
5 Unit Black Magic CBB Dog of the Week on Colorado State +9
Colorado State is the play tonight as the strongest underdog Tuesday. Air Force has no chance of winning this game by double-digits, let alone winning the game at all. With just 1 returning starter this year, Air Force isn’t the same dominant team they were a year ago. Colorado State is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings at Air Force. Colorado State is 6-2 ATS in their eight lined road games this season. Colorado State is 7-1 ATS as an underdog this season. Air Force is 6-15 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 season. Cash in with Colorado State as the underdog.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Drake +5.5
The Drake Bulldogs are 16-1 on the season and own the MVC’s best record after beating Illinois State last Saturday. Creighton used to be the powerhouse in this conference, but that is no longer and it’s time for the Bulldogs to put the Blue Jays in their place tonight. Drake is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Drake is 7-1 ATS versus good defensive teams allowing less than 64 points a game this season. Cash in with Drake as the underdog.
NBA:
3 Unit Sharp Play on Sacramento Kings -6
The Sacramento Kings go for their 4th victory in their last 5 games. The Kings have beaten the Mavs, Pacers and Pistons over the last week, each game being the underdog. The Kings have their 3 best players at full strength with Mike Bibby, Kevin Martin and Ron Artest playing inspired basketball to try and make a playoff push as we near the All-Star break. The New Jersey Nets are 0-5 straight up and ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday night games. Cash in with Sacramento as the favorite.
Rocketman Sports
Play On: 3* Creighton -5.5
Creighton is 31-16 ATS against conference opponents the last 3 years. Creighton is 19-8 ATS last 3 years and 5-1 ATS this year in January. Creighton is 5-1 ATS this year after a conference game. Creighton is scoring 81.8 points per game at home this year. Creighton is allowing only 62.6 points per game overall this year and 63.8 points per game at home this season. Creighton is 4-0 SU and ATS overall vs Drake last 3 years. Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games. Bluejays are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. Bluejays are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Bluejays are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Bluejays are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Bluejays are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games overall. Bluejays are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bluejays are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 vs. Missouri Valley. Favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings. We'll play Creighton for 3 units tonight
Sebass 10* New Mexico
10* Clemson
10*Kentucky 1st half
20*Wisconsin
WAYNE ROOT
Chairman - Clemson
Millionaire - New Mexico
Money Maker - Kentucky
Matty O'Shea NBA Sides Double-Dime Bet
SAC -5.5 vs NJN
Analysis: The Nets are starting to fall apart on this West Coast road trip, which means you will likely start hearing Jason Kidd's name in trade rumors again over the next month. They have dropped their last 5 games both SU & ATS by an average of nearly 16 points, including the first 2 games of this trip against the Clippers and Suns. Meanwhile, the Kings are starting to come together with their full lineup intact at home for the first time this season. Mike Bibby is back running the show for Sacramento and is expected to make his first start after coming off the bench the last 3 games. The Kings are 8-2 ATS this season when playing on one day of rest, and they return home after closing out a 3-game road trip with wins at Detroit and Indiana. Look for them to return to early-season form at home - where they covered their first 7 games - and bet Sacramento as my Double Dime NBA Mismatch Play O' the Week.
Frank Rosenthal
NBA
504 KINGS-5
COLLEGE HOOPS
506 WISKEY-17
UNDER 128.5
509 WAKE FOREST+12
513 CREIGHTON+6
518 KY+5
UNDER 148.5
Dr. Bob
Tuesday College Opinions/Possible Best Bet
Wake Forest (+11 ½) over CLEMSON
Wake Forest is coming off an impressive 74-57 win over Florida State and the Demon Deacons apply to a solid 166-83-2 ATS big road underdog momentum situation. My ratings favor Clemson by 12 points and I’d prefer not to give up any line value. I’ll lean with Wake Forest at +11 ½ or +11 points and I’ll take Wake Forest in a 2-Star Best Bet at +12 points or more and for 3-Stars at +13 or more.
Tennessee (-4 ½) over KENTUCKY
Kentucky looks like they could be getting a bit better, as a home win over a pretty good Vanderbilt team was followed a close loss a Miss State and an overtime loss at Florida. However, Tennessee is as good as any team in the nation and that’s with star player Chris Lofton in a season long shooting slump (34.5% FG and 33.8% 3-pointers). If Lofton starts to play like he’s played the last 3 years (47.5% FG and 43.8% 3-pointers) then Tennessee could become the best team in the nation. My ratings favor Tennessee by 6.2 points even after factoring in the normal letdown for road favorites and it’s certainly possible that the Vols won’t let down against tonight’s inferior foe because of Kentucky’s tradition of being a good team. Tennessee is a 55% play at -4 ½ points if the line should be 6 points and I’ll lean with the Vols tonight based on the line value and the match-up of their pressure defense (forcing 21 turnovers per game) against the Wildcats’ sloppy ball-handling (17 turnover per game).
INDIAN COWBOY
Nets/Kings Over 201.5 (POD)
Promo: Winning 15 of 21 Days in January (71%), 16 of 22 days (73%) and 19 of 25 POD Winners (71%) with a 15-6 (71%) POD Run in January doing 1 POD per day. Still the only handicapper in America with over a 60% clip in Basketball 2007 with over 160 plays registered.I have said time and time again for roughly 4 weeks that when indeed the Kings get healthy, they will go on an ATS run similar to what the Warriors did. I explained this in detail in the blog today in detail:
If you read this blog every day, there should be little to no surprise given how much I love the Kings given the return of their starters and the likelihood of an ATS run. I have commented relentlessly on the fact that if indeed the Kings get healthy, similar to when Stephen Jackson came back for the Warriors, I stated that this team will go on a ridiculous ATS run. When Jackson came back, I believe the Warriors went on to cover nearly 10 games in a row as they desperately were looking to get back into the Western Conference playoff picture after losing around 6 to 8 ballgames in a row. Well, the Kings are the same way looking to get back into the playoff mix. Having said that, the Nets do have revenge as the Kings won outright on the road at New Jersey earlier this year, a game that I called outright for the Kings successfully. The Nets however have lost their last 5 ballgames and consequently their last 5 covers as well. I typically do not favor the over in Nets ballgames but after their terrible performance on the road against the Suns, I wouldn't be surprised if the Nets have a better showing today and this game goes over - after all, the Kings dropped 100 at Detroit and typically they score about 8 points better at home. I have this game pegged more for the over and wouldn't be surprised if the Nets ATS slide continues.
The bottom line here is I do expect the Nets to have a better showing today as after all, they have revenge and come off 5 straight losses and a terrible road game in Phoenix. Thus, they should do better against Sac and likely top a 100 points and considering that scored 100 and 110 in Detroit and Indiana, I certainly expect them to score over a 100 points today in ARCO - a stadium where they were scoring a 100 points a game when they didn't have Bibby, Artest and even Kevin Martin. I wouldn't be surprised if the Kings cover as well, but I do like the over as well. The over is 6-1 between these 2 teams in Sacramento and the over is 5-0 in Sac's last 5 home ballgames.
Tennessee -4.5
Folks, Tennessee is getting no respect with this line. Irrelevant if they cover this spread or not, they should be getting far more respect given their splits and results thus far this year. Make no mistake about it, the Vols are good this year and frankly, I think good enough to win it all. I have said this repeatedly, I think Wildcats are terrible this year and it will take some time for this team to get better under Billy, they will be decent eventually, but once again, it will take some time. I can't explain this play better than I did today in my research blog:
I love the SEC and am looking forward to this game but was surprised to see the line - is Kentucky really getting this much respect because they beat Vandy at home? They sure are. If they had not beaten Vandy at home, make no mistake about it, this team would have been dogged by 8 points for this game but because their last home game was a success and the fact they come off 2 road losses in conference play, the line is where it is today. Regardless, what do the Vols need to do get some respect? I personally have them winning by roughly 9 points in this game as I love Bruce Pearl in an ATS standpoint as he is not afraid to lay the wood on teams in conference. [Here me closely, Bruce Pearl is your Steve Spurrier of College Basketball. I'll say it again, Bruce Pearl is your Steve Spurrier of college basketball. This man took his team into South Carolina and pounded them by a score of 80-56 (24 points). This team beat a top 25 Xavier team by a greater margin than the spread today and Kentucky is no top 25 team. Kentucky could play spirited basketball today but I wouldn't be surprised if the Vols pull away in the second half and hit the cover today. I do dislike the fact that 2/3rds of the public is on the Vols.
I'll take public fav here as the numbers are far too appealing as the Vols were a public fav at South Carolina and won by essentially 30 points and I think they do well here on the road today again. The Vols are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and the Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 ballgames against teams that have a winning % of over 60% - meaning that they do not step up to the plate against the better teams in the league and they have inflated lines typically because of the name "Kentucky" - as compared to what their true performance has been this year.
Drake +5.5
As I said on the research thread today, if I ever find a team that I believe can win a game outright by above 30% and they are catching 5 points or more, I will take the dog without a doubt. This is the basis of my handicapping and what I firmly stand on and frankly, has led to the success that I have had for 4 years in handicapping college basketball. If I believe an underdog can win outright, such as Weber State the other day, I will take that dog as well as the points. I have Drake as a top 20 team in the power rankings and I they have revenge from last year's tight loss to conference foe and rival Creighton. Drake has proven their worth on the road so far as they have lost just 1 game this year - their first game - which was a road game against St. Mary's who is a top 20 power ranking team and have won against the likes of Iowa, Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Bradley and Wichita State on the road this year. Now, they face a Creighton team that is very good, but a top 50 team that has yet to beat a top 50 team all year. Granted, they could lose this cover by free throws late, but I will take my chances here with Drake as they are 6-0 ATS against teams that have a winning % better than 60% meaning that they are undervalued and show up against the "better" teams in the nation and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 ballgames overall.
Pure Profit
Money Move...Nets OVER
Consensus...Milwaukee Bucks
High Roller...Western Michigan
BeatYourBookie.com
NCAA Basketball
100* Play Wisconsin (-17) over Michigan
50* Play Drake (+6) over Creighton
NBA Basketball
50* Play Sacramento (-6) over New Jersey