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(@blade)
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Raging Bull

Soccer:

UEFA Champions League:

Juventus/Chelsea under 2.5

Bayern Munich pk -140 (2 way betting, where a draw is a push)

CONCACAF Champions League:

UNAM Pumas/Cruz Azul over 2.5

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 9:17 am
(@blade)
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Maddux Sports

Basketball

3 units on Orlando -2
3 units on Milwaukee +7

3 units on Saint Louis -1
3 units on Rutgers +14.5
3 units on Tennessee -8.5

Today's Free Pick is South Carolina -1

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 9:18 am
(@blade)
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The Soccer Expert

Hofstra at Georgia St over 123

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 9:19 am
(@badzo)
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Raging Bull

Soccer:

UEFA Champions League:

Juventus/Chelsea under 2.5

Bayern Munich pk -140 (2 way betting, where a draw is a push)

CONCACAF Champions League:

UNAM Pumas/Cruz Azul over 2.5

Again, I don't know how well this service is doing, and I'm just giving my personal non-expert opinion. With that said, I don't like either of these bets in UEFA CL.

Given, it's always solid play to go under with italian teams playing away games (especially if it's involving a return game - their philosophy is draw away - don't concede, win at home) because they will most likely try to slow down the tempo and kill the flow of the match. It might be a little different today as Hiddink (new coach) is playing his second proper game with the team. He has been at Chelsea only about week and a half, but he's a "run 'n' gun" kinda coach (ala D'antoni) and is preaching attacking mentality and a looot of running (Russian team in Euro 2008 ie). He's also playing with Drogba and Anelka on top, two big targets and very good attackers, but most often not used together in Chelsea as they leave the midfield more vulnerable and weaker (essentially playing 4-4-2 rather than 4-5-1 which has five players in the middle).
Juve is not to be counted off as a side which can't score with players like Amauri, Del Piero (very dangerous in freekick situations) up front and now there will be more space for attacking midfielders Nedved, Camoranesi.

-200 u2.5 is not a bet I'd like to take valuewise even if it can be good
+150 o2.5 is good value, but given the teams and the way they can play, I don't like this one either

Pinnacle has o/u2 @-106 and -102

Hard to think Bayern can lose outright, but they've gone 1-3 since their league started (the second part) and they lost 1-2 four days ago...at home in front of 69.000...to a side that has -5 goal difference on 21 games (gfa 24, gaa 29). They have huge names (internationals all over), but there's been nagging and whining within the club, there are always very big expectations and players have team owners and managers tell them they have to win, pretty much before every single game. Massive pressure that's even bigger now since they failed to qual after group stage last year, something that was considered a large failure. These are pro players, but they def get affected and given their bad form last weeks, they might not have greatest confidence today.
Sporting is a solid portugese side, they play classic southern-euro style with flair and good technical skills, they have won their latest 4 games (first of those was a cup game vs big rivals Porto - don't know how regular the teams were), with latest being against rival Benfica 3-2. Huge game so their confidence is on top, form as well. They have good names in brasilian international, defender Polga, portugese intern., mf Moutinho, russian intern. mf Izmailov - considered one of the best russian players - very fast, Rochemback, Postiga, Liedson all very high quality players, with several more in the lineup. This team is not to be taken lightly.
Bayern may come out little weary and Sporting could take advantage of it, but also to take into account that Bayern might simply play for a draw here, and even losing 1-0 is a decent result for a home return.

Other two games, if (big if) Villarreal are back to its form then they should take this one. Forward Nihat might come back after being injured alot and that could be a big boost. edit big oops Panathinaikos can prove to be little tricky, they won both their heavier away games @Werder (3-0) and @Inter (1-0) in this competition (they won both of those away games, not lost...sorry)
Villarreal is missing its 2 reg defenders, but they're getting back the third one who's been injured for 10 days, so their defense might be out of synch. They can score goals, and so can Pana.

o2.5 +125
o2 and 2.5 +102 (pinnacle) might be worth a try as it seems to be an open game.

Real Madrid looks like a nice bet, but whether Gerrard (midfield motor, skipper, heart and soul of this team) plays or not is not yet clear (game time dec or strategy). Torres is also a former Atl Madrid player (big city rivals) so I would expect Reals defense to give him very little room to work on.
Real M has great form and has, since their last loss to Barcelona mid december, 9 straight wins, scoring 2.5 gpg...and conciding only 2...that's 2 goals in 9 games.
Pool has had 5 draws in last 8 games, 2 wins, 1 loss and there are rumors of their coach Benitez being fired, injured players chasing late fitness, out of form, not scoring enough and coming to an 80.000 packed Santiago Bernabeu with Real Madrid in high form...that's like going to Utah Jazz these days.

+106 is a good value
+550 for Sergio Ramos (defender) to score a goal is a fun prop (he might sneak in on freekicks and corners and is good in the air).

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:35 pm
(@blade)
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Thanks for the input badzo nice to have someone here who follows Soccer and isn't afraid to voice their opinion.

😉

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:38 pm
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Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Indiana (+4.5) over Northwestern (NCAA Power Play)

Northwestern
• 5-14 ATS when playing on a Wednesday
• 5-13 ATS after having lost 2 of the last 3 games
• 0-9 SU vs. Indiana on the road

10* Take Milwaukee (+7.5) over Dallas (NBA Power Play)

Milwaukee
• 22-9 ATS after scoring 120 points or more since 1996
• 5-0 ATS vs. Dallas over the last 3 seasons

Bonus Pays

5* Take James Madison (+2.5) over VCU (NCAA)

5* Take Pittsburgh (-285) over NY Islanders (NHL)

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:39 pm
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Winning Angle

Play James Madison (+2.5) over VCU* (Top NCAA Play)

James Madison has covered the spread in 7 consecutive games and they have also covered the spread in 11 of the last 15 games as an underdog. James Madison has covered the spread 10 of the last 12 games coming off an OVER the total.

Play Maryland (+6) over Duke* (Bonus NCAA Play)

Maryland has covered the spread in 16 of the last 20 games when playing in the month of February and they have also covered the spread in 14 of the last 18 home games after covering the spread in four of the last five games.

NBA Hoops
Play Minnesota (+7) over Utah (NBA Top Play)

NHL
Play San Jose (+120) over Detroit* (NHL Bonus Play)

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:39 pm
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Beat Your Bookie

50000* Play UNLV (+4.5) over Utah (NCAA)
(NCAA GOY II)

UNLV is 15-3 ATS in road games when the total is between 130 and 139.5
points
UNLV is 14-3 ATS coming off a conference win by 3 points or less
UNLV is 4-0 ATS as a road underdog this season
UNLV is 6-1 SU vs. Utah over the last 3 seasons

100* Play South Florida (+7) over Seton Hall (NCAA)

Seton Hall is 6-22 ATS in home games coming off an UNDER the total
Seton Hall is 2-10 ATS coming off a road loss the last 2 seasons
Seton Hall is 3-12 ATS in home games after playing as an underdog

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:40 pm
(@badzo)
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Glad I can give something back the way you earned it. Lets hope I'm also good at this picking sides thingy ;D

Good luck with all your plays guys, off to watch 24 and make some bets.

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:42 pm
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John Ryan

Pick: Money Line: San Jose Sharks +117

Ai Simulator 10* graded play on San Jose as they travel to face Detroit in a big marquee showdown of elite teams. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 22-18 making 14 units since 2003 with the average play a +145.7 DOG. Play against home teams against the money line with a poor starting goalie posting a save percentage of <= 89.5 of shots against him and is a hot offensive team with 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal. Here is a second system that has gone 66-55 making 36.8 units since 2003 with the average play a +139.1 DOG. Play against any team against the money line that is a very good team outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game in the 2nd half of the season and after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. Here is a third system that has gone 265-292 for just 48% winners, but has made 53.2 units since 2003. Play against home favorites of -200 or less against the money line that is an explosive offensive team scoring 3+ goals/game on the season and after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored. San Jose is a strong 16-3 against the money line (+10.4 Units) against poor starting goalies saving <= 89.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is just 2-5 against the money line (-8.6 Units) against mistake free teams opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year this season. AiS also projects that San Jose has a 92% probability of attempting between 27 and 31 shots on goal. Note that they are 15-2 making 11.2 units this season when they get 27 to 31 shots on goal. Take San Jose.

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:45 pm
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Dr. Canada

Kings/Flyers over 6

Islanders/Penguins over 6

Sharks/Red Wings over 6

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:46 pm
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RON RAYMOND

5* Detroit Red Wings -140

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:46 pm
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Brandon Lang

20-Dime Hofstra

5-Dime James Madison

5-Dime Marquette

FREE - Central Florida

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:47 pm
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NSA

20* Connecticut +1
10* Dayton +6.5
10* Rutgers/Notre Dame OVER 144
10* Kentucky +1
10* Virginia Tech +11
10* Orlando -2

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 12:50 pm
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Vernon Croy

NBA Slam Dunk

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Dallas Mavericks
Play:Milwaukee +7

20 Units, Take Milwaukee ATS, We are getting solid line value here tonight with the Bucks who face a Mavericks team that just lost by 17 points on the road against the Spurs last night. The Bucks have struggled on the road this season but they are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games against a team that has a home wining record greater than .600 like the Mavericks who are 9-8 SU at home this season. Milwaukee is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a Southwest division opponent and Dallas is just 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games against a Central division opponent. The Bucks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing with 2 days rest and the Mavericks are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on back to back days. The Bucks are averaging 108.2 ppg over their last 5 games and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against the Mavericks. The dog is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 games between the Bucks and Mavericks and I look for the Bucks to keep this game close tonight on the road against a team they beat by 34 points back on January.21. Take the Milwaukee Bucks as my NBA Slam Dunk for Wednesday night as I look to bounce back after losing my only play last night with the Detroit Pistons.

NHL Smash

San Jose Sharks vs. Detroit Red Wings
Play: San Jose +116

20 Units, Take San Jose ML, We are getting solid value here tonight with the Sharks and this pick falls into one of my top NHL systems. Detroit is just 2-5 in their last 7 games against a team that has a winning record greater than .600 like the Sharks who are 41-8-9 this season including 15-6-6 on the road. The Red Wings have dropped 3 of their last 5 games and they have struggled defensively with opponents averaging 3.6 goals per game against them over those 5 games. Detroit has struggled killing penalties at home this season with opponents converting 22.5% of their chances with the extra man against them and the Sharks powerplay has been solid on the road converting at 26.4% this season. The Sharks opponents are averaging just 2.2 goals per game against them over their last 5 games and the Sharks come into this game red hot having won 4 straight games. Detroit is very tough at home but I will take the hot Sharks as my NHL Smash for Wednesday night.

NHL Bookie Buster

New York Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Play: New York Rangers -131

20 Units, Take the New York Rangers ML, The Rangers are the better overall team here Wednesday night and I look for them to avenge their recent home loss to the Leafs. The Rangers are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 road games when favored by -110 to -150 and they are 10-1 in their last 11 road games when favored. The Leafs are just 1-7 in their last 8 games after a win and they are just 3-13 in their last 16 games when playing with 2 days rest. The Leafs are just 7-22 in their last 29 home games against a team with a losing road record and their opponents are averaging 3.4 goals per game against them at home this season. The Rangers have been very good at killing penalties this season with opponents converting just 13.2% against them on the powerplay and the Leafs penalty kill has been terrible at home with opponents converting 27.9% of their chances with the extra man against them. With the Rangers Head Coach fired I look for this team to have a fire lit under them tonight. Take the NY Rangers as my NHL Bookie Buster for Wednesday night.

 
Posted : February 25, 2009 1:32 pm
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