Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
9000* MEGA NBA BLOWOUT WINNER
Portland -11.5
Spec K
20* Wake Forest
ATS Sports Club
NHL Ice-Melter Winners
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Rangers under 5.5
Chicago Blackhawks -125
Eddie Mush
4* Kansas -4
4* Kings +17
6* Hawks +2
6* Pitt -3.5
6* Wizards +9
6* St. John's +16
12* Wake Forest +1.5
ATS Financial
4* Richmond
3* Wake
3* Fla St
Dr Bob
Opinions
Wednesday NBA Opinion
Sacramento (+17) over BOSTON
The Kings played well in Cleveland last night, a 7 point loss as a 13 ½ point dog, and that close loss actually sets up Sacramento in a very good 82-22 ATS road underdog situation tonight. Boston has been on a roll at home lately, but the Kings are 5-0 ATS as a dog of more than 13 points this season and the situation is very good. The problem is that I make the fair line on this game at 18 points and I’m not going to give up a full point of line value to make the play. I will lean with the Kings in a strong situation and I’d take Sacramento in a 2-Star Best Bet at +18 points or more.
Wednesday College Opinions
WAKE FOREST (+2) over Duke
Duke is the new #1 and there is a good chance that they’ll drop from that spot after this game. Wake Forest has had a full week to prepare for this game since their upset loss to Virginia Tech when they were the #1 ranked team and I expect the Demon Deacons to play very well. Wake Forest is a veteran team (all 5 starters returned from last year’s team) that certainly won’t be intimidated considering they beat Duke here last season 86-73 as a 9 point underdog and beat North Carolina a few weeks ago on this floor. The Demon Deacons are 12-2 ATS in all games under coach Dino Gaudio when facing a team with a win percentage above .750 while Duke is just 27-39-1 ATS as a road favorite against a team with a win percentage of greater than .650 (0-2 this season), including 11-25 ATS if the Blue Devils are coming off a game in which they won and covered the spread (which they are). Wake Forest also applies to a 56-29-2 ATS bounce-back situation that plays on good teams at home that lost their previous game as a conference favorite of more than 10 points. I’ll lean with the Demon Deacons at the current number and I would take Wake Forest in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more.
BRADLEY (-6) over Wichita State
Bradley has been considerably better at home under coach Jim Les (56-32-4 ATS) than they have been on the road (41-46 ATS) and the Braves have been especially good at home against mediocre and bad teams – going 33-11 ATS hosting teams with a win percentage of .600 or less. That record is even better when Les has a decent team to work with, as Bradley is 21-3 ATS hosting .600 or less teams when the Braves have a winning record. Wichita State is just 9-18-1 ATS in conference games in two seasons under coach Gregg Marshall (3-6 ATS this season) and my ratings favor Bradley by 6 ½ points in this game. I’ll lean with the Braves at -6 or less and I’ll take Bradley in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 or less
Thanks Blade for getting Kelso's plays. He hit all three and all 4 of his parlays. $$$$$$$
Your welcome, hope you played all of them. ;D
Yankee Capper
NBA
3 Units - New York Knicks -2
3 Units - Boston Celtics -17
2 Units - Golden State Warriors +7
2 Units - Minnesota Timberwolves +1
NHL
3 Units - Chicago Blackhawks -130
3 Units - Buffalo Sabres +155
3 Units - Nashville Predators +160
NCAA
5 Units - Duke -1.5
4 Units - Syracuse +2
4 Units - Pittsburgh -3
3 Units - Louisville -17
3 Units - Connecticut -13.5
Ferringo
5.5-Unit Play. Take #571 Ohio (-4) over Central Michigan (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 28)
Note: This is our Game of the Month.
I know that this may seem like an odd place to make a stand, but I think that this game is a mismatch and that the actual outcome will be closer to 11. If you break down the MAC this year you have the East and the West, and those two divisions might as well be two different leagues. Ohio hails from the East and is currently No. 3 in a gauntlet of a division. The two lowest ranked teams in that division are Kent State (No. 140), who went to the NCAA Tournament last year, and Bowling Green (No. 187) which played Ohio State and Minnesota to the wire on the road this year. Those are the two weakest teams. In the West, the two BEST teams are Western Michigan (No. 181) and Ball State (No. 236). So, again, the best of the West still isn't really better than the worst in the East. But that's just for starters. If we compare these two teams in terms of overall statistical power ranking we're looking at No. 117 vs. No. 272. In terms of offense, it's No. 131 vs. No. 266. In terms of defense it is No. 124 vs. No. 257. And in terms of strength of schedule it is No. 95 vs. No. 233. So, when you look at those numbers it appears that our team is TWICE as strong as the opponent and that they've proven themselves against significantly stronger competition. We also have an edge in shooting, free throws, defense, and turnovers, as well as an experience edge.
Further, if we look at teams ranked between No. 225 and No. 290 - teams in the same range as CMU - Ohio is 4-0 with an average margin of victory of 16.5 points per game. CMU, on the other hand, is 5-12 SU on the season but only one of their wins came against a team ranked higher than No. 230 - and that was a win over Wright State when Wright was missing four of its top eight players. CMU has recent home losses to Detroit (No. 263) by 12 and to WMU by 9. Ohio has a bit of a spotty road record (2-6 on the year) but other than a slip up at Delaware they don't have any bad road losses. All of their L's have come against teams ranked No. 144 or higher and they actually have a solid road win over Miami, OH. I think it's safe to say that Miami, OH is twice the team that Central Michigan is as well. But this just goes back to what I said before about how Ohio has performed much better against significantly better competition.
Also, we have Ohio coming off a tough loss to gritty Bowling Green. The Bobcats shot just 13-for-48 in that game for their worst output of the season. But that also came against the No. 37 defense in the country. The Chips are ranked No. 247 and the Bobcats should feel like they've just been let out of prison after grinding with Bowling Green for 40 minutes. CMU, on the other hand, is a terrible shooting team (41.2 percent, No. 266 in the country) and they are coming off just their second game this year in which they shot over 50 percent. After their first forray over 50 they came back down to earth quickly, hitting just 36 percent their next time out in a 14-point loss to pathetic Toledo. So we have Ohio, desperate and angry after losing two of three and not shooting well last time out, matched up against a CMU team that has won two of three against terrible competition and shooting around 10 points higher than their season average. I see things coming back to the center and I see Ohio having a strong offensive night.
On the court, we're backing the best player on the floor in Jerome Tillman. Tillman averages nearly 20 points per game this year and is probably one of the two best players in the conference. He's a senior on a team that starts three of them and he will get this team back on track tonight. CMU doesn't have anyone that can stop him. And if the Chips try to put Marcus Van on him he gets in foul trouble then CMU will lose one of its only post options. The Bobcats have an array of scoring options and should be able to work their offense against a weaker, less athletic CMU defense. And if they build a lead they are one of the top free throw shooting teams in the country at 72 percent, so we shouldn't have to worry about our side coughing one up in the last five minutes. Again, I see this as a double-digit game and I think we have the much stronger team. I think the MAC East is going to devour the West and by the end of their crossover games you won't be able to find one of these lines at less than eight points.
Finally, Ohio has absolutely dominated this series lately. They have won six straight and covered in six of seven. They have also won and covered in eight of 10 matchups and they own the all-time series 43-21. All but one of those wins were by double digits and the last eight Ohio victories have been by an average of 16.9 points per game.
3-Unit Play. Take #542 Bowling Green (-6.5) over Ball State (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 28)
This is another MAC East vs. West game and I think when Ball State goes on the road they are going to start feeling the effects of not having Anthony Newell. BSU has played a bit above itself since losing its star player and the tough defense of BG should completely frustrate and confuse them all night tonight. Without Newell the Cards won't have a place to go with the ball. They are also significantly outmanned underneath. And if Bowling Green controls the paint then this one should hit double-digits in terms of scoring differential.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #538 South Carolina (-6.5) over Vanderbilt (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 28)
Vanderbilt has looked as bad as any team in the country over the last week and now they are on the road against a high-flying South Carolina team. Confidence has to be a big issue for Vandy right now and if they couldn't throw the ball in the ocean on their home court I don't expect them to go on the road and find their shooting touch. USC has bodies to throw at Andrew Ogilvy, who has looked very frustrated, and South Carolina has a large edge in terms of guard play. They should speed Vandy up the same way that Florida and Tennessee were able to and more possessions will only magnify the offensive problems of the 'Dores.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #577 UTEP (+5.5) over Houston (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 28)
I liked this setup for the Miners even before Aubrey Coleman, Houston's second-leading scorer, was suspended. Houston is coming off a bizarre OT loss at Arizona over the weekend and might not come out as sharp as they otherwise would have for this in-state rivalry game. UTEP is a really talented team and they have played, and beaten, teams much better than the Cougars. UTEP has a load of experience and they play better as a unit, and I like them to win this game outright. They took two of three from UH last year and that was a much better Houston team, in my estimation. Those three games were decided by an average of 4.8 points so we're even below that threshold this time around, and the underdog has covered four straight in this series. Houston won the first meeting a couple weeks ago, but that gives the Miners more motivation. Also, the suspended Coleman had 24 huge points in that game (one-quarter of his team's total offense) and he won't be available tonight.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #597 Connecticut (-13.5) over DePaul (9 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 28)
DePaul is just awful. Not really much more to say. Connecticut will dominate the interior. And if the Blue Demons are forced to knock down outside shots all night this one is going to get real ugly real quick. UConn beat Seton Hall by 15, St. John's by 12, and Rutgers by 31, so they can take care of the Big East bottom feeders. They are finally getting some guard play and I think that makes them an even tougher matchup as they start to peak.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #599 Missouri (-4) over Kansas State (9 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 28)
The Tigers are the best team in the country that no one is talking about right now. They have played well through a brutal schedule and they have been devastating lately. They have won four straight by margins of 45, 31, 2, and 9. And in that two-point win at Oklahoma State (who is much better than K-State) the Tigers were up 22 in the second half. K-State beat Mizzou by 37 points in Manhattan last year. I think the Tigers - who were really shorthanded then - will remember and not call off the dogs at all this time around. K-State is just 2-12 ATS in Big 12 play lately.
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #563 South Florida (+22.5) over Louisville (7 p.m.) AND Take #579 LSU (+12.5) over Tennessee (8 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #553 Pittsburgh (-3.5) over Villanova (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 28)
Villanova maybe could win this game - but I highly doubt it. The Wildcats are one of the most overrated teams in the country simply because they have not played many tough foes this year. If you throw out a win over Rhode Island, which has an inflated ranking of No. 59, then Villanova has just one win over the Top 80, and that was against Temple. Nova lost to Marquette by 5, to Louisville by 1, to UConn by 6 and to Texas by 9. Those are their four games against top competition and they have lost all of them. And it can be argued that Pitt is better than all four of those teams. The Panthers are tough and 'Nova doesn't have anyone to matchup with Sam Young or DeJuan Blair. I would normally stay away from Pitt off such a big rivalry win (over WVU), but I decided to pull the trigger not based on any stats but just based on the fact that Pitt has guys that can guard 'Nova's best player (Scottie Reynolds) but the Wildcats don't have anyone that can matchup with Blair or Young.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #536 James Madison (-1) over Old Dominion (7 p.m.)
Old Dominion was beaten on their home court the last time these two met and I think it's more of the same this time around. JMU is still being underrated in their conference, but this team is legit. Matt Brady's system has taken root and this overrated ODU team is going down tonight. Madison has the better offense, the better defense, the home court, and the fact that ODU hasn't beaten a team inside the Top 240 since the second week of December all working in its favor. Madison wins, and wins big, tonight.
EXECUTIVE
350% Providence -1'
250% J.Madison -1
250% Illinois St +2'
ATS Sports Club
NCAA Total Winner
Houston Cougars vs. UTEP Miners over 156
Great Lakes
5* Wash
3* Det
4* Duke
4* Pitt
3* Wis-Milw
Scott Spreitzer
3* Atlanta
4'* So Fla
4* Mo
3* C Fla
3* Kan
Alatex
15* Prov.
K State
Wake
Temple
UAB Under
Mike Neri
All 3*
Providence -2
James Madison -1
West Virginia -17.5
Wisconsin Milwaukee -5
Southern Illinois -6
Maddux Sports
3 units on Minnesota +1
3 units on SMU +12.5
3 units on Wake Forest +1.5
3 units on Northern Illinois +17.5
3 units on Southern Illinois -6.5
Smart Money
OVER Syracuse
OVER Milwaukee
JB Sports
3* New Orleans
3* Det
2* Ind
1* Dallas
Dr Bob
James Madison (pk) 3-Stars at -1 or better, 2-Stars up to -2.
West Virginia (-17) 2-Stars at -18 or less, 3-Stars at -16 or less.
South Florida (+17) 2-Stars at +16 or more, 3-Stars at +18.
Southern Illinois (-6) 3-Stars at -7 or less, 2-Stars at -7 1/2.
Florida State (+11 1/2) 3-Stars at +9 or more, 2-Stars down to +8.
Tenn-Chattanooga (+10 1/2) 2-Stars at +10 or more, 3-Stars at +11 or more.
Primetime Sports Advisors
2 units Wake Forest +2
1 unit Houston Rockets -5
Sports Unlimited
7* Texas El Paso +5'
5* Illinois-Chicago +6'
Stu Feiner
500 High Roller Club Pick on Mizzouri
100 Dime Play- Wake Forest
100 Dime play- Pitt
Teddy June
Wake Forest
Pittsburgh
Teddy Covers
Wake Forest
Chris James Sports
3* Portland Trailblazers -9.5
2* Michigan +4
2* Wisconsin Milwaukee -5
GOLD SHEET
1* Pistons Over
1* West Virginia
1* Wake Forest
1* Wisconsin Milwaukee
1* Texas El Paso
Ben Burns
Providence
Grizzlies Under
Washington
Underdog
St Joes
RAS
LSU Under
Hofstra Over
Drexel Over
Jeffersonsports
Duke -2
Temple Over 147
Andrew Powers Guaranteed Selections
INSIDE INFO COLLEGE HOOPS POWER PLAY WINNER
Texas A&M -8.5
INSIDE INFO NBA POWER PLAY WINNER
Indiana -5.5
Steve Merril
Davidson vs. Tennessee Chat
Davidson has become a very public team and because of this fact they often face inflated lines. It also ensures a focused effort from their opponents and that should be the case tonight as Davidson fits a negative 37-79 ATS Class-A favorite letdown situation. Tennessee Chattanooga is coming off a tough 86-85 overtime road loss at Elon on Saturday, but the Mocs are still a solid 5-1 SU in their past six games and they qualify in a strong 98-54 ATS bounce-back situation which plays on double-digit underdogs that are coming off a SU favorite loss. Chattanooga matches up well versus Davidson and almost won outright as a 23-point road underdog in the earlier meeting this season on December 13th. Tennessee Chat held a 44-40 halftime lead and only lost 100-95 in the game as the Mocs outshot Davidson 51% to 45% from the field and there was nothing misleading as the Mocs dominated down low with a 60% to 49% edge from two-point range.
Play CHATTANOOGA (+) as a 1 unit play.
Kansas vs. Nebraska
Nebraska remains an underrated team this season and they present solid value as a home underdog tonight on their strong home court where they stand 11-2 SU this season where they have outshot their opponents 48.6% to 41.7% from the floor and won by an average margin of +15.2 points per game. Nebraska plays a slow-down, half-court style that is likely to frustrate a young Kansas squad that prefers to play at a fast pace. The Jayhawks have also struggled on the road this season versus quality teams with outright losses at Arizona and Michigan State by 17 and 13 point margins. Nebraska qualifies in a strong 89-49 ATS defensive home underdog situation tonight as they allow just 57.8 points per game and only 41.5% FG (versus opponents that average 68.7 ppg and 44.3%). The Cornhuskers will also be extra focused after back-to-back SU losses in their past two games. Both scores were a bit misleading as Nebraska led outright in the second half at Oklahoma before an eventual 72-61 loss, and then the Cornhuskers lost in overtime, 76-74, versus Oklahoma State.
Play NEBRASKA (+) as a 1 unit play.
Georgetown vs. Cincinnati
Georgetown will be in a focused mood tonight as they enter this game off three straight losses and quality teams usually bounce-back in this situation and Georgetown fits a 55-29 ATS situation based on that premise. The Hoyas have struggled this season against Class-A opponents with losses versus Tennessee, Pittsburgh, Duke, West Virginia, but in general the Hoyas have dominated weaker teams. Cincinnati is one of the weakest teams in the Big East this season and they already lost by 9 points at home versus Connecticut this season which is the same UConn team that Georgetown beat outright 74-63 on the road this season. The Hoyas 6-1 SU this season as a favorite of 6 points or more and they hold a substantial offensive edge in this game as they shoot 47.3% FG (versus opponents that allow just 41.5%), while Cincinnati averages just 42.4% FG (versus opponents that allow 42.2%). This offensive edge was evident last year when Georgetown dominated Cincinnati 73-53 and outshot the Bearcats 48% to 36% from the field.
Play GEORGETOWN (-) as a 1 unit play.
Dr Bond
10* Det/Minn Over 188
Sports Bank
500 Old Dominion
SCORE
400 TEXAS AM
300 Duke
300 LSU