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WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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Nick Parsons

Miami Heat

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 1:18 pm
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John Ryan

Buffalo Sabres -124

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Buffalo as they travel to face Atlanta. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 33-8 mark for 81% winners making 28.3 units since 1996. Play on road teams against the money line after 6 or more consecutive overs and is a quick starting team outscoring opponents by 0.2+ goals/game in first period. Atlanta is 6-24 against the money line (-14.5 Units) against good passing teams averaging 5 or more assists per game this season. Buffalo is 12-3 against the money line (+9.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in a win over a division rival since 1996. Take Buffalo.

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 1:18 pm
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Adam Meyer

Utep -8.5

Boston Celtics -8

Houston Rockets +2

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:08 pm
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Wayne Root

Chairman- NJ Nets
Millionaire- UTEP

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:09 pm
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Coglye

12* Atl/Buff Over

8* NJ/Pit Under

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:11 pm
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Indian Cowboy

5 Unit Play. Take UTEP -9 over Oregon State

We cashed on a nice Under yesterday in the NIT with Penn State vs. Notre Dame. For today's selection, I think we have an edge in the CBI game today. We rolled with a similar 5* in the total between Richmond/Charleston in the cbi which worked well for us and we look to do the same here. For starters, UTEP is very good at getting revenge against teams they had previously lost to. This is the Game 2 of the CBI Championship of course. Game 1 ended with Oregon State winning 75-69. I've made no secret that I like Oregon State and their coach as I beileve he is incredibly talented and unique. This guy was once a leading financial analyst, turned Brown University Head Coach, then became Oregon State's head coach, and also happens to be the brother in-law for Barack Obama. He is a talented coach and in other fields as well. UTEP will have a decent sized crowd on hand in this game, this is the only game going on in the nation for college basketball as the CBI Championship takes center stage once again and in UTEP's fairness, they were screwed a bit at Oregon State. After all, for a team that lost by 6 points, UTEP only shot 9 free throws (made 8/9 = 88.9%). Oregon State attempted 26 free throws (made 15/26 = 57.7%). UTEP is a 72% FT shooting team and Oregon State is a about 65% on the year. UTEP is the same team that beat UAB at home 70-52 and got revenge from an earlier season loss, this is the same team that beat Texas Tech at home by 18, St. Mary's on neutral floor by 13 and New Mexico on the road by 13. Oregon State struggles against high scoring teams on the road as they are not able to control the pace anymore like they do at home and I think this will hurt them in this contest. The only reason why this team did not break 70 points in Oregon State was the questionable "reffing". This team scored 79 at Nevada when they won outright, 75 against Northeastern and 81 against Richmond. I expect UTEP to have at least 20 free throw attempts in this game (compared to just 9 last game), I expect UTEP to shoot better frome the field and better than 5-18 (27.8%) from 3 point land on their hoem court, while I expect Oregon State to shoot 5-10 less free throws, shoot much worse from the field than the (60.5%) they shot at home and 8-15 (53.3%) fromt 3 point land they shot as well. In short, there are several factors that work in favor of UTEP today including revenge, better FG %, better 3 point %, more free throws at the line, a higher scoring and pace to the game, the home crowd, while Oregon State shoots worse in FG%, 3 point % and has fewer attempts from the line. THere is no guarantee in sports wagering, but this is a solid wager as any as Oregon State lost 69-79 to an Oregon team that plays at a higher pace and who is ranked top 180 - UTEP is ranked top 80. The Beavers are a Road Underdog to a tune of 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as a Dog of 7 to 12 Points and the Miners are 6-2 ATS as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points.

4 Unit Play. Take Over 203.5 between Washington Wizards @ Memphis Grizzleis

(Do some shopping on this line as I see some 203 and even a 202.5 out there, I will keep it as 203.5 for record purposes though). Another winner on the NBA Hardwood for us as we are 5-1 over the last 6 days for 5 of 6 winning days. For today's selection, let's take the Over in Memphis. If you are looking for some good ML plays, take a good look at the Heat as they should be game today or the Raptors who have been surging winning 4 in a row lately (we have rode them twice) as they are catching 10 points in Orlando. As per this over, the last time these two teams met, Memphis won 113-97 on the road as it totaled 210. The total for that game was set at 192. The oddsmakers quickly adjusted that total to 203.5 for this game. I think Washington will remember that loss and will be very game today. Remember, this team is down to its bare minimm in athletes as everyone is banged up from Dixon, to Songaila, James, Haywood, Arenas, Stevenson and Etan Thomas. Heck, this team is running Andre Blatche as its Center for the love of God as all the big men are hurt. In short, this team has to rely on its perimeter shooting if it has any shot, and I like the fact that Butler and Jamison are putting up a ton of shots here. Remember, this didn't stop the Wiz from scoring 115 at Indiana just the other day and short handed or not, with revenge, a ton of perimeter shots, I like the Wiz scoring 100 points here. Not to be out done, the Grizzlies have gone over the last 4 games at home as the game against Portland totaled (195) and I certainly believe a team like Washington who plays much less defense and looking for revenge, accounts for the additional 9 points here as an active dog. We have a nice cross current here as the over is 5-0 for the Wiz as a Small Underdog and the Over is 8-2 for the Grizz as a Small home Favorite.

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:12 pm
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Smooth44

Knockout Punch - Washington

Washington +3 -120

Washington Over 201 -120

Golden State -8 -120

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:12 pm
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Stephen Nover

Toronto +10

Both teams are playing well. But I'll take this many points with the Raptors in this situation.

Orlando is off a satisfying road victory on Monday against in-state rival Miami. The Magic host the Cavaliers on Friday. That's the game they are thinking about not this one.

The Raptors are healthy. That makes them dangerous because they have talent with Chris Bosh, Jose Calderon and Shawn Marion.

Toronto has won and covered its last four games, all at home. Can the Raptors keep it going on the road?

They are making a late push to entice free agent to be Bosh to stay in Toronto. The Raptors don't play again until Saturday. They should be able to ride their momentum with their talent, energy and catching Orlando in a look-ahead spot.

Houston at Phoenix Over 223

The Suns weren't playing any defense when they still had a chance for the playoffs.

Now that they're four games out of the final playoff spot with eight games left they really aren't going to play any defense.

Unless you consider giving up 126 points to Sacramento, like they did in their last game, playing defense.

I sure don't. The Suns will score, though. They lead the NBA in offense averaging 109 points.

The key question is how many points can the Rockets put up? They beat the Suns, 116-112, at home on March 6.

Based on offensive styles and Phoenix's utter disregard for defense, look for each team to produce at least 112 points.

Yao Ming and Shaquille O'Neal bring out the best in each other. They'll be thinking offense all the way.

The Rockets are averaging 103.7 points and shooting 49.4 percent from the floor since trading Rafer Alston and making Aaron Brooks their starting point guard 20 games ago. Before then, the Rockets were averaging 96.5 points and shooting 44.3 percent from the field.

The Rockets have become more up-tempo with Brooks at the point. They are averaging 10.6 fast-break points compared to 8.5 points when Alston ran the point.

Washington +3

The Wizards are more dangerous with Gilbert Arenas and Caron Butler in the lineup along with Antawn Jamison.

The Wizards have extra motivation for this matchup. Memphis defeated the Wizards, 113-97, at Washington in early February. The Grizzlies' O.J. Mayo made an uncontested dunk shot at the buzzer when the Wizards thought the Grizzlies were just running out the clock with such a big lead.

The Wizards felt disrespected. Washington coach Ed Tapscott also said that game was the Wizards' worst effort.

The Wizards will be up for this game. They catch Memphis returning after a four-game road trip, the last three of which have been on the West Coast. The Grizzlies beat Golden State on Monday night in their last game.

The first home game back from a long trip can often prove tricky, especially for a team as young as the Grizzlies. The start three rookies, a second-year player and third-year man Rudy Gay. The Grizzlies have lost their past six home contests, including games to lowly Sacramento and Oklahoma City.

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:16 pm
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Donnie Black

Toronto +9.5

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:19 pm
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BookieBasherSports

MAGIC -9.5

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:24 pm
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THE GOLD SHEET'S LTS (+)

COLLEGE HOOPS

UTEP (-9 1/2) over Oregon State CBI Final Game 2

NBA

ORLANDO (-9 1/2) over Toronto

CHARLOTTE (+8 1/2) over Boston-home

NEW ORLEANS at L.A. CLIPPERS "UNDER" 194.5

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:26 pm
(@theunseen)
Posts: 189
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Frankie Euro

Late Phone Lock on New Jersey

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:40 pm
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Anthony Redd

25 Dime Oregon State + 9
5 Dime Raptors + 9.5
5 Dime Bobcats + 9
5 Dime Pistons + 1.5
5 Dime Lakers - 6.5

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:48 pm
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Eddie Mush

4* Bobcats +8.5
5* Kings +8.5
6* Griz -2.5
8* Rockets +1

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:54 pm
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NSA

20* Texas El Paso -9
10* Oregon St @ Texas El Paso UNDER 134.5
10* Charlotte +9.5
10* Orlando -10
10* LA Lakers -6.5
10* Houston +1 free play

 
Posted : April 1, 2009 2:55 pm
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