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JIM FEIST

NEW JERSEY NETS / MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Take "Over"

Defense and rebounding have slipped of late for the Milwaukee Bucks, which is not surprising with all the injuries they've had to put up with. How well they are able to shore up those parts of their game will go a long way toward determining whether their playoff run will be successful. For this game, they take on an uptempo New Jersey offense run be Devin Harris that has gone 7 straight games over the total. Harris had 26 points, 14 assists in the last game, a 99-96 loss to New Orleans. Milwaukee is on a 7-3 run over the total. Look for plenty of offense, play the Nets/Bucks over the total.

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 10:22 am
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Jrtips

TORONTO vs. HOUSTON

The Houston Rockets will look to continue their dominance at home and extend a nine-game home winning streak and avoid being swept in their season series with the lowly Raptors tonight. Houston (38-22) has been outstanding at the Toyota Center this season and will look to avenge a 94-73 loss at Toronto (23-38) on Jan. 2nd. The Rockets have outscored opponents by an average of 14.5 points during the nine-game winning streak at home, where they are 24-6 on the season. Houston has jumped out to quick leads in its last three games at the Toyota Center, holding an average advantage of 8.3 points after the first period, meanwhile, the Raptors have lost their three road games since the All-Star break, allowing an average of 32.3 points in the first 12 minutes. This will be Toronto's last road game against a Western Conference team this season, and they have gone 3-11 which is the East's worst overall record against teams in the West. Tonight, Toronto faces a Houston team that has won seven of its last eight, the only loss coming from a road game in which they blew a 17-point lead in the final six minutes of a 105-102 loss to Chicago Saturday night. Ron Artest had a team-high 23 points following a 32-point effort versus the Bulls. After Tracy McGrady ended his season nearly two weeks ago having sugery on his knee, Artest is averaging 21.4 points and shooting 51.0 percent from 3-point range in his last eight games. Chris Bosh and Andrea Bargnani each had 19 points for the Raptors in the first matchup against Houston and they combined for 46 points in Toronto's 109-98 loss to Dallas on Sunday night. The Raptors were outrebounded 57-45 against dallas and will have a tough time tonight against center Yao Ming, Shane battier and Ron Artest hitting the boards tonight. Houston is the second hottest team in the NBA after the Utah Jazz and they have been unstoppable at home. They should have no problem against this Toronto team that hasn't won a game on the road since the All-star Break.TAKE HOUSTON-7 1/2

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 10:27 am
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on K-State +6

The Cowboys are rolling, having won 5 in a row, but a highly emotional win over Texas last game puts the Cowboys in a letdown spot tonight. K-State won by 21 at home last month in this matchup so I definitely see the Wildcats being in this one all the way, especially since they've been one of the best road teams in the Big 12 down the stretch, going 4-1 with their only loss coming at Mizzou. Oklahoma State is just 8-18 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons. This is a big game for both teams so we'll take the points in one that should go right down to the wire.

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 10:38 am
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Tom Freese

New Jersey vs. Milwaukee
Play: New Jersey +4

New Jersey is 10-2 ATS their last 12 games as road dogs of 4.5 or less points and they are 5-1 ATS off an ATS win. The Nets are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games vs. losing teams and they are 12-3 ATS after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Milwaukee is 16-31 ATS their last 47 games vs. Atlantic Division teams and they are 3-9-1 ATS off a straight up win. The Bucks are 1-11 ATS their last 12 meetings with the Nets including 1-5 ATS their last 6 home games with the Nets. PLAY ON NEW JERSEY +

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 10:38 am
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Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Grizzlies Lakers UNDER 207.5

We'll play on the Under with a Home team where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more. This system is 70-38 since 1996. Memphis has gone under in 7 of its last and the Lakers have gone under in 4 of their last 5. Bet the Under here.

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 10:38 am
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Craig Trapp

Cincinnati vs. South Florida
Play: Cincinnati -3

Big game for the bubble team Cincinnati Bearcats. South Florida only has 8 wins on the year and are under 500 at home. Only big win this year came at home against Marquette. SF is shorthanded tonight and will have to play really well to win. Cincinnati is -3.5 road favorite in this match up. Check out recent trends for this game:

Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.

Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

Craig is going to take the team with all the motivation and a must win for the Cats and if they blow out USF will even help them more. SCORE CIN 74 - USF 60

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 10:39 am
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Dave Price

1 Unit on Iowa +1.5

The Hawkeyes are 12-3 at home this season and have really been playing solid basketball down the stretch. Ohio State is just 3-6 in true road games and will have a tough time in Iowa City tonight. Iowa is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games, beating Michigan and taking Purdue, Michigan State, and Northwestern down to the wire. Iowa is a perfect 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. Iowa lost at Ohio State by just 3 points earlier this season and that swings things in our favor here as well as the Hawks are 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons. The Buckeyes were absolutely crushed at Purdue and history tells us they won't be back up for this one as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Take Iowa.

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 10:39 am
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Dwayne Bryant

Florida State at Duke
Bet:Florida State +12

This is a tough spot for the Blue Devils. Duke is coming off four straight wins and three straight covers. Duke got revenge at home over Wake three games ago. Then they traveled to Maryland and closed well to hold off the very determined and revenge-minded Terps. In their last game, Duke held off the revenge-minded Hokies in Blacksburg.

What does Duke have on deck? Only a GINORMOUS revenge game with North Carolina. Remember, UNC embarrassed the Blue Devils on their home floor in front of a national TV audience, 101-87, on 2/11/09.

Considering that Duke beat these Seminoles in Tallahassee already this season, I have to think Duke will be looking ahead to that Sunday revenge match with the Tar Heels in Chapel Hill.

From a series perspective, FSU is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including a PERFECT 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Duke. FSU's last two trips to Cameron resulted in a 68-67 upset win as 8.5-point dogs and a 97-96 OT loss as 15-point dogs.

Considering FSU's success at Cameron and Duke's look-ahead situation, I feel confident taking the dozen with Florida State tonight.

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 11:33 am
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Frank Jordan

Rutgers vs. Syracuse
Play: Syracuse -15.5

Rutgers has played 15 Big East games has just one win and are 10-19 over all. Syracuse is 21-8 and has cracked the top 25 ranking. Look for Syracuse, who has won 15 of 18 games at home, to crush Rutgers just like they did in their first meeting back in January. Play Syracuse

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 11:35 am
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ALEX SMART

Denver Nuggets @ Detroit Pistons
PICK: Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets Chauncey Billups returns to Motown venue, that was previously his home before a shocking early season trade sent him packing to the Rocky Mountains. Billups is one of the all time fan favorites to ever suit up in a Pistons uniform, as is evident on Motor City Hoops blogs and boards. Look for a huge ovation by the Motor City faithful, and for Billups to feed off of this and lead his team to a big time performance.

Here is a quote: "I'm sure it will be emotional," Billups said. "I had a lot of great years there. I'm sure it's always going to be my home away from home. It will be pretty emotional, but it will be a lot of fun."

With the home town Pistons off an emotional back to back road wins, against the Orlando Magic and the defending NBA champion, Boston Celtics last time out, a let down performance tonight could easily be on the agenda.

I know the Nuggets have lost 11 straight trips SU to Auburn Hills, but that was than and this is now. With the Nuggets , getting points , I look for the road team to move to 5-1 ATS in the L/6 overall meetings and for the Pistons to move to 0-6 ATS in their L/6 at home vs a winning opponent.

Projected score: Denver 95 Detroit 93

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 11:36 am
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Greg Shaker

Alabama / Auburn Over 143.5

Interesting Trends for this contest with Auburn Playing Under the Mark at 9-2 when they travel and Bama on the other end of the spectrum at 9-4 OVER at home. But this game is less about Trends and more about what is happening right now with the Tide and what is happening in this series most recently. These two squads have played OVER the mark the last 4 times they have met, and in doing so, they have averaged 164 points on 116 shots per contest. They have also played those games in a very physical way and we have seen many shots from the free throw line. We saw 49 of those in the first game this year and that helped push that contest to 156 total points. These two squads do not in any way like each other. Have you ever heard of the Auburn/Alabama Rivalry? It happens with Hoops as well. This physical style of play is going to be our friend tonight. What is also going to be our friend is a #75 and #65 Raw Pace Ranking by these two squads as well as a Top 100 Offensive Efficiency for both. In addition to all of this, Alabama is playing their best offensive basketball of the season with 90, 88, and 87 points in their last 3 times on the court. Let's No-Brainer this one and play it up to 147. PLAY OVER.

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 11:38 am
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DUNKEL

New Jersey at Milwaukee
The Bucks look to build on their 4-1 ATS record at home when the total is between 205 and 209 1/2 points. Milwaukee is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Bucks favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-3).

Game 701-702: Phoenix at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.534; Orlando 124.292
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 7; 224 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 8; 231
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+8); Under

Game 703-704: Chicago at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.941; Charlotte 119.576
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 1 1/2; 190 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 3; 192
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3); Under

Game 705-706: Denver at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 116.428; Detroit 122.387
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 6; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 189
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3); Over

Game 707-708: New Jersey at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 113.363; Milwaukee 119.678
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3; 205
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-3); Over

Game 709-710: Golden State at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 118.074; Minnesota 114.940
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 3; 235
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 229
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-1); Over

Game 711-712: Toronto at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 117.846; Houston 125.284
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 7 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+8 1/2); Under

Game 713-714: Indiana at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.426; Sacramento 112.626
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 214
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2 1/2); Over

Game 715-716: Memphis at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 109.653; LA Lakers 125.868
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 16; 204
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 15 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-15 1/2); Under

NCAAB

Richmond at Charlotte
The Spiders come in with a 10-2 ATS record as an underdog and face a Charlotte team that is just 3-7 ATS as a favorite. Richmond is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the 49ers favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+5 1/2).

Game 717-718: Richmond at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 59.796; Charlotte 61.991
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 2
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+5 1/2)

Game 721-722: Ohio State at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 67.778; Iowa 63.172
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-1 1/2)

Game 723-724: Virginia at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 62.886; Clemson 76.494
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 15
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+15)

Game 727-728: Cincinnati at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 64.270; South Florida 60.505
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3)

Game 729-730: Michigan State at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 70.987; Indiana 58.834
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 12
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+14)

Game 731-732: Kansas State at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 68.346; Oklahoma State 68.388
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+5 1/2)

Game 733-734: Georgetown at St. John's
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 66.245; St. John's 61.878
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 6
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+6)

Game 735-736: Florida State at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 66.505; Duke 76.059
Dunkel Line: Duke by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+11 1/2)

Game 739-740: Wake Forest at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 68.752; Maryland 70.658
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+1 1/2)

Game 741-742: Utah at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 67.505; New Mexico 70.195
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+4 1/2)

Game 743-744: Auburn at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 64.952; Alabama 70.528
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 1
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-1)

Game 745-746: Rutgers at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 56.743; Syracuse 76.721
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 20
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-15 1/2)

Game 747-748: Detroit at Cleveland State
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 47.077; Cleveland State 66.542
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 17
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-17)

Game 749-750: Illinois-Chicago at Youngstown State
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 57.630; Youngstown State 57.617
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+2 1/2)

Game 751-752: Valparaiso at Wright State
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 51.928; Wright State 62.074
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 10
Vegas Line: Wright State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-9 1/2)

Game 753-754: Loyola-Chicago at WI-Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 51.358; WI-Milwaukee 60.838
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 7
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (-7)

Game 755-756: Weber State at Montana State
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 57.231; Montana State 50.878
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-3 1/2)

Game 757-758: Eastern Kentucky at Morehead State
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 55.524; Morehead State 55.940
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+3 1/2)

Game 759-760: Tennessee Tech at Tennessee Martin
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 47.355; Tennessee Martin 57.181
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Martin by 10
Vegas Line: Tennessee Martin by 11
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+11)

Game 761-762: Eastern Illinois at Austin Peay
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 44.394; Austin Peay 54.453
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 10
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+10 1/2)

Game 763-764: Tennessee State at Murray State
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 48.444; Murray State 58.395
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 10
Vegas Line: Murray State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+11)

NHL

Calgary at Ottawa
The Senators (23-38 SU) look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is just 4-8 against teams with losing records in the second half of the season. Ottawa is the underdog pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+125).

Game 1-2: Los Angeles at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 10.889; Columbus 11.891
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-165); Under

Game 3-4: Philadelphia at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.414; Boston 11.114
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+145); Over

Game 5-6: Florida at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.753; Atlanta 12.660
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Over

Game 7-8: Carolina at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.215; Washington 11.914
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-210); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-210); Over

Game 9-10: New Jersey at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.455; Toronto 12.046
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-165); Under

Game 11-12: Calgary at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.542; Ottawa 12.032
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+125); Under

Game 13-14: Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.734; Tampa Bay 12.197
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-175); 6
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Over

Game 15-16: Edmonton at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.169; Nashville 10.763
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+125); Under

Game 17-18: Anaheim at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.286; Chicago 12.834
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-180); Over

Game 19-20: Detroit at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.287; St. Louis 12.026
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+150); Under

Game 21-22: Minnesota at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.175; Vancouver 12.837
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-170); Under

Game 23-24: Dallas at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.795; San Jose 11.648
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-260); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+220); Over

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 11:56 am
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Black Widow

1* on Austin Peay -10.5

Austin Peay is one of the best teams in the Ohio Valley, but they’ve suffered many bad breaks this season. This is our choice to win this tournament as the Governors cruise to victory tonight to get off to a solid start. Austin Peay is 13-5 SU and 10-7 ATS in Ohio Valley games this year. E. Illinois is just 8-10 SU and 7-10 ATS in conference play. Worse yet, Eastern Illinois is 3-12 SU and 5-8 ATS on the road this season. Eastern Illinois has no momentum heading into this game, going 1-6 SU in their last 7 games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 lined games overall. Austin Peay, on the other hand, has momentum after finishing the season 2-0 and winning their final two games by double-digits. Austin Peay is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in six meetings with E. Illinois over the last 3 seasons. This is one team the Governors have owned and we don’t see that changing tonight considering it’s do or die for the Governors. E. Illinois is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 or more since 1997. Take Austin Peay and lay the points.

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 12:08 pm
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Sports Wager Newsletter

OKLAHOMA STATE -5 Over Kansas State

The Cowboys of the Big Twelve Conference under their Head Coach Travis Ford are 19-9 Straight Up, and 10-11-1 Against The Spread on the season. They look to be in good shape to return to the NCAA Tourney for the first time in four seasons. The Cowboys have been taking no prisoners lately, and should play hard on their Home court this evening. Positive trends include 5-0 SU and ATS recently, 5-0 SU in this match up at Home, 9-3 ATS as Favorites, and 14-9 ATS as Home Favorites in this point range. This should be a great one to watch on National TV tonight.

The Wildcats enter this Conference match up under their second year Head Coach Frank Martin with a record of 20-9 SU, and 9-11-1 ATS on the year. They too are looking to gain a berth in March Madness, and every game is a must win. The Wildcats are 9-2 SU lately, and must be respected. Negative trends include 0-8 ATS in games they lose SU, 2-5 ATS versus good Offensive teams, and 13-18 ATS on the Road.

The line overnited at Cowboys -5. We'll go with the Home Cowboys to cover for us here tonight.

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 12:24 pm
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Jeff Benton

Came up short with Baylor last night in the freebie department. Still, I’m 4-2 with complimentary selections over the last six days, and we’ll look to improve on that Tuesday by backing New Mexico at home against Utah in Mountain West Conference play.

This is a very cheap price to be laying with the Lobos, who are 14-2 as a host this season, including 6-0 against Mountain West foes, proving once again that the Pit is one of the toughest places in the nation for visiting opponents. Just how dominant has New Mexico been in league home games? Consider the margins of victory: 14 (TCU), 26 (San Diego State), 4 (UNLV in overtime), 29 (New Mexico), 18 (Colorado State) and 19 (BYU). Yep, five double-digit blowouts in six games!

Granted, the Lobos are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games … BUT they were an underdog (at BYU) in one of those contests and a big favorite in three others (8½, 14½ and 12½ points). In the other two games, they covered easily versus SDSU and came up just short as a five-point favorite in the four-point overtime win over UNLV.

As for Utah, it came crashing back down to earth Saturday at archrival BYU, losing 63-50 as a six-point road underdog to end an eight-game winning streak (6-2 ATS). During that winning streak, the one team that came closest to upending the Utes was … New Mexico, which went to Salt Lake on Jan. 31 and fell 69-68, covering as a five-point road underdog.

The last three meetings have been decided by a total of four points (one in overtime), and while Utah won two of those games, New Mexico is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 against the Utes overall and 5-2 in the last seven meetings in The Pit. Lastly, the Lobos are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games as a home chalk and 5-1 in their last six as a favorite of less than seven points, while the Utes have failed to cash in five of their last six as a road pup. Utah has the talent to keep this close for a half, but look for the Lobos and their crowd to take over in the final 20 minutes as the home team posts a comfortable win and cover.

5♦ NEW MEXICO

 
Posted : March 3, 2009 12:26 pm
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