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Posts: 318493
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Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Chicago Bulls -1.5

After taking it to Detroit on the road last night, a short-handed and fatigued Bucks team will get hit in the mouth at home. The Bulls are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games and have won 8 of their last 10 against the Bucks. Milwaukee is just 12-28 ATS off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1996, losing by an average score of 93.9 to 97.6 in these spots. With no Redd, Ridnour, or Bogut, the Bucks won't be able to stay with the red hot Bulls in this spot tonight.

 
Posted : February 18, 2009 12:40 pm
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GoodFella

Milwaukee Bucks +2

This is very simple, the Bulls SHOULD NOT be favored on the road & I will back a Bucks team who is coming off a nice win last night & are playing very confident & have great chemistry right now & this team has played very well on their home court recently. I look for a very energized & focused effort out of Milwaukee tonight & I will grab the 2 pts & I look for a nice 5-7 pt outright win from the Bucks tonight. Best of luck to all today & have a great day everybody!

 
Posted : February 18, 2009 12:49 pm
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Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY (Ohio Valley GOY)

Tennessee-Martin -5 over EASTERN ILLINOIS

The Skyhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. Ohio Valley and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, while the Panthers are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog of 0.5-6. and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, plus the Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Skyhawks have been on a tear as they have won their last 10 in a row, with all wins being by 5 points or more and 8 of those wins have been by double digits. Going back a little farther the Skyhawks are 16-1 in their last 17 games, including 8-0 on the road. They have outscored those 8 road opponents by 12.8 ppg and tey have outscored their OVC opponents by 9.5 ppg, going an impressive 11-3 in the conference.Tenn-Martin's defense is a little weak at 239th in scoring (70.2 ppg), but the offense has been great as they have averaged 80.3 ppg (12th) overall and 45.1% shooting (104th). They have also averaged 81.4 ppg in OVC play, including 84.3 ppg in their last 9 OVC games. The Eastern Illinois Panthers do have a winning conference record (8-7), but they do come on a 3 games slide and for the mose part it has been their offense that has let them down. The Panthers offense hasn't been that great overall this year, as they have averaged just 65.8 ppg (218th) and 63.4 ppg in OVC play, but it has been even worse in their last 3 games as they have averaged just 52 ppg during the three game slide. Even though their defense has been good this year (66.8 ppg ) overall and 63.3 ppg in OVC play, i just down feel that they can hold down the Skyhawks offense enough to stay within the number here. The Skyhawks are 5-1 ATS the last 6 in the series and have outscored the Panther by an average of 10.7 ppg in the process. This one shoud be easy.

3 UNIT PLAYS

FLORIDA STATE -2.5 over Miami-Fla

The Hurricanes are 0-4-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings, while the Seminoles are 10-3-2 ATS in their last 15 vs. Atlantic Coast and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Boy it's rough going against the hot shooting of McClinton, but I belive the Noles defense can slow hime down enough to get the big win here. After McClinton the only other offensive threat on this team is Dwayne Collins (11.6 ppg), but he missed the last game and is questionable for tonight. The Noles defense has been very good this year as they have allowed just 63.7 ppg (74th) and 38.4% shootinf (13th), including just 30.9% from 3pt land (31st). That 3pt defense will be key as McClinton is hitting nearly 48% from beyond the arc on the year, while the Canes as a team are hitting 37.8% from 3pt land (46th). The Canes do score 72.7 ppg on the road, but they also give up 73 ppg. The Noles are no offensive juggernaut, as they put up just 67.9 ppg at home this year, but it will be all about their defensive pressure, as they hold McClinton at bay and get a nice home win of 7+.

Auburn -3 over GEORGIA

The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game, while the Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Big letdown spot here for the Bulldogs, as they are off thier first SEC win when they beat the Gators a few days ago. Georgia is now 1-9 in SEC play and have been outscored by 13.7 ppg in the process. Their offense has been bad this yera as they have put up just 65.7 ppg overall and 61.6 ppg within the SEC. Their defense has been just as bad this year as they have allowed 68.8 ppg overall and a really bad 75.3 ppg within the SEC. The Auburn offense has been solid this year, putting up 71.8 ppg overal, including 72.1 ppg in the SEC. The Tigers come in on a nice 3 game roll and their offense has been even better as they have averaged 81.3 ppg in the 3 game stretch. Georgia has taken 5 of the last 6 in the series, so this is the perfect spot for an Auburn team that is desperate to keep winning to exacct some revenge. No way the Georgia offense can match point for point with the Tigers in this one. Auburn by 10+.

(Power Angle Play)

Ball State -1 over TOLEDO

The Rockets are 3-11 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons, while the Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Both offense have been very bad this year as the Cardinals come in averageing just 57 ppg (337), while the Rockets have put up just 57.5 ppg (333rd), but on the defensive side ebd of the court, the Cardinals draw a huge edge. Ball State is 16th in scoring defense (59.2 ppg), 99th in FG% defense (41.7%) and 17th in 3pt FG defense (30.3%), plus they allow just 55.6 ppg and 40.4% shooting in MAC play. The Rockets defense is 18oth in scoring (67.8 ppg) and 189th in FG% defense (43.5%). The Rockets have lost 7 games in a row and I just don't see them beaing able to generate any offense vs this tough Ball State defense. The Cardinals should win easily here.

POWER ANGLE For This Play--- Toledo is 0-8 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season

2 UNIT PLAYS

BOISE STATE -6 over Idaho

Boise is 7-4 in the WAC and 12-1 at home while outscoring their home opponents by 6.9 ppg. Idaho has really struggled on the road this, as they are 2-10 and have been outscored by 10 ppg in the process. Boise state should get revenge for their last January loss to the Vandals with ease.

Notre Dame +9 over WEST VIRGINIA

The Irish need to finish the season strong if they hope for a bid to the Big Dance and despite playing at WVU, where the Mountaineers have pounded their opponents, I feel the Notre Dame desperation will help keep the game close. WVU by no more than 5.

 
Posted : February 18, 2009 12:51 pm
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