Sports Gambling Hotline
Purdue at PENN STATE +2
Winner last night on the Sacramento Kings as we improve to 96-67-3 long term with our comp plays!
Tonight in college basketball, look for Purdue to stub their toe in Happy Valley. The Boilermakers do bring a 3 game winning streak into Penn State, but Purdue struggled over the weekend to dispatch a bad Illinois team, and we feel this is the spot they get their little winning streak snapped.
Penn State has lost their last 3, but they are still a solid 8-2 at home this year, and they have covered in 4 of their 6 home games that have been lined.
Purdue is just 2-4 straight up on the road this year, and while they did sweep the season series from State last year, expect the Nittany Lions to post a double revenge win this evening at home.
Play on Penn State.
3* PENN STATE
Drew Gordon
1. 300,000* Hornets
2. 50,000* Florida
3. 50,000* Miami-Florida
1. Hornets- This is a classic case of perception versus reality. At first glance, the number on this game might seem high, because the Blazers have been one of the hottest teams in the NBA over the last month and half or so. But the fact the public is all over the Blazers in this game is based on the perception that they're still hot... The reality is Portland is slowing down, while New Orleans is heating up and I'll prove it.
It should come as no surprise that the Blazers ridiculous run would come to halt over an extened road trip like the one their on right now, which has seen them lose at Toronto, at Boston, and at Orlando. This is the final game of their road trip, and I expect the Blazers to come out both tired and flat in this match up. Clearly, oddsmakers are expecting the same tonight, but that's only one part of the equation.
The second part of the equation (the one that seals the deal on the Hornets covering in this spot) is New Orleans red-hot play at home of late, winning and covering 4 straight there. Its not only the fact their winning, but how well they're playing in the wins, averaging 113 ppg! Not only that, but their defense has been outstanding, surrendering just 89 ppg over that span!
The catalyst of this Hornets offense is of course Chris Paul, who's arguablly the best point guard on the planet right now. With all 5 starters scoring 14 points or more in their most recent domination of the Bucks two days ago, its clear this Hornets offense is firing on all cylinders. You tell me how a tired Blazers team matches the energy of this surging Hornets squad in this one? The answer: They won't, plain and simple.
Bottom line, NBA odds are some of the most accurate in all of sports, so don't get caught living in the past with the perception that this Blazers team is still ripping through the competition, because they're not. The reality is they've slowed down a bit, are coming into this game vulerable at the tail end of a tough road trip, and will be facing a New Orleans team that's rolling right now. End result: Solid Hornets home win and cover!
Take the Hornets comfortably over the Trailblazers as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Florida- Although at first glance it might look a bit dangerous to side with this young and seemingly road-weary Gators team at South Carolina tonight, but dig a little deeper and you'll see Florida is clearly the play here.
First of all, the Gamecocks have proven little on their home court, going 6-4 SU AND just 1-5 ATS there this season! Sure, they're coming off a nice win at Arkansas, but does that erase their ridiculous outright home loss to N.C. Asheville? Or pathetic efforts against UC Irvine or Charleston, in which they lost both games ATS, and almost lost them outright! Say what you will, but South Carolina is vulnerable on their home court, and their resume this season proves it!
Second, despite a setback at Ole Miss (although they covered), this Florida team is playing rock-solid basketball, winning 5 of their last 6 games SU and covering all 5 lined contests! The injury to Jai Lucas will hurt, but the fact of the matter is this team has found its rythmn behind G Calathes and F Speights, averaging 83 ppg on almost 50% shooting over their last 5 games! Gamecocks defense just isn't good enough to stop this Gators attack.
Finally, while the Gamecocks have a lot of bodies in their frontcourt, only F Dominique Archie is decent. He'll be well overmatched against Speights, and you can expect the other Florida forwards, Parsons and Werner, to find success in thier match ups tonight also. There's no doubt South Carolina G Downey can score, but overall they leave a lot to be desired down-low.
Bottom line, look for Florida to use its edge in the paint to control this match up. Once they establish themselves down-low, the perimter game opens up for Calathes and Hodge, who are both excellent shooters. In the end, this game will be close, but the Gamecocks inability to finish games at home costs them once again tonight, because you know damn well the Gators won't stop coming.
Take Florida over South Carolina in this SEC match up.
3. Miami-Florida- I understand why coming off a home loss to Maryland, many would expect the Tarheels to bounce back here and demolish the Hurricanes tonight, but that's simply not the case and here's why:
First of all, this is one of the best Miami teams in recent memory, sitting at 14-3 overall and 9-0 SU (3-0 ATS) at home this season. They win games with defense, allowing just 62 ppg on 39% shooting there... Just ask Georgia Tech how good this 'Canes defense is, limiting them to 68 points on 41% shooting with 18 turnovers in their last game at the Bank United Center.
Scond, in case you haven't noticed, the Tarheels haven't exactly been playing their best basketball of the season lately. They barely beat Clemson in OT, they eeked out a win at Georgia Tech, and are coming off the home loss to Maryland Saturday... You don't need to be a brain surgeon to figure out they're vulnerable right now, especially defensively, allowing a whopping 79 ppg over their last 5 games!
Also, as badly as North Carolina wants to bounce back, remember the 'Canes are coming off consecutive road losses, and will be looking to rebound tonight at home. Not only that, but after getting demolished by the Tarheels last season in Chapel Hill, don't think Miami hasn't circled this game as a measuring stick and possible "signature win" oppurtunity of the season.
Finally, if you're going to run with the 'Heels, then you're going to need some size down-low to contend with Hansbrough and company. Miami has just that, with C King, Collins, Graham, and Hicks down-low. All big bodies capable of contributing against a stacked North Carolina frontcourt. In the end, this game will be a lot closer than Vegas wants you to believe... Don't be shocked if this one comes down to the waning minutes.
Take Miami-Florida plus the points over North Carolina in this ACC match up.
Bob Donahue Comp
Pacers
NorthCoast
3* Louisville
3* Magic
The Duke's Sports
Wednesday NCAA Hoops:
*Best Bet* U Mass (+6) for 3 Units
U Mass/St. Joseph's 6:00: The Minutemen have shown good poise on the road with SU wins at Syracuse, Boston College and Dayton. Moreover, the road team in this series sports an impressive 5-1 ATS run. U Mass has a well balanced scoring contingent that can trade points with the best of them; as a matter of fact, they're shooting a nice 46% / 36% from field / 3 pt. range as a traveler, better than St. Joseph's shoots on their home floor. Furthermore, the Minutemen will be seeking to avenge their January 9th - 98-92 home loss. U Mass is 6-3 ATS in their last 9 trips to St. Joseph's. U Mass the call.
Pittsburgh (-5') for 2 Units
Pitt/St. John's 7:00: Pitt has done very well at MSG over the years, except vs St. John's. However, the Panthers , this time, are coming off a loss (11-2 ATS off a conference loss) and should be extremely focused here. Moreover, the Panthers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 Wednesday tilts. The Red Storm, on the other hand, are just 3-11 ATS at home. Despite the injuries to key Pitt personnel, HC Dixon did a nice job preparing his reserves for these moments. And keep in mind that the Panthers blasted SJ 72-46 January 27th of last year. Pitt the call.
San Diego State (+8) for 1 Unit
SD State/BYU 8:00: SD State has not had success in Provo; however, SDS has not had a team this athletic and talented in a while either. We find good value with a hungry and well coached Aztecs team that's dominated conference play and should be competitive here. And we like the way guards - Gay and Thomas have filled the void left by Richie Williams (wrist). SDS the call.
Louisville (-7') for 1 Unit
L'ville/S. Fla 7:00: The Cardinals were rolling along (4-0 SU/ATS) until they got ambushed by a barrage of trey bombs from Seton Hall Saturday. With an extra prep day and knowing that they're 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with S. Fla, including an 81-55 demolition last year (1-10-07) at S. Fla, we'll look for the Cardinals to step up their game here. Caracter has proven capable of neutralizing the Bulls' big man - Kentrell Gransberry. And the Cardinals have too much depth and athleticism for S. Fla to counter. S. Fla has not played the dog role well under HC Heath at 1-7 ATS. We'll roll with L'ville.
NBA:
Sacramento (-2') for 1 Unit
Kings/Clippers 10:35: The Kings have gotten healthy and are looking dangerous. Bibby, Artest, Martin are working nicely together with a good supporting cast. And coming off a game last night shouldn't be a factor, because the Kings have pretty good depth. The Clippers, however, lack depth and an inside force, other than Kaman, to clean up the boards since Brand got injured. Sacramento is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 at the Staples Center. The road team is 16-5-1 ATS in the last 22 in this series, including the Clippers win at Sacramento December 7th. We'll look for sweet revenge here.
Greg Shaker
triple-dime bet Rhode Island / George Washington Over 142.5
Analysis: NCAAB: George Washington Colonials at Rhode Island Rams - Over 142.5 -110 | Unit Value: 3 DIMES
Note: I am positive about one thing in this contest. The Rams are very happy to be back home and playing anyone other than St Louis. They had their lowest offensive output last week in a very long time as the Billiken Pace reeked havoc with their offensive scheme. That will be much less of a problem this evening with GW in town and although the Colonials do not motor up the court at a high pace, they more than likely will have to tonight. This is probably not going to be much of a contest with a highly motivated ram crew hitting the floor tonight. I am not much on laying large numbers but my best guess is that Rhode island will cover this -14 spread in easy fashion. In doing so, they are going to be able to dictate what goes on at court level and that is going to give us what we want, especially in the second half of play. The Rams have the #20 pace in the country and they back that us with the #33 scoring efficiency as well. That is getting the job done folks, and they have done that quite well here where the Roosters roam free. This team is scoring 82 points per game, even higher at home and they don't know when to quit scoring. They will not do so tonight as their wounded pride takes charge in full force. OVER is 20-8 last 28 on this court and these two teams have played OVER the total the last 3 times they have met. Needless to say Rhode Island has owned the pace in these games but they have not owned the score. In fact GW has beat the Rams 6 times they have played. That makes me believe that the Colonials are not afraid to play as the home team does and they will not back off tonight when the action gets heated. With all home contest here in RI averaging right at 152 points and GW allowing 78 per contest when they travel, this is a bargain line. Play up to 145.
double-dime bet Brigham Young / San Diego St. Over 136.0
Analysis: NCAAB: San Diego State Aztecs at Brigham Young Cougars - Over 136 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
double-dime bet N.C.-Wilmington -3.0 vs Northeastern
Analysis: NCAAB: Northeastern Huskies at NC Wilmington Seahawks - NC Wilmington -3 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
double-dime bet North Carolina St. -2.5 vs Georgia Tech
Analysis: NCAAB: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at North Carolina State Wolfpack - NC State -2.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Note: The Wolfpack schedule this year has not been nearly as tough as the visitors but they have impressed me with wins at Seton Hall and Villanova and they have very much caught my attention with the brand of D that they play. That is good enough to put them #53 in this country and they have especially been hard to handle here at home. This venue has seen them limit all comers to an amazing 35.8% shooting and 57 points per contest. The Wolfpack not only do that well, but they rebound strongly, they handle the ball well with positive turnover ratios, they shoot the ball well with great patience, and they hit their free throws. These are the things that make a team tough to beat on their home floor and only one teams has done that this year in 9 tries. This team was on the verge of going 0-3 in the conference before making a comeback verses Miami and that is going to be a huge lift for the Wolfpack. Their next two contests will be at Florida State and at Duke, and they certainly know that a loss tonight could be deadly for them. This is an early season must win for this crew and the home fans will be ready to rumble. This has been a home win bonanza over recent years with with the host team posting a 10-4 ATS advantage and Georgia Tech has not won at this place the last 6 times they have tried. The Techsters have managed just a 2-4 road mark with the only two victories being over Georgia State in a squeeker, and a win at Tennesseee State. That is not a good resume to work with and their problems have stemmed from a lack of solid defense when they travel. With five of the next six being on the road for Georgia Tech, they might find themselves in deep shit pretty soon. They certainly will be standing in it tonight if they continue to play as they have away from Atlanta. My best guess is that we will have status quo tonight. Lay the small number.
double-dime bet Texas Tech -1.5 vs Missouri
Analysis: NCAAB: Missouri Tigers at Texas Tech Red Raiders - Texas Tech -1.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Note: The Missouri Tigers have had one of the toughest schedules in College Basketball this year and have been able to manage an 11-7 record while playing the likes of Illinois, Purdue, Miss State, Michigan State, Kansas, and others. They are a quality basketball team and they do a lot of things right. What they do not do right is play games in a hostile environment. That is what they are going to get tonight as they travel to Lubbuck Texas to play a team that is 8-1 at this venue and is considered to be one of the best home propositions in all of hoops. The Red Raiders play a great brand of D and good enough for them to have the 30th best in all of basketball with efficiency. That is much more overstated here in Texas as they have allowed just 39% shooting on this court and just over 57 points per contest. Defense is the key to winning in every sport and more so in College Hoops. Perhaps that is why their lone loss here was to Stanford, a better D team than they are. They will have the decided advantage tonight playing these Tigers who have not nearly as effective playing away from home in 4 tries, giving up 85 per contest on 50% shooting in 4 games. That is not going to winnmany ballgames and that is why they have yet to do so. Including the neutral site tilts, this team has won just once in 6 tries away from Mizzu and they have yet to SHOW ME that they can. Home numbers for Texas Tech are overwhelming with great shot selection, and very good shooting outside the arc. The Raiders, as many teams do, love to put the ball up toward familiar baskets and they have been as effective as anyone this year here in Lubbuck with a #22 offensive efficiency. I am sure that you can ask Texas A%M Fans and players how well this team plays in familiar surrounding as they managed just 34% shooting and had 20 turnovers just about a week ago here in Lubbuck. If TT can do that verses a better ballhandling squad, what are they capable of tonight? They are capable of winning many more times than not, that is what. Rebounding has been a problem for the home boys but Mizzu comes in with a negative six rebounding edge on games they have played away from Columbia. Lay the small number.
Marco D'Angelo
triple-dime betFlorida St. -6.0 vs Virginia
Analysis: Virginia travels to Florida tonight to battle Florida St. Coming off their Big Win at home against Boston College and then returning home for a TV Game Sunday against Georgia Tech. This is a bad scheduling spot for them and i expect them to come up flat. Look for Florida St to come out smoking tonight as having lost 3 in a row this is a must win for them tonight in the ACC. SUPER STAT ALERT: FLORIDA ST is 17-3 ATS after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more since 1997. Florida St wins this by 11-14 Points. TAKE FLORIDA ST as MARCO'S 7* COLLEGE HIGH ROLLER RELEASE and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY
double-dime bet Kent St. -2.5 vs Akron
Analysis: Two of the Best in the MAC square off here as Kent St plays host to Akron. This is a heated Rivalry as these teams are a very short drive apart. We are getting great line value here as well as Akron won their last game 80-44 over Bowling Green while Kent St is coming off a 71-59 loss. So we didn't have such lopsided scores in these two's last games this line would have been 5 instead of 2'. Expect Kent St to roll big tonight at home as we see them winning this by 8-11 points. TAKE KENT ST and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.
dime bet Evansville 8.5 vs Indiana St.
Analysis: Indiana St returns home looking to bounce back tonight against Evansville a team they already beat on the road earlier this year. If this sounds familiar it should as this is the exact same scenario that produced our Underdog Game of the Week winner yesterday. Evansville will keep this closer than expected. TAKE EVANSVILLE and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY.
dime bet W. Ky -3.5 vs New Orleans
Analysis: W. Kentucky after Back to Back Blowout Wins had a close game in their last games winning 69-66 laying 5. That close win does two things for us here as first we get line value because of the close score. The second thing we have is that close scare will serve as a Wake Up call for W. Kentucky and they will come out totally focused to do battle against New Orleans. Also note W. Kentucky had a scare against this team last year at home so they will give New Orleans their Full attention and that will spell a Blowout Win. W. Kentucky Wins this by 9-12 points. TAKE W. KENTUCKY and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY
dime bet Kansas St. -3.0 vs Colorado
Analysis: Kansas St invades Colorado tonight and while most of the Betting public will want Colorado seeing how they just took Texas to the final buzzer in their last game losing 67-69 as a 17' point Underdog. Fact is that near miss will leave them drained as when a Huge Underdog almost pulls off the upset they are generally spent in their next game. We are going to take advantage of this low number as Vegas has once again over adjusted the line based on one game. Kansas St should win this Game by 10-13 Points. TAKE KANSAS ST and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY.
ATS LOCK
5 Indiana St. -8
4 Florida -1
4 Ohio -3 1/2
3 Texas Tech -1
ATS FINANCIAL
4 Rhode Island -14
3 Akron +4
3 Louisville -7 1/2
Nick Parsons
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Villanova Wildcats @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights Pick: 1 unit (Free Play) ATS: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +9 (-109)
The Scarlet Knights are trying to snap a six-game losing streak after a 75-73 loss to DePaul on Saturday. Rutgers shot a season-high 61.7 % from the field and led by as many as 15 points, but DePaul rallied in the second half; I believe they will do just enough at home to come away with an ATS victory tonight though. Look for Villanova to fall to 1-7 ATS their last eight overall and for RUTGERS to improve to 5-2 ATS its last seven when playing at home against Villanova!
Charlies Sports
cbb. missouri state-3 (500* )
cbb. south florida+7' (30*)
cbb. central florida-3' (20*)
cbb. rutgers+9 (20*)
nba. phoenix @ minnesota over 213' (10*)
nba. philly+8 (10*) free play
Vegas Runner
triple-dime bet PHI 7.0 vs DET
Analysis: 3* NBA GAME of the WEEK
Just way to many points for the Pistons to be laying on the road with the way that they are playing right now...and it appears that their confidence isn't where it needs to be for a team to go on the road and need to win by double digits to get the cover...lets grab the generous spot with the Sixers tonight...
double-dime bet MEM 4.0 vs ORL
Analysis: 2* WAGER **
** Buy the 1/2 to +4...
double-dime bet MIN 8.5 vs PHO
Analysis: 2* WAGER
double-dime bet SEA 7.0 vs HOU
Analysis: 2* WAGER
Stan Lisowski
4.5* Missouri St
4* Texas Tech
3* Kent St And Cincy
4* Magic
3* Hornets
Wayne Root
Chairman- Missou
Millionaire- St Johns
Money Maker- Colorado
No Limit- BYU
Insiders Circle- So Car
Cash & Profit Experts
NBA
Phoenix -8
CBB
Purdue -1.5
U Conn -2.5
Black Magic Sports
NCAA Basketball:
5 Unit Black Magic Conference USA GOTY on Central Florida -3
The UCF Knights have beaten UTEP in 2 straight games now, both where they were the underdog. A 66-55 home win over UTEP in their last home meeting is a little bit of what you can expect tonight. Central Florida has won 5 out of their last 6 games overall, going 3-0 ATS in their three lined games. UCF is 6-2 in home games this season. UCF is 13-3 ATS after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game since 1997. UTEP is 5-13 ATS versus good defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. We will bet against the underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), on Wednesday games. This is an 80-33 System with a 71% winning ratio since 1997. Cash in with Central Florida as the favorite.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Memphis -13
You will rarely find the Memphis Tigers as this small of a favorite in any game this season. We will take advantage of this opportunity tonight. With all 5 starters back from a 33-4 campaign last season, Memphis is off to a perfect 17-0 start this season. Tulsa is just 9-6 on the year and 1-2 in conference play. Memphis is winning their road games by 16 points a game this season. Memphis has won their last two road meetings with Tulsa by 17 and 23 points over the last two seasons. Memphis is 7-0 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 30 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Cash in with Memphis as the favorite.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Iowa +16
The Iowa Hawkeyes are playing much better basketball as of late and we look for it to continue in Indiana tonight. Iowa is coming off an 8-point road win over Michigan as a 4-point underdog. Iowa is 13-3 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making less than 37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Indiana clearly relies on the 3-pointer way too much to win this game by 16 points. Indiana is 1-10 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons. Cash in with Iowa s the underdog.
3 Unit Sharp Play on San Diego State +9
San Diego State will easily stay within the number tonight, perhaps pulling off the upset over BYU. San Diego State has a better overall record than BYU at 14-4 on the season. San Diego State is 8-1 ATS versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. San Diego State is 11-3 ATS after a blowout win by 15 or more points over the past 3 seasons. San Diego State is 6-3 on the road this season, winning their last road game over New Mexico as a 9.5-point underdog. Cash in with San Diego State as the underdog.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Baylor +9
The Baylor Bears continue to get no respect and that’s exactly how we like it tonight. Texas A&M is falling off the face of the earth in a hurry after losing back-to-back games to Texas Tech by 15 points and then to Kansas State by 21 points. The Baylor Bears have lost just 2 games this season as they have all 5 starters back from last year. Baylor is 7-0 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Don’t be surprised if Baylor hands the Aggies their 3rd straight loss tonight. Cash in with Baylor as the underdog.
NBA:
3 Unit Sharp Play on Detroit Pistons -6.5
The Detroit Pistons will get off this little 3-game slide by killing the Philadelphia 76ers tonight. Detroit hasn’t lost 4 straight games since the ‘04-05 season. The 76ers lost their last home game to the lowly Indiana Pacers by 7 points. Detroit is 10-1 ATS versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game this season. Philadelphia is 4-13 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams making better than 76% of their attempts this season. Cash in with Detroit as the favorite.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Boston Celtics -9
The Boston Celtics continue to be a cash cow when betting them against the spread this season. One of the biggest reasons for the Boston Celtics' inflated record this season has been their complete domination on the Atlantic Division. The Celtics will look to remain perfect within the division when they host the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday. The best team in the league record-wise, Boston is 10-0 against the Atlantic and is tops in the Eastern Conference with an 18-3 mark at home. Boston beat Toronto by 28 points in their only home meeting of the season with the Raptors. The Celtics are 14-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Cash in with Boston as the favorite
Wolkosky Milan
Today
10* MEMPHIS +3½
10* NEW ORLEANS -6½
10* SACRAMENTO -2
10* WAS/CLE OVER 187
10* IND/CHI UNDER 207½