Wunderdog:
4 units on Florida +1.5
3 units on W. Virginia -4.5
2 units on Minnesota +8
RAS
792 UTEP -1 ... 1/2
753 Drexel OVER 133 ... 1/2
768 TCU UNDER 129 ... 1/2
780 Troy UNDER 158'... 1'
Dr. Bob
NBA Opinion/Possible Best Bet
L.A. CLIPPERS (-2) over Portland
The Clippers were crushed the other night by Boston, but the Clips apply to a solid 137-80-3 ATS home bounce-back situation that plays on teams that lost by 20 points or more at home in their previous game. Los Angeles also applies to a 150-86-2 ATS bounce-back situation. Portland has been struggling the past month or so, going just 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games but the Clippers aren’t as good without big man Chris Kaman, who is out again tonight, and my ratings based on current personnel favor the Clippers by just ½ a point. I’ll lean with the Clippers at -2 or -1 ½ and I’ll take Los Angeles in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.
College Opinions
Iowa (+2) over PENN STATE
Iowa is an underrated team since pointguard and leading scorer Tony Freeman started playing in early December and Penn State is an overrated team since losing star Geary Claxton early in their Janauary 15th blowout loss to Wisconsin. Using games for both teams for the entire season would yield a fair line of Penn State by 4 ½ points, but using only Iowa’s games with Freeman and Penn State’s games without Claxton results in a line of Hawkeyes by 1 ½ points in this game. I’ll lean with Iowa based on the line value and I would take Iowa in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more.
DUKE (-15) over Georgia Tech
Duke has always performed well against mediocre or bad teams, as the Blue Devils are 92-38-3 ATS in regular season games after a victory when facing a team with a win percentage of .650 or less. The Blue Devils also apply to a 201-95-8 ATS home favorite momentum situation if they remain a favorite of 15 points or less. My ratings favor Duke by 17 points, so there is also some line value on the side of the Blue Devils. My only problem with this game is that Georgia Tech is 10-1 ATS in 8 seasons under coach Paul Hewitt after losing 4 or more consecutive games, so I do expect the Yellow Jackets to play hard. I’ll still lean with Duke at -15 points or less
IndianCowboy has another 5* play today. Anyone seen it? Thanks in advance.
Winning Points Online NCAAB
**PREFERRED
Georgia* over Florida by 12
Other than seven straight wins against Georgia,what does Florida have that Georgia doesn't? Do they have the best guard in the conference,Georgia's Sundiata Gaines? No. Do they have Billy Humphrey, Georgia's junior guard who was absent from the lineup two weeks ago when Florida won by 10 points on their home floor? No.
Lots of freshmen and sophomores on that Florida team, coming off their 20th win and maybe not mature enough to realize you gotta keep goin' andgoin' and goin' to keep winning when you're out onthe road in late February and and the other team can play a little. GEORGIA, 78-66.
INDIAN COWBOY
Knicks -5.5 (POD) (5* selection)
Note Released to clients today:
I've made some changes on the spreadsheet. I am not the handicappers many of whom I know that have game of the weeks every day or a game of the month every day. In this way, I guess I'm "boring" as I don't have a the big 10* play everyday, that's just not me and I approach handicapping differently. I feel that those who have the big 10* each day are sometimes more focused on sales than selections. I continue to learn a great deal from my handicapping on a daily basis and review all of my notes because I firmly believe one day, I will be able to secure 58% + consistenlty, as I have done many times in the past. The way that I do my spreadsheet is that I have a particular percentage and if the chances of that play exceeding 56% currently I roll with it. San Diego State - my comp pick yesterday was at 56%. However, the POD yesterday was 61% - the twolves/jazz over - so whichever one has the highest statistical percentage, that is what I roll with the pod. I am increasing my plays to 60%statistical average. This would mean I would have less comp plays and less plays overall, I might even reduce the monthly charge as well doing just 1-2 and occasionally 3 plays a day if it calls for 3 plays at over 60% chance of hitting. But, I'd rather make 40 to 45 plays a month and have a better winning % than making 90 plays a month and not having the same winning %. In that, I'll stick in 2, 5* selections, the nba and college game of the months that I like. Sure, not as exciting, but to me handicapping is not about the hype, it's a study and math, similar to any of the other degrees that I have pursued.
I like the Knicks for quite a lot of reasons today. For one, you know as well as I do that this team got pounded on the road to the Bobcats. This team comes off a 20+ loss to the Raptors the other day, my game of the month, now, this team will face the Bobcats at home who have lost at least 5 straight games on the road by double-digits, many by 20 or more points. Why not the Knicks coming home after a tough frustrating loss, no Gerald Wallace still for the Bobcats and having revenge. The Knicks can play with the best of any teams at home - after all, look at the fact that this team beat the Raptors at home. The Bobcats are 0-7 ATS as an underdog of late and the Knicks are 4-0 ATS following an ATS loss.
Twolves/Raptors Over 199 (3 units)
The Twolves come off a nice outright wni over the Jazz and are reminded of this ugly loss they had to the Raptors at home where they gave up over a 100 points and scored just 83 points. I don't see the Twolves doing that horrible on the road today as if the Nets can pop 91 at Toronto, there is no reason why this team with a little bit of confidence, but more importantly with some revenge, starts out the game on a strong foot and I have them scoring at least 95. Of course, I have the Raps playing even better than what they did at Indiana, as this team has covered their last 5 games against a team with a straihgt up losing record and are 13-3 ATS at home. Thus, I like the over despite favoring the Raptors or the Twolves - the underdog should do well which favors the over, the Raps do well in blowing out teams on the road, the Raps are scoring with east at home as the last 6 ballgames in Toronto have gone over, the over is 5-0 for the Raps when their opponent scores more than a 100 in their previous game and the over is 4-1 when the Twolves are underdogs of late.
Pacers -1.5 (3 units)
This is the weaker of the 3 selections that I'm going with today, but I do like it for a couple of reasons. For one, the Pacers come off a tough home loss to the Raptors, a team that they failed to cover against the 3 point spread. This team fought very hard, but they fell just short. They do have revenge against this Bulls team from losing on the road by double-digits. The Bulls did play better with their new look team at Dallas, but they fell short, but still covered. The Pacers have had some tough games at home and when they play teams ranked around the 20th spot in the league at home, they do have success, such as beating the Nets by around double-digits and beating the Blazers. This team needs a big win at home, and I think they can get it here against the Bulls on the cheap price. The Bulls have put together some quality players, but I think it will take some time for them to gel. With Noah starting, but Gooden and Hughes getting more minutes - I simply think the Pacers play a bit more "gelled" basketball at this point. The Bulls are 6-15 ATS road favorites by this margin, the favorite is 8-0 ATS in this matchup and the home team is 7-1 ATS in this series of late. This was enough for me to make it a play despite it being the least significance out of the full card.
ACCU PICKS
4* W Vir
4* No. Iowa
4* Ala
4* Colo
3* Ky
3* Purdue
NBA 3* Clippers
Sports Investors
Hofstra
Oralndo
Chicago sports connection
Bulls +2
Miami Fla +8.5
Lasalle +4.5
Charlies Sports Members Section
central florida-7 500*
northern iowa-5' 30*
georgia tech+15 20*
cincinnati+11' 20*
NESS
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