SMTM Sports Picks
2* Oklahoma City -1
2* Detroit/Houston Over 176
2* Northwestern/Tulsa Over 119
1* Miami/Boston Over 191
BobbyClarkeSports
Northwestern / Tulsa UNDER 119.5 Wger 770 to win 700
James Madison -3.5 Wager 770 to win 700
Kansas State -7 Wager 770 to win 700
JB Sports
3* Phoenix
2* Pacers
2* Ok City
RAS
CS North/Memphis OVER 130.5 1 unit
Akr/Gonzo OVER 131.5. 1 unit
R. Morris/Mich. St OVER 129.5 1.5 units
Guaranteed Pick: Scott Spreitzer
Game: St. Johns at Richmond Mar 18 2009 7:00PM
Prediction: Richmond
Reason: I'm laying the points with the Spiders on Wednesday night. The Red Storm haven't had too much success against well-defending units and that's exactly what they're facing tonight. St. John's hit just over 41% of their shots away from home this season, including a miserable 28% from behind the arc. The struggles led to a 3-10 SU road mark (4-9 ATS). But the bad road numbers don't end there for the Johnnies. Norm Roberts' squad also turns the ball over 15 times per game on the road, compared to just 11 assists per game, and they struggle on the glass. The mistake-prone offense faces a Richmond team that has forced 16 tpg at home, five more turnovers per game than assists allowed. The Spiders' backcourt is rock-solid with Kevin Anderson and David Gonzalvez averaging a combined 32 ppg. The Spiders will bust the Johnnies' zones on one end, then disrupt the Red Storm's shooting with one-heckuva matchup zone of their own. St. John's completely collapsed against Marquette, trailing 38-10 at the half. I expect a hangover and then some for Roberts' crew tonight. St. John's covered just 8-of-20 as an underdog this season and they went 9-14 ATS against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Spiders covered at a 62% clip this season, overall. I'm laying the points with Richmond on Wednesday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Which capper seems to be the hottest right now in NBA and CBB??
Stan Sharp.
No Stan Sharp plays please
Myself at a different forum I'm 6-0 in the NHL the last five days.
Tonight I have Dallas over 5 1/2.
Anthony Redd
20 Dime Miami-FL
20 Dime Jacksonville
20 Dime Georgetown
5 Dime Illinois State
5 Dime Tennessee-Martin
Dr Cogyle
12* Stars Over 5.5
charlie
cbb. wisconsin green bay-6' & duquense @ va tech over 152. (500* 2 team parlay)
cbb. bowling green+11' (30*)
cbb. evansville-6' (20*)
cbb. florida-14' (20*)
nba. boston-6 (10*)
nba. memphis+6' (10*) free play
Helmut
CBB Wisc-Green Bay Over 147 -110 (648)
Scott Spreitzer
St. Johns at Richmond
Prediction: Richmond
The Red Storm haven't had too much success against well-defending units and that's exactly what they're facing tonight. St. John's hit just over 41% of their shots away from home this season, including a miserable 28% from behind the arc. The struggles led to a 3-10 SU road mark (4-9 ATS). But the bad road numbers don't end there for the Johnnies. Norm Roberts' squad also turns the ball over 15 times per game on the road, compared to just 11 assists per game, and they struggle on the glass. The mistake-prone offense faces a Richmond team that has forced 16 tpg at home, five more turnovers per game than assists allowed. The Spiders' backcourt is rock-solid with Kevin Anderson and David Gonzalvez averaging a combined 32 ppg. The Spiders will bust the Johnnies' zones on one end, then disrupt the Red Storm's shooting with one-heckuva matchup zone of their own. St. John's completely collapsed against Marquette, trailing 38-10 at the half. I expect a hangover and then some for Roberts' crew tonight. St. John's covered just 8-of-20 as an underdog this season and they went 9-14 ATS against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Spiders covered at a 62% clip this season, overall. I'm laying the points with Richmond on Wednesday.
Mike Lineback
Miami Heat
Craig Davis
25 Dime ---- WISC-GREEN BAY
10 Dime ---- BOISE STATE
5 Dime ---- IDAHO
WISC GREEN BAY --- Here we have a classic matchup of one team that clearly out-classes another, yet they are only laying a small number at home because of their similar records. Take nothing away from what the Catamounts have done this season, it's been impressive. But honestly, who have they beaten? The best team in their conference is Binghamton... and they couldn't even beat them. What's worse, they lost to Albany by four in their first game of the Conference tourney. And although their road record is an impressive 9-3, the best win they had away from home was a nine-point win at Albany... hardly anything to get excited about.
The Phoenix, on the other hand, has had their fair share of impressive wins, winning at Long Beach State, beating Butler by nine at home, beating Cleveland State by 15 at home, and dominating a decent UMass team by 17 at home. Notice, most of their big wins have come at home... a place they've lost just once all season. And it's not like they're not battle-tested either, having to go on the road and play Utah and Wisconsin early in the season.
The best news for the Phoenix tonight is the return of F Terry Evans, who missed the final week of regular season action and the conference tourney with a dislocated elbow. Evans has been practicing with a small brace and said he's as close to 100% as possible for tonight's game, so that's an added bonus for a roster that's already loaded with tremendous talent. WGB has the highest RPI ranking of all the remaining teams in its tourney, so their goal is not only to win tonight, but to dominate en route to the tourney title.
The Phoenix are on amazing ATS trend runs lately, having covered 4 in a row at home vs. a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600, 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven at home as favorites of less than 6.5 points, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. non-conference opponents. It's all WGB tonight boys, as they roll to a 13-point win, 79-66.
BOISE STATE --- This one is simple... Stanford has NO BUSINESS giving this many points to anyone, no matter how bad they might look on paper. Will Stanford win the game? Yeah, probably. But to expect them to beat anyone by 14 or more is absolute gambling suicide. The last team they beat by that many points was dreadful Cal State Bakersfield (8-21 record) back on February 10. Stanford is good, but they're not THAT good.
Boise State, on the other hand, is scrappy enough to hang around for 40 minutes and challenge the Cardinal till the final buzzer, but they just don't have enough to contend with Anthony Goods from the perimeter. Goods will be the difference, so Boise State's best game plan would be to let him score his points while doing their best job on the other four on the floor.
The last time the Broncos were beaten by MORE than 14 points way back on December 10 when they traveled to Provo, Utah and got whipped by BYU. The Broncs have improved since then, and I believe BYU is better than Stanford anyhow. Boise State shoots well enough from distance and from the line to keep this one close, eventually falling 80-73.
The Broncs have covered 12 of their last 17 on the road when playing a team that owns a home winning percentage higher than .600 and they've covered five of their last seven when coming off a double-digit home loss. This game will scare Cardinal fans early, but eventually Stanford will pull away for the SU win, but won't get the cover.
IDAHO --- Honestly, as I handicapped this game, the biggest factor as to why I selected the Idaho Vandals was simple... home court advantage. Both of these teams are average, at best, and played similar competition, but the Drake Bulldogs really struggled when they went on the road. Why should tonight be any different? Not only are they on the road, they're REALLY on the road having to travel to lands previously untraveled by this Iowa-based team.
Drake ended the season with an ugly 7-point loss to Indiana State in the conference tourney, and actually trailed at one point by 23 points. They just didn't finish strong enough for me to think they have a shot tonight, especially on a night when folks in Idaho have nothing else to do but go out and support their Vandals.
Idaho finished the season strong, winning six of its final eight games before bowing out in the conference tourney with an eight-point loss to Louisiana Tech. Idaho has covered seven of their last 10 following a SU loss, and tonight should be no different. IU scores eight more points per game at home than Drake does on the road and allows five points less in that same scenario. I'm telling you, home court is the difference tonight as Idaho wins it, 69-63.
MATT FARGO
8* NBA SUPREME ANNIHILATOR *22-12 RUN*
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
5* NBA DARK HORSE DANDY **64.7% RUN**
MILWAUKEE BUCKS
DAVID CHAN
4* NBA NO-DOUBT BLOWOUT **67% RUN**
LA CLIPPERS