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The Baseball Prophet

POD - Reds/Brewers over 9

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:00 pm
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Las Vegas Sport Picks

4* Nets/Knicks over 212
7* Wolves -7
10* Suns -10 - NBA Game of the Year

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:00 pm
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Total Sports Solution

10* Regular Plays

Cubs Run Line

Yankees under

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:02 pm
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DOC

3 Unit Pick. Take the New York Rangers +160 over Washington

The Rangers come into the playoffs after a nice turn around to their season just to get here. After firing head coach Tom Renney in late February and replacing him with John Tortorella along with additions of Nik Antropev, Sean Avery and Derek Morris this time has turned the corner some. The Capitol's who have one of the best in the game in Alex Ovechkin along with some very skilled offensive player's, but what the Cap's lack is strong goaltending, I have no faith in Jose Theodure and I think if you cornered some of the Capitols I would think they would say the same. Goaltending is huge position in the playoffs and the Rangers have a clear edge here as they have a top league goaltender in Henrik Lundqvist. The Capitol's after cruising to win their division by 11 points had a very soft schedule to close out the season since March 24 facing Toronto, Tampa Bay (Twice), New York Islanders, Buffalo, Atlanta (Twice) and Florida not exactly playoff type atmosphere's. Put in the fact that the odds maker in four games played this year with two being in Washington have listed the Cap's the biggest favorite this year tonight in the series at minus (-175) on November 8th in Washington with the Rangers playing good hockey they were a +110 dog and on January 3rd with the Rangers playing not so good they were listed at a plus 145 dog, now tonight with the Rangers playing good hockey and I would argue the best they have played all year I get another adjustment of +155 and I will take it.

2 Unit Pick. Take New York Rangers (+180) over Washington (series play)

The Rangers come into the post season winning their last three games of the season. The Rangers who at the beginning of the season were considered to be a contender for the Cup, after a quick start the team faded and management ditch their Head Coach Tom Renney, enter John Tortorella along with some additions Nik Antropov, Sean Avery and Derek Morris. Since Tortorella took over the Rangers have gone 11-7-2, that might not seem that big of improvement, but this team was a mess losing 10 of their last twelve in late February. Tortorella missed the first game after replacing Renney (2-1 loss to Toronto) and loss his debut vs. Florida (2-1) then quickly won the next three, I love the job he has done to jell the new guy's and put in his style of play. The Cap's on the other hand have one of the best in the game in Alex Ovechkin along with some very skilled offensive player's, but what the Cap's lack is strong goaltending, I have no faith in Jose Theodore and I think if you cornered some of the Capitols I would think they would say the same. Goaltending is huge position in the playoffs and the Rangers have a clear edge here as they have a top league goaltender in Henrik Lundqvist. The Capitols schedule has been soft since March 24 facing Toronto, Tampa Bay (Twice), New York Islanders, Buffalo, Atlanta (Twice) and Florida not exactly playoff type atmospheres. The Rangers look loose and very dangerous.

6 Unit Pick. Take Calgary (+140) over Chicago (series play)

I feel like there is a ton of value in this one, the season series was one side with the Blackhawks winning all four. This doesn't bother me at all, the Flames have dealt with a ton of injuries since early March and seem to be getting healthy getting Rene Bourque, Dion Phaneuf back for game one and I expect Cory Sarich, Rhett Warrener and Robyn Regehr will see time in this series. The Blackhawks on the other hand have a lot of youth and guy's making their playoff debuts. I just don't see the Blackhawks matching the physical style the Flames will bring to this series and while the Flames have some guy's who are making their for trip to the playoff's namely leading scorer Michael Cammalleri and recently acquired Olli Jokinen, these guy's are NHL veterans not kid's who have been in the league for three year's or under, not a problem the Blackhawks face with their roster. Ton of value with the Flames here, men vs. boys.

1 Unit Play. Take Vancouver (+1200) to win 2009 Stanley Cup.

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:04 pm
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Robert Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-135) over Washington
1-Unit Play. Take New York Mets (-180) over San Diego
1-Unit Play. Take New York Mets (-1.5, +110) over San Diego
1-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (-135) over Toronto
1.5-Unit Play. Take L.A. Angels (-125) over Seattle

Underdog System Plays
1-Unit Play. Take Houston (+100) over Pittsburgh
1-Unit Play. Take San Francisco (+140) over L.A. Dodgers

Today’s Totals
4-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 San Diego at New York Mets
4.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Cleveland at Kansas City
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Houston at Pittsburgh
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.0 Colorado at Chicago Cubs

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:05 pm
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BEN BURNS

Personal Favorite

I'm laying the points with MEMPHIS. In a normal situation, the Grizzlies wouldn't be favored over the Hawks, at least not by this many. This isn't a "normal" situation though. The Hawks are off a game last night and are playing their final road game of the regular season. More importantly, they're already locked into the fourth spot in the East and have absolutely nothing to play for here. On the other hand, the Grizzlies are playing their final home game (and final game overall) of the season and are motivated to close out the season with a big win for the home fans. Unlike some non-playoff teams, the Grizzlies have still been fighting down the stretch, particularly here at Memphis. In fact, they've won three of their last four games here. That includes a win over Dallas AND a double-digit blowout win against the Suns. The lone loss during that stretch was a 3-point heartbreaker vs. Portland. Overall, the Grizzlies are a profitable 7-2 ATS their last nine games. Looking back further and we find them at 23-12 ATS their last 35. I expect them to take this game more seriously than the Hawks and look for that to lead to a convincing win and cover. *Personal Favorite

NHL

I'm playing on the Canucks and Blues to finish UNDER the total. These teams faced each other four times during the regular season with three of those games finishing above the total. However, a look at the two games played here on the West Coast shows that Roberto Luongo (Vancouver's star goalie) didn't play in the first one. Luongo did play in the most recent game here and blanked the Blues, en route to a 3-0 Vancouver victory. In five home starts, as a Canuck, Luongo has never allowed the Blues to score more than two goals. Dating back to his days in Florida, Luongo has seen the UNDER go 9-5-2 his last 16 starts against St. Louis. The Canucks have seen the UNDER go 7-2 their last nine games, including 4-0 their last four. Luongo is off back to back shutouts and has allowed only one goal in his last three starts. St. Louis has a red hot goalie of its own. Indeed, Chris Mason closed out the season with a 1-0 shutout (his sixth) and has allowed just two goals in his past three games. Mason knows he's going to have to be at the top of his game if the Blues want to compete in this series and I expect him to continue his strong play. Luongo ended the regular season with a shutout streak of 145 minutes and 56 seconds. He hasn't given up a goal in more than a week. After the latest shutout, his ninth (a career high) of the season, the Canucks' star was quoted as saying: "We have to build off that. Going into the playoffs, we know there are going to be a lot of games like this that are tight and any mistake could decide the game. It's nice we have that playoff mentality already." With a pair of red hot goalies, I expect another tight low-scoring affair.

I'm playing on Washington and New York to finish UNDER the total. It's true that the Capitals were a profitable 'over' team this season. However, it's also true that the Rangers were an equally profitable 'under' team. As noted in the Pittsburgh/Philly analysis, all eight of the opening games in last year's playoffs produced five goals or less. That included a 4-1 Rangers win on opening night. Tonight's total is listed at 5.5, which I feel is generous. A look at the recent series history shows that both of this year's meetings at New York finished above the total. However, the games here at Washington were a different story, as both stayed below the total. Those games had scores of 3-1 and 2-1. Looking back further and we find that seven of the last nine meetings between the Capitals and Rangers, here at Washington, have stayed below the total. I expect those numbers to improve this evening.

I'm playing on the Penguins and Flyers to finish UNDER the total. With all due respect to Sidney Crosby and co., I believe that six is too high an over/under line for a game on the opening night of the playoffs. Looking back to last year's NHL playoffs (04/09/08 and 04/10/08) and we find that NONE of the eight opening games finished with more than five combined goals. One of those games involved the Penguins, a 4-0 Pittsburgh win over Ottawa on "Opening Night." A look at the recent series history shows that the all three of this year's meetings at Philadelphia finished above the total. However, the games here at Pittsburgh were a different story, as two of three meetings finished below the total. The most recent game between these teams here was on 3/22 and saw the Flyers come away with a 3-1 win. Including that result, the Flyers have seen the UNDER go 10-3-1 this season when playing a road game with an over/under line of 5.5. Look for this one to be lower-scoring than expected once again. *Blue Chip

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:08 pm
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Beat Your Bookie

100* Play Indiana (-8) over Milwaukee (NBA)

Milwaukee is 0-5 SU vs. Indiana on the road the last 3 seasons
Milwaukee is 3-12 SU as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points
Milwaukee is 4-11 SU vs. division opponents this season
Milwaukee is 12-28 SU in all road games this season

NHL Hockey

50* Play Vancouver (-185) over St. Louis (NHL)

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:08 pm
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Larry Girardi

Phoenix Suns -9

Roy Jackson

Cincinnati Reds +130

Adam Meyer

Miami Heat -1

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:11 pm
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Winning Way Sports

2.5 units Los Angeles Dodgers -150
Cain & Kershaw

5 units Portland Trail Blazers

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:12 pm
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C-Stars Sports

1000 Units Oklahoma City at L.A. Clippers over the total When OKLAHOMA team Played as Road team as a Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - Total is between 195 to 200 10-1 O/U in this spot.

1000 Units San Diego at NY Mets under the total When NY METS team played as a -160 to -180 home Favorite - After a non division game - 2nd game of a series 5-22 O/U in this spot.

1000 Units Philadelphia over Washington When PHILADELPHIA team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite - Playing on Wednesday - Vs. Right handed pitchers 17-4 SU in this spot.

50 Units Chi. Cubs over Colorado When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a -200 to -220 home Favorite - After a conference game - During a day game 9-2 SU in this spot.

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:13 pm
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RON RAYMOND’S 5* NHL PLAYOFF OPENING NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR!

Pick # 1 Carolina Hurricanes (125)

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:24 pm
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Thanks for the help Wieghead97

Those last two you posted were comps which go in the other thread but thanks for the help it's much appreciated.

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 12:57 pm
(@mike5150)
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Hey Blade do you have anthony redd's picks and brandon lang. Thanks

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 1:07 pm
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Maddux Sports

Hockey

3 units on NY Rangers +155
3 units on Philadelphia +140
3 units on Carolina +125

Baseball

2 units on Cincinnati +122
2 units on San Francisco +140
2 units on Texas -108

Basketball

3 units on New Jersey +4.5
3 units on Chicago -10
3 units on Milwaukee +8

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 1:12 pm
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ROOT

CC - Pittsburgh
Mill - Texas

 
Posted : April 15, 2009 1:13 pm
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