Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY (CBB Game Of The Week)
(Power Angle Play)
Oklahoma -3 over Baylor
The Sooners are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, while the Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Sooners have simply owned this seires as they have won the last 10 outright, with all but one of those games being decided by less than 4 points. Oklahoma is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 trips to Baylor and have outscored the Bears by 11 ppg in the 4 games. Right now the Sooners are ranked 2nd in the nation and come in having won 11 in a row, and they have outcored the opposition by 14.1 ppg in the process.The Sooner offense is ranked 11th in scoring (80 ppg) and 15th in FG% (48.7%), while their defense is ranked 143rd in scoring (66.2 ppg) and 23rd in FG% (39%). Baylor brings a 5 game losing steak into this game and they have the 9th rated scoring offense (80.7 ppg), but that offense has struggled a bit in their 5 game skid as they have averaged just 72.2 ppg. THe defense has been a sore spot for this team as well as they are 264th in scoring (71.2 ppg) and 164th in FG% (43.0%), but that defense has been even worse in tehe last 5 games as they have allowed 84 ppg and they have allowed teams to hit a whopping 50.3% of their shots. The offenses are about equal, but the Sooners get a huge edge on defense and they have the rebounding edge (14th to 110th), plus all the momentum in the world as they look to get that #1 Seed. Baylor is reeling right now after a fast start and I really don't see them haviong a chance vs Griffin and company tonight.
POWER ANGLE For This Play--- During the last 2 years the Bears are 0-8 ATS vs teams that hit better than 45% of their shots, while allowing their opponents to hit less than 42% of their shots.
3 UNIT PLAYS
North Carolina -1.5 over DUKE
The Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss, while the Blue Devils are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. What a game this should be as you have two of the top 5 teams in the country squaring off at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The Tarheels have certainly righted the ship after their 0-2 ACC start, as they have won their last 7 ACC games and by an average of 16.4 ppg. The Tarheels average 91.3 ppg on the year, including a healthy 87 ppg on the road and 88 ppg in their last 7 games. The Tarheels also come in hitting 42% of their 3pt shots in their last 5 games and they are outrebounding their foes by 7.5 rpg. The defense hasn't been spectacular as they allow 71.2 ppg overall, but theiir FG% defense (40%) is ranked 42nd in the nation. Duke is normally a good shooting team, but they have struggled mightily in theirn last 4 games as they have hit just 36.0% of their overall shots, including just 27.7% from 3 point land in their last 4 games. The Duke defense has been good this year as they have allowed just 61 ppg and 40% shooting overall, but in their last 4 games those numbers swell to 68.3 ppg and 44.3% shooting. Their is clearly something wrong with the Blue Devils, while the Heels have been rolling, since their 0-2 start to the ACC. Carolina is the more talented team in this one and even though Duke is home, he Bluye devils will not break out of their current funk. Carolina by 8+.
Houston -7 over SMU
The Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Houston has dominated this series lately as they have gone 5-0 SU & ATS in the last 5 meetings and have outscored the Ponies by 18.4 ppg in the 5 games. Houston is 5-3 in Conference USA play and have won their last 2 in a row. The Cougars did lose their 3 games prior to the current 2 game win streak, but one of the losses was i Memphis, where they hung tough for about 3 quarters of the game and another of their losses was an OT loss in Arizona. Houston's offense ranks 26th in scoring (78.5 ppg) and they average 77.8 ppg in conference play. Houston is also solid from the charity stripe as they hit 74% of their free hrows. (24th). The defense has allowed 67.7 ppg (168th), but tey do allow just 39.9% shooting (39th), plus they pull down 24.3 defensive rpg (40th). The Ponies offense scores just 64.2 ppg (256th) and they shoot just 43.8% from the floor (175th). SMU also ranks 307th in FT% (63.3%). The defense is decent as they allow just 65.2 ppg (118th), but they are not a particularly strong rebounding team, ranking 186th in defensive rpg (21.3). Houston is just the more talented team in this one and they should have no problems getting a nice double digit win here.