Ron Raymond
Red Wings/Avalanche Over
5* Pacers / Trailblazers Over 208
RAS
George Washington/Massachusetts Over 140.5 1.00 UNIT
Marquette/Pittsburgh Under 146.5 1.00 UNIT
VERNON CROY
NBA Smash
Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz
Play: Utah -8.5
20 Units, Take Utah ATS, Last night I had the Raptors ATS and SU against Houston and they let me down in just the 2nd quarter but tonight Houston faces a very good Utah team on 0 days rest. The Rockets are just 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after covering the spread in their previous game and they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Jazz are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when favored by -5.0 to -10.5 points and they are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against the Rockets. Take Utah as my NBA Smash for Wednesday night.
I gotta run a errand for work guys be back in about 30 minutes so if you see something post if not hold tight.
I gotta run a errand for work guys be back in about 30 minutes so if you see something post if not hold tight.
Hurry up! Do you expect me to make my own decisions??? 😉
Dr Bob
2 Star Selection
**Oklahoma (+4 ½) over MISSOURI
The line on this game is fair if you weight all games for both teams equally (and exclude the 2 games in which Oklahoma star Blake Griffin didn’t play from start to end), but Missouri built up their rating by playing relatively better against bad teams than they have against good teams while Oklahoma is just the opposite. Oklahoma is 26-1 straight up with Griffin healthy, as they lost at Texas when he was injured in the first half of that game and lost their next game at home to Kansas when he didn’t play at all. The Sooners have let up against lesser teams, going just 3-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite, but they are 11-2 ATS with Griffin when not favored by 10 points or more (7-0 straight up and 6-0-1 ATS from -5 to dog). Missouri, meanwhile, is 10-3 ATS favored by 6 points or more and just 4-5 straight up and 3-6 ATS when not favored by at least 6 points. Most of those games have been away from home but the Tigers also didn’t cover in their only home game against a good team, beating Kansas by just 2 points as a 4 ½ point favorite. If I only include games against quality teams for each team then I would make this game a pick and Missouri’s 65-90 loss at Kansas on Sunday sets the Tigers up in a negative 49-118-7 ATS situation tonight. I’ll take Oklahoma in a 2-Star Best Bet at +4 points or more and for 3-Stars at +5 or more.
2 Star Selection
**Florida International (+5 ½) over UL LAFAYETTE
Florida International had more than their fair share of injuries to key players this season, but the Panthers are healthy now, playing well, and underrated. FIU played their first 14 games without leading scorer Alex Galindo, their first 20 games without #3 scorer and top assist man Josue Soto, 10 games without #2 scorer, top rebounder and their best overall player Freddy Asprilla, and 14 games without 7 foot center Russell Hicks. All 4 of those players have been playing lately, but the two keys to the team are Galindo and Asprilla and the Panther are 6-4 straight up and 7-3 ATS when they both play – compared to 6-15 straight up and 5-12 ATS when one or the other is not playing. Asprilla was out when UL Lafayette beat the Panthers 90-73 at home on February 5th and that outcome had more to do with random 3-point shooting variance than anything else. ULL has made just 32% of their 3-pointers while allowing 36% 3-pointers this season while FIU has both made and allowed 35% from long range. Even after factoring in the home court edge for Lafayette the 3-point shooting still should have been slightly in Florida International’s favor in that game, but the Panthers made a randomly bad 4 of 21 3-point shots while Lafayette made a randomly good 14 of 30 from beyond the arc. That’s a huge difference that was mostly random, so there is no doubt that FIU can win this game with Asprilla in the lineup and with the 3-point shooting of both teams being closer to expected levels. My ratings favor UL Lafayette by just 3 ½ points and FIU applies to a 42-13 ATS conference tournament revenge situation. I’ll take Florida International in a 2-Star Best Bet at +5 points or more and for 3-Stars at +6 or more.
NBA Opinions
Rotation #502 – 4:05 pm Pacific The Cavaliers’ are 20-7 ATS at home this season with their average win by 15 points and their median margin also at 15 points. Milwaukee is a few points worse than an average team without both leading scorer Michal Redd and big man Andew Bogut, so favoring Cleveland by only 13 points in this game is a mistake by the oddsmakers. The fact that the Bucks played last night makes it even more likely this will be a blowout, as unrested teams have had chance at Cleveland this season. The Cavs are a perfect 6-0 ATS against teams that played the previous night with their average win by 23 points and their 3 games hosting unrested losing teams resulted in wins of 35 points over Oklahoma City, by 36 points over the Knicks and by 30 points over Charlotte. My ratings favor the Cavaliers by 16 points and I’ll lean with Cleveland minus the points.
DALLAS (-3) over San Antonio
Dallas has lost their last 2 meetings with the Spurs and the Mavericks apply to a very good 43-9-1 ATS subset of a 92-43-2 ATS home revenge situation tonight. Unfortunately, my ratings favor Dallas by just 2 points with Manu Ginobili out for the Spurs and the line has gone from -1 to -3. I’ll lean with the Mavs at -3 or less and I’d take Dallas in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or less.
College Opinions
George Washington (+6 ½) over MASSACUSETTS
George Washington has always performed better in conference play under coach Karl Hobbs (79-56-3 ATS) than they have in early season non-conference games (25-31-2 ATS) and this season has been no different (1-5-1 ATS non-conference, 8-4-2 ATS conference). The Colonials are coming off a couple of wins and they apply to a solid 133-76-1 ATS momentum situation that is 56-15-1 ATS when applying to underdogs. U Mass has been an under-performing team under first year coach Derek Kellogg and the Minutemen are just 4-12-1 ATS when not getting at least 5 points. I’ll lean with Colonials at +6 and I’d take George Washington in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more.
NEBRASKA (-9 ½) over Iowa State
Nebraska has been much better at home under coach Doc Sadler (19-13 ATS) than they have been on the road (9-21-1 ATS) and the Cornhuskers apply to a solid 80-28-8 ATS last home game revenge situation tonight. My ratings only favor Nebraska by 9 points, and I’ll just lean with the Cornhuskers.
LSU (-9) over Vanderbilt
As has been his pattern throughout his coaching career, LSU’s Trent Johnson has his team playing much better in conference play than he had them playing early in the season. Johnson’s teams at Nevada, Stanford, and now LSU are just 57-54-2 ATS in non-conference games and a very profitable 102-65-6 ATS in conference play – including 51-18-3 ATS when not favored by 10 points or more against conference foes with a win percentage of less than .640 (2-1 so far with LSU). My ratings favor LSU by 12 ½ points if Bo Spencer plays, but Spencer is questionable with an injured wrist and the Tigers are 0-2 ATS without him this season (he missed recent games against Ole’ Miss and Arkansas). I’ll lean with LSU at -9 ½ or less even if Spencer doesn’t play and I’d take LSU as a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 or less if Spencer is upgraded to probable before tip-off.
Indian Cowboy
5 Unit Play. #566. Take Missouri -4 over Oklahoma (Wednesday @ 9pm est). Let's ride our perfect 5* CBB GOM streak by taking Missouri minus the points over the Sooners today. In December we cashed with Cleveland State +13 as the GOM over Syracuse, in January we cashed with Illinois big over Indiana as they routed them at home, in February we cashed with Rider over Loyola Maryland, in fact, in January we hit two additional 5* selections by taking Penn State +9 over Wisconsin and Northwestern +1 over Wisconsin. I say this to highlight the fact we have hit our last 5 college basketball 5* selections and I feel good about today's play with Mizzou as we have won 6 of 8 weeks in college ball as well. Mizzou comes off its worse loss of the year. But, by no means was this all of Mizzou's fault because bear in mind Kansas had massive revenge in the game prior to when Kansas essentially lost in a buzzer beater at Mizzou earlier this year. Thus, with that revenge, Kansas absolutely routed this team at home 90-65. But, let's not forget that Mizzou is the same team that is 11-3 in conference play. Mizzou is the same team that still had the gonads to defeat Kansas this year as this was Kansas's only loss in conference play to this point. Mizzou is a perfect 17-0 at home. The Tigers come off their worst loss of the year. You better believe a team that beat Kansas State by 20 at home, Nebraska by 23, Texas by 4 on the road (which not even Oklahoma could do by seeing their loss to the Longhorns at Texas), beating Iowa State at home by 31 and Cal at home by 37 certainly has the goods to defeat Oklahoma here. Oklahoma is riding high off of their win over Texas Tech - "whoopdeedoodah". Texas Tech is nothing. In fact, that game was fairly close most of the way and Oklahoma only late pulled away. They weren?t all that impressive in that win whatsoever until the waning minutes when they added some padding. Yes, they won by 15 against cupcakes - now as the Sooners to go on the road to play a Mizzou team that is just waiting to play Oklahoma after a terrible defeat on the road. Tack on the fact that I simply don't think Oklahoma is great and this showed by their five point loss to Texas on the road and the fact that I believe Mizzou matches up well with them. Add some home cooking fouls called in favor of Missouri getting to the line, Mizzou stifling Blake Griffin as don't expect his brother to have another big game, and add the fact that 65% are riding the public dog here, you have the makings for a public burial. Oklahoma is not as good as folks think they are and this team will not even make it to the Elite 8 and frankly, this team will be fortunate to even make it to the Sweet 16. I like Missouri here with great defense, coming off the worst loss of the year, at home on Senior Night on national television to win this game by covering the 4 point chalk here.
NBA
2 Units MEMPHIS
Adam Wins
Memphis Tigers
Boston College
BYU
Wisconsin
Stu Feiner
1000 Dime High Roller Club Regular Season Game of the Year
Oklahoma @ Missouri (-4')
You think this line looks fishy? Well most others who don’t do this professionally like I do seem to think so. But make no mistake this line is on and Missouri will cover this number tonight on Senior Night. Yeah the Sooners have been rolling and Blake Griffin is now back from his concussion injury, but we’re talking about a Missouri team that is a perfect 17-0 SU at home this year and winning those games by an average margin of 26.1 ppg. No team has been able to hang with Missouri’s 11-deep rotation that likes to and will be successful at pushing the tempo. The Sooners like to run, too, but aren’t as good as the athletic, slashing Tigers. It would behoove the Sooners to keep things at a slower tempo tonight, but they won’t as they like a challenge. Missouri had been on runs of 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS before missing some early layups, burying itself a huge early hole and getting blown out at Kansas Sunday. They didn’t have to use a lot of energy and seniors DeMarre Carroll and Leo Lyons will lead a relentless attack that will race past Griffin and the Sooners tonight. Big time bounce back effort from Missouri. Oklahoma will sag back and make Missouri hit from the outside, which I expect senior Matt Lawrence to do off the bench. The Tigers are a great rebounding, athletic team that hasn’t gotten its due this year. Biggest game in a long time tonight in Columbia where coach Mike Anderson and his Tigers thrive. The Sooners, 1-2 SU and 3-4 ATS slides, haven’t had to face this kind of team and environment yet this season and Missouri will win this by double digits.
MISSOURI (-4') 1000 Dime High Roller Club
MATT FARGO
MIL BUCKS
RAS
George Washington/Massachusetts Over 140.5 1.00 UNIT
Marquette/Pittsburgh Under 146.5 1.00 UNIT
Mississippi/Arkansas Over 148.5 1.00 UNIT
Executive
300% C.Michigan -7'
300% Arkansas -5
JIM FEIST
Mia FL
San Ant
ALATEX
SUPER PLAY MINNESOTA CBB
BobbyClarkeSports
Pittsburgh -10 Wager 660 to win 600
Florida -1 Wager 660 to win 600
Kansas / Texas Tech over 154.5 Wager 660 to win 600