Sports Gambling Hotline
Drake (-2') at BRADLEY
Our long term free play run stands at a cool 93-63-3!
Revenge will be served tonight in Peoria, as the Braves of Bradley are most definitely in a downturn while the Bulldogs continue to impress.
Bradley enters this home game with a below .500 ledger at 8-9 straight up, and just a 5-9 mark against the spread. At home the Braves are just 1-4 against the math, and tonight they will have to face a Bulldogs team that comes in looking for triple-revenge!
Drake is off to a 14-1 start, and better still is their 9-1 mark at the ticket window, as the Bulldogs have been lining their backers pockets. One big reason the Bulldogs are rocking is the fact their top three scorers are averaging better than 46% from behind the trifecta line. When you can spread the court the way Drake can, you make it very difficult on the other team to hang in there for the full 40-minutes.
The last time Drake paid a visit on Bradley, they were waxed by 15 points last February, expect Coach Davis to remind his charges of that fact, and expect Drake to get their triple-revenge.
Play on the Bulldogs.
4* DRAKE
CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS
NBA:
PORTLAND/BOSTON OVER 179
CBB:
FLORIDA +6
DEPAUL +10.5
EZ Winners
STAR: (712) NEW JERSEY (-7.5) over New York
(Risking $110 to win $100)
We rode the Knicks last night for an easy win but I'll fade them here tonight as they should be feeling pretty good about themselves now. New York will be looking for their first three game winning steak of the season when they travel to Jersey tonight, but I don't see that happening. The Knicks will have the full attention of the Nets because New York has already beaten Jersey twice this year. This line looks pretty fat and the public is starting to gobble up those points and take New York, but lets not forget this is still the Knicks that we are taking about and this is still a team coached (thats a joke) by Isiah Thomas. The Knicks have been horrible all year so their numbers in back to back games look just as bad as their overall numbers, but New York loses by an average of 12 points per game in the second of back to backs. The Knicks are also only 3-7 against the spread in the last 10 trips to New Jersey. Its time for the Nets to pay a good game, lay the points here!
College hoops
5* Iowa State +5.5
2* Toledo -2
Ethan Law
CBB Sides
double-dime bet Iowa St. 5.5 vs Missouri
NCAA UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH!
MISSOURI (11-5) at IOWA ST (10-6)
The scheduling dynamic at play here in tonights Big-12 game between Missouri and Iowa St happens so seldom, that I deemed this play worthy of my first 2 unit play of the basketball season. The first piece of the puzzle was fulfilled when Missouri surprised then #12 ranked Texas 97- 84, sparked by a 14-2 run coming out of halftime the Tigers went on to an easy victory on their home court. Those type of wins where the home fans storm the court always grab my attention because a letdown is almost assuredly to come. Now we find the 2nd and most important piece to this little puzzle, Missouri has a game on deck Saturday at home against #3 ranked Kansas! Can you imagine those kids excitement and anticipation for the chance to knock off what may be the best team in the country, after having the confidence in knowing they can knock out a top opponent like they did last Saturday? Hence we are left with this almost too good to be true sandwich of epic proportions. Lightly regarded Iowa St has done nothing this year to garner anyones attention and Missouri will hardly be motivated or even the least bit excited to make this midweek trip to Iowa to play a game they know in their hearts they should win easily. OK, we have established the situation, now lets look at the technical facts that support this very strong play. I start with this questionwhat exactly has Missouri done on the road this season to make me believe they will not wipe the floor with the Cyclones? The answer, they have done absolutely nothing away from home to merit in any way being a 5 point road favorite. In fact they have played only 3 true road games and have lost all 3! Meanwhile, Iowa State was beaten in their conference opener by 7 points by Baylor. Oh boy! To say the public will be drawn to bet on Missouri in this game would be, to say the least, an understatement.
Iowa State coach Greg McDermott was hired away from Northern Iowa to put this basketball program back on the map. He was well known in the MVC for squeezing the most out of his players and will surely make Iowa State a perennial NCAA tourney entrant given enough time. He will have his team prepared for battle tonight as his 24-6 spread record as underdogs at Northern Iowa suggests. His old team at Northern Iowa showed the affects of missing his leadership last year as they stumbled badly down the stretch losing 9 of their last 12 despite high expectations. You get the point, he is a good coach, period. Though they have played little in the way of non conference competition, they have built up confidence at home by winning 8 of their first 10 home games. Missouri does not exactly have a good history of winning games here either. Indeed, they have won only once in their last 8 visits to Ames, Iowa. Three times they have come here and been favored in those 8 games and not once did they even win the game, let alone cover the spread. I could bombard you with meaningless trends to back this play, but nothing is more important than the HUGE situational advantages in Iowa States favor I have already outlined. Grab the points and watch Missouri fall victim to the unavoidable lure to look ahead to their game against Kansas. Iowa State gets the straight up win tonight as we should easily cash the first two unit play of the season.
PLAY 2* UNITS ON IOW STATE +5.5
OPINION SELECTION ON IOWA STAE +$190
CBB Sides
dime bet Rice 26.0 vs Memphis
MEMPHIS (15-0) at RICE (3-12)
Ah yes, finally a contest that is more my style as we are back to taking perhaps one of the most unattractive plays on the board albeit also one of the best of the board. Going into this contest, I want to make it clear, Memphis (15-0 SU & 8-5 ATS) isnt in danger of losing for the first time this season. They take on a Rice team (3-12 SU & 5-8 ATS) that has been plagued by injuries all season. The latest player to be sidelined for the lowly Owls was their starting guard Rodney Foster who suffered a knee injury last week against Marshall. With three potential starting perimeter players out (Chris Hagan and Cory Pflieger also remain sidelined), the Owls continue to fined players to put out on the court. Just last week they added a walk-on in Junior Chris Szalay who will probably see some playing time. Senior forward Paulius Packevicius is the only active player to be score in double figures this season. He is averaging 10.6 points and ranks second in the league in rebounding at 9.5 boards per game. The injuries are a significant reason why the Owls enter this contest on a five-game skid with setbacks to Texas A&M, Vanderbilt, Oklahoma, Marshall and UTEP. Indeed, Rice's last victory was a 70-65 win over TCU on Dec. 29. In stark contrast, Memphis hasnt lost a game this entire season and at 15-0, they are one of only two undefeated teams in country with impressive non-conference wins over Connecticut, Georgetown and Arizona. Memphis doesn't just beat their opponents they usually do so in grand fashion as they have an average victory margin of 21.5 points and has defeated four opponents by more than 30 points. The Tigers are off two very impressive wins to open Conference USA play as they dismantled East Carolina 99-58 before going on the road to knock off Marshall, 68-45.
On paper this looks contest looks like an absolute blowout. Again their only common opponent Memphis knocked off the aforementioned Marshal by 23 in a 68-45 road win, while Rice was destroyed by the same Marshal team 47-66 at home. We also know that Rice has yet to win a home game this season where they are 0-5 SU & ATS. Given the disparity in the results against the common opponent and also given the fact that Rice is down now three starters one would naturally assume a high line. I knew going into this contest that the line was going to be exceptionally misleading and the books wanted to set this line to get public money pouring in. With that being said, the 26 point number is astronomical, but the books have got what they wanted as tracking sites are showing bets being placed on Memphis at a staggering 9-1 clip. Interestingly, however is the fact that the line has not moved off the number, despite the disparity in action and in at least two shops the line has moved down (against the money) to 25.5. The reason for this (at least in my eyes) is clear. Despite winning by an average of over 21 points per game this season, Memphis has been a completely different animal on the road. On paper, Joe public sees that Memphis is averaging a staggering 82.7 points per game, while Rice is averaging just 55.7! That difference alone amounts to 27 points hmmm and the line is 26 here, interesting odds maker. With that being said, the Memphis offense has averaged only 69.7 points per game on the road this season (a difference of 13 points) and they are shooting just .429. For as bad as Rice appears, they did manage to score 54 points against Texas and they put up 58 at Vanderbilt, and 49 at Oklahoma and they come into this contest averaging 55.7 in all contests. Rice also plays very aggressive on the defensive side of he ball, despite allowing 69.7 points per game. A key stat here is the fact that opponents are only out-rebounding Rice by a narrow average margin of +0.9 boards per game (37.1-38.0). The Owl offense is generating only 55.7 points per game, while allowing 69.7 points a contest. If Rice can manage to hold a similar small deficiency, limit their turnovers (which have killed them the last few weeks) and they can just score under their average, this game will be a very easy cover. Although there is a mired of trends that also favor Rice in this setting I will not bore you with that know. However, for what its worth, Wednesdays have been good to Rice as they are 13-3 ATS in Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons. Hey its Wednesday! Take those points.
PLAY 1* UNIT ON RICE +26
Factsman
Virginia -5.5 Over Va Tech
William & Mary -4
Drexel -4.5
Nc Wilm -7
RAS:
Fordham -5.... 1/2
CS. Northridge -9'.... 1
Fatspread
Nba Bulls +3.5
Nba Raptors -5
Nba Raptors Over 200
Ncaab Duke -5.5
Ncaab Dayton -6.5
Ncaab Virginia -5
Ncaab Xavier -7.5
Ml Dog Of The Day Nba Atlanta
Bobby Bo
10* Atlanta +3.5
3* VA Commonwealth -12.5
1* Free Play Portland +7.5
Kelso
Chairmans Club 15 units Mississippi
Best Bets
5 units Duke
4 units Northern Illinois
3 units Delaware
Stu Feiner
3000* Wyoming
1000* UMass
Eddie Roman
5,000* Miss
1,000* Dayton
1,000* Iowa
Black Magic
NCAA Basketball
5 Unit Black Magic CBB Dog of the Night on Delaware +12.5
Delaware is receiving far too many points tonight and now it?s time to capitalize. Delaware at 8-7 has returned all 5 starters from last season. They are now a force to be reckoned with in conference play. Delaware has won 4 straight games in which they were the underdog in each one. Linesmakers continue to overlook this very talented ball club. VA Commonwealth is 0-7 ATS in home games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Delaware is 15-6 ATS versus good defensive teams allowing less than 64 points/game over the last 3 seasons. VA Commonwealth is 3-13 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons. Cash in with Delaware as the underdog.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Arkansas -10
Arkansas will roll in this SEC match-up with South Carolina. The Razorbacks are off to a hot 13-3 start this year with 5 returning starters at their disposal. Arkansas is a perfect 9-0 at home this season, outscoring their opponents by a colossal 18 points per game. Arkansas is 8-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Cash in with Arkansas as the favorite.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Michigan +11.5
The Michigan Wolverines got the spark they needed last time out to get the confidence to pull off this upset at Illinois tonight. Michigan went on the road and beat Northwestern by 10 points as nearly a 5-point underdog on Saturday. Illinois is just 8-9 on the year and should not be a double-digit favorite Wednesday. Illinois is just 4-4 at home going 1-7 ATS in the process. Illinois is 0-6 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Illinois is just 3-11 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with Michigan as the underdog.
NBA:
3 Unit Sharp Play on Golden State Warriors +2
Returning home after a 1-4 road trip, the Pacers have lost nine of their last 11 games overall. Golden State handed Indiana one of those road losses in a 106-101 win last Sunday over the Pacers. Golden State has won 3 straight and four of its last five. Golden State is 14-4 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is 5-15 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons. The Pacers will continue to struggle against this explosive Warriors? team tonight. Cash in with Golden State as the underdog.
BeatYourBookie
NCAA Basketball
100* Play Virginia Tech (+5) over Virginia
Virginia is 5-15 ATS coming off a road loss by 20 points or more
Virginia is 4-18 ATS after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games
Virginia is 28-53 ATS having lost 2 of the last 3 games against the spread
100* Play Michigan (+11.5) over Illinois
Illinois is 1-7 ATS as a home favorite this season
Illinois is 17-30 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons
Illinois is 3-11 ATS as a favorite of 10 points or more the last 2 seasons
NBA Basketball
50* Play Portland (+8.5) over Boston
Portland is 11-1 ATS after covering the spread in 2 of the last 3 games
Portland is 10-1 ATS coming off and upset win as an underdog
Boston is 1-10 ATS when playing January home games
Winner's Circle
Depaul 5 STAR
Wayne Root
Chairman - Iowa
Millionaire - Charlotte Bobcats
Money Maker - San Diego St
No Limit - U Mass
Insider Circle - Temple
Billionaire - Florida
Seabass
10* Depaul +10-
20* Miss -6
20* Iowa St +5-
20* Georgia -3-
20 Fla St +5
10* NY Rangers
Michael Cannon
15 Dime –
MAGIC
Take the Magic as the small road chalk tonight over the Bobcats.
Orlando has owned Charlotte this year, winning all three matchups by an average of 12.7 points per game.
Forward Dwight Howard has been instrumental in the Magic’s success against the Bobcats, averaging 27.3 points on 67.5 percent shooting and 18.7 rebounds in the three games.
Charlotte simply doesn’t have anyone who can matchup with Howard and that’s why he’s been so dominant against them.
The Magic have also been able to keep Gerald Wallace under wraps, and if he can’t produce big numbers tonight the Bobcats have no chance.
Take the Magic as the small road chalk as they grab the win and cover.
5 Dime –
FLORIDA STATE
Take the points with Florida State tonight when they host Duke.
Duke may be a Top 5 team, but they’ve had their troubles with Florida State recently.
The Seminoles have beaten the Blue Devils the last two meetings, 68-67 at Cameron last season and 79-74 at home in March, 2006.
Florida State has a big home court advantage, where it is 9-0 this season and 39-6 since the start of the 2005-06 campaign.
The Seminoles will man up tonight and defend their home court, giving Duke all it can handle to even win the game.
Take the points with Florida State as they stay within the number
VIRGINIA
Take Virginia tonight as the home chalk over Virginia Tech.
The Cavaliers have won five of the last six meetings with the Hokies, going 5-1 ATS. Virginia does have some injury concerns for tonight’s game but I don’t think that will hinder them from coming away with the win and cover.
Virginia Tech hasn’t played that tough of a schedule thus far, which makes their record a little misleading. They are just 1-4 away from home this year and that shouldn’t get better against a team they have struggled against.
The Hokies are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, while the favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings between these two.
Take Virginia as the home chalk as they grab the win and cover.
Special K Comp
GEORGIA TECH +11 1/2
Stoffo
NJDevils - 1.5 +140
Bob Balfe
UMass +6.5
RAS Totals
Ball St. OVER 125'
Fordham UNDER 124'
Both for 1 unit
Vernon Croy
Buffalo Sabres vs. New York Rangers (NHL) - 7:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 121 Buffalo Sabres Play Title: 20 Unit NHL Game of the Night
20 Units, Take Buffalo +121, We are getting solid value here tonight with the Sabres who look to end their 9 game losing streak against a Rangers team that will likely be without Jagr tonight who is listed as questionable. The Rangers opponents are converting at 27.6% against them on the powerplay over their last 5 games and Buffalo overall has the better powerplay of these two teams. The Rangers opponents are averaging 3.8 goals against them per game over their last 5 games and Buffalo is very hungry for a win. The Sabres are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Rangers so what better way to end a 9 game losing streak then against a team they have owned in the past. Make sure you get on my NBA best bet of the night.
Ryan NHL
5* Buffalo
3* Florida
Young Guns
4* Orlando
3* Atlanta
3* Missouri
LINECRUSHER
4*Indiana -2 over Golden State
Scheduling advantage for Indiana with 2 days rest while Golden State is playing back to back road games (nights) and their 3rd game in 4 days. This is also an immediate revenge game for Indiana who just lost 101-106 at Golden State Sunday night in what is a back to back match-up for the Pacers.
3*Charlotte +1.5 over Orlando
Percentage play on Charlotte as a division home underdog in the final series meeting of the season playing with triple revenge having lost all 3 prior meetings vs Orlando this season. Charlotte has the scheduling advantage with 1 days rest while the Magic are playing back to back nights and traveling off of last nights home win vs Chicago.
5*New Jersey -7.5 over New York
Should be a flat spot for the Knicks playing back to back nights, their 3rd game in 4 days and traveling coming off of satisfying upset home wins vs Detroit and Washington in their last 2 games. The Nets have the scheduling advantage with 1 days rest, are off of back to back embarrassing home losses and are playing with double revenge having lost both prior games vs the Knicks this season. A game the Nets should want and should win.
3*Seattle +11 over New Orleans
Solid percentage play on Seattle as a double digit conference road underdog playing with double revenge in the final series meeting of the season having lost both prior games vs New Orleans this season.
3*Iowa State +5.5 over Missouri
Missouri is coming off of a satisfying 97-84 home revenge win vs Texas last Saturday and the Tigers have a major national TV home revenge game on deck vs Kansas this Saturday. Missouri is 1-5 straight-up on the road vs board teams so far this season while Iowa State is 5-2 straight-up at home so far this season vs board teams. Bad scheduling situation for Missouri as a road favorite in a major scheduling sandwich for the Tigers. Iowa State should win this game straight-up in this situation.