Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report
CBB:
Wednesday: Play On CBB favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off 2 or more consecutive home wins 60-24 ATS last 5 seasons (71.4%) PLAY: Ohio State -8
Wolkosky Milan
10* CHICAGO +7½
10* CLEVELAND -2
10* PHOENIX +7
10* NEW JERSEY -5
10* DET/TOR OVER 184½
EZ WINNERS
NBA
1 STAR: (505) MIAMI (+7.5) over New York
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (510) CLEVELAND (-2.5) over New Orleans
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (517) LA CLIPPERS (+15.5) over San Antonio
(Risking $110 to win $100)
NCAA
1 STAR: (525) DAYTON (+8) over Ohio State
(Risking $110 to win $100)
Seabass
20 Va Tech
10 Dayton
20 Clev Cavs
10 Phen Suns
100 Tulsa (Vegas Steam)
5 Wash Wiz (Comp)
NHL
20 Chicago Blackhawks Over
THE GOLD SHEET'S LTS
COLLEGE HOOPS
DAYTON (+8)
VIRGINIA TECH (-8)
BRADLEY (+ 6 1/2)
NBA
HOUSTON (-11 1/2)
"OVER" 203 points WASHINGTON at SEATTLE
PHILLY CONNECTION
VIRGINIA -6
INDIAN COWBOY
Atlanta -8 (POD)
The Hawks beat this team by 16 at home back in November, the Bucks then of course won at home back in January by about 8 points, the Bucks do come off a road loss to the Heat, but if this team was truly going to bounce-back they would have gotten some revenge on the Heat on the road after losing to them at home. Bell is listed as questionable for this game for the Bucks, every game in the East is critical for the Hawks for the playoffs, they come off a loss to an Eastern Conference foe in the Bulls on the road, they return home to face a Bucks team with revenge, off a loss to continue to competing for the playoffs. This is very similar to when the Hawks lost to the Rockets on the road and returned home to handle the Clips with ease. I need to be wary of going against the better teams in the league or against teams in a playoff hunt such as the Spurs yesterday with the Magic, but I have no qualms about going against the Bucks who are not headed to the playoffs this year and not the highest of quality teams on the road (although a a decent home team).
Bradley +6.5
Here is my reasoning behind Bradley. Keep in mind that both of these teams are ranked similarly - just above the top 90 cutoff. Bradley has defeated two teams that more difficult one in the Bearcats of Cincy from the Big East and the other of Ohio who are both top 100 teams. They face a Virginia team that has not looked sharp against ODU nor against Richmond , two teams in the top 140. However, I hate laying 3 units on 6.5 points - although Virginia has not covered either spread against two games barely winning them. I nearly took Bradley here for 1 unit on the moneyline +245, but decided to take the 6.5 points and lay the 3 units. I6.5 points is my cutoff and given how Virginia seems to be getting down at the half and closing the game in the 2nd half, I lean on Bradley for the first half, but nevertheless, I'll take the 3 unit wager for the full game. This is at my cutoff for points for an underdog in the ballgame, but Bradley has played a tougher road to get here, Virginia has not looked sharp against two teams outside the top 100, and their luck might be running out against Bradley who is within the top 100 and about 40 spots better than the 2 previous tams that UVA has not covered against in this tourney thus far.
Va Tech -8
I know the 8 points looks wonderful here for Ole Miss an SEC team, but Ole Miss has lost by this margin and more to teams like Alabama and LSU on the road and Virginia Tech is ranked about 50 spots higher than both of those teams. Virginia Tech is a young team, they love to ante up the score as they did against Morgan State and UAB and this teams feels slighted that they did not make it to the NIT and once again they are on ESPN2 and they area aware that teams across the nation as well as scouts will be watching them. I would not be surprised to see the Hokies, who play in a great atmosphere at Virginia Tech look to dominate an Ole Miss team at home and win by double-digits. I like the crowd behind Va Tech, they have played great thus far at home, Ole Miss now has to hit the road after 2 home wins in the tourney in the NIT, and face a Va Tech out tto prove that they should have made it to the NCAA tourney.
Raptors -1.5
Is this the strongest play of the day, absolutely not. However, the Raptors come off a very dissappointing loss to the Nuggets where they collapsed by 8 points at the half (trust me I know, I was on the Raps over the Nugs in that game). The Raptors do have Bosh back, this is a big game for them as a morale booster, with playoff atmosphere in Toronto, this team needs this win, they haven't beat the Pistons the last 3 games and lost by 14 on the road earlier this year. I look for the Raps at home to get a big win here as remember the Pistons have lost 3 of their last 4 on the road with the sole win on the road being over the Knicks. I'll take the home team here as they started out as the dog and now sit at the favorite despite 2/3rds of the public being on the Pistons
Michael Cannon
15 Dime –
MISSISSIPPI
Take the points with Ole Miss tonight when they travel to take on Virginia Tech.
There’s no doubt Virginia Tech is rolling right now. They are on a 9-0 ATS run, having gone 7-2 SU during that span. But the one thing that keeps me from jumping on their bandwagon tonight is the level of competition they’ve played up to this point. Alabama-Birmingham and Morgan State are not high caliber opponents, so the margin of victory in those two games isn’t really an indicator of how good Virginia Tech is right now.
Mississippi, on the other hand, is a team that has some real value with this line. They knocked off Nebraska and UC-Santa Barbara in convincing fashion, and I feel like the Rebels are more than capable of hanging close tonight.
Sophomore guard David Huertas has been shooting well from the perimeter, which has opened up the inside for center Dwayne Curtis. If Huertas continues to shoot well tonight, not only will it allow Curtis to get good looks inside, it will help the Rebels on the offensive boards as well.
Take the points with Mississippi as they stay within the number tonight.
5 Dime –
HAWKS
Lay the points with the Hawks tonight when they host the Bucks.
The recent trend in this series has favored the home team, which has won and covered the last five meetings.
Atlanta is also vying for the final Eastern Conference playoff spot, so look for them to give an inspired effort tonight.
Milwaukee, which lost at lowly Miami on Monday, has dropped 10 of its last 12 games SU. They are also 0-5 SUATS in the last five road games since the All-Star break.
Lay the points with the Hawks as they grab the home win and cover.
John Ryan
Game: Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets
Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Minnesota ? AiS shows a 70% probability that Minnesota will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 43-16 ATS since 1996. Play against favorites of 10 or more points after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points and is a tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days. No doubt that Houston is a good team and one of the things they do very well is rebound the basketball. Note, however, that Minnesota is 15-5 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams that are outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. Houston is not in a good role for this game and for some reason are not passing the ball nearly as much as they had during the incredible winning streak. Note that Houston is 8-22 ATS in home games after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists over the last 3 seasons.
John Ryan
New Orleans Hornets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers
Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Cleveland – AiS shows an 87% probability that Cleveland will win this game by 4 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 53-26 ATS for 67% since 2002. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after one or more consecutive overs and is a good offensive team scoring 98-102 PPG and is now facing an average offensive team scoring 92-98 PPG after 42+ games of the regular season. There are numerous angles running an avalanche of weaknesses against New Orleans – meaning that they support Cleveland or running against NO. Note that NO is 4-18 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team sporting a winning percentage of 51% to 60% when the game is taking place in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland has played it’s best games on numerous occasions in the second half of the season and/or against strong clubs. Note that they are 13-3 ATS versus good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots this season; 10-1 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams that are committing <=12 turnovers/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is also in a good role coming off three straight games installed as favorites. Note that Cleveland is 21-9 ATS in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons. Take the Cavaliers.
Mike Rose
Washington Wizards -7.0
One club in tonight's affair is still jockeying for playoff position, while the others season has been over for quite some time. Washington invades Seattle with its (36-34) SU mark good enough for the 5th seed in the Eastern Conference. They've posted a sub .500 mark on the road this season, (15-19), but they?ve been nothing but gold against the spread winning 21 of their 33 contests against the Vegas number. As for Seattle, it?s been a long season but it looks to be coming to an end very shortly. The Sonics have picked up 11 of their 17 wins this season at home, and they own a +.500 mark ATS at 17-16-1.
The Wizards last took the floor in Portland last night, and suffered a humiliating loss at the hands of the Trailblazers. Both LaMarcus Aldridge and Brandon Roy failed to play the entire game, yet the Wizards lost by a 102-82 final count. The 20-point defeat was embarrassing for the team, but not as embarrassing as it was for those that laid the 2-points with the ?Wizz?. The combined 184 points fell a couple points shy of the closing ?total? of 187. The loss snapped Washington?s 3-game SU winning streak, but they've been playing well of late and come into tonight's contest 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS. Pointspread players take note: the Wizards are a poor 7-9 ATS on 0 days rest this season.
Seattle beat Portland on this same floor just two days ago to snap their 11-game SU losing streak. They dominated the Blazers in the second half outscoring them 48-31, and ended up cashing their backers tickets as 8-point home pups with ease. The victory was the Sonics first at home since February 22nd when they beat the same Blazers squad by a 99-87 final count. Seattle is 10-8 ATS at home vs. +.500 teams this season.
Washington pounded the Sonics in their lone meeting this season back in early January. The 108-86 final tally saw the Wizards easily cover the 8.5-points and the combined total stay under the closing number of 202.5. Seattle hasn?t fared well against Washington recently going 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS their L/10 meetings. Along with their overall SU & ATS dominance over the Sonics, Washington has covered the spread in 5 of their L/6 visits to Seattle.
Kelso
Chairmans Club = 10 units Cavs -2.5 v New Orl
Best Bet= 5 unit Sacremento -9.5 v. MemphisMarch Madness
5 unit Mississippi +8 @ Va Tech
5 units OSU -8 v. Dayton
5 units Houston +3.5 @ Tulsa
Kelso
Nets -6 25 unit play
JB
3* Cavs
2* Raptors
LARRY NESS
Celtics 7 units
TULSA 7.5 units
Hawks 8 units
AAA Sports
Charlotte Bobcats at Los Angeles Lakers - Over 211 (Heavy Hitter) 3 units
Dayton Flyers at Ohio State Buckeyes - Ohio State -8 Unit Value: 2
Mississippi Rebels at Virginia Tech Hokies - Virginia Tech -8 Unit Value: 2