Atslocks.com
10 UNITS- SPURS/SONICS UNDER 194
8 UNITS- OHIO ST/PENN ST UNDER 126.5
8 UNITS- OHIO U -10 OVER CENTRAL MICHIGAN
5 UNITS- BUFFALO +4 OVER WESTERN MICHIGAN
KM Computer plays
Austin Peay Under 155.5
Central Michigan Under 135.5
Colorado Under 127.5
Eastern Kentucky Under 133.5
Evansville Over 123.5
Florida State Over 131.0
Jacksonville State Under 150.5
Miami Florida Under 141.0
Missouri State Over 124.0
Ohio State Over 126.5
Samford Over 118.5
San Diego State Under 130.0
South Florida Under 145.0
Tennessee Under 154.5
Tennessee Tech Under 137.0
Va Commonwealth Over 125.5
Western Michigan Under 138.0
Sebastian/ Seabass
10* Ohio St
10* V.Tech
10* G. Mason
20* Miami
10* S.A. Spurs
10* Edmonton
Seabass Insider Play
100* Ohio U
Net Prophet
NBA
Washington/Toronto OVER 192
Houston -3 over Golden State
CBB
VCU +4 over GEORGE MASON
Dave Malinsky
GAME: San Antonio Spurs @ Seattle SuperSonics
4* SEATTLE over SAN ANTONIO
In today’s edition of Rim Shots we noted the continuing issues of San Antonio when playing back-to-back nights – the run is now at 22-34 ATS over the last 3+ seasons, including 2-6 this time around (you might seen a 1-7 from other sources, but we credit a cover for an overtime loss at Golden State because they did make the price in regulation). Part of the reason for that is that without a day to prepare for the opponent the magic of the Gregg Popovich game plans gets taken away. But even more is the fact that they are the Spurs, and no matter how poorly they show in any category, the oddsmakers do not have to adjust much – there will always be takers to back them.
We do not see this as a spot in which that pattern turns around. This setting is now three games in four nights; four in seven; and five in nine; with a court change every time. Off of a showdown at Utah last night, and with a nationally-televised setting at Phoenix on Thursday, there is also nothing about this matchup to create any special spark. It is a classic “win and move on” spot for a team that will indeed covet the ‘W’, but lack the physical energy to get much more than that.
Do not underestimate Seattle when it comes to physical energy. Yes, the Sonics are on a 14-game losing streak. But some of that is mitigated by injuries that kept several key cogs out of the lineup, and note that since both Chris Wilcox and Luke Ridnour were able to return there have been point blank losses at home to the Lakers in overtime, and to the Rockets and Kings by just two points. We will call for a similar result here – Seattle may not have the moxie to win this game outright, but with a deeper and fresher rotation the Sonics push a tired team to the very max.
John Ryan
Game: Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils
Prediction:3* New Jersey Devils
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the New Jersey Devils. This is a rare play in it?s own right by simply being a prohibitive favorite. 85% of my releases this NHL season have been on DOGS and the only way to consistently make money in both the NHL and MLB is to identify dogs that win. Or, if you prefer, to identify false favorites. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 48-10 for 83% since 1997. Play against a dog against the money line revenging 2 straight close losses versus opponent by 1 goal or less and is a well rested team playing 5 or less games in 14 days. Pittsburgh is ranked 23rd in PP killing allowing opponents to score at a 19.5% clip. Note that NJ is 19-7 against the money line (+9.7 Units) against poor power play killing teams with the opposition scoring on >17.5% of chances this season. Take the Devils.
Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report
Tuesday: Play Over NBA teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in a game involving two teams which allow 45.5-47.5% from the field after 42+ games and two teams that average +/-3 rebounds per game after 42+ games 32-6 Over last 5 seasons (84.2%)
PLAY: Milwaukee / New Jersey OVER 189
INDIAN COWBOY
Knicks +9 (POD)
Automatic POD Promos: Winning 6 of 8 Days, Winning 19 of 27 days in January, Winning 20 of 28 days, 7 of 11 POD Winners, 22 of 32 POD Winners (68%) and 18-9 (67%) POD Winners in January.
No, I have not lost my mind. In fact, I like this play a fair deal. If you remember, the Knicks made a late come back and hit the backdoor the last time these 2 teams played in the Garden. Well, without Bynum, there is no reason for the Knicks to hit the backdoor here as they will likely get up for this game and be very competitive. Look, I wouldn't be surprised if the Knicks are like the Knicks off the first part of the season and get blown out - but I don't think they will and they have plenty of reason to show up here. Trust me, when the Knicks bite, they truly bite as a dog and they do well in revenge situations. I know New York is "horrible" - but this team has still won 14 games, they have covered this matchup the last 3 times they played including winning outright on the road last year as 7.5 dogs - in fact, they've won the last 2 of 3 in this matchup. The Lakers have lost 3 straight and 4 of 5 without Bynum with no inside presence and no one gave the Knicks a shot at Golden State and this team nearly won outright losing by a bucket as 10 point dogs. In fact, the Knicks have covered 6 of their last 8 and have not lost back to back ballgames straight up since 1/09 and 1/11 when they lost to Houston/Toronto. I think the Knicks fight very hard tonight and fall within the cover and I have them at a 32% chance at possibly winning outright tonight. Knicks are 4-1 ATS of late following a straight up loss, the Lakers are 1-4 ATS against a straight up losing team - meaning they are not covering big spreads and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 ballgames. The Knicks also are 4-1 ATS in L.A. as they typically "show up" to play when the lights are on in Hollywood.
Seattle/San Antonio Over 194
Do you remember the last time these 2 teams met? It was fireworks. The score was 64-64 going into halftime. Has a lot changed since then? I don't think so. The Spurs come off back to back losses and their offense has been dismal. They barely scored 90 points at Utah, a place where teams score with ease given the style of tempo Utah plays. This team scored less than 80 points at home against New Orleans and desperately needs to break out of this mini offensive slump and who better than a Seattle team that has lost 14 straight. Seattle played well in the first half against San Antonio and this team does have solid bite at home and they will look to repeat a full game of basketball rather than a half. The Spurs figured out how to score against Seattle in the second half of their last game outscoring them 52-37. I also think the Sonics will be an active dog today which works with my active dog/over principle. I think the Spurs are due for an offensive break out and the Sonics push the tempo and this game is likely to go over here. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these 2 teams in Seattle.
Raptors/Wizards Under 193
8-1-1 in the last 10 comp selections. The bottom line here is that I am going with one of my theories of wagering. The Raptors have the revenge angle today and I would not be surprised one bit if they ended up winning this game outright as this team has a sharp memory of which teams defeated them and consequently to get revenge - after all, look at their win at Boston after Boston defeated them at home - look at their blowout win against the Bucks a game that was my POD a while back after the Bucks blew them out at home. Does this mean they come into Washington and get their revenge today? Likely. However, I like the under for a couple reasons and one of them being that since I favor Toronto in this game, games in which they get revenge, they absolutely go into a slugfest and focus on their defense heavily. The Boston game was an exception, but I think this team will defend very well against Washington today. I did like the Hawks a bit today, but given the revenge angle that Phoenix has I laid off - but I do think that although this selection seems a bit odd, I think the public is wrong here and this game likely goes under. Remember the Boston vs. Washington game where the final score was 85-78 in a 189.5 total that went under? Remember when Washington lost to Houston at home 84-92 in a total that was set at 189.5? Well, I think it is the similar situation here as this will be a physical and defensive game and knowing Sam Mitchell he probably has a goal for his team to have the Wiz not to score a 100 points as they did the last time these 2 teams played. I am well aware that the over is 7-0 the last 7 times these 2 teams have met, but frankly, I still like the under as the under is 9-1 when the Wiz are home favorites and 11-2 in the last 13 home games for the Wiz.
ARMVIN SPORTS
CBB
OHIO STATE at PENN STATE Over 124.5
NHL
PITTSBURGH 172
NY RANGERS at CAROLINA Over 5.5
BUFFALO at TAMPA BAY Under 6.5
NBA
Best Bet!
ATLANTA 9
Larry Ness' 20* Revenge Game of the Month
Va Commonwealth vs George Mason
Promotion: George Mason made its "miracle run" to the Final 4 back in the 2005-06 season. The Patriots struggled for most of last year but then caught 'fire' down the stretch, and almost got back to the "Big Dance" by winning the Colonial tourney. George Mason's run was stopped by VCU in the final (won 65-59) and the Rams went on the upset Duke in the first round of the NCAAs, before losing to Pitt by just five points in the second round. VCU started just 3-3 this year and the losses of guards Walker (14.8) and Pellot-Rosa (13.3) from LY's team seemed huge. However, the Rams have since gone 12-1 (8-1 in league play), losing only at James Madison, 62-61. After guards Maynor (18.3-3.8-5.2) and Shuler (16.1-4.6), there's a huge drop-off of talent. Freshman guard Rodriquez (4.9) usually joins the starting lineup along with the 6-7 Anderson (7.7-5.2) and fellow freshman, the 6-9 Sanders (4.9-4.1). The 6-7 Fameni (6.1-4.4) is a veteran who provides excellent play off the bench. GMU is a guard-oriented team, led by Vaughan (14.5-4.7), swingman Campbell (13.2-4.6-3.4) and Smith (10.4). The 6-7 Thomas (15.8-10.0) is a 'load' inside with the 6-6 Birdsong (6.3-3.9) joining him in the starting lineup. Two freshman, guard Long (4.1) and the 6-10 Moldoveanu (3.2-2.4), add depth. The Patriots are 14-6 overall, a major improvement over LY's 18-15 mark and have gone 9-0 at home, outscoring opponents by an average of 71-53 PPG. After losing three times to VCU last season, including in the Colonial's title game, Jim Larranaga will have his team poised to win this one. Revenge works. Revenge Game of the Month 20* George Mason.
Las Vegas Insider-CBB
Florida State vs Virginia Tech
Promotion: FSU has been a "bubble" team in each of the last two years and each time, the school's "bubble has been burst," getting left out of the "Big Dance." This year, the Seminoles have nothing to worry about. They have NO chance of getting an at-large invitation and the school's only 'ticket' to the NCAA tourney is by winning the ACC tourney (fat chance!). FSU is a perimeter-based team with just one quality player inside. That's the 6-9 Echefu (11.6-7.3), who gets some help from the 6-9 Reed (4.8-4.7). FSU's been robbed of its inside depth with the season-ending injury to 7-1 freshman center Alabi and the suspension for disciplinary reasons of the 6-8 Breeden, who has since left school. Guards Douglas (14.1-2.7-3.0), Swann (12.2-3.4-3.0), Rich (12.0-4.7) and Mims (10.7-4.4) are quite a quartet but the results are just not there. FSU is 2-4 SU and ATS on the road this year and 2-4 (1-5 ATS) in ACC play. The team has played 11 "lined games" since Dec 1, going 1-10 ATS! Va Tech has been far from perfect (12-8 and 3-3 in ACC play) but HC Greenberg has just been given a contract extension and the Hokies have been formidable at home, going 7-1 (lone loss to No. 3 Duke). While the Seminoles are a perimeter team, Va Tech's strengths come from its forwards. The 6-6 Vassallo (15.7-5.2), 6-7 freshman Allen (12.8-8.1) and the 6-7 Washington (12.8-6.4) lead the way. The 6-9 Diakite (2.6-3.6) and 6-6 freshman Thompson (4.2-3.0) add depth inside. Va Tech can't match FSU's backcourt depth but Delaney (8.2-3.3 APG) and Thorns (5.2-3.1 APG) are a solid duo. Allen missed the last two games serving a suspension for bumping a referee but he's been cleared to play in this one. Va Tech won without him Saturday at Boston College and the Hokies figure to have little trouble tonight with the slumping Seminoles. Las Vegas Insider on Va Tech.
Weekly Wipeout Winner-NBA
Event: Atlanta Hawks vs Phoenix Suns
Promotion: Joe Johnson (21.6-4.3-5.4) spent three and a half seasons with Phoenix between 2002-05, helping the Suns from a lottery team to a perennial contender in the Western Conference. He asked to be traded after the 2005 playoffs and Phoenix accommodated him by sending him to the Hawks. Johnson and his Hawks lost his first trip back to Phoenix but last February, with Steve Nash sidelined for the Suns, Johnson's 32 points led Atlanta to 120-111 win. It was one of just eight home losses last season for the Suns. Winning this time around won't be easy, as the Hawks enter having dropped 10 of their last 14 games (6-8 ATS), while the Suns come in having won and covered SIX of their last seven, losing only at Minnesota (can't make that up!). The Hawks have no "true" PG with Claxton and Stoudamire out, leaving them with only journeyman Lue. Rookie Al Horford 99.0-10.) has played well at center as Pachulia has had many problems (he's just back after a team suspension). Both PF Smith (18.2-8.1) and SF Williams (16.6-5.8) have shown plenty of promise but the Hawks just do not have the overall talent-level or depth to play with a team the caliber of Phoenix. The fact that the Hawks 'clipped' the Suns earlier this year in Atlanta and won LY in Phoenix (remember, no Nash!), will only serve to give the Suns more motivation. The West is extremely competitive and now the Hornets have joined the Suns, Mavs and Spurs in the fray "at the top." Stoudemire (22.7-9.0) leads the Suns in scoring, Nash (17.6-11.9 APG) leads in assists and Marion (15.7-10.1) leads in rebounds. Barbosa (16.7), Hill (15.2-4.4-3.4) and Bell (12.5-3.6-2,2) give the Suns six players averaging 12.5 PPG or more. Hill's bothered by a bad back but if he can't go, that just means more playing time for the multi-talented Daiw (7.6-4.2-3.9). Phoenix is the highest-scoring team in the league at 109.5 PPG, but lately, head coach Mike D'Antoni has been talking about his team's defensive improvements. The Suns allowed a season-low point total in their 88-77 win over Chicago on Sunday and in winning SIX of their last seven games, are holding opponents to 98.9 PPG and 43.1 percent shooting from the field. Weekly Wipeout Winner on the Pho Suns.
Triple Crown
NBA
3* Washington -2.5
3* La Lakers under 207
CBB
5* College Basketball Game of the Month: 5* Ohio State -7.5
3* Iowa State -7.5
3* Missouri State PK
Arthur Ralph
Super Pick Toronto Raptors
900 Gold Key College Dogs
Alabama
Wichita State
Gameday
2* Buffalo,Ohio
Rocketman
3* Nets
3* Heat
3* Pistons
Dr Bob
3* Ohio State, Boston Celtics
2* Evansville
Philly-Connection..Free play
Austin Peay